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Kilmarnock v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 20:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock and Heart of Midlothian take on one another at the Rugby Park on Saturday night, with both Stuart Kettlewell and Derek McInnes seeking a win in the Premiership. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Premiership match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Kilmarnock and Hearts will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 22%	17/4	-
Draw 23%	27/10	-
Hearts 55%	8/13	-
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	-
Hearts 1-0 10%	11/2	-
Hearts 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Hearts 2-0 9%	6/1	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 6%	14/1	-
Hearts 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 6%	20/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	-
Hearts 3-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 3%	33/1	-
Hearts 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Hearts 4-1 3%	22/1	-
Hearts 4-0 2%	20/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 42%	2/1	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/9	-
No 1st Goal 3%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 45%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	10/1	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 26%	13/5	-
Home/draw 45%	5/4	-
Away/draw 78%	1/6	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9/1	-
Home DNB 39%	4/1	-
Away DNB 71%	1/6	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 11%	10/1	-
Hearts win to nil 28%	6/4	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 8%	10/1	-
Kilmarnock / Hearts 4%	20/1	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 7%	11/1	-
Draw / Hearts 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Hearts / Kilmarnock 2%	40/1	-
Hearts / Hearts 36%	13/10	-
Hearts / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Kilmarnock have conceded 57 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Hearts lay in 1st place on 63 points in the Premiership league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hearts have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Hearts have played 14 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Hearts
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	29	28	63	l 0-3A	d 1-1A	Mar 14	-	-	-	-	-
2	Rangers	28	26	56	l 0-3A	l 3-1A	-	l 5-1A	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	-	l 4-2F
3	Celtic	27	21	54	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	l 2-3F	-	w 3-1F	w 1-2F	d 2-2A	-
4	Motherwell	28	29	53	l 1-3A	d 2-2F	-	l 4-0A	d 3-3A	d 0-00-0	Apr 11	-
5	Hibernian	29	13	46	l 1-3A	d 2-2A	-	Apr 4	w 1-0F	l 3-2A	w 1-0F	-
6	Falkirk	29	0	42	l 0-1A	l 3-1A	-	l 5-1A	w 3-0F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	-
7	Dundee Utd	28	-11	30	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	-	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	w 2-3F	-	w 0-3F
8	Aberdeen	28	-11	29	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	-	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	-
9	Dundee	28	-18	28	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	Apr 11	-	w 4-0F	w 0-1F	Mar 21	-
10	St. Mirren	28	-21	24	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 4-3A	-	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	-	l 1-0A
11	Kilmarnock	29	-28	21	-	-	-	-	d 1-1F	w 0-3F	-	Mar 14
12	Livingston	29	-28	14	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	Mar 21	-	w 1-0F	w 1-2A	-	Apr 4

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	2 - 4	Rangers

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Falkirk
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Rangers

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rangers	4 - 2	Hearts
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Hearts
Dundee Utd	0 - 3	Hearts
Dundee	0 - 1	Hearts
Hibernian	3 - 2	Hearts
Falkirk	0 - 2	Hearts
Celtic	1 - 2	Hearts
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hearts
St. Mirren	2 - 2	Hearts
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Rangers	0 - 2	Hearts
Livingston	1 - 2	Hearts
Dundee Utd	2 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Ross County	1 - 3	Hearts
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Celtic	3 - 0	Hearts
Hibernian	2 - 1	Hearts
St. Johnstone	1 - 2	Hearts

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hearts	1 - 0	Falkirk
A	Hearts	2 - 4	Rangers
H	Hearts	1 - 0	Hibernian
A	Hearts	0 - 1	St. Mirren
A	Hearts	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Hearts	2 - 2	Celtic
H	Hearts	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Hearts	1 - 0	Dundee
H	Hearts	1 - 0	Livingston
A	Hearts	2 - 3	Hibernian
H	Hearts	2 - 1	Rangers
A	Hearts	2 - 0	Falkirk
A	Hearts	2 - 1	Celtic
H	Hearts	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Hearts	0 - 0	Motherwell
A	Hearts	0 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Hearts	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Hearts	4 - 0	Dundee
A	Hearts	2 - 2	St. Mirren
H	Hearts	3 - 1	Celtic

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock

Hearts

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 17

Clean sheets

7 / 17

KIL

HEA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
	0 - 3	Hearts
	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Hearts
	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Hearts
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Kilmarnock	4 - 2
Kilmarnock	2 - 0

Hearts

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 17

13 / 17

Clean sheets

4 / 17

5 / 17

KIL

HEA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hearts
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hearts	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Hearts	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Hearts	4 - 0
Hearts	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hearts	5 - 0
	0 - 4	Kilmarnock

Goal Statistics

	Kilmarnock 11th	Hearts 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 16% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+6 Hearts’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

better

KIL

HEA

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

KIL

HEA

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Kilmarnock v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	8	4	9
R Deas	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	D Watson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Anderson FWD	28	4	2	2 -
D Thompson DEF	27		1	4 1
R Deas DEF	26	1	1	7 -
B Lyons MID	25	1	1	8 -
D Watson MID	25	3	1	8 1
L Polworth MID	24	1	1	2 -
G Kiltie FWD	24	3	4	3 -
M Dackers FWD	24	2		4 -
L Mayo DEF	20			2 -
T John-Jules FWD	18	8	2	2 -
B. Brannan MID	17	1		2 -
E. Brown DEF	16			1 -
J Brown DEF	15		2	2 -
T Lowery MID	13			2 1
J Thomson MID	13			2 1
S Tiffoney FWD	12	1	1	-
R McKenzie FWD	12			-
G Stanger DEF	11	2		3 1
M Watkins FWD	9	1		-
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
Z Williams DEF	7			-
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
J Brandon DEF	6			1 -
E. Beach GLK	3			-
K Magennis MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	20	4	7
T John-Jules	T John-Jules	G Kiltie	G Kiltie

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T John-Jules FWD	8	20	2	3
B Anderson FWD	4	14	2	1
D Watson MID	3	10	1	2
G Kiltie FWD	3	10	4	7
M Dackers FWD	2	6		3
G Stanger DEF	2	3
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
R Deas DEF	1	5	1	1
B Lyons MID	1	9	1	2
L Polworth MID	1	3	1	3
B. Brannan MID	1	2		3
S Tiffoney FWD	1	3	1	2
M Watkins FWD	1	3
D Thompson DEF		3	1	4
L Mayo DEF		3
E. Brown DEF		3		1
J Brown DEF		1	2	2
R McKenzie FWD				1
Z Williams DEF		1
E. Beach GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
971	48	157
R Deas	D Watson	M Dackers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Deas DEF	971	31	132
B Lyons MID	752	33	127
L Mayo DEF	700	26	74
L Polworth MID	669	37	73
D Thompson DEF	666	34	86
D Watson MID	552	48	125
E. Brown DEF	500	17	67
J Brown DEF	387	31	71
G Kiltie FWD	342	20	76
T John-Jules FWD	330	12	92
M Dackers FWD	329	12	157
T Lowery MID	260	7	18
B Anderson FWD	256	9	62
G Stanger DEF	252	10	37
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
J Thomson MID	196	21	28
B. Brannan MID	187	21	40
Z Williams DEF	145	10	21
R McKenzie FWD	116	7	13
S Tiffoney FWD	114	7	28
J Brandon DEF	109	20	34
E. Beach GLK	87		2
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
M Watkins FWD	44	4	19
K Magennis MID	8	1	2

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	11	7	8
S Findlay	C. Soares Braga	A Kyziridis	H Milne

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Findlay DEF	28	5		4 -
C. Soares Braga FWD	28	11	3	2 -
A Kyziridis FWD	28	4	7	5 -
H Milne DEF	26	1	6	8 -
T Magnusson MID	25	3		3 -
O McEntee DEF	24	1	3	4 -
C Halkett DEF	23	4		7 1
M Steinwender DEF	23		1	2 -
A Schwolow GLK	22			1
C Devlin MID	22	1		5 -
L Shankland FWD	21	11	2	1 -
B Baningime MID	17			2 1
P. Kabore FWD	16	4	1	1 -
S Kingsley DEF	14	1		-
B Spittal MID	14		2	1 -
F Kent DEF	13			1 -
S. Kerjota FWD	13		1	-
J McCart DEF	12			-
E Kabangu FWD	12			-
A Forrest FWD	10			1 -
Ageu MID	7			1 -
J. Wilson FWD	6			-
C Borchgrevink DEF	5			1 -
Z Clark GLK	4			-
C Gordon GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	33	7	13
C. Soares Braga	C. Soares Braga	A Kyziridis	A Kyziridis

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. Soares Braga FWD	11	33	3	5
L Shankland FWD	11	27	2	3
S Findlay DEF	5	10		1
A Kyziridis FWD	4	23	7	13
C Halkett DEF	4	6
P. Kabore FWD	4	9	1	2
T Magnusson MID	3	7		1
H Milne DEF	1	9	6	8
O McEntee DEF	1	5	3	3
C Devlin MID	1	3		1
S Kingsley DEF	1	2		1
M Steinwender DEF		1	1
B Baningime MID		1
B Spittal MID		1	2	1
F Kent DEF		2
S. Kerjota FWD		2	1	1
J McCart DEF				1
E Kabangu FWD				2
A Forrest FWD				2
Ageu MID		3
C Borchgrevink DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1283	98	210
C Devlin	C Devlin	H Milne

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Devlin MID	1283	98	186
S Findlay DEF	1194	23	157
H Milne DEF	1058	60	210
C Halkett DEF	965	25	159
A Kyziridis FWD	747	21	86
O McEntee DEF	645	39	150
A Schwolow GLK	616		7
M Steinwender DEF	598	28	82
L Shankland FWD	579	12	68
C. Soares Braga FWD	565	26	148
B Baningime MID	491	44	76
T Magnusson MID	443	25	94
S Kingsley DEF	390	16	36
F Kent DEF	353	11	51
B Spittal MID	344	7	31
P. Kabore FWD	188	14	75
C Borchgrevink DEF	122	5	22
A Forrest FWD	100	3	11
Z Clark GLK	98		2
J McCart DEF	97	5	20
C Gordon GLK	78		1
S. Kerjota FWD	72	4	11
Ageu MID	39	2	14
E Kabangu FWD	31		7
J. Wilson FWD	16		4

Scottish Premiership match betting previews, predictions and odds

Rangers v Celtic

Sun 1st Mar, 12:00

Dundee Utd v St. Mirren

Tue 3rd Mar, 19:45

Hibernian v Livingston

Kilmarnock v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kilmarnock have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Hearts lay in 1st place on 63 points in the Premiership league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Kilmarnock v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

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