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St. Mirren v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 15:00 BST, The Smisa Stadium, Greenhill Road

Saturday afternoon sees Stephen Robinson’s St. Mirren and Stephen Robinson’s Aberdeen go head to head in a Premiership battle at The Smisa Stadium. For each and every Premiership match, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by St. Mirren and Aberdeen during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Mirren are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Mirren
44%
2.10-
Draw
29%
3.30-
Aberdeen
28%
3.40-
St. Mirren 1-0
14%
7.50-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50-
Draw 0-0
11%
9.50-
Aberdeen 1-0
10%
10.00-
St. Mirren 2-0
9%
10.00-
St. Mirren 2-1
8%
9.00-
Aberdeen 2-1
6%
12.00-
Aberdeen 2-0
5%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
4%
15.00-
St. Mirren 3-0
4%
19.00-
St. Mirren 3-1
4%
17.00-
Aberdeen 3-1
2%
29.00-
St. Mirren 3-2
2%
29.00-
Aberdeen 3-0
2%
41.00-
Aberdeen 3-2
1%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
2.00-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
1.80-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.30-
No 1st Goal
7%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
44%
1.80-
BTTS - No
56%
1.95-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4.50-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7.00-
Home/draw
72%
1.30-
Away/draw
56%
1.70-
Home/away
71%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
3.40-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1.29-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
7.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1.10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9.50-
Home DNB
64%
1.50-
Away DNB
48%
2.50-
St. Mirren win to nil
28%
3.50-
Aberdeen win to nil
17%
6.00-
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
24%
3.40-
St. Mirren / Aberdeen
2%
34.00-
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / St. Mirren
16%
5.00-
Draw / Aberdeen
11%
7.50-
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00-
Aberdeen / St. Mirren
3%
26.00-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
15%
5.50-
Aberdeen / Draw
5%
15.00-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

St. Mirren have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 5. St. Mirren have conceded 39 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Mirren have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Aberdeen lay in 9th place on 30 points in the Premiership league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aberdeen have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Aberdeen have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 11 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Mirren
Aberdeen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts312866 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
1-0A
2
Rangers313063 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
4-1A
3
Celtic302461 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
Apr 11
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
-
4
Motherwell312654 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-5A
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
2-0A
5
Hibernian311348 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 11
-
6
Falkirk31-143 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
-
7
Dundee Utd30-1034 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
-
d
 
0-00-0
8
Dundee31-1832 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
2-3F
-
9
Aberdeen31-1530 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
-
-
-
-
-
10
St. Mirren31-2227 
-
-
-
-
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 4
11
Kilmarnock31-2527 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
4-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
3-0A
12
Livingston31-3015 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-2F
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
St. Mirren 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Aberdeen 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
D
1
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
MIR
7
D
3
ABD
2
League games at Aberdeen since 2018
Aberdeen
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
28
20
Games: Scored
10 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
4 / 14
MIR
3
D
4
ABD
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for St. Mirren of late. It has been 5 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Aberdeen.

St. Mirren 10th Aberdeen 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Aberdeen scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
St. Mirren have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-51
Aberdeen have scored 51% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
St. Mirren
PG (predicted goals)
Aberdeen
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
MIR
ABD
4%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score14
14
Scored first13
10
Goals scored23
30
Avg. goals scored0.7
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
MIR
ABD
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
23
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first14
18
Goals conceded46
42
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%

St. Mirren v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
314511
S GeorgeM FreckletonD JohnA Gogic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S George GLK311
3
-
K Phillips MID313
8
-
M Freckleton DEF3041
7
-
M Mandron FWD2944
3
-
A Gogic DEF2811
10
1
J Richardson DEF28
1
1
R King DEF271
7
1
M Fraser  DEF271
4
-
D John DEF2715
1
-
D N'Lundulu FWD263
2
-
C McMenamin FWD2211
1
-
R Idowu MID21
4
-
J Ayunga FWD202
-
S Tanser DEF1713
-
K Baccus MID161
6
-
M O'Hara MID161
1
-
L Donnelly MID131
1
-
J Young FWD81
1
M Dijksteel FWD7
-
J. Devaney MID6
-
A Campbell MID5
-
J. Calvin FWD5
-
K Etete FWD4
-
R Mullen GLK1
-
Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28748
D MitovK NisbetS ArmstrongN Devlin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK28
2
-
J Milne DEF28
3
1
K Nisbet FWD2871
3
-
T Keskinen FWD2833
4
-
N Devlin DEF261
7
1
G Shinnie MID262
6
1
M Lazetić FWD2641
5
-
A Jensen DEF23
2
-
M Knoester DEF231
6
-
S Armstrong MID2314
5
-
K Bilalovic MID163
-
S Nilsen MID141
3
-
N. Milanovic FWD13
1
-
D Lobban DEF12
4
1
G Molloy DEF11
1
-
E. Gyamfi DEF101
2
-
A Palaversa MID91
3
-
T Olusanya FWD91
1
-
L Cameron MID8
1
-
L Morrison DEF7
2
1
M. Frame DEF71
1
-
D Geiger MID71
3
-
K Kjartansson MID61
1
-
P Bratveit GLK3
-
T Mcintyre DEF3
1
-
A Aremu MID31
-
K Tobers DEF1
1
-