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Atalanta v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 25th Feb, 17:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Borussia Dortmund are away from home on Wednesday evening, as manager Niko Kovač takes his side to visit Atalanta and Raffaele Palladino at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Champions League. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 80% probability of Atalanta and Dortmund scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this Champions League match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
48%
21/2021/20
Draw
24%
13/513/5
Dortmund
29%
5/212/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Atalanta 2-1
9%
8/115/2
Atalanta 1-0
8%
8/115/2
Atalanta 2-0
7%
9/19/1
Dortmund 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Dortmund 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Atalanta 3-1
5%
12/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Dortmund 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Dortmund 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Dortmund 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Atalanta 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/118/11
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/1021/20
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/118/11
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/413/10
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/1313/20
BTTS - No
40%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/427/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/19/2
Home/draw
71%
2/73/10
Away/draw
52%
8/113/4
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/47/4
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/92/5
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Home DNB
64%
4/91/2
Away DNB
45%
13/829/20
Atalanta win to nil
23%
11/4-
Dortmund win to nil
13%
6/1-
Atalanta / Atalanta
25%
9/421/10
Atalanta / Dortmund
3%
28/122/1
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Dortmund
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Dortmund / Atalanta
4%
20/118/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
15%
9/217/4
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Atalanta have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Champions League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 19 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Atalanta have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 5 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 17th position in the Champions League on 11 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Dortmund have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 25
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
Feb 25
l
 
2-0A
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Dortmund 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Champions League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 15th Dortmund 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Dortmund have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
ATA
BVB
13%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first14
16
Goals scored34
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
21
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
26%
better
ATA
BVB
view stats
Games conceded9
13
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded14
25
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
7
Conversion rate against8%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Dortmund will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9222
O Kossounou L SamardžićC KetelaereO Kossounou 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Kossounou  DEF9
2
-
M Roon MID91
2
-
N Krstovic FWD91
-
M Carnesecchi GLK8
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF8
2
-
D Zappacosta MID8
-
Éderson MID811
1
-
L Bernasconi MID7
1
-
L Samardžić MID72
1
-
C Ketelaere MID722
-
R Bellanova MID7
1
-
G Scamacca FWD72
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF6
1
-
I Hien DEF6
-
Y Musah MID61
2
-
M Pasalic MID61
-
K Sulemana FWD6
-
S Kolasinac DEF4
-
N Zalewski MID41
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-
G Scalvini DEF1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9432
G KobelS Guirassy S Guirassy D Svensson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK9
-
J Bellingham MID92
-
F Nmecha MID93
-
S Guirassy  FWD943
-
D Svensson DEF82
1
1
R Bensebaini DEF82
2
-
J Ryerson DEF82
1
-
W Anton DEF81
2
-
J Brandt MID83
-
F Silva FWD811
-
M Beier FWD812
1
-
K Adeyemi  FWD822
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF7
-
C Chukwuemeka MID711
-
Y Couto MID61
-
M Sabitzer  MID62
-
E Can DEF5
-
N Süle DEF1
-
F. Mane DEF1
-