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Motherwell v Falkirk : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 15:00 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

The Premiership is the focus for both Motherwell and Falkirk on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Jens Berthel Askou and John McGlynn face one another at the Fir Park. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Premiership match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% probability of Motherwell and Falkirk scoring at least 2 goals in this Premiership tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 53%	8/11	-
Draw 23%	3/1	-
Falkirk 24%	11/4	-
Draw 1-1 11%	7/1	-
Motherwell 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Motherwell 1-0 9%	15/2	-
Motherwell 2-0 8%	17/2	-
Falkirk 2-1 6%	12/1	-
Motherwell 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Falkirk 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Motherwell 3-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Motherwell 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Falkirk 2-0 3%	20/1	-
Motherwell 4-1 3%	25/1	-
Falkirk 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Motherwell 4-0 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	4/6	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	6/5	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/8	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 42%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	12/5	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	11/2	-
Home/draw 76%	2/9	-
Away/draw 47%	10/11	-
Home/away 77%	1/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 69%	4/11	-
Away DNB 40%	2/1	-
Motherwell win to nil 26%	12/5	-
Falkirk win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 30%	7/4	-
Motherwell / Falkirk 3%	28/1	-
Motherwell / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Motherwell 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Falkirk 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Falkirk / Motherwell 4%	20/1	-
Falkirk / Falkirk 12%	6/1	-
Falkirk / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motherwell Falkirk
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	7	10	19	Nov 29	d 3-3F	-	Apr 11	Dec 30	l 3-0A	-	Feb 21
2	Celtic	6	7	14	Dec 30	Oct 5	-	Mar 14	Dec 14	Oct 29	-	Feb 1
3	Kilmarnock	7	3	10	d 2-2A	Nov 22	Jan 24	-	Nov 1	Dec 20	Feb 28	-
4	Dundee Utd	7	1	9	Oct 29	Dec 13	Feb 28	-	d 2-2A	Nov 22	Feb 14	-
5	St. Mirren	7	-1	9	Jan 3	d 0-00-0	-	Feb 21	l 1-2A	Jan 10	Mar 21	-
6	Motherwell	6	2	8	-	-	-	-	Dec 3	Oct 18	-	Apr 4
7	Hibernian	7	0	8	Nov 1	Jan 10	Mar 21	-	d 2-2A	Dec 6	Jan 24	-
8	Rangers	6	-1	7	d 1-1A	Dec 27	Feb 11	-	Oct 5	Nov 30	Apr 11	-
9	Dundee	7	-3	6	Dec 20	d 1-1F	-	Feb 4	Oct 25	Dec 27	Feb 11	-
10	Livingston	8	-4	6	Dec 6	Oct 25	-	Jan 31	Nov 8	l 3-1A	-	Feb 4
11	Falkirk	6	-5	5	Oct 18	Dec 3	Apr 4	-	-	-	-	-
12	Aberdeen	6	-9	1	w 2-0F	Nov 9	Feb 14	-	Jan 3	w 0-1F	-	Mar 14

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Motherwell have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	0 - 3	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 2	Rangers
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	4 - 3	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee
Motherwell	2 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	3 - 1	Hearts

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Ross County
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 4	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Motherwell	0 - 3	Ross County
H	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts	3 - 0	Falkirk
Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
Livingston	3 - 1	Falkirk
Partick	2 - 1	Falkirk
Ayr United	1 - 1	Falkirk
Livingston	1 - 0	Falkirk
Queen's Park	0 - 4	Falkirk
Airdrieonians	0 - 3	Falkirk
Hamilton	2 - 2	Falkirk
Greenock	0 - 2	Falkirk
Raith Rovers	0 - 2	Falkirk
Dunfermline	3 - 3	Falkirk
Ayr United	5 - 2	Falkirk
Queen's Park	0 - 1	Falkirk
Livingston	1 - 0	Falkirk
Hamilton	1 - 3	Falkirk
Partick	1 - 1	Falkirk
Raith Rovers	1 - 0	Falkirk
Airdrieonians	0 - 2	Falkirk
Greenock	2 - 3	Falkirk

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Falkirk	0 - 3	Hearts
H	Falkirk	2 - 2	Hibernian
H	Falkirk	1 - 2	St. Mirren
A	Falkirk	1 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Falkirk	1 - 3	Livingston
H	Falkirk	2 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Falkirk	3 - 1	Hamilton
A	Falkirk	1 - 2	Partick
H	Falkirk	1 - 3	Raith Rovers
A	Falkirk	1 - 1	Ayr United
H	Falkirk	5 - 0	Greenock
A	Falkirk	0 - 1	Livingston
H	Falkirk	2 - 0	Airdrieonians
A	Falkirk	4 - 0	Queen's Park
H	Falkirk	1 - 0	Dunfermline
A	Falkirk	3 - 0	Airdrieonians
A	Falkirk	2 - 2	Hamilton
A	Falkirk	2 - 0	Greenock
H	Falkirk	2 - 2	Ayr United
H	Falkirk	5 - 2	Partick

Goal Statistics

	Motherwell 4th	Falkirk 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Falkirk will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Motherwell have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	+9 Falkirk’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

better

MTW

FKK

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

MTW

FKK

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Motherwell v Falkirk Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	3	2
C Ward	E Longelo	E Just	E Watt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ward GLK	6			-
E Longelo DEF	6	3	1	1 -
S O'Donnell DEF	6			-
E Watt MID	6		1	2 -
L Fadinger MID	6			-
I Said FWD	6			-
T Maswanhise FWD	6	3		-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	6	1	1	-
K Balmer DEF	5			-
J. Koutroumbis DEF	5	1		-
E Just FWD	5		3	-
L Gordon DEF	4			1 -
P McGinn DEF	4			1 -
C Slattery MID	3	1		1 -
R Charles-Cook FWD	3			-
D Osong FWD	3			-
S Welsh DEF	2			-
A Halliday MID	2			-
T Sparrow MID	2			-
O. Priestman MID	2			-
C Hendry FWD	2			1 -
L Ross FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	3	4
E Longelo	E Longelo	E Just	E Just

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Longelo DEF	3	4	1	3
T Maswanhise FWD	3	4
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	1	4	1
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1	1
C Slattery MID	1	2		2
S O'Donnell DEF		1
E Watt MID			1
L Fadinger MID		2
I Said FWD		3		2
E Just FWD			3	4
L Gordon DEF		1		1
P McGinn DEF		1
T Sparrow MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
554	12	32
E Watt	L Fadinger	E Longelo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Watt MID	554	11	29
L Fadinger MID	359	12	30
S O'Donnell DEF	297	7	15
C Ward GLK	294	1	7
L Gordon DEF	264		8
E Longelo DEF	245	10	32
P McGinn DEF	239	7	23
S Welsh DEF	161	1	5
E Just FWD	157	6	28
J. Koutroumbis DEF	138	3	12
I Said FWD	127	2	12
C Slattery MID	109	4	15
T Maswanhise FWD	78	7	31
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	77	2	26
R Charles-Cook FWD	69	2	7
K Balmer DEF	61	2	4
T Sparrow MID	40	1	3
O. Priestman MID	28	2	2
C Hendry FWD	12	1	4
D Osong FWD	6		2
L Ross FWD	2		1
A Halliday MID	1

Falkirk Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	3
S Bain	R MacIver	E. Williams	B Spencer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Bain GLK	6			-
L Henderson DEF	6	1		2 -
L Mccann DEF	6		1	1 -
K. Adams DEF	6		1	1 -
C Miller MID	6		1	1 -
B Spencer MID	6		1	3 -
D Tait MID	6	1		1 -
S Arfield MID	6			-
H. Cartwright MID	6			1 -
R MacIver FWD	6	2		-
A. Agyeman FWD	6			-
L Neilson DEF	5			-
B Graham FWD	4	1		1 -
E. Williams FWD	3		2	-
T. Ogunsugi FWD	3			-
G Oliver MID	2			-
A Nesbitt MID	2			-
E Ross MID	2	1		-
N. Hogarth GLK	1			-
S Hart DEF	1			-
F. Lissah DEF	1			-
C Allan DEF	1			1 -
K. Wilson FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	2	3
R MacIver	R MacIver	E. Williams	B Spencer

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R MacIver FWD	2	7		1
L Henderson DEF	1	2
D Tait MID	1	3		1
B Graham FWD	1	2
E Ross MID	1	1		1
K. Wilson FWD	1	1
L Mccann DEF			1	2
K. Adams DEF			1	1
C Miller MID		2	1	1
B Spencer MID		4	1	3
S Arfield MID		2
A. Agyeman FWD		2
E. Williams FWD		1	2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
404	13	50
B Spencer	K. Adams	L Henderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Spencer MID	404	13	32
L Henderson DEF	340	8	50
L Neilson DEF	253	4	19
D Tait MID	237	7	29
S Bain GLK	220		8
K. Adams DEF	207	13	28
L Mccann DEF	189	11	26
H. Cartwright MID	154	10	21
C Miller MID	120	8	26
R MacIver FWD	89	4	37
S Arfield MID	89	4	9
E. Williams FWD	46		4
A. Agyeman FWD	42	5	17
F. Lissah DEF	36	1	1
A Nesbitt MID	32	1	5
B Graham FWD	27	2	11
E Ross MID	27	1	5
S Hart DEF	23	4	7
G Oliver MID	19	1	1
T. Ogunsugi FWD	8	1	4
K. Wilson FWD	7
N. Hogarth GLK	5
C Allan DEF	5	1	2