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St. Johnstone v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

McDiarmid Park, Perth

Scott Brown leads his Ayr United side to the McDiarmid Park in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Simo Valakari's St. Johnstone their rivals. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.

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St. Johnstone's next match is v Ross County at 15:00 on Saturday 11th October
Ayr United's next match is v Raith Rovers at 15:00 on Saturday 11th October
The last Scottish Championship meeting between St. Johnstone and Ayr United was on Saturday 4th October 2025
Scottish Championship
October 4th 2025
St. Johnstone 0
0 Ayr United
 
STU
AYR
Shots On
1
2
Shots Off
1
2
Corners
9
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
St. JohnstoneAyr United
 
T. Steward
C. Diabate
M. Boyes
J. Holt
A. Sidibeh (U. Ikpeazu 80')
J. Gullan
J. Baird
A. Forrester (S. Sprangler 80')
J. McPake
R. McAlear
K. Fotheringham (J. Ikendo Wanner 61')
D. Mitchell
K. Holt
L. King
D. Watret
(S. Bannigan 74') B. Dempsey
(A. Dowds 74') J. Murphy
M. Rus
E. Walker
(G. Oakley 74') M. McKenzie
S. McMann
K. Ure

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that St. Johnstone and Ayr United will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Simo Valakari or Scott Brown has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Johnstone are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Johnstone
57%
4/68/1
Draw
23%
14/51/12
Ayr United
21%
10/312/1
Draw 1-1
11%
13/228/1
St. Johnstone 1-0
11%
6/14/1
St. Johnstone 2-1
10%
15/270/1
St. Johnstone 2-0
10%
7/125/1
St. Johnstone 3-1
6%
14/1100/1
St. Johnstone 3-0
6%
12/180/1
Ayr United 1-0
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/12/7
Ayr United 2-1
5%
14/1100/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1125/1
St. Johnstone 3-2
3%
25/1125/1
Ayr United 2-0
3%
22/155/1
St. Johnstone 4-1
3%
28/1125/1
St. Johnstone 4-0
3%
25/1125/1
Ayr United 3-1
2%
33/1100/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/2040/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/201/200
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/717/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/517/2
No 1st Goal
3%
10/12/7
BTTS - Yes
53%
5/625/1
BTTS - No
47%
5/61/200
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/470/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/228/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2100/1
Home/draw
79%
1/51/33
Away/draw
43%
11/101/6
Home/away
77%
1/45/2
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/414/1
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/41/500
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/490/1
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/31/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/280/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/200
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/209/4
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/22/7
Home DNB
72%
3/102/7
Away DNB
37%
12/512/5
St. Johnstone win to nil
31%
7/4-
Ayr United win to nil
10%
7/1-
St. Johnstone / St. Johnstone
31%
8/510/1
St. Johnstone / Ayr United
2%
40/155/1
St. Johnstone / Draw
5%
16/133/1
Draw / St. Johnstone
18%
7/26/5
Draw / Ayr United
8%
17/24/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/17/4
Ayr United / St. Johnstone
4%
22/140/1
Ayr United / Ayr United
11%
13/222/1
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/133/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
St. Johnstone
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone91323 
-
-
-
-
Dec 13
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
2
Partick8317 
w
 
5-1A
Nov 22
Jan 31
Mar 21
Dec 6
Oct 21
Apr 4
Jan 24
3
Raith Rovers9214 
Dec 6
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
Feb 21
l
 
0-1A
Oct 11
Jan 31
Mar 28
4
Arbroath9-712 
w
 
3-0F
Oct 18
Jan 3
Apr 4
Nov 15
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
5
Ayr United8211 
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 13
Feb 28
May 1
-
-
-
-
6
Greenock 9010 
d
 
1-1A
Oct 25
Dec 20
Mar 7
Oct 18
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
7
Dunfermline919 
w
 
2-1A
Nov 8
Jan 24
Apr 18
Nov 1
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
8
Queen's Park9-38 
Nov 15
w
 
1-2F
Mar 28
Jan 10
d
 
1-1A
Oct 25
Jan 3
Mar 14
9
Ross County9-37 
Oct 11
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
Dec 27
d
 
1-1F
Nov 8
Feb 21
Apr 18
10
Airdrieonians9-83 
Nov 1
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Feb 14
w
 
4-2F
Nov 22
Jan 10
Apr 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
St. Johnstone have won 4 consecutive league games
8
St. Johnstone have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
5
Ayr United have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
St. Johnstone 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Johnstone2 - 1Dunfermline
St. Johnstone1 - 1Greenock
St. Johnstone3 - 0Arbroath
St. Johnstone5 - 1Partick
St. Johnstone0 - 2Dundee
St. Johnstone2 - 1Ross County
St. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone1 - 0Celtic
St. Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
St. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
St. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
St. Johnstone2 - 1Motherwell
St. Johnstone1 - 3Dundee
St. Johnstone1 - 1Hibernian
St. Johnstone1 - 2Dundee Utd
St. Johnstone2 - 3St. Mirren
St. Johnstone0 - 1Rangers
St. Johnstone1 - 0Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
St. Johnstone3 - 0Ross County
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Johnstone2 - 1Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone2 - 1Airdrieonians
HSt. Johnstone2 - 1Dunfermline
ASt. Johnstone2 - 0Raith Rovers
HSt. Johnstone1 - 1Greenock
HSt. Johnstone3 - 0Arbroath
ASt. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
HSt. Johnstone5 - 1Partick
HSt. Johnstone0 - 2Dundee
ASt. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
HSt. Johnstone2 - 1Ross County
HSt. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
ASt. Johnstone2 - 3Motherwell
ASt. Johnstone0 - 1Dundee Utd
HSt. Johnstone1 - 0Celtic
ASt. Johnstone0 - 3Hibernian
HSt. Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
ASt. Johnstone1 - 1Dundee
HSt. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
HSt. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
Ayr United 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 2Ayr United
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Partick1 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 0Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline1 - 1Ayr United
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 2Greenock
HAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United2 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United0 - 5Livingston
HAyr United1 - 1Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
HAyr United3 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Hamilton
AAyr United0 - 2Partick
AAyr United1 - 2Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
HAyr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
AAyr United2 - 2Falkirk
Goal Statistics

St. Johnstone have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Ayr United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

St. Johnstone's defensive record is very strong, Simo Valakari's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Ayr United makes sense in this context.

St. Johnstone 1st Ayr United 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that St. Johnstone will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
St. Johnstone’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Ayr United have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
St. Johnstone
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.8
1
Attack rating
46%
better
STU
AYR
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score0
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored16
6
Avg. goals scored2
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
27%
better
STU
AYR
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets3
1
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded4
6
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded4
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+27%

St. Johnstone v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Johnstone Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9744
T StewardJ McPakeR McAlearJ Holt
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Steward GLK9
-
A. Forrester DEF5
-
J Baird DEF91
-
M Boyes DEF6
2
-
C Diabaté DEF81
1
1
J Holt MID911
4
-
R McAlear MID94
2
-
K Fotheringham MID62
-
J McPake MID97
2
-
J Gullan FWD
-
A. Sidibeh FWD911
1
-
Subs
M Foulds DEF8
1
-
R Tumilty DEF61
2
-
J Svedberg MID5
-
S Stanton MID
-
S Sprangler MID71
1
-
U Ikpeazu FWD71
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8323
D MitchellM McKenzieM RusE Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitchell GLK8
-
D Watret DEF71
1
1
L King DEF2
1
-
K Holt DEF61
-
S McMann DEF811
-
M McKenzie MID83
1
-
B Dempsey MID4
-
K. Ure MID81
1
-
J Murphy MID52
-
E Walker MID821
3
-
M Rus MID72
-
Subs
L. Russell GLK
-
S Want DEF1
1
-
S Bannigan MID3
-
D Thomas MID
-
A Dowds FWD4
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-