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Livingston v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 14:00 BST, Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

We’ve Premiership action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as David Martindale and his Livingston side host Derek McInnes’s Heart of Midlothian at the Tony Macaroni Arena. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premiership match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Livingston and Hearts will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
22%
7.00-
Draw
24%
4.00-
Hearts
54%
1.48-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Hearts 1-0
11%
7.00-
Hearts 2-1
10%
8.50-
Hearts 2-0
10%
7.00-
Livingston 1-0
7%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00-
Livingston 2-1
6%
21.00-
Hearts 3-1
6%
12.00-
Hearts 3-0
5%
10.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Livingston 2-0
3%
34.00-
Hearts 3-2
3%
26.00-
Hearts 4-1
2%
23.00-
Hearts 4-0
2%
19.00-
Livingston 3-1
2%
51.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
42%
3.00-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.44-
No 1st Goal
4%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.91-
BTTS - No
47%
1.91-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
12.00-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3.40-
Home/draw
46%
2.63-
Away/draw
78%
1.10-
Home/away
76%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.40-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00-
Home DNB
39%
5.00-
Away DNB
70%
1.17-
Livingston win to nil
11%
11.00-
Hearts win to nil
30%
2.50-
Livingston / Livingston
8%
11.00-
Livingston / Hearts
4%
21.00-
Livingston / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Livingston
6%
13.00-
Draw / Hearts
19%
4.33-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Hearts / Livingston
2%
41.00-
Hearts / Hearts
37%
2.25-
Hearts / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Livingston have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 12 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 61 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Livingston have played 15 games at home, winning 1, drawing 6 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 28 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Hearts lay in 1st place on 66 points in the Premiership league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 6 and losing 5 games. They have scored 53 goals and kept 16 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hearts have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Hearts have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Livingston
Hearts
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts312866 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
-
-
-
-
-
2
Rangers313063 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
l
 
4-2F
3
Celtic302461 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
3-0A
-
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
-
4
Motherwell312654 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
-
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
-
5
Hibernian311348 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
-
6
Falkirk31-143 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
-
7
Dundee Utd30-1034 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
w
 
0-3F
8
Dundee31-1832 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2A
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
-
9
Aberdeen31-1530 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
l
 
6-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
10
St. Mirren31-2227 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
1-0A
11
Kilmarnock31-2527 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
l
 
1-0A
12
Livingston31-3015 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 5
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
3
Hearts have lost 3 consecutive away league games
29
Livingston have not won in 29 consecutive league games
Livingston 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
29
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Draw
8
Lost
12
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Livingston since 2018
Livingston
Hearts
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
3 / 7
LIV
2
D
2
HEA
3
League games at Hearts since 2018
Hearts
Livingston
Goals: Scored
13
4
Games: Scored
7 / 9
3 / 9
Clean sheets
6 / 9
2 / 9
D
4
HEA
5
Goal Statistics
Livingston 12th Hearts 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Livingston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Hearts’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
1
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
LIV
HEA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LIV
HEA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Livingston v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31538
J PriorJ BokilaM TaitC Montano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK31
4
-
D Finlayson DEF291
7
-
S Pittman MID2942
4
-
L Smith MID2841
1
-
M Sylla MID271
4
-
M Tait MID273
7
-
S May FWD272
6
-
D Wilson DEF261
1
-
R Muirhead FWD2643
6
-
J Bokila FWD235
4
1
R McGowan DEF201
4
1
C Montano MID1923
7
1
C McLennan FWD163
6
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID14
2
-
B. Kabongolo DEF102
2
1
E Danso MID91
-
B Fati DEF6
1
-
A Shinnie MID6
-
C Kerr DEF5
-
A Tamm FWD5
-
S Arfield MID4
-
J Zimmerman FWD4
-
J Nouble FWD4
-
B McKay FWD31
-
J. Ikendo Wanner FWD1
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2812710
C. Soares BragaC. Soares BragaA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C. Soares Braga FWD31123
2
-
A Kyziridis FWD3147
5
-
S Findlay DEF285
4
-
H Milne DEF2816
8
-
T Magnusson MID273
3
-
O McEntee DEF2623
4
-
M Steinwender DEF261
2
-
A Schwolow GLK25
1
C Halkett  DEF254
9
1
C Devlin MID231
5
-
L Shankland FWD22112
1
-
B Baningime  MID19
2
1
P. Kabore FWD1942
1
-
B Spittal MID172
2
-
F Kent DEF16
2
1
J McCart DEF15
1
-
S Kingsley DEF141
-
S. Kerjota FWD141
-
E Kabangu FWD13
-
A Forrest FWD11
1
-
J. Altena MID91
-
M Leonard MID912
2
-
Ageu MID7
1
-
I Chesnokov FWD61
1
-
C Borchgrevink DEF5
1
-
C Gordon  GLK3
-
R Mato FWD3
-