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Heart of Midlothian v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Feb, 15:00 BST, Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Derek McInnes's Heart of Midlothian side are on home soil in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, as Peter Leven's Aberdeen arrive at the Tynecastle Park. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Premiership match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
61%
--
Draw
24%
--
Aberdeen
15%
--
Hearts 1-0
16%
--
Hearts 2-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Hearts 2-1
9%
--
Hearts 3-0
7%
--
Aberdeen 1-0
7%
--
Hearts 3-1
5%
--
Aberdeen 2-1
4%
--
Hearts 4-0
3%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Aberdeen 2-0
2%
--
Hearts 4-1
2%
--
Hearts 3-2
2%
--
Hearts 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Home 1st Goal
58%
--
Away 1st Goal
35%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
39%
--
BTTS - No
61%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
5%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
39%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
78%
--
Away DNB
32%
--
Hearts win to nil
41%
--
Aberdeen win to nil
9%
--
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Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premiership league table. Hearts are unbeaten at home after 13 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Hearts have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Hearts have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Aberdeen are in 7th position in the Premiership on 28 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Aberdeen have conceded 20 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Aberdeen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts262857 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 28
2
Rangers262452 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 15
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
Mar 21
3
Celtic252151 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
-
-
4
Motherwell252044 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 15
5
Hibernian261039 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
-
6
Falkirk26-239 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
Feb 21
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
-
7
Aberdeen24-728 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 28
-
-
-
-
-
8
Dundee Utd24-1025 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 24
9
St. Mirren25-1423 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 4
10
Dundee25-1923 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 21
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
Feb 21
-
11
Kilmarnock26-2320 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
3-0A
12
Livingston26-2811 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-2F
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts1 - 0Hibernian
Hearts2 - 2Celtic
Hearts2 - 0St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 0Livingston
Hearts2 - 1Rangers
Hearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
Hearts1 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts4 - 0Dundee
Hearts3 - 1Celtic
Hearts1 - 0Hibernian
Hearts3 - 0Falkirk
Hearts3 - 3Motherwell
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1St. Johnstone
Hearts3 - 0Motherwell
Hearts0 - 1Dundee
Hearts0 - 1Dundee Utd
Hearts2 - 0Ross County
Hearts3 - 1St. Mirren
Hearts1 - 3Rangers
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHearts1 - 0Hibernian
AHearts0 - 1St. Mirren
AHearts3 - 0Dundee Utd
HHearts2 - 2Celtic
HHearts2 - 0St. Mirren
AHearts1 - 0Dundee
HHearts1 - 0Livingston
AHearts2 - 3Hibernian
HHearts2 - 1Rangers
AHearts2 - 0Falkirk
AHearts2 - 1Celtic
HHearts1 - 1Kilmarnock
AHearts0 - 0Motherwell
AHearts0 - 1Aberdeen
HHearts1 - 1Dundee Utd
HHearts4 - 0Dundee
AHearts2 - 2St. Mirren
HHearts3 - 1Celtic
AHearts3 - 0Kilmarnock
HHearts1 - 0Hibernian
Aberdeen 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock3 - 0Aberdeen
Rangers2 - 0Aberdeen
Falkirk1 - 0Aberdeen
Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
Celtic3 - 1Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 3Aberdeen
Livingston0 - 1Aberdeen
Kilmarnock0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Mirren0 - 1Aberdeen
Motherwell2 - 0Aberdeen
Dundee Utd2 - 0Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 0Aberdeen
Dundee Utd2 - 1Aberdeen
Rangers4 - 0Aberdeen
St. Mirren1 - 0Aberdeen
Ross County0 - 1Aberdeen
St. Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
Celtic5 - 1Aberdeen
Dundee1 - 2Aberdeen
Hibernian2 - 0Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAberdeen0 - 3Kilmarnock
HAberdeen6 - 2Livingston
HAberdeen0 - 2Rangers
AAberdeen0 - 2Rangers
AAberdeen0 - 1Falkirk
AAberdeen0 - 2Hibernian
HAberdeen1 - 1Dundee Utd
AAberdeen1 - 3Celtic
HAberdeen2 - 1Kilmarnock
AAberdeen3 - 1Dundee
HAberdeen3 - 3St. Mirren
AAberdeen1 - 0Livingston
HAberdeen1 - 0Hearts
HAberdeen1 - 1Motherwell
AAberdeen1 - 0Kilmarnock
HAberdeen1 - 2Hibernian
AAberdeen1 - 0St. Mirren
HAberdeen4 - 0Dundee
AAberdeen0 - 2Motherwell
AAberdeen0 - 2Dundee Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
31
15
Games: Scored
17 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
2 / 19
HEA
11
D
5
ABD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Hearts2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts5 - 0
Hearts2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts2 - 1
Hearts2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Aberdeen
0 - 1Aberdeen
Hearts2 - 1
1 - 3Aberdeen
Draw1 - 1Draw
Hearts2 - 1
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Hearts
Goals: Scored
26
11
Games: Scored
13 / 17
7 / 17
Clean sheets
10 / 17
4 / 17
HEA
2
D
3
ABD
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Aberdeen1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Aberdeen3 - 2
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen3 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen3 - 2
Aberdeen2 - 1
Aberdeen2 - 0
Aberdeen2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Aberdeen2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Hearts
Aberdeen1 - 0
1 - 3Hearts
Goal Statistics

Heart of Midlothian's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Aberdeen have conceded in each of their last 11 Premiership matches. A PG of 1.7 for D. McInnes's side suggests that run should continue.

Hearts 1st Aberdeen 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Aberdeen will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-45
Aberdeen have scored 45% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Aberdeen
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
HEA
ABD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
HEA
ABD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Hearts v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261168
S FindlayL ShanklandA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF265
4
-
C. Soares Braga FWD26102
2
-
A Kyziridis FWD2646
5
-
H Milne DEF2416
7
-
O McEntee DEF2313
4
-
T Magnusson MID233
3
-
C Devlin MID221
5
-
M Steinwender DEF21
2
-
C Halkett  DEF214
7
1
L Shankland FWD21112
1
-
A Schwolow GLK20
1
B Baningime  MID16
2
1
S Kingsley DEF141
-
P. Kabore FWD1441
1
-
F Kent DEF13
1
-
B Spittal MID132
-
S. Kerjota FWD131
-
E Kabangu FWD12
-
J McCart DEF11
-
A Forrest FWD10
1
-
Ageu MID6
-
J. Wilson FWD6
-
C Borchgrevink DEF5
1
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
C Gordon  GLK3
-
Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24546
D MitovJ KarlssonS ArmstrongM Knoester
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK24
2
-
M Knoester DEF231
6
-
T Keskinen FWD2332
2
-
N Devlin DEF221
5
1
J Milne DEF22
1
1
G Shinnie MID212
5
1
K Nisbet FWD2131
1
-
S Armstrong MID2014
5
-
A Aouchiche MID203
5
-
M Lazetić FWD2041
4
-
A Jensen DEF19
2
-
D Polvara MID181
1
-
J Karlsson FWD185
2
-
L Clarkson MID13
2
-
N. Milanovic FWD13
1
-
K Bilalovic MID113
-
S Nilsen MID101
2
-
E. Gyamfi DEF91
1
-
A. Dorrington DEF6
-
G Molloy DEF6
1
-
K Kjartansson MID51
1
-
A Palaversa MID51
2
-
K Yengi FWD4
1
-
M. Frame DEF21
-
K Tobers DEF1
1
-