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Motherwell v Hibernian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 15:00 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

The Premiership is the focus for both Motherwell and Hibernian on Saturday afternoon, as managers Jens Berthel Askou and David Gray face one another at the Fir Park. Analysing both sides' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Motherwell and Hibernian will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 57%	5/6	-
Draw 23%	13/5	-
Hibernian 19%	3/1	-
Motherwell 1-0 12%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Motherwell 2-0 11%	8/1	-
Motherwell 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1	-
Hibernian 1-0 6%	11/1	-
Motherwell 3-0 6%	14/1	-
Motherwell 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Hibernian 2-1 5%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	-
Hibernian 2-0 3%	20/1	-
Motherwell 4-0 3%	33/1	-
Motherwell 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Motherwell 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Hibernian 3-1 1%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 51%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	13/2	-
Home/draw 81%	2/9	-
Away/draw 43%	10/11	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Home DNB 74%	4/11	-
Away DNB 36%	2/1	-
Motherwell win to nil 34%	9/4	-
Hibernian win to nil 10%	6/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 29%	15/8	-
Motherwell / Hibernian 2%	33/1	-
Motherwell / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Motherwell 17%	15/4	-
Draw / Hibernian 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Hibernian / Motherwell 4%	22/1	-
Hibernian / Hibernian 12%	6/1	-
Hibernian / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Motherwell have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 7 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Both Motherwell and Hibernian have scored 48 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Motherwell have played 15 games at home winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 11 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Hibernian are in 5th position in the Premiership on 46 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Hibernian have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Motherwell Hibernian
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	29	28	63	d 0-00-0	d 3-3F	-	Apr 11	w 3-2F	l 1-0A	-	l 1-0A
2	Celtic	29	22	58	w 2-0F	l 3-2A	-	Mar 14	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0	-	w 1-2F
3	Rangers	29	26	57	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	-	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	-
4	Motherwell	29	28	53	-	-	-	-	d 1-1A	l 2-0A	-	Mar 21
5	Hibernian	29	13	46	w 2-0F	d 1-1F	Mar 21	-	-	-	-	-
6	Falkirk	29	0	42	l 1-2F	d 0-00-0	Apr 4	-	w 3-0F	d 2-2F	-	l 4-1A
7	Dundee Utd	29	-10	33	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	-	d 3-3A	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	-
8	Dundee	29	-17	31	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	-	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	-	d 3-3F
9	Aberdeen	29	-12	29	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	-	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	-	Apr 11
10	St. Mirren	29	-22	24	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	-	w 0-5F	d 1-1A	w 0-3F	w 2-0F	-
11	Kilmarnock	29	-28	21	d 2-2A	w 1-3F	w 4-0F	-	d 2-2F	w 1-3F	Apr 4	-
12	Livingston	29	-28	14	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	-	w 0-2F	w 4-0F	d 2-2F	Mar 14	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Motherwell have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee
Motherwell	3 - 0	Livingston
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	1 - 2	Falkirk
Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	5 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Motherwell	4 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Celtic
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	1 - 0	Dundee
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Livingston
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	Falkirk
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	3 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee	3 - 3	Hibernian
Celtic	1 - 2	Hibernian
Hearts	1 - 0	Hibernian
Falkirk	4 - 1	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Hibernian
Rangers	1 - 0	Hibernian
Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
St. Mirren	0 - 3	Hibernian
Livingston	2 - 2	Hibernian
Aberdeen	1 - 2	Hibernian
Hearts	1 - 0	Hibernian
Celtic	0 - 0	Hibernian
Falkirk	2 - 2	Hibernian
Dundee	1 - 2	Hibernian
St. Mirren	2 - 2	Hibernian
Celtic	3 - 1	Hibernian
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hibernian
Rangers	0 - 2	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Hibernian	3 - 3	Dundee
A	Hibernian	2 - 1	Celtic
H	Hibernian	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Hibernian	0 - 1	Hearts
H	Hibernian	3 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Hibernian	0 - 0	Rangers
A	Hibernian	1 - 4	Falkirk
H	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
A	Hibernian	3 - 1	Kilmarnock
H	Hibernian	2 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Hibernian	3 - 2	Hearts
A	Hibernian	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
A	Hibernian	0 - 1	Rangers
H	Hibernian	3 - 0	Falkirk
H	Hibernian	1 - 2	Celtic
A	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
H	Hibernian	2 - 0	Dundee
A	Hibernian	3 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Hibernian	2 - 2	Livingston
H	Hibernian	0 - 1	Rangers

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Motherwell

Hibernian

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

MTW

HIB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell	2 - 0
	0 - 3	Hibernian
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Hibernian
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Hibernian
	0 - 3	Hibernian
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 0
Motherwell	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Hibernian

Hibernian

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 17

12 / 17

Clean sheets

5 / 17

3 / 17

MTW

HIB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hibernian
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Hibernian	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Motherwell
Hibernian	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Motherwell
Hibernian	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Hibernian	3 - 1
Hibernian	2 - 0
Hibernian	3 - 0
Hibernian	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Motherwell

Goal Statistics

Motherwell have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Premiership outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Hibernian on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

With a PG of just 0.9, Hibernian look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Motherwell haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Premiership matches, and it could be a long afternoon for D. Gray's men.

	Motherwell 4th	Hibernian 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Hibernian scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+17 Motherwell have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted	+5 Hibernian’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

better

MTW

HIB

view stats

Games scored	24		22
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	17		16
Goals scored	48		48
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.7
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		16
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+7%

33%

better

MTW

HIB

view stats

Games conceded	13		21
Clean sheets	16		8
Conceded first	8		11
Goals conceded	20		35
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		7
Conversion rate against	9%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+33%

Motherwell v Hibernian Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	16	7	5
C Ward	T Maswanhise	C Slattery	E Watt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ward GLK	29			-
I Said FWD	29	3		4 -
E Longelo DEF	28	5	4	3 -
P McGinn DEF	27			3 -
S O'Donnell DEF	26		1	1 -
L Fadinger MID	26	1	1	2 1
T Maswanhise FWD	26	16	2	1 -
E Just FWD	26	6	6	1 -
E Watt MID	25	4	3	5 -
C Slattery MID	24	3	7	5 -
J. Koutroumbis DEF	22	1		1 -
O. Priestman MID	21			1 -
S Welsh DEF	20	1	1	2 -
T Sparrow MID	20		2	-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	19	6	2	1 -
R Charles-Cook FWD	19		1	1 -
C Hendry FWD	15			3 -
L Gordon DEF	13			3 -
D Osong FWD	8			-
L Ross FWD	7			-
K Balmer DEF	5			-
S Nicholson MID	5			-
J McGhee DEF	2			-
A Halliday MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	35	7	11
T Maswanhise	T Maswanhise	C Slattery	E Just

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Maswanhise FWD	16	35	2	3
E Just FWD	6	20	6	11
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	6	12	2
E Longelo DEF	5	11	4	8
E Watt MID	4	4	3	4
I Said FWD	3	7		6
C Slattery MID	3	23	7	8
L Fadinger MID	1	10	1
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1	3
S Welsh DEF	1	1	1	2
C Ward GLK				1
P McGinn DEF		3		2
S O'Donnell DEF		1	1	1
O. Priestman MID		1		1
T Sparrow MID		2	2	1
R Charles-Cook FWD		3	1	2
C Hendry FWD		11		1
L Gordon DEF		1		2
D Osong FWD		1
J McGhee DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2066	62	141
E Watt	L Fadinger	L Fadinger

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Watt MID	2066	50	115
P McGinn DEF	1769	39	130
C Ward GLK	1401	2	17
L Fadinger MID	1345	62	141
S Welsh DEF	1251	20	94
S O'Donnell DEF	1200	17	51
C Slattery MID	951	26	126
E Longelo DEF	911	28	90
E Just FWD	861	43	135
J. Koutroumbis DEF	788	24	77
I Said FWD	680	26	109
O. Priestman MID	597	13	37
L Gordon DEF	590	5	26
T Sparrow MID	498	24	42
T Maswanhise FWD	336	21	108
R Charles-Cook FWD	274	8	51
C Hendry FWD	208	6	42
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	157	7	58
K Balmer DEF	61	2	4
S Nicholson MID	40	1	9
L Ross FWD	20		4
D Osong FWD	15	1	5
J McGhee DEF	5
A Halliday MID	1

Hibernian Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	8	5	6
J Iredale	J McGrath	J Mulligan	J Mulligan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Iredale DEF	28			4 -
J McGrath MID	27	8	3	4 -
M Boyle FWD	27	6	1	1 -
D Barlaser MID	26		3	1 -
R Sallinger GLK	25			2 -
J Mulligan MID	22	1	5	6 -
K Bowie FWD	22	8	3	2 -
W O'Hora DEF	20			1 -
R Bushiri DEF	20	3		5 -
J Campbell MID	20	1	3	2 -
G Hanley DEF	19			2 1
C Cadden DEF	19	1	2	1 -
M Chaiwa MID	19	1		4 -
N Cadden MID	19		5	1 -
T Klidjé FWD	19	3	1	1 -
J Obita DEF	18		2	4 -
Élie Youan FWD	17	4	1	2 -
J Hoilett FWD	14	3	1	-
D Levitt MID	12			-
K Megwa DEF	10			1 -
J Newell MID	7			1 -
J Smith GLK	4			-
R. Molotnikov MID	3			-
Z Mitchell DEF	2		1	-
A Manneh MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	5	8
J McGrath	K Bowie	J Mulligan	N Cadden

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J McGrath MID	8	19	3	6
K Bowie FWD	8	22	3	3
M Boyle FWD	6	19	1	5
Élie Youan FWD	4	10	1	1
R Bushiri DEF	3	5
T Klidjé FWD	3	13	1
J Hoilett FWD	3	9	1	2
J Mulligan MID	1	6	5	3
J Campbell MID	1	5	3	5
C Cadden DEF	1	4	2	1
M Chaiwa MID	1	4		1
J Iredale DEF		1		2
D Barlaser MID		1	3	2
W O'Hora DEF		1		2
G Hanley DEF		7
N Cadden MID		4	5	8
J Obita DEF			2	4
K Megwa DEF		4
J Newell MID		1		1
R. Molotnikov MID		2
Z Mitchell DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1300	48	144
J Iredale	J Iredale	J McGrath

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Iredale DEF	1300	48	106
D Barlaser MID	1194	30	69
R Bushiri DEF	960	19	100
G Hanley DEF	921	13	99
W O'Hora DEF	879	26	98
R Sallinger GLK	836	2	19
J McGrath MID	806	37	144
J Mulligan MID	729	47	107
N Cadden MID	485	12	48
J Obita DEF	475	12	46
C Cadden DEF	410	13	44
M Chaiwa MID	407	16	88
K Bowie FWD	306	22	104
D Levitt MID	255	5	9
Élie Youan FWD	235	10	38
M Boyle FWD	211	7	53
J Hoilett FWD	185	10	34
K Megwa DEF	183	8	32
J Campbell MID	177	9	36
T Klidjé FWD	131	3	50
J Smith GLK	108		4
Z Mitchell DEF	57	4	11
J Newell MID	53	4	11
R. Molotnikov MID	20	1	4
A Manneh MID	15		1