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Benfica v FK Qarabag : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 16th Sep, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Qurban Qurbanov leads his FK Qarabag team to the Estádio da Luz in the Champions League on Tuesday night, with Bruno Lage's Benfica their challengers. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

As the Benfica players prepare themselves for this game, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we use in our predictive algorithms. The Estádio da Luz has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Qarabag in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Tuesday night. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Benfica 78%	1/5 2%	2/9
Draw 15%	11/2 8%	11/2 7%
Qarabag 8%	11/1 20%	12/1 8%
Benfica 2-0 13%	5/1 8%	5/1 8%
Benfica 3-0 11%	6/1 13%	6/1 7%
Benfica 1-0 10%	13/2 6%	6/1 13%
Benfica 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	8/1 6%
Benfica 3-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Benfica 4-0 7%	10/1 15%	9/1
Draw 1-1 7%	12/1 18%	10/1 8%
Benfica 4-1 5%	16/1	14/1 15%
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1	12/1 24%
Benfica 5-0 4%	18/1 17%	16/1 13%
Draw 2-2 3%	28/1 26%	22/1 10%
Qarabag 1-0 3%	22/1	20/1 9%
Benfica 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	22/1 10%
Benfica 5-1 2%	28/1	22/1 10%
Qarabag 2-1 2%	28/1 12%	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	4/7 5%	4/7 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	11/8 3%	5/4 14%
Home 1st Goal 64%	1/4 4%	2/9
Away 1st Goal 33%	3/1 14%	19/5 11%
No 1st Goal 3%	16/1	12/1 13%
BTTS - Yes 45%	6/5 13%	5/4 13%
BTTS - No 55%	8/13 10%	3/5 8%
BTTS - Home Win 31%	2/1 4%	2/1 11%
BTTS - Draw 10%	15/2 13%	7/1
BTTS - Away Win 4%	20/1 24%	18/1 12%
Home/draw 92%	1/20 2%	1/33 1%
Away/draw 22%	10/3 15%	16/5
Home/away 85%	1/9 3%	1/9 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6	2/11 4%
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4/1	17/5 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	11/8	7/5 14%
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	4/7	1/2 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	10/3 8%	3/1 18%
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/9 2%	1/5 7%
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	7/1	13/2 25%
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12	1/14 4%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/66 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1	12/1 24%
Home DNB 88%	1/16 2%	1/25 1%
Away DNB 18%	9/1 25%	17/2 6%
Benfica win to nil 47%	5/6 13%	-
Qarabag win to nil 4%	18/1 12%	-
Benfica / Benfica 48%	4/6 7%	7/10 2%
Benfica / Qarabag 2%	50/1	50/1 11%
Benfica / Draw 4%	20/1 11%	18/1
Draw / Benfica 21%	11/4 6%	29/10 3%
Draw / Qarabag 4%	22/1 10%	18/1
Draw / Draw 10%	8/1 6%	7/1 11%
Qarabag / Benfica 4%	20/1 11%	18/1 12%
Qarabag / Qarabag 4%	22/1 21%	16/1 13%
Qarabag / Draw 3%	25/1 24%	20/1 11%

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Benfica Qarabag
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
2	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	Jan 28	-	-	-
3	Bayern	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
4	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Jan 28
5	PSG	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Sep 30	Nov 5	-
7	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
9	Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	Nov 5	-	-	-
10	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
11	A.Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
12	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Sep 16
13	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
14	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
16	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Jan 21	-	-
17	Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
18	PSV	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
19	E.Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	Jan 21	-
20	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Nov 25	Dec 10	-
21	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	Dec 10	-	-	Nov 25
22	S. Lisbon	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
23	Slavia	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
24	Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
25	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
26	Olympiakos	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
27	Kobenhavn	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	Oct 1	-
28	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
29	Bodø	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
30	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
31	Union SG	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
32	Qarabag	0	0	0	0	0	0	Sep 16	-	-	-
33	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	Oct 21	-	-
34	A.Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	Oct 22
35	Paphos	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-
37	Nice							w 2-0F	w 0-2F	-	-
38	Fenerbahce							w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	-	-
39	Shelbourne							-	-	w 1-0F	w 0-3F
40	Skendija 79							-	-	w 5-1A	w 0-1F
41	Ferencvaros							-	-	l 2-3A	w 1-3A

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Qarabag have won 3 consecutive away european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
Benfica	0 - 1	Barcelona
Benfica	3 - 3	Monaco
Benfica	4 - 5	Barcelona
Benfica	0 - 0	Bologna
Benfica	1 - 3	Feyenoord
Benfica	4 - 0	A.Madrid
Benfica	2 - 1	Marseille
Benfica	2 - 2	Rangers
Benfica	2 - 1	Toulouse
Benfica	3 - 3	Inter
Benfica	0 - 1	R.Sociedad
Benfica	0 - 2	Salzburg
Benfica	0 - 2	Inter
Benfica	5 - 1	Brugge
Benfica	4 - 3	Juventus
Benfica	1 - 1	PSG
Benfica	2 - 0	M. Haifa
Benfica	3 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	Benfica	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
A	Benfica	1 - 3	Barcelona
H	Benfica	0 - 1	Barcelona
H	Benfica	3 - 3	Monaco
A	Benfica	1 - 0	Monaco
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Juventus
H	Benfica	4 - 5	Barcelona
H	Benfica	0 - 0	Bologna
A	Benfica	3 - 2	Monaco
A	Benfica	0 - 1	Bayern
H	Benfica	1 - 3	Feyenoord
H	Benfica	4 - 0	A.Madrid
A	Benfica	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Benfica	0 - 1	Marseille
H	Benfica	2 - 1	Marseille
A	Benfica	1 - 0	Rangers
H	Benfica	2 - 2	Rangers

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ferencvaros	1 - 3	Qarabag
Skendija 79	0 - 1	Qarabag
Shelbourne	0 - 3	Qarabag
Olympiakos	3 - 0	Qarabag
Elfsborg	1 - 0	Qarabag
Bodø	1 - 2	Qarabag
Spurs	3 - 0	Qarabag
D. Zagreb	3 - 0	Qarabag
Ludogorets	2 - 3	Qarabag
Lincoln Red Imps	0 - 2	Qarabag
Leverkusen	3 - 2	Qarabag
Braga	2 - 4	Qarabag
Molde	2 - 2	Qarabag
Leverkusen	5 - 1	Qarabag
Häcken	0 - 1	Qarabag
Olimpija	0 - 2	Qarabag
HJK Helsinki	1 - 2	Qarabag
Rakow	3 - 2	Qarabag
Lincoln Red Imps	1 - 2	Qarabag
Gent	1 - 0	Qarabag

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	Ferencvaros
A	Qarabag	3 - 1	Ferencvaros
H	Qarabag	5 - 1	Skendija 79
A	Qarabag	1 - 0	Skendija 79
H	Qarabag	1 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	3 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	Olympiakos
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	FCSB
A	Qarabag	0 - 1	Elfsborg
H	Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
A	Qarabag	2 - 1	Bodø
H	Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
H	Qarabag	1 - 2	Malmö
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	Spurs
H	Qarabag	0 - 2	D. Zagreb
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	D. Zagreb
A	Qarabag	3 - 2	Ludogorets
H	Qarabag	1 - 2	Ludogorets
H	Qarabag	5 - 0	Lincoln Red Imps
A	Qarabag	2 - 0	Lincoln Red Imps

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is fairly strong for Benfica in their clash with FK Qarabag, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 59 consecutive Champions League matches.

With a PG of just 0.7, FK Qarabag look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Benfica haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Champions League games, and it could be a long night for Q. Qurbanov's men.

	Benfica	Qarabag
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.5 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 20% 2 26% 3 22% 4+ 25% There is a 72% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 51% 1 34% 2 11% 3 4+ There is a 51% probability that Qarabag will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+25 Qarabag have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

better

BEF

FKQ

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BEF

FKQ

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Qarabag will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	2	2
A Trubin	F Aursnes	F Aursnes	A Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	4			-
S Dahl DEF	4		1	-
A Silva DEF	4			2 -
N Otamendi DEF	4			-
A Dedic DEF	4			-
F Aursnes MID	4	1	2	-
R Ríos MID	4			1 -
E Barrenechea MID	4			1 -
L Barreiro MID	4		1	1 -
F Ivanovic FWD	4	1		-
V Pavlidis FWD	4			-
A Schjelderup FWD	3	1	1	1 -
G Prestianni FWD	2			1 -
H Araújo FWD	2			-
S Soares GLK				-
A Bah DEF				-
T Araújo DEF				-
R Obrador DEF				-
L. Sousa Santos DEF				-
G. Calisto Oliveira DEF				-
H Sudakov MID				-
D. Ferreira Prioste MID				-
J. Fins Veloso MID				-
Manu MID				-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID				-
D Lukébakio FWD				-
Bruma FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	2	2
F Aursnes	F Ivanovic	F Aursnes	A Schjelderup

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Aursnes MID	1	1	2	1
F Ivanovic FWD	1	3
A Schjelderup FWD	1	1	1	2
S Dahl DEF			1	1
A Silva DEF		2		1
N Otamendi DEF		2
R Ríos MID		2
E Barrenechea MID				1
L Barreiro MID		1	1	1
V Pavlidis FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
234	12	28
R Ríos	R Ríos	R Ríos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Ríos MID	234	12	28
A Silva DEF	224	4	11
N Otamendi DEF	218	3	17
E Barrenechea MID	203	3	20
A Dedic DEF	191	6	24
F Aursnes MID	158	9	13
S Dahl DEF	142	7	10
A Trubin GLK	121		1
V Pavlidis FWD	78		17
F Ivanovic FWD	57	8	22
A Schjelderup FWD	52	3	9
L Barreiro MID	43	1	9
G Prestianni FWD	22	1	5
H Araújo FWD	8		3

Qarabag Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	2
M Silva	L Andrade	K Borges	M Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Cafarquliyev DEF	6		1	-
M Silva DEF	6			2 -
B Mustafazada DEF	6		1	-
P Bicalho MID	6			1 -
K Borges MID	6	1	2	1 -
A Zoubir FWD	6	1	2	-
L Andrade FWD	6	3	2	-
N Akhundzade FWD	6	2	1	1 -
M Kochalski GLK	5			1 -
K Medina DEF	5	1		2 -
Chriso MID	5			-
M Qurbanly FWD	5	1		-
E Addai FWD	5			-
M Jankovic MID	4	2		-
D Bolt DEF	3			1 -
O Kashchuk FWD	3	1		1 -
F Buntic GLK	1			-
S Mmaee DEF	1			-
A Hüseynov DEF	1			-
A Ramazanov GLK				-
S Mahammadaliyev GLK				-
T Bayramov DEF				-
B Hüseynov DEF				-
J Montiel MID				-
A Isayev MID				-
N. Durán Rueda FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	1	2	2
L Andrade	K Borges	K Borges	L Andrade

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Andrade FWD	3	1	2	2
N Akhundzade FWD	2		1	1
M Jankovic MID	2	1
K Borges MID	1	1	2	1
A Zoubir FWD	1	1	2
K Medina DEF	1	1
M Qurbanly FWD	1	1
O Kashchuk FWD	1
E Cafarquliyev DEF			1
B Mustafazada DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
102	6	20
M Jankovic	M Jankovic	M Jankovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Jankovic MID	102	6	20
A Zoubir FWD	89	1	10
E Cafarquliyev DEF	81		2
K Medina DEF	77	4	17
P Bicalho MID	77	1	3
M Kochalski GLK	65		2
B Mustafazada DEF	58	2	11
M Silva DEF	52	1	6
K Borges MID	45		8
L Andrade FWD	27	2	4
N Akhundzade FWD	22		8
E Addai FWD	16	1	3
M Qurbanly FWD	3
Chriso MID	1		1
D Bolt DEF	1		2
O Kashchuk FWD			1

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Real Madrid v Marseille

Tue 16th Sep, 20:00

Spurs v Villarreal

Tue 16th Sep, 20:00

Benfica v FK Qarabag : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Qarabag will show here when available.

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