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Las Palmas v Castellon : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas and Castellon clash at the Estadio de Gran Canaria on Saturday night, with both Luis García Fernández and Pablo Hernández Domínguez hoping for success in the La Liga 2. Below we've got predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Las Palmas's next match is v Ceuta at 13:00 on Sunday 8th March
Castellon's next match is v R.Sociedad B at 15:15 on Saturday 7th March
The last Spanish La Liga 2 meeting between Las Palmas and Castellon was on Saturday 21st February 2026
Spanish La Liga 2
February 21st 2026
Las Palmas 1
1 Castellon
 
J. Rodríguez Ruiz 24'90' F. Brignani
 
LPA
CAS
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
4
4
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
15
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/1
 
Las PalmasCastellon
 
D. Horkaš
M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
M. Marmol Medina
E. Clemente Maza
S. Barcia Laranxeira (J. Herzog 77')
E. Loiodice
J. Rodríguez Ruizfootball icon (I. Bravo Solanilla 76')
M. Fuster Lázaro (J. Viera Ramos 77')
V. Álvarez Rozada (V. Pezzolesi 63')
L. Amatucci (K. Rodríguez Concepción 88')
T. Miyashiro (S. Ramírez Castillo 88')
R. Matthys
A. Sienra
(F. Brignani 90') A. Jiménez Benítez
(A. Jakobsen 71') L. Alcázar Moreno
(R. Sánchez Sánchez 58') A. Mabil
(Á. García Arana 82') O. Camara
J. Mellot
A. Calatrava Torrado
(I. Suero Fernández 58') R. Pompeu da Silva
B. Kibambe Cipenga
(P. Santiago López 90') B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Luis García Fernández and Pablo Hernández Domínguez to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Las Palmas and Castellon go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.73 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Las Palmas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Las Palmas
37%
8/56/4
Draw
30%
21/102/1
Castellon
33%
17/108/5
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Las Palmas 1-0
13%
7/16/1
Castellon 1-0
12%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
12%
7/17/1
Las Palmas 2-1
7%
10/18/1
Las Palmas 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Castellon 2-1
7%
10/18/1
Castellon 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
Las Palmas 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Las Palmas 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Castellon 3-1
2%
22/116/1
Castellon 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Las Palmas 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Castellon 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
43/4021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
8/118/13
Home 1st Goal
47%
1/11/1
Away 1st Goal
45%
21/2021/20
No 1st Goal
9%
7/17/1
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/65/6
BTTS - No
58%
5/617/20
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/117/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/117/4
Home/draw
67%
2/54/9
Away/draw
63%
4/910/21
Home/away
70%
4/117/20
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
9/415/8
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
11/413/5
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/42/9
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/121/16
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/401/200
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9/113/2
Home DNB
58%
5/65/6
Away DNB
54%
5/610/11
Las Palmas win to nil
24%
10/3-
Castellon win to nil
21%
10/3-
Las Palmas / Las Palmas
19%
10/33/1
Las Palmas / Castellon
3%
28/122/1
Las Palmas / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Las Palmas
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Castellon
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Castellon / Las Palmas
3%
28/122/1
Castellon / Castellon
18%
7/216/5
Castellon / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Las Palmas have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Las Palmas have conceded 8 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Las Palmas have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Castellon lay in 1st place on 48 points in the La Liga 2 league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Castellon have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 8 matches.

Away league performance

Castellon have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Las Palmas
Castellon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander2816572053 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Castellon2914781549 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Almeria2814771349 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
Apr 1
l
 
1-0A
4
Deportivo2814771349 
d
 
1-1A
May 31
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
5
Malaga2814591047 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
Apr 26
6
Burgos291379646 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
7
Las Palmas28111251245 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Ceuta2813510-344 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
May 10
9
S.Gijon2812610242 
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
10
Cordoba281189141 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
May 3
l
 
2-1F
11
Eibar2810810138 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 29
May 31
d
 
0-00-0
12
R.Sociedad B2910712137 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-4F
l
 
4-2A
13
Albacete299911-636 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
14
FC Andorra289811-535 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
15
Cadiz299812-735 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
May 17
l
 
2-0A
16
Leganes2881010134 
Apr 19
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Granada2871110-132 
Apr 1
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
18
Valladolid288812-932 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-4F
19
Huesca298714-1131 
Apr 5
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
May 24
20
Zaragoza296914-1727 
May 24
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
21
Cultural Leonesa287615-1727 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
Mar 23
w
 
1-3F
22
Mirandes296617-1924 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Las Palmas 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Castellon 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Las Palmas of late. It has been 6 La Liga 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Castellon.

Las Palmas 7th Castellon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Las Palmas will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Castellon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Las Palmas have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Castellon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
Las Palmas
PG (predicted goals)
Castellon
1.1
1
Attack rating
LPA
CAS
16%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score8
8
Scored first11
14
Goals scored30
44
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
1%
better
LPA
CAS
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded21
25
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+1%

Las Palmas v Castellon La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Las Palmas La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
276810
D HorkasJeséM FusterM Park
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Horkas GLK27
1
M Park DEF222
10
-
M Mármol DEF2231
5
-
S Barcia DEF2711
5
1
E Clemente DEF2541
8
-
V Rozada MID19
1
-
E Loiodice MID272
3
1
L Amatucci MID273
3
-
M Fuster MID2848
1
-
T Miyashiro FWD5
1
-
Jesé FWD1962
1
-
Subs
J Caro GLK2
1
-
A. Suárez Ortega GLK
-
J. Herzog DEF8
-
C Gutiérrez DEF11
-
V. Pezzolesi DEF2
1
1
I. González Zambrano MID7
-
N Benedetti MID3
-
K Rodríguez  MID1312
-
J Viera MID202
1
-
S Ramírez FWD21
-
Estanis FWD811
2
-
I Bravo FWD6
-
Castellon La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27779
J MellotO CamaraB. Kibambe CipengaA Jiménez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Matthys GLK241
2
-
J Mellot DEF271
5
1
A Jiménez DEF231
7
2
A Sienra DEF181
3
1
L. Alcázar Moreno DEF2311
6
1
A Mabil MID2224
3
-
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia MID2521
3
-
R. Pompeu da Silva MID101
3
1
B. Kibambe Cipenga MID2057
1
-
A. Calatrava Torrado FWD2866
3
-
O Camara FWD2171
5
-
Subs
A Abedzadeh GLK4
-
M Conde DEF81
1
-
F Brignani DEF183
5
-
S Ruiz DEF18
4
-
M. Willmann DEF
-
I. Suero Fernández MID2254
4
-
G. Terma Rovira MID
-
R Sánchez FWD6
1
-
P. Santiago López FWD2022
2
-
A Jakobsen FWD2032
1
-
Á. García Arana FWD4
1
-
T Nipoti FWD7
3
-