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Dunfermline Athletic v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

East End Park, Dunfermline

Scott Brown leads his Ayr United charges to the East End Park in the Championship on Tuesday evening, with James McPake's Dunfermline Athletic their challengers. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Dunfermline Athletic's next match is v Airdrieonians at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Ayr United's next match is v Partick at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Dunfermline and Ayr United was on Tuesday 14th January 2025
Scottish Championship
January 14th 2025
Dunfermline 0
2 Ayr United
 
61' J. Henderson
71' G. Oakley
 
DUN
AYR
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
8
4
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
7
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
DunfermlineAyr United
 
O. Oluwayemi
A. Comrie
T. Fogarty
K. Benedictus
E. Otoo
K. Ngwenya (A. Mebude 53')
K. Ritchie-Hosler
M. Todd (J. Cooper 63')
C. Hamilton (J. Chalmers 68')
L. McCann
C. Kane (T. Sutherland 63')
H. Stone
G. Stanger
S. McMann
(D. Watret 78') N. McAllister
P. Reading
M. Devlin
(J. Murphy 78') football iconJ. Henderson
(L. Agbaire 85') B. Dempsey
C. McKinnon
(M. McKenzie 75') C. McLennan
(J. Hastie 85') football iconG. Oakley

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Dunfermline and Ayr United go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats do not supply any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.75 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dunfermline are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dunfermline
37%
9/4
17%
11/5
11%
Draw
30%
8/5
31%
17/10
13%
Ayr United
33%
7/5
37%
13/10
2%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
27%
19/4
4%
Dunfermline 1-0
13%
13/2
25%
6/1
Ayr United 1-0
12%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw 0-0
12%
9/2
42%
17/4
25%
Dunfermline 2-1
7%
14/110/1
10%
Dunfermline 2-0
7%
14/1
29%
12/1
8%
Ayr United 2-1
7%
10/1
22%
17/2
6%
Ayr United 2-0
6%
9/1
25%
8/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
15%
Dunfermline 3-1
3%
33/122/1
10%
Dunfermline 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Ayr United 3-1
2%
25/1
73%
18/1
12%
Ayr United 3-0
2%
22/1
77%
16/1
Dunfermline 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
31%
Ayr United 3-2
1%
40/1
41%
28/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
7/4
34%
8/5
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
2/5
20%
2/5
9%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/4
13%
7/5
Away 1st Goal
45%
10/11
25%
19/20
No 1st Goal
9%
4/1
42%
17/4
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/4
13%
6/5
10%
BTTS - No
58%
4/7
9%
3/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
17/2
12%
13/2
15%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
18%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
62%
19/4
10%
Home/draw
67%
4/9
28%
11/20
1%
Away/draw
63%
1/43/10
4%
Home/away
70%
2/5
12%
2/5
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/7
18%
8/15
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
5/4
31%
6/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
9/2
47%
4/1
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/8
10%
1/8
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
43%
9/1
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/33
5%
1/50
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
62%
18/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/200
2%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/7
11%
1/9
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
4/1
47%
4/1
23%
Home DNB
58%
6/5
27%
6/5
5%
Away DNB
54%
8/13
19%
3/5
3%
Dunfermline win to nil
24%
4/1
23%
-
Ayr United win to nil
21%
5/2
27%
-
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
15%
4/1
29%
17/4
9%
Dunfermline / Ayr United
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Dunfermline / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw / Dunfermline
12%
11/2
28%
11/2
Draw / Ayr United
15%
9/2
22%
17/4
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4
25%
13/5
17%
Ayr United / Dunfermline
2%
40/128/1
12%
Ayr United / Ayr United
20%
3/1
45%
14/5
1%
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Dunfermline have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Dunfermline have conceded 25 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Dunfermline have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Ayr United lay in 2nd place on 38 points in the Championship league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ayr United have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Ayr United have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dunfermline
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk202043 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
Feb 15
2
Ayr United A211741 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 29
-
-
-
-
3
Livingston211139 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 22
Feb 15
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
Apr 19
4
Partick21735 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
Mar 15
5
Queen's Park21129 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
Apr 12
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Feb 25
6
Raith Rovers19-724 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
Feb 1
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
7
Greenock 19-523 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Mar 1
May 2
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
8
Hamilton19-721 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
Feb 25
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
Feb 1
9
Dunfermline H21-719 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
w
 
0-2F
10
Airdrieonians20-306 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
Jan 25
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
May 2
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Dunfermline 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Ayr United 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Dunfermline since 2016
Dunfermline
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
6 / 12
DUN
4
D
4
AYR
4
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
7 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
5 / 12
DUN
3
D
6
AYR
3
Goal Statistics
Dunfermline 9th Ayr United 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Dunfermline will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Dunfermline’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Ayr United have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282168/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dunfermline
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.1
1
Attack rating
DUN
AYR
30%
better
view stats
Games scored11
16
Failed to score9
4
Scored first8
11
Goals scored21
32
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
DUN
AYR
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
11
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded26
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+30%

Dunfermline v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21546
A ComrieC KaneD WotherspoonE Otoo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Oluwayemi GLK15
2
-
A Comrie DEF21
3
-
T. Fogarty DEF11
4
-
K Benedictus DEF152
1
-
K Ngwenya DEF181
2
-
K Ritchie-Hosler MID201
3
-
M Todd MID163
1
-
C Hamilton MID18
3
-
E Otoo MID212
6
-
L McCann MID1831
1
-
C Kane FWD1651
2
-
Subs
D Mehmet GLK6
-
S Fisher DEF5
1
-
S Young DEF11
1
-
J Chalmers MID15
-
D Wotherspoon MID1814
3
1
C Clay MID13
5
-
J. Cooper MID1741
1
-
T Sutherland FWD12
-
D Mebude FWD131
1
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21958
G StangerG OakleyJ HendersonB Dempsey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK9
-
G Stanger DEF2111
5
-
M Devlin  DEF9
4
-
S McMann DEF161
1
-
N McAllister DEF141
5
-
P Reading DEF18
1
-
C McLennan MID1221
4
-
B Dempsey MID2021
8
-
C McKinnon MID1
-
J Henderson MID2165
-
G Oakley FWD2191
3
-
Subs
R Mutch GLK
-
D Watret DEF1522
2
-
L. Agbaire DEF1
2
-
J Murphy MID1611
1
-
J Hastie MID14
1
-
M McKenzie MID181
-
D. Craig MID1
-
J Mitchell-Lawson MID
-
J. Hislop FWD3
1
-