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Livingston v St. Mirren : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

It's a long trek for Stephen Robinson's St. Mirren side on Saturday afternoon, as they make their way to the Tony Macaroni Arena for a Premiership tie with David Martindale's Livingston. Premiership stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

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Livingston's next match is v Hibernian at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
St. Mirren's next match is v Rangers at 12:00 on Sunday 15th March
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Livingston and St. Mirren was on Saturday 28th February 2026
Scottish Premiership
February 28th 2026
Livingston 1
1 St. Mirren
 
B. Kabongolo 76'44' D. Nlundulu
 
LIV
MIR
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
7
2
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
11
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
LivingstonSt. Mirren
 
B. Fati
R. McGowan
S. Pittman (M. Sylla 86')
L. Smith (B. McKay 60')
R. Muirhead (J. Nouble 69')
D. Finlayson
J. Prior
B. Kabongolofootball icon
D. Wilson
E. Danso (J. Bokila 60')
M. Tait
S. George
(R. King 90') J. Richardson
S. Tanser
M. O'Hara
(K. Etete 90') M. Mandron
A. Gogić
M. Freckleton
M. Fraser
(L. Donnelly 82') K. Baccus
(J. Young 90') K. Phillips
(R. Idowu 82') football iconD. Nlundulu

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Livingston may feel positive ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might St. Mirren. The bookies see them as well matched and so do we – there's no obvious winner in this tie. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Livingston are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
40%
13/533/1
Draw
24%
5/21/150
St. Mirren
36%
1/125/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/21/4
Livingston 2-1
9%
12/17/1
St. Mirren 2-1
8%
15/211/2
Livingston 1-0
7%
11/15/1
St. Mirren 1-0
7%
7/110/11
Draw 2-2
7%
12/128/1
Livingston 2-0
6%
18/112/1
St. Mirren 2-0
5%
9/17/2
Livingston 3-1
5%
28/150/1
Draw 0-0
4%
10/13/1
St. Mirren 3-1
4%
14/140/1
Livingston 3-2
4%
33/1125/1
St. Mirren 3-2
3%
22/1100/1
Livingston 3-0
3%
40/133/1
St. Mirren 3-0
3%
16/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
10/1119/4
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
10/111/9
Home 1st Goal
49%
13/1017/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/111/1
No 1st Goal
2%
10/13/1
BTTS - Yes
63%
7/1011/5
BTTS - No
37%
21/201/3
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/213/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/22/9
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/15/1
Home/draw
64%
4/51/20
Away/draw
60%
2/71/40
Home/away
76%
2/75/1
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/75/6
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
11/410/11
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/533/1
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/111/200
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
5/160/1
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/201/5
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/13/1
Home DNB
57%
13/823/20
Away DNB
53%
4/98/13
Livingston win to nil
18%
11/2-
St. Mirren win to nil
16%
5/2-
Livingston / Livingston
15%
5/1150/1
Livingston / St. Mirren
4%
22/133/1
Livingston / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Draw / Livingston
11%
7/133/1
Draw / St. Mirren
15%
4/128/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/228/1
St. Mirren / Livingston
3%
28/19/1
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
24%
11/51/3
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
12/117/5
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Livingston have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 10 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 58 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Livingston have played 14 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

St. Mirren lay in 10th place on 23 points in the Premiership league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. St. Mirren have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

St. Mirren have played 13 away games, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Livingston
St. Mirren
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts292863 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
-
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
2
Celtic292258 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
3-0A
-
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 11
3
Rangers292657 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
-
4
Motherwell292853 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-5A
-
5
Hibernian291346 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
Mar 14
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
6
Falkirk29042 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
Mar 21
7
Dundee Utd29-1033 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
l
 
2-1A
8
Dundee29-1731 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2A
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
9
Aberdeen29-1229 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
l
 
6-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
-
10
St. Mirren29-2224 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
-
-
-
11
Kilmarnock29-2821 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 21
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
4-3F
12
Livingston29-2814 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
1-1F
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Livingston 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Draw
7
Lost
13
St. Mirren 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Livingston have not lost to St. Mirren in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Livingston since 2015
Livingston
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
20
20
Games: Scored
12 / 15
14 / 15
Clean sheets
1 / 15
3 / 15
LIV
5
D
4
MIR
6
League games at St. Mirren since 2015
St. Mirren
Livingston
Goals: Scored
19
14
Games: Scored
12 / 15
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
3 / 15
LIV
2
D
6
MIR
7
Goal Statistics

St. Mirren's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Livingston have conceded in each of their last 23 Premiership outings. A PG of 1.5 for S. Robinson's side suggests that run should continue.

Livingston 12th St. Mirren 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Livingston will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that St. Mirren will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Livingston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+4
St. Mirren’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
St. Mirren
1.6
1.5
Attack rating
19%
better
LIV
MIR
view stats
Games scored20
14
Failed to score8
13
Scored first8
12
Goals scored30
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
LIV
MIR
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
20
Clean sheets1
7
Conceded first19
12
Goals conceded58
42
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+32%

Livingston v St. Mirren Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29537
J PriorJ BokilaM TaitD Finlayson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK29
3
-
B. Kabongolo DEF82
1
-
D Wilson DEF241
1
-
R McGowan DEF201
4
1
D Finlayson MID271
7
-
M Tait MID253
7
-
E Danso MID71
-
B Fati MID5
1
-
L Smith FWD2641
1
-
R Muirhead FWD2443
6
-
S Pittman FWD2742
4
-
Subs
J Smith GLK
-
C Kerr DEF3
-
B McKay MID11
-
M Sylla MID251
4
-
S Arfield MID3
-
J. Ikendo Wanner FWD1
-
J Nouble FWD2
-
S May FWD262
6
-
J Bokila FWD225
4
1
St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
294410
S GeorgeM MandronM MandronA Gogic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S George GLK291
3
-
M Fraser  DEF271
4
-
A Gogic DEF2611
9
1
M Freckleton DEF2831
7
-
J Richardson MID26
1
1
K Phillips MID293
7
-
K Baccus MID161
6
-
M O'Hara MID14
1
-
S Tanser MID1512
-
D N'Lundulu FWD243
2
-
M Mandron FWD2844
3
-
Subs
R Mullen GLK1
-
R King DEF261
7
1
L Donnelly MID11
1
-
R Idowu MID21
4
-
J. Devaney MID4
-
A Campbell MID3
-
J. Calvin FWD5
-
J Young FWD61
1
K Etete FWD4
-