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Kayserispor v Samsunspor : Super Lig match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 12:30 BST, Kadir Has Stadium, Kayseri

Markus Weinzierl's Kayserispor side will have home backing in the Super Lig on Sunday lunch time, as Thomas Reis's Samsunspor arrive at the Kadir Has Stadium. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Kayserispor or Samsunspor are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Samsunspor coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kayserispor 34%	2.87	2.90
Draw 25%	3.30	3.50
Samsunspor 41%	2.30	2.30
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	6.50
Samsunspor 1-0 9%	8.50	8.00
Samsunspor 2-1 9%	9.50	8.50
Kayserispor 1-0 8%	10.00	8.50
Kayserispor 2-1 8%	11.00	9.00
Samsunspor 2-0 7%	12.00	10.00
Draw 0-0 6%	11.00	9.50
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
Kayserispor 2-0 5%	15.00	12.00
Samsunspor 3-1 4%	19.00	15.00
Kayserispor 3-1 3%	23.00	19.00
Samsunspor 3-0 3%	23.00	17.00
Samsunspor 3-2 3%	26.00	19.00
Kayserispor 3-2 3%	29.00	23.00
Kayserispor 3-0 2%	29.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	1.90	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	1.90	1.85
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.10	2.10
Away 1st Goal 49%	1.83	1.91
No 1st Goal 4%	11.00	9.50
BTTS - Yes 56%	1.73	1.73
BTTS - No 44%	2.00	2.00
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50	5.25
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 20%	4.50	4.33
Home/draw 59%	1.57	1.57
Away/draw 66%	1.40	1.40
Home/away 75%	1.33	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1.29	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	3.50	3.40
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	3.25	3.10
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1.33	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	6.50	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.11	1.11
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.05	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11.00	9.50
Home DNB 51%	2.10	2.05
Away DNB 59%	1.67	1.67
Kayserispor win to nil 17%	5.50	-
Samsunspor win to nil 21%	4.00	-
Kayserispor / Kayserispor 17%	4.75	4.50
Kayserispor / Samsunspor 3%	26.00	21.00
Kayserispor / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Kayserispor 12%	6.50	6.50
Draw / Samsunspor 14%	6.00	5.50
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00
Samsunspor / Kayserispor 3%	29.00	23.00
Samsunspor / Samsunspor 22%	3.75	3.60
Samsunspor / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Super Lig table

Kayserispor have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Kayserispor are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Kayserispor are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won zero. Kayserispor have conceded 17 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kayserispor have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Samsunspor lay in 7th place on 13 points in the Super Lig league table having played 8 matches. Samsunspor are unbeaten away after 3 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Samsunspor have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Samsunspor have played 3 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kayserispor Samsunspor
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Galatasaray	8	7	1	0	17	22	l 0-4A	Feb 1	May 3	Dec 5
2	Trabzonspor	8	5	2	1	7	17	Mar 8	l 4-0A	Feb 8	d 1-1A
3	Goztepespor	8	4	4	0	9	16	d 1-1F	Feb 15	May 17	Dec 21
4	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	7	16	Apr 12	Nov 9	d 0-00-0	Mar 8
5	Gaziantep FK	8	4	2	2	0	14	Nov 22	Apr 19	Mar 1	d 2-2F
6	Besiktas	7	4	1	2	3	13	l 0-4A	Jan 18	Apr 19	Nov 23
7	Samsunspor	8	3	4	1	2	13	Oct 19	Mar 15	-	-
8	Konyaspor	7	3	2	2	4	11	May 17	Dec 21	Apr 5	Nov 2
9	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	1	10	Dec 13	May 10	Dec 1	Apr 26
10	Antalyaspor	8	3	1	4	-4	10	Feb 22	d 1-1A	l 1-2A	Feb 15
11	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-1	9	Nov 2	Apr 5	d 0-00-0	Feb 1
12	Rizespor	7	2	2	3	-2	8	Apr 26	Nov 29	Oct 27	Mar 22
13	Istanbul	7	1	3	3	-1	6	Jan 25	d 1-1A	Dec 14	May 10
14	GSK	8	1	2	5	-5	5	d 1-1A	Mar 1	w 2-1F	Jan 18
15	Kocaelispor	8	1	2	5	-7	5	Feb 8	d 1-1A	Jan 25	w 0-1F
16	Eyupspor	8	1	2	5	-7	5	May 3	Dec 6	Nov 9	Apr 12
17	Kayserispor	8	0	5	3	-12	5	-	-	Mar 15	Oct 19
18	Karagumruk	8	1	0	7	-11	3	Mar 22	Oct 24	w 3-2A	Feb 22

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Win / draw / win form

Kayserispor have not won in 11 consecutive league games

Samsunspor have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kayserispor	1 - 1	GSK
Kayserispor	0 - 4	Besiktas
Kayserispor	1 - 1	Goztepespor
Kayserispor	0 - 4	Galatasaray
Kayserispor	1 - 1	Bodrumspor
Kayserispor	3 - 1	Antalyaspor
Kayserispor	1 - 0	Rizespor
Kayserispor	1 - 0	Kasimpasa
Kayserispor	5 - 0	Hatayspor
Kayserispor	3 - 1	Istanbul
Kayserispor	1 - 0	Goztepespor
Kayserispor	3 - 2	Konyaspor
Kayserispor	0 - 0	Trabzonspor
Kayserispor	0 - 1	Samsunspor
Kayserispor	1 - 5	Galatasaray
Kayserispor	2 - 0	Alanyaspor
Kayserispor	2 - 6	Fenerbahce
Kayserispor	0 - 0	Adana
Kayserispor	2 - 2	Gaziantep FK
Kayserispor	0 - 3	Besiktas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kayserispor	0 - 4	Trabzonspor
H	Kayserispor	1 - 1	GSK
H	Kayserispor	0 - 4	Besiktas
A	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Antalyaspor
H	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Goztepespor
A	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Kocaelispor
H	Kayserispor	0 - 4	Galatasaray
A	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Istanbul
A	Kayserispor	1 - 2	Samsunspor
H	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Bodrumspor
A	Kayserispor	0 - 3	Galatasaray
H	Kayserispor	3 - 1	Antalyaspor
A	Kayserispor	1 - 1	Alanyaspor
H	Kayserispor	1 - 0	Rizespor
A	Kayserispor	3 - 3	Fenerbahce
H	Kayserispor	1 - 0	Kasimpasa
A	Kayserispor	2 - 0	Adana
H	Kayserispor	5 - 0	Hatayspor
A	Kayserispor	0 - 1	Gaziantep FK
H	Kayserispor	3 - 1	Istanbul

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gaziantep FK	2 - 2	Samsunspor
Trabzonspor	1 - 1	Samsunspor
Kocaelispor	0 - 1	Samsunspor
Trabzonspor	2 - 2	Samsunspor
Bodrumspor	1 - 2	Samsunspor
Alanyaspor	1 - 0	Samsunspor
Antalyaspor	2 - 1	Samsunspor
Fenerbahce	0 - 0	Samsunspor
Goztepespor	2 - 2	Samsunspor
Konyaspor	0 - 1	Samsunspor
Istanbul	4 - 0	Samsunspor
Besiktas	0 - 0	Samsunspor
Kayserispor	0 - 1	Samsunspor
Sivasspor	0 - 0	Samsunspor
Eyupspor	3 - 0	Samsunspor
Galatasaray	3 - 2	Samsunspor
Kasimpasa	1 - 4	Samsunspor
Adana	1 - 3	Samsunspor
Rizespor	0 - 1	Samsunspor
Hatayspor	0 - 3	Samsunspor

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Samsunspor	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	Samsunspor	2 - 2	Gaziantep FK
H	Samsunspor	3 - 2	Karagumruk
H	Samsunspor	0 - 0	Kasimpasa
H	Samsunspor	1 - 2	Antalyaspor
A	Samsunspor	1 - 1	Trabzonspor
A	Samsunspor	1 - 0	Kocaelispor
H	Samsunspor	2 - 1	GSK
H	Samsunspor	2 - 1	Kayserispor
A	Samsunspor	2 - 2	Trabzonspor
H	Samsunspor	1 - 0	Sivasspor
H	Samsunspor	3 - 0	Eyupspor
A	Samsunspor	2 - 1	Bodrumspor
A	Samsunspor	0 - 1	Alanyaspor
H	Samsunspor	0 - 2	Galatasaray
A	Samsunspor	1 - 2	Antalyaspor
H	Samsunspor	0 - 2	Kasimpasa
A	Samsunspor	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Samsunspor	3 - 2	Adana
A	Samsunspor	2 - 2	Goztepespor

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Kayserispor of late. It has been 11 Super Lig games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday lunch time against Samsunspor.

Samsunspor's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday lunch time, not least because Kayserispor have conceded in each of their last 13 Super Lig matches. A PG of 1.5 for Thomas Reis's side suggests that run should continue.

	Kayserispor 17th	Samsunspor 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Kayserispor will score no more than 1 goal	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Samsunspor will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Kayserispor’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Samsunspor’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Super Lig - 2025/2026 season

KFK

SAM

36%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		6
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	2		3
Goals scored	5		10
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	13		7
Conversion rate for	7		15
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+36%

KFK

SAM

39%

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		5
Clean sheets	0		2
Conceded first	5		3
Goals conceded	13		8
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate against	18%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.9
KickOff rating		+39%

Kayserispor v Samsunspor Super Lig lLine ups will show here when available.

Kayserispor Super Lig squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	3
L Carole	M Cardoso	A Opoku	D Toköz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Civelek DEF	8			2 -
L Carole DEF	8			2 -
D Toköz MID	8			3 -
A Opoku FWD	8		1	1 -
M Cardoso FWD	8	2		3 -
B Bayazit GLK	7			2 -
S Denswil DEF	7			1 -
L Bénes MID	7	2	1	-
A. Burak DEF	6			2 -
I. Tuci FWD	6	1		-
J Mendes MID	5			-
C Mané FWD	5			-
B Kapacak DEF	4			-
G Jung DEF	4			1 -
K. Cihan DEF	4			-
F Soyalp MID	4			1 -
G Onugkha FWD	4			1 -
N Korkmaz FWD	4		1	1 -
Y Ackah MID	3			-
T Sariarslan FWD	3		1	-
M Özbek MID	2			-
A Karimi MID	2			-
O Piri GLK	1			-
A Kocaman DEF	1			-
M Hosseini DEF	1			-
Y Celtik MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	10	1	2
M Cardoso	L Bénes	A Opoku	A Opoku

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Cardoso FWD	2	4		1
L Bénes MID	2	10	1	2
I. Tuci FWD	1	4
A Opoku FWD		3	1	2
S Denswil DEF		1		1
J Mendes MID		2		1
C Mané FWD		1
G Jung DEF				1
F Soyalp MID		1
G Onugkha FWD		3
N Korkmaz FWD		1	1	1
Y Ackah MID		1
T Sariarslan FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
360	13	34
L Carole	L Carole	L Carole

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Carole DEF	360	13	34
R Civelek DEF	274	6	18
L Bénes MID	257	7	15
B Bayazit GLK	242		1
S Denswil DEF	237	4	29
M Cardoso FWD	200	9	28
D Toköz MID	166	5	13
J Mendes MID	144	4	21
A. Burak DEF	136	4	17
A Opoku FWD	106	3	15
G Jung DEF	88	2	8
F Soyalp MID	86	6	14
Y Ackah MID	79		6
I. Tuci FWD	69	1	12
G Onugkha FWD	57		23
N Korkmaz FWD	54	1	5
K. Cihan DEF	48	4	7
C Mané FWD	42	2	7
B Kapacak DEF	41	8	12
A Kocaman DEF	40	1	1
M Hosseini DEF	38	6	12
O Piri GLK	34
M Özbek MID	25	3	3
A Karimi MID	13	1	1
Y Celtik MID	6	3	4
T Sariarslan FWD	4	1	3

Samsunspor Super Lig squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	1	2
O Kocuk	Marius	L Satka	O Kocuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Kocuk GLK	8			2 -
R Drongelen DEF	8	1		1 -
L Satka DEF	8		1	-
L Tómasson DEF	8		1	-
A Makoumbou MID	8			2 -
O Ntcham MID	8			1 -
Marius FWD	8	2		2 -
C Holse FWD	8	2	1	-
Z Yavru DEF	7			2 -
C Yüksel MID	7			2 -
J. Wooding Mendes DEF	6			1 -
A Musaba FWD	6	1	1	2 -
Y. Cift DEF	5			2 -
S Gonul DEF	4			-
T Coulibaly FWD	4			2 -
S Aydogdu MID	3			-
E Kilinc FWD	3		1	-
T Borevkovic DEF	2			-
A Sousa MID	2			-
C Ndiaye FWD	2	2		1 1
P Yaldir FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	9	1	6
Marius	Marius	L Satka	A Musaba

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marius FWD	2	9
C Holse FWD	2	6	1	1
C Ndiaye FWD	2	2
R Drongelen DEF	1	1
A Musaba FWD	1	2	1	6
L Satka DEF			1
L Tómasson DEF		1	1	3
A Makoumbou MID				1
O Ntcham MID		3
Y. Cift DEF		1
T Coulibaly FWD		2
S Aydogdu MID				1
E Kilinc FWD		1	1	1
A Sousa MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
477	15	41
R Drongelen	Z Yavru	Marius

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Drongelen DEF	477	12	33
O Ntcham MID	390	5	32
L Satka DEF	382	8	23
C Holse FWD	235	13	33
L Tómasson DEF	232	9	24
Z Yavru DEF	230	15	28
O Kocuk GLK	187	2	4
A Makoumbou MID	178	3	9
C Yüksel MID	131	7	19
Marius FWD	129	3	41
A Musaba FWD	119	5	26
J. Wooding Mendes DEF	87	5	12
T Borevkovic DEF	71	1	4
Y. Cift DEF	69	10	17
T Coulibaly FWD	68	5	12
E Kilinc FWD	51	4	11
A Sousa MID	43	3	8
S Gonul DEF	33	2	5
C Ndiaye FWD	14	1	4
S Aydogdu MID	12
P Yaldir FWD	5		2