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Greenock Morton FC v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Dec, 15:00 BST, Cappielow Park, Greenock

the Cappielow Park is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Dougie Imrie's Greenock Morton FC are visited by Scott Brown's Ayr United in the Championship. Championship stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greenock
29%
--
Draw
29%
--
Ayr United
42%
--
Ayr United 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Greenock 1-0
11%
--
Ayr United 2-0
8%
--
Ayr United 2-1
8%
--
Greenock 2-1
6%
--
Greenock 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Ayr United 3-0
3%
--
Ayr United 3-1
3%
--
Greenock 3-1
2%
--
Greenock 3-0
2%
--
Ayr United 3-2
2%
--
Greenock 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
11%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
62%
--
Greenock win to nil
18%
--
Ayr United win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Greenock have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 7 and won 1. Greenock have conceded 15 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Greenock have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Ayr United lay in 4th place on 24 points in the Championship league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ayr United have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Ayr United have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Greenock
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone182038 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
2
Partick18935 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
Jan 3
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
3
Arbroath18129 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 28
Jan 23
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
4
Ayr United18224 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
Dec 27
Mar 21
-
-
-
-
5
Dunfermline18623 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Jan 10
Apr 4
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
6
Raith Rovers18223 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
Mar 28
7
Greenock 18-221 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
8
Airdrieonians18-1017 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 1
Feb 28
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
Jan 10
Apr 25
9
Queen's Park17-1214 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 3
Mar 14
10
Ross County17-1612 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
Jan 31
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Greenock 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greenock 0 - 1Airdrieonians
Greenock 2 - 1Queen's Park
Greenock 1 - 0Arbroath
Greenock 0 - 4St. Johnstone
Greenock 1 - 1Partick
Greenock 1 - 1Ross County
Greenock 0 - 1Raith Rovers
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Greenock 0 - 0Dunfermline
Greenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
Greenock 1 - 2Livingston
Greenock 0 - 1Partick
Greenock 3 - 3Raith Rovers
Greenock 2 - 1Queen's Park
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 0 - 2Falkirk
Greenock 2 - 0Hamilton
Greenock 2 - 2Airdrieonians
Greenock 2 - 1Partick
Greenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGreenock 0 - 1Airdrieonians
HGreenock 2 - 1Queen's Park
AGreenock 0 - 1Dunfermline
AGreenock 3 - 0Ross County
HGreenock 1 - 0Arbroath
AGreenock 1 - 1Raith Rovers
HGreenock 0 - 4St. Johnstone
AGreenock 1 - 2Ayr United
HGreenock 1 - 1Partick
AGreenock 2 - 1Airdrieonians
HGreenock 1 - 1Ross County
AGreenock 1 - 1Arbroath
AGreenock 0 - 0Queen's Park
HGreenock 0 - 1Raith Rovers
AGreenock 1 - 1St. Johnstone
HGreenock 2 - 2Ayr United
AGreenock 1 - 1Partick
HGreenock 0 - 0Dunfermline
HGreenock 2 - 0Dunfermline
AGreenock 1 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Ross County3 - 3Ayr United
Queen's Park0 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers0 - 2Ayr United
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 2Ayr United
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Partick1 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 2Greenock
HAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United2 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United0 - 5Livingston
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Greenock have not lost to Ayr United in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Greenock since 2016
Greenock
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
25
27
Games: Scored
14 / 16
14 / 16
Clean sheets
2 / 16
2 / 16
GRE
5
D
6
AYR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Greenock
Draw2 - 2Draw
Greenock 2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Greenock 3 - 0
Greenock 3 - 1
1 - 3Ayr United
1 - 2Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Ayr United
Greenock 3 - 2
2 - 3Ayr United
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 5Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Greenock 2 - 1
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Greenock
Goals: Scored
16
18
Games: Scored
11 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
5 / 16
GRE
4
D
8
AYR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Ayr United2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Greenock
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Greenock
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Greenock
Ayr United4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Greenock
Ayr United2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Greenock Morton FC's defensive record is very strong, D. Imrie's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Ayr United makes sense in this context.

Greenock 7th Ayr United 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Greenock scoring 1 goal or less
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Greenock ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Ayr United’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Greenock
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1
1.2
Attack rating
GRE
AYR
9%
better
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score6
5
Scored first8
9
Goals scored17
21
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
GRE
AYR
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded19
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+12%

Greenock v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Greenock Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18335
J StorerT AdeloyeO MoffatJ Longridge
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Storer GLK18
1
-
M Garrity FWD1811
3
-
O Moffat FWD183
1
-
J Longridge DEF172
5
-
I Wilson MID17
3
-
Z Delaney DEF161
1
-
T Adeloye FWD163
1
-
C Blues MID1511
2
-
N Shaw MID1513
3
-
E Brophy FWD153
1
-
K Moore DEF142
2
-
K. Robertson MID141
5
-
A Comrie DEF13
4
-
C Ballantyne DEF131
1
-
Z. McKay MID11
-
G Gillespie MID11
3
-
A Lyall FWD91
1
-
M O'Halloran FWD81
1
-
D. Corr DEF6
3
-
C MacPherson MID41
2
-
K. Taylor MID3
1
-
A Crawford MID21
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18636
S McMannM McKenzieE WalkerM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF1811
4
-
M McKenzie FWD1861
1
-
E Walker FWD1743
3
1
M Rus MID1613
5
1
D Mitchell GLK15
-
K Holt DEF152
1
-
J Murphy FWD1541
4
-
D Watret DEF142
1
1
N McAllister DEF1311
5
-
K. Ure MID131
2
-
J. Bonnar MID131
2
-
L Dick DEF12
3
-
S Bannigan MID12
2
-
B Dempsey MID121
1
-
L King DEF11
3
-
A Dowds FWD111
1
-
C Main FWD1111
1
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-
D Thomas MID7
-
L. Russell GLK3
-
S Want DEF3
1
-