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Fatih Karagumruk SK v Istanbul Basaksehir : Super Lig match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 17th Sep, 18:00 BST, Vefa Stadı, İstanbul

The Super Lig is the focus for both Fatih Karagumruk SK and Istanbul Basaksehir on Wednesday evening, as managers Marcel Rapp and Nuri Şahin battle it out at the Vefa Stadı. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Super Lig match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of Karagumruk and Istanbul delivering at least 2 goals in this Super Lig clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Don’t expect a goal-fest here – we’re predicting that there’s a 51% chance of Karagumruk v Istanbul having no more than 2 goals in total. ‘Under 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.85.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Karagumruk
26%
3.70
17%
3.70
Draw
25%
3.60
5%
3.50
Istanbul
49%
1.86
14%
2.00
Draw 1-1
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
Istanbul 1-0
11%
7.00
6%
6.50
Istanbul 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Istanbul 2-0
9%
9.00
18%
8.50
Karagumruk 1-0
8%
11.00
8%
9.00
Draw 0-0
7%
10.008.50
Karagumruk 2-1
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
13%
13.00
Istanbul 3-1
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
Istanbul 3-0
5%
17.00
31%
13.00
Karagumruk 2-0
4%
19.00
17%
15.00
Istanbul 3-2
3%
26.0021.00
Karagumruk 3-1
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
Istanbul 4-1
2%
34.00
12%
26.00
Karagumruk 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.95
1%
1.95
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.85
1%
1.80
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.38
9%
2.45
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.67
5%
1.70
No 1st Goal
4%
10.008.50
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.83
3%
1.83
BTTS - No
47%
1.83
5%
1.91
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7.50
13%
6.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
10%
4.60
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.00
7%
4.00
Home/draw
51%
1.83
10%
1.80
Away/draw
74%
1.29
8%
1.29
Home/away
75%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.301.33
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.403.20
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.403.30
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.301.29
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.101.10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.051.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.008.50
Home DNB
44%
2.63
23%
2.60
Away DNB
66%
1.44
11%
1.44
Karagumruk win to nil
14%
6.50
13%
-
Istanbul win to nil
27%
3.25
8%
-
Karagumruk / Karagumruk
13%
6.50
20%
5.75
Karagumruk / Istanbul
4%
23.0019.00
Karagumruk / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Karagumruk
10%
8.00
16%
7.50
Draw / Istanbul
17%
5.00
5%
4.80
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Istanbul / Karagumruk
3%
34.00
15%
26.00
Istanbul / Istanbul
26%
3.10
18%
3.10
Istanbul / Draw
6%
15.00
13%
13.00
Over / under 2.5 goals Super Lig table
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
Karagumruk
Istanbul
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Galatasaray55001415 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
Oct 19
Mar 15
2
Fenerbahce4310510 
Mar 15
Oct 19
Dec 6
May 3
3
Trabzonspor5311210 
Sep 28
Mar 1
Nov 24
Apr 19
4
Goztepespor523059 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
Mar 8
Oct 5
5
Antalyaspor530219 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2A
Mar 22
Oct 26
6
Gaziantep FK5302-29 
Oct 5
Mar 8
Dec 21
May 17
7
Konyaspor421157 
Nov 9
Apr 12
Mar 1
Sep 28
8
Alanyaspor421127 
May 17
Dec 21
Sep 21
Feb 22
9
Samsunspor421117 
Feb 22
Sep 21
May 10
Dec 14
10
Besiktas320106 
Nov 30
Apr 26
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
11
Rizespor4112-44 
Apr 5
Nov 3
Feb 1
-
12
Eyupspor5113-54 
Apr 19
Nov 22
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
13
Kasimpasa4103-23 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
Apr 26
Nov 29
14
Kayserispor4031-43 
Oct 24
Mar 22
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
15
Karagumruk4103-53 
-
-
Jan 18
Sep 17
16
Istanbul3021-12 
Sep 17
Jan 18
-
-
17
Kocaelispor5014-61 
Dec 14
May 10
Oct 31
Apr 5
18
GSK5005-60 
May 3
Dec 7
Apr 12
Nov 7
Over / under 2.5 goals form
5
Istanbul have conceded 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive away league games
Karagumruk 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.7
Conceded
1.1
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
10
Under
10
Avg: Scored
1.4
Conceded
1.7
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
12
Under
8
Istanbul 16TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.7
Conceded
1.9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
12
Under
8
Avg: Scored
1.6
Conceded
1.7
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
12
Under
8
Over / under 2.5 goals head to head (H2H)
League games at Karagumruk since 2020
Karagumruk
Istanbul
Average goals:
2.0
1.0
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
Over
2
Under
2
League games at Istanbul since 2021
Istanbul
Karagumruk
Average goals:
0.3
1.3
Games: Scored
1 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
3 / 4
Over
1
Under
3
Goal Statistics

Istanbul Basaksehir have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Super Lig matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Fatih Karagumruk SK on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Karagumruk 15th Istanbul 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Karagumruk will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Istanbul will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Karagumruk’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Istanbul have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Super Lig - 2025/2026 season
Karagumruk
PG (predicted goals)
Istanbul
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
KAR
FKB
37%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score3
1
Scored first0
2
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored0.5
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal19
14
Conversion rate for5
7
Avg. XG for0.8
1
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
KAR
FKB
55%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first4
0
Goals conceded7
3
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+55%

Karagumruk v Istanbul Super Lig lLine ups will show here when available.

Karagumruk Super Lig squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
I GrbicD JohnsonA ÇankayaJ Balkovec
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Grbic GLK4
-
J Balkovec DEF4
2
-
A Çankaya DEF41
-
Çağtay Kurukalıp DEF4
-
B. Kalayci MID4
1
-
D Johnson MID411
-
Sergio FWD4
-
A Gray FWD4
-
T Cukur FWD4
-
T. Kalpaklı FWD4
1
-
B Özcan MID3
-
M. Kadioğlu DEF2
-
A Çınar DEF21
-
Ömer Faruk Gümüş MID2
-
M. Doh MID2
1
A Demirol MID2
-
A Sivri FWD2
-
N Ugrekhelidze DEF1
-
R Esgaio DEF1
-
K. Yandal GLK
-
B. Evli GLK
-
F Bekleviç GLK
-
E Roco DEF
-
B. Ersoy DEF
-
M Kranevitter  MID
-
T. Akgün MID
-
J Camacho FWD
-
D Fofana FWD
-
S Larsson FWD
-
Istanbul Super Lig squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3114
F EboseleE ShomurodovO ErgünO Ba
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Ebosele DEF3
-
O Ba DEF3
3
1
J Opoku DEF3
1
-
O Ergün MID31
-
M Crespo MID3
1
-
E Shomurodov FWD31
-
D Türüc FWD31
-
I Brnic FWD31
-
M Şengezer GLK2
-
C Operi DEF2
-
A Fayzullaev MID2
1
-
B Özdemir MID2
-
O Kemen MID2
-
U Güneş MID2
-
Ömer Beyaz MID2
-
N Costa FWD2
-
Y Sari FWD2
1
-
O Bulut DEF1
-
L Duarte DEF1
-
H. Güreler DEF1
-
D Selke FWD1
-
D Alemdar GLK
-
V Babacan GLK
-
L. Stancic GLK
-
J Kaluzinski MID
-
A Harit  MID
-
Ömer Ali Sahiner MID
-
B. Aslan FWD
-
B Yıldırım FWD
-
T. Turhan FWD
-