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Falkirk v St. Mirren : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 15:00 BST, Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk

St. Mirren, led by manager Stephen Robinson, visit John McGlynn and his Falkirk side at the Falkirk Community Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the Premiership. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Premiership clash.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Falkirk or St. Mirren are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Falkirk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Falkirk
56%
5/6-
Draw
23%
12/5-
St. Mirren
21%
10/3-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Falkirk 1-0
11%
11/2-
Falkirk 2-1
10%
15/2-
Falkirk 2-0
10%
15/2-
Falkirk 3-1
6%
14/1-
Falkirk 3-0
6%
14/1-
St. Mirren 1-0
6%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
8/1-
St. Mirren 2-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Falkirk 3-2
3%
28/1-
St. Mirren 2-0
3%
20/1-
Falkirk 4-1
3%
33/1-
Falkirk 4-0
3%
33/1-
St. Mirren 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
41%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/20-
BTTS - No
46%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1-
Home/draw
79%
1/5-
Away/draw
44%
10/11-
Home/away
77%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/1-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
37%
9/4-
Falkirk win to nil
30%
2/1-
St. Mirren win to nil
10%
6/1-
Falkirk / Falkirk
29%
15/8-
Falkirk / St. Mirren
2%
33/1-
Falkirk / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Falkirk
17%
15/4-
Draw / St. Mirren
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
St. Mirren / Falkirk
4%
22/1-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
12%
6/1-
St. Mirren / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Falkirk have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Falkirk have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Falkirk have played 15 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

St. Mirren are in 10th position in the Premiership on 24 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 4. St. Mirren have conceded 37 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts292863 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
-
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
2
Celtic292258 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
-
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 11
3
Rangers292657 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
-
4
Motherwell292853 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-5A
-
5
Hibernian291346 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-1F
-
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
6
Falkirk29042 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
Mar 21
7
Dundee Utd29-1033 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
2-3F
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
l
 
2-1A
8
Dundee29-1731 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
9
Aberdeen29-1229 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
Mar 14
l
 
0-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
-
10
St. Mirren29-2224 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
Mar 21
-
-
-
-
-
11
Kilmarnock29-2821 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
4-3F
12
Livingston29-2814 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
-
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
1-1F
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
12
St. Mirren have not won in 12 consecutive away league games
Falkirk 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
St. Mirren 10TH
20 league games
Away
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Falkirk since 2015
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
FKK
4
D
2
MIR
1
League games at St. Mirren since 2015
St. Mirren
Falkirk
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
FKK
4
D
2
MIR
1
Goal Statistics

Falkirk's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because St. Mirren have conceded in each of their last 5 Premiership games. A PG of 1.8 for J. McGlynn's side suggests that run should continue.

Falkirk 6th St. Mirren 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Falkirk will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Falkirk have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-12
St. Mirren have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Falkirk
PG (predicted goals)
St. Mirren
1.8
1
Attack rating
20%
better
FKK
MIR
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score10
13
Scored first12
13
Goals scored37
23
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
8%
better
FKK
MIR
view stats
Games conceded21
22
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first15
13
Goals conceded37
45
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%

Falkirk v St. Mirren Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Falkirk Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28479
B SpencerC MillerC MillerB Spencer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Miller MID2947
4
-
B Spencer MID291
9
-
D Tait MID293
7
-
S Bain GLK28
2
-
L Henderson DEF281
2
1
H. Cartwright MID261
4
-
E. Williams FWD2213
1
-
F. Lissah DEF212
6
-
E Ross MID211
3
-
K. Wilson FWD2121
3
-
B Graham FWD214
2
-
L Mccann DEF202
4
-
C Allan DEF201
4
-
A. Agyeman FWD20
-
K. Adams DEF191
3
-
S Arfield MID151
1
-
F. Yeats DEF111
-
L Neilson DEF11
-
R MacIver FWD1031
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD9
-
S Hart DEF7
2
-
C Donaldson DEF51
2
-
A Nesbitt MID4
-
G Oliver MID3
-
N. Hogarth GLK2
1
-
St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
294510
S GeorgeM MandronD JohnA Gogic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S George GLK291
3
-
K Phillips MID293
7
-
M Freckleton DEF2831
7
-
M Mandron FWD2844
3
-
M Fraser  DEF271
4
-
J Richardson DEF26
1
1
R King DEF261
7
1
A Gogic DEF2611
9
1
D John DEF2615
1
-
D N'Lundulu FWD243
2
-
C McMenamin FWD2211
1
-
R Idowu MID21
4
-
J Ayunga FWD182
-
K Baccus MID161
6
-
S Tanser DEF1512
-
M O'Hara MID14
1
-
L Donnelly MID11
1
-
E. Mooney FWD11
-
F Taylor MID9
2
-
M Dijksteel FWD7
-
T Sobowale DEF6
-
J. Calvin FWD5
-
R Mullen GLK1
-