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Kilmarnock v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 17:45 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Heart of Midlothian, led by manager Derek McInnes, visit Stuart Taylor and his Kilmarnock side at the Rugby Park on Saturday evening in the Premiership. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Premiership performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Kilmarnock and Hearts's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Kilmarnock
25%
13/5-
Draw
24%
11/4-
Hearts
50%
5/6-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Hearts 1-0
11%
6/1-
Hearts 2-1
10%
15/2-
Hearts 2-0
9%
8/1-
Kilmarnock 1-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1-
Kilmarnock 2-1
6%
12/1-
Hearts 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Hearts 3-0
5%
14/1-
Kilmarnock 2-0
4%
18/1-
Hearts 3-2
3%
25/1-
Kilmarnock 3-1
2%
28/1-
Hearts 4-1
2%
33/1-
Hearts 4-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/5-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5-
BTTS - No
46%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/1-
Home/draw
50%
10/11-
Away/draw
75%
2/7-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
42%
7/4-
Away DNB
68%
2/5-
Kilmarnock win to nil
13%
11/2-
Hearts win to nil
27%
9/4-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
13%
11/2-
Kilmarnock / Hearts
4%
22/1-
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Kilmarnock
10%
15/2-
Draw / Hearts
17%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Hearts / Kilmarnock
2%
33/1-
Hearts / Hearts
28%
2/1-
Hearts / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premiership table
Won
Draw
Lost
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts71019 
Oct 18
Dec 3
Mar 14
-
-
-
-
-
2
Celtic6714 
l
 
1-2A
Nov 9
Feb 14
-
Oct 26
Dec 6
Jan 25
-
3
Kilmarnock7310 
-
-
-
-
Dec 3
Oct 18
-
Mar 14
4
Dundee Utd719 
Nov 29
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 21
Nov 9
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
5
St. Mirren7-19 
w
 
2-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
Dec 13
Oct 29
-
Feb 4
6
Motherwell628 
Nov 22
d
 
2-2F
-
Jan 24
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
7
Hibernian708 
Jan 3
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 4
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
8
Rangers6-17 
Dec 6
Oct 26
-
Feb 4
Dec 20
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
9
Dundee7-36 
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 30
Apr 11
-
Nov 1
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
10
Livingston8-46 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
11
Falkirk6-55 
Dec 20
Nov 1
-
Feb 28
w
 
3-0F
Dec 30
Feb 21
-
12
Aberdeen6-91 
Oct 29
Dec 14
Jan 31
-
w
 
2-0F
Nov 22
Feb 28
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
5
Hearts have won 5 consecutive away league games
6
Hearts have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Kilmarnock 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Kilmarnock since 2013
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
10 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
6 / 16
KIL
7
D
4
HEA
5
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
23
20
Games: Scored
11 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
5 / 16
KIL
7
D
4
HEA
5
Goal Statistics

Heart of Midlothian have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.6 against Kilmarnock on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Kilmarnock 7th Hearts 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Hearts have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Kilmarnock
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
KIL
HEA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
KIL
HEA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Kilmarnock v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6213
M StryjekD WatsonD ThompsonB Lyons
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stryjek GLK6
-
L Mayo DEF6
1
-
D Thompson DEF61
-
L Polworth MID611
-
D Watson MID621
2
-
B Anderson FWD61
1
-
M Dackers FWD6
2
-
D. Daniels FWD62
1
-
R Deas DEF51
2
-
R McKenzie FWD5
-
G Stanger DEF41
1
B. Brannan MID41
1
-
B Lyons MID41
3
-
G Kiltie FWD41
1
-
J Brandon DEF3
1
-
M Watkins FWD3
-
J Brown DEF2
-
T Lowery MID2
-
Z Williams DEF1
-
J Thomson MID1
-
K Magennis MID1
1
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6433
H MilneL ShanklandA KyziridisH Milne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Milne DEF611
3
-
S Findlay DEF63
2
-
O McEntee DEF6
1
-
C Halkett  DEF61
3
-
C Devlin MID6
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD623
1
-
L Shankland FWD641
-
C. Soares Braga FWD631
1
-
M Steinwender DEF5
-
B Spittal MID51
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
B Baningime  MID4
-
A Forrest FWD4
-
S Kingsley DEF3
-
E Kabangu FWD3
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
S. Kerjota FWD3
-
A Schwolow GLK2
-
T Magnusson MID2
-
J McCart DEF1
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-
Ageu MID1
-
P. Kabore FWD1
-