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Motherwell v Falkirk : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 15:00 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

John McGlynn guides his Falkirk team to the Fir Park in the Premiership on Saturday afternoon, with Jens Berthel Askou's Motherwell their challengers. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Motherwell and Falkirk go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in terms of who could claim victory. The statistics do not provide any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 2.00 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 56%	8/11 4%	3/4
Draw 27%	13/5	11/4
Falkirk 17%	15/4 13%	17/5
Motherwell 1-0 17%	6/1 7%	11/2
Motherwell 2-0 13%	7/1 11%	13/2
Draw 0-0 12%	10/1 8%	17/2
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2
Motherwell 2-1 8%	15/2	13/2
Falkirk 1-0 8%	12/1	10/1
Motherwell 3-0 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Motherwell 3-1 4%	14/1	11/1
Falkirk 2-1 4%	14/1 15%	12/1
Draw 2-2 3%	14/1	12/1
Falkirk 2-0 3%	22/1 10%	16/1
Motherwell 4-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Motherwell 4-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Motherwell 3-2 1%	25/1 13%	20/1
Falkirk 3-1 1%	40/1 21%	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	10/11 6%	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	10/11 5%	17/20
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/7 3%	4/7
Away 1st Goal 36%	8/5 8%	17/10
No 1st Goal 8%	10/1 8%	17/2
BTTS - Yes 37%	4/5 3%	5/6
BTTS - No 63%	19/20 3%	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 17%	11/4	13/5
BTTS - Draw 15%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 6%	8/1 20%	13/2
Home/draw 83%	2/11 3%	1/5
Away/draw 44%	21/20 5%	1/1
Home/away 73%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	2/7 3%	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	11/4 6%	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	12/5 6%	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/3 2%	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	5/1 9%	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/8 1%	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	12/1 18%	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/25 1%	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/20 1%	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	10/1 8%	17/2
Home DNB 75%	2/7 5%	3/10
Away DNB 36%	5/2 17%	11/5
Motherwell win to nil 39%	2/1 8%	-
Falkirk win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 30%	7/4 5%	13/8
Motherwell / Falkirk 3%	33/1	28/1
Motherwell / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	12/1
Draw / Motherwell 18%	7/2 5%	18/5
Draw / Falkirk 9%	17/2 6%	8/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Falkirk / Motherwell 4%	20/1	18/1
Falkirk / Falkirk 11%	7/1 14%	11/2
Falkirk / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Motherwell have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Motherwell have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Motherwell have played 16 games at home winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 12 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Falkirk are in 6th position in the Premiership on 43 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Falkirk have conceded 21 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motherwell Falkirk
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	31	28	66	d 0-00-0	d 3-3F	-	Apr 11	l 0-2A	l 3-0A	-	l 1-0A
2	Rangers	31	30	63	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	-	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 12	-
3	Celtic	31	22	61	w 2-0F	l 3-2A	-	l 3-1F	l 0-1A	l 4-0A	-	l 2-0A
4	Motherwell	31	26	54	-	-	-	-	d 0-00-0	w 1-2A	-	Apr 4
5	Hibernian	31	13	48	w 2-0F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	-	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	w 4-1F	-
6	Falkirk	31	-1	43	l 1-2F	d 0-00-0	Apr 4	-	-	-	-	-
7	Dundee Utd	31	-8	37	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	-	d 2-2A	w 0-3F	l 2-3F	-
8	Dundee	31	-18	32	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	-	l 2-1A	w 2-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	-
9	Aberdeen	31	-15	30	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	-	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	-	d 1-1A
10	St. Mirren	31	-22	27	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	-	w 0-5F	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	l 1-2F	-
11	Kilmarnock	31	-25	27	d 2-2A	w 1-3F	w 4-0F	-	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	w 5-1F	-
12	Livingston	31	-30	15	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	-	w 0-2F	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	-	w 1-2F

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee
Motherwell	3 - 0	Livingston
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	1 - 2	Falkirk
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	5 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Livingston
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	Falkirk
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	3 - 1	Kilmarnock

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Falkirk
Hearts	1 - 0	Falkirk
Livingston	1 - 2	Falkirk
Celtic	2 - 0	Falkirk
St. Mirren	0 - 2	Falkirk
Dundee	1 - 0	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Hibernian	3 - 0	Falkirk
Rangers	0 - 0	Falkirk
Dundee Utd	0 - 3	Falkirk
Celtic	4 - 0	Falkirk
Motherwell	1 - 2	Falkirk
Hearts	3 - 0	Falkirk
Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
Livingston	3 - 1	Falkirk
Partick	2 - 1	Falkirk
Ayr United	1 - 1	Falkirk
Livingston	1 - 0	Falkirk
Queen's Park	0 - 4	Falkirk
Airdrieonians	0 - 3	Falkirk

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Falkirk	1 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Falkirk	1 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Falkirk	5 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Falkirk	0 - 1	Hearts
H	Falkirk	2 - 3	Dundee Utd
H	Falkirk	1 - 0	Dundee
A	Falkirk	2 - 1	Livingston
A	Falkirk	0 - 2	Celtic
H	Falkirk	4 - 1	Hibernian
H	Falkirk	0 - 1	Celtic
A	Falkirk	2 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Falkirk	1 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Falkirk	0 - 1	Dundee
A	Falkirk	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
H	Falkirk	0 - 2	Hearts
A	Falkirk	0 - 3	Hibernian
H	Falkirk	0 - 0	Motherwell
A	Falkirk	0 - 0	Rangers
A	Falkirk	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Falkirk	1 - 1	Livingston

Goal Statistics

Motherwell have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Premiership games. Their PG of 1.5 against Falkirk on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Motherwell 4th	Falkirk 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals	0 51% 1 34% 2 11% 3 4+ There is a 51% probability that Falkirk will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Motherwell’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-11 Falkirk have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

20%

better

MTW

FKK

view stats

Games scored	25		21
Failed to score	6		10
Scored first	18		13
Goals scored	49		39
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		14
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+20%

37%

better

MTW

FKK

view stats

Games conceded	14		23
Clean sheets	17		8
Conceded first	8		16
Goals conceded	23		40
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+37%

Motherwell v Falkirk Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	16	8	6
C Ward	T Maswanhise	C Slattery	E Watt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ward GLK	31			1 -
I Said FWD	31	3		4 -
P McGinn DEF	29			3 -
E Longelo DEF	29	5	4	3 1
S O'Donnell DEF	28		1	1 -
L Fadinger MID	28	1	1	2 1
T Maswanhise FWD	28	16	2	1 -
E Just FWD	28	7	6	2 -
E Watt MID	27	4	3	6 -
C Slattery MID	26	3	8	5 -
O. Priestman MID	23			1 -
J. Koutroumbis DEF	22	1		1 -
T Sparrow MID	22		2	1 -
S Welsh DEF	21	1	1	2 -
R Charles-Cook FWD	19		1	1 -
C Hendry FWD	15			3 -
L Gordon DEF	13			3 -
E Bjørgolfsson FWD	9	1	2	1 -
L Ross FWD	8			-
S Nicholson MID	6			-
J McGhee DEF	4			-
A Halliday MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	36	8	11
T Maswanhise	T Maswanhise	C Slattery	E Just

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Maswanhise FWD	16	36	2	3
E Just FWD	7	22	6	11
E Longelo DEF	5	11	4	8
E Watt MID	4	5	3	4
I Said FWD	3	8		6
C Slattery MID	3	23	8	8
L Fadinger MID	1	10	1	1
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1	3
S Welsh DEF	1	1	1	2
E Bjørgolfsson FWD	1	4	2	2
C Ward GLK				1
P McGinn DEF		3		2
S O'Donnell DEF		1	1	1
O. Priestman MID		1		1
T Sparrow MID		2	2	1
R Charles-Cook FWD		3	1	2
C Hendry FWD		11		1
L Gordon DEF		1		2
J McGhee DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2256	64	151
E Watt	L Fadinger	E Just

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Watt MID	2256	56	127
P McGinn DEF	1901	43	141
C Ward GLK	1502	2	17
L Fadinger MID	1428	64	146
S O'Donnell DEF	1333	21	57
S Welsh DEF	1324	19	97
C Slattery MID	1065	29	134
E Longelo DEF	944	31	93
E Just FWD	930	46	151
J. Koutroumbis DEF	788	24	77
I Said FWD	713	27	112
O. Priestman MID	654	15	42
L Gordon DEF	590	5	26
T Sparrow MID	575	29	47
T Maswanhise FWD	347	23	111
R Charles-Cook FWD	274	8	51
C Hendry FWD	208	6	42
S Nicholson MID	48	2	10
E Bjørgolfsson FWD	35	2	17
L Ross FWD	22		4
J McGhee DEF	13		2
A Halliday MID	1

Falkirk Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	7	7	9
B Spencer	B. Stewart	C Miller	B Spencer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Miller MID	31	4	7	4 -
B Spencer MID	31		1	9 -
D Tait MID	31	3	1	7 -
S Bain GLK	30			2 -
L Henderson DEF	29	1		2 1
H. Cartwright MID	28	1		4 -
F. Lissah DEF	23	2		6 -
E Ross MID	23	1	1	3 -
B Graham FWD	23	4		2 -
E. Williams FWD	23	1	3	1 -
L Mccann DEF	22		2	5 -
K. Wilson FWD	21	2	1	3 -
C Allan DEF	20	1		4 -
K. Adams DEF	19		1	3 -
F. Yeats MID	13	1		-
L Neilson DEF	12			-
B. Stewart FWD	12	7	2	1 -
R MacIver FWD	10	3	1	-
S Hart DEF	7			2 -
C Donaldson DEF	7		1	2 -
B. Broggio FWD	7	2	1	-
L Marsh FWD	7	1	2	1 -
G Oliver MID	4			-
N. Hogarth GLK	2			1 -
B. Parkinson FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	15	7	12
B. Stewart	C Miller	C Miller	C Miller

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B. Stewart FWD	7	14	2	2
C Miller MID	4	15	7	12
B Graham FWD	4	12
D Tait MID	3	9	1	3
R MacIver FWD	3	11	1	2
F. Lissah DEF	2	7		3
K. Wilson FWD	2	8	1	2
B. Broggio FWD	2	3	1	3
L Henderson DEF	1	5		1
H. Cartwright MID	1	2
E Ross MID	1	4	1	2
E. Williams FWD	1	7	3	4
C Allan DEF	1	2
F. Yeats MID	1	4		2
L Marsh FWD	1	2	2	3
B Spencer MID		6	1	5
L Mccann DEF			2	4
K. Adams DEF		1	1	1
C Donaldson DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1604	65	193
B Spencer	F. Lissah	L Henderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Spencer MID	1604	64	161
L Henderson DEF	1502	32	193
D Tait MID	1191	43	143
S Bain GLK	1183	3	16
F. Lissah DEF	871	65	184
C Allan DEF	803	36	78
L Mccann DEF	801	49	101
K. Adams DEF	639	49	96
C Miller MID	612	29	101
L Neilson DEF	459	6	33
H. Cartwright MID	410	28	59
K. Wilson FWD	297	45	88
E. Williams FWD	294	16	43
F. Yeats MID	258	23	47
E Ross MID	179	16	42
B. Stewart FWD	174	9	59
B Graham FWD	168	6	59
C Donaldson DEF	167	7	31
B. Broggio FWD	152	6	19
R MacIver FWD	141	6	55
L Marsh FWD	116	4	14
S Hart DEF	75	13	28
N. Hogarth GLK	49		1
G Oliver MID	24	1	1
B. Parkinson FWD	7

Scottish Premiership match betting previews, predictions and odds

St. Mirren v Aberdeen

Sat 4th Apr, 15:00

Hibernian v Kilmarnock

Motherwell v Falkirk : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Motherwell have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Falkirk are in 6th position in the Premiership on 43 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Motherwell v Falkirk Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

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