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Liverpool v Atletico de Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 17th Sep, 20:00 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Arne Slot's Liverpool side are on home soil in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as Diego Simeone's Atletico de Madrid arrive at the Anfield. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our expansive database and found the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Arne Slot and his side approach kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both clubs are strong in attack, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. As there is no outright, odds-on favourite to win the game, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
58%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
Draw
21%
3/1
3%
3/1
5%
A.Madrid
21%
15/4
6%
18/5
10%
Liverpool 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Liverpool 2-0
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
Liverpool 1-0
9%
8/17/1
6%
Liverpool 3-1
7%
11/110/1
Liverpool 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/1
8%
A.Madrid 2-1
6%
14/112/1
8%
A.Madrid 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/111/1
8%
Liverpool 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Liverpool 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Liverpool 4-0
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
A.Madrid 2-0
3%
25/120/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-1
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6
3%
8/13
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5
4%
6/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
3%
8/15
3%
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/417/10
4%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/521/10
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Home/draw
79%
2/111/5
2%
Away/draw
42%
23/20
2%
23/20
5%
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/216/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
5%
6/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2
2%
10/21
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/217/5
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/52/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Home DNB
73%
2/7
1%
2/7
3%
Away DNB
36%
5/2
3%
12/5
10%
Liverpool win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
9%
9/1-
Liverpool / Liverpool
32%
6/4
4%
6/4
4%
Liverpool / A.Madrid
3%
33/125/1
Liverpool / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Liverpool
17%
15/47/2
2%
Draw / A.Madrid
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
A.Madrid / Liverpool
4%
18/116/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
11%
13/26/1
8%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City000000 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid000000 
Nov 4
-
-
-
3
Bayern000000 
-
-
-
-
4
Liverpool000000 
-
-
-
Sep 17
5
PSG000000 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea000000 
-
-
-
-
7
Inter000000 
-
Dec 9
Nov 26
-
8
Dortmund000000 
-
-
-
-
9
Leverkusen000000 
-
-
-
-
10
Barcelona000000 
-
-
-
-
11
A.Madrid000000 
Sep 17
-
-
-
12
Benfica000000 
-
-
-
-
13
Villarreal000000 
-
-
-
-
14
Arsenal000000 
-
-
-
Oct 21
15
Atalanta000000 
-
-
-
-
16
Juventus000000 
-
-
-
-
17
Brugge000000 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV000000 
Nov 26
-
-
Dec 9
19
E.Frankfurt000000 
-
Oct 22
Sep 30
-
20
Ajax000000 
-
-
-
-
21
Napoli000000 
-
-
-
-
22
S. Lisbon000000 
-
-
-
-
23
Slavia000000 
-
-
-
-
24
Spurs000000 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille000000 
-
Jan 21
-
-
26
Olympiakos000000 
-
-
-
-
27
Kobenhavn000000 
-
-
-
-
28
Monaco000000 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø000000 
-
-
Jan 28
-
30
Galatasaray000000 
-
Sep 30
-
Jan 21
31
Union SG000000 
-
-
Nov 4
-
32
Qarabag000000 
Jan 28
-
-
-
33
Newcastle000000 
-
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao000000 
-
-
-
-
35
Paphos000000 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty000000 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool0 - 1PSG
Liverpool2 - 1Lille
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Liverpool4 - 0Leverkusen
Liverpool2 - 0Bologna
Liverpool0 - 3Atalanta
Liverpool6 - 1Sparta
Liverpool4 - 0LASK Linz
Liverpool5 - 1Toulouse
Liverpool2 - 0Union SG
Liverpool2 - 5Real Madrid
Liverpool0 - 0Napoli
Liverpool2 - 0Rangers
Liverpool2 - 1Ajax
Liverpool0 - 1Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Villarreal
Liverpool3 - 3Benfica
Liverpool0 - 1Inter
Liverpool2 - 0Porto
Liverpool2 - 0A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool0 - 1PSG
ALiverpool1 - 0PSG
ALiverpool2 - 3PSV
HLiverpool2 - 1Lille
ALiverpool1 - 0Girona
HLiverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
HLiverpool4 - 0Leverkusen
ALiverpool1 - 0RB Leipzig
HLiverpool2 - 0Bologna
ALiverpool3 - 1Milan
ALiverpool1 - 0Atalanta
HLiverpool0 - 3Atalanta
HLiverpool6 - 1Sparta
ALiverpool5 - 1Sparta
ALiverpool1 - 2Union SG
HLiverpool4 - 0LASK Linz
ALiverpool2 - 3Toulouse
HLiverpool5 - 1Toulouse
HLiverpool2 - 0Union SG
ALiverpool3 - 1LASK Linz
A.Madrid
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Salzburg1 - 4A.Madrid
Sparta0 - 6A.Madrid
PSG1 - 2A.Madrid
Benfica4 - 0A.Madrid
Dortmund4 - 2A.Madrid
Inter1 - 0A.Madrid
Feyenoord1 - 3A.Madrid
Celtic2 - 2A.Madrid
Lazio1 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Brugge2 - 0A.Madrid
Leverkusen2 - 0A.Madrid
Man City1 - 0A.Madrid
Man Utd0 - 1A.Madrid
Porto1 - 3A.Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0A.Madrid
Milan1 - 2A.Madrid
Chelsea2 - 0A.Madrid
Salzburg0 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
AA.Madrid2 - 1PSG
HA.Madrid1 - 3Lille
AA.Madrid0 - 4Benfica
HA.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
AA.Madrid2 - 2Celtic
HA.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
AA.Madrid1 - 1Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Liverpool since 2008
Liverpool
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
LIV
2
D
1
ATM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool2 - 0
2 - 3A.Madrid
Liverpool2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A.Madrid since 2008
A.Madrid
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
LIV
1
D
1
ATM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
2 - 3Liverpool
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Liverpool in their clash with Atletico de Madrid, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 62 consecutive Champions League matches.

Liverpool A.Madrid
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 60% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Liverpool have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
A.Madrid have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
2
1.1
Attack rating
23%
better
LIV
ATM
view stats
Games scored19
14
Failed to score1
5
Scored first14
12
Goals scored38
32
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
LIV
ATM
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded25
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Liverpool v A.Madrid will show here when available.

Liverpool Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Woodman GLK
-
Alisson GLK
-
G Mamardashvili GLK
-
J Frimpong DEF
-
C Bradley DEF
-
V Dijk  DEF
-
I Konaté DEF
-
J Gomez DEF
-
A Robertson DEF
-
G. Leoni DEF
-
C Ramsey DEF
-
R Williams DEF
-
M Kerkez DEF
-
F Wirtz MID
-
S Bajčetić MID
-
R Gravenberch MID
-
D Szoboszlai MID
-
C Jones MID
-
A Mac Allister MID
-
W Endo MID
-
T. Nyoni MID
-
A Isak FWD
-
C Gakpo FWD
-
F Chiesa FWD
-
M Salah FWD
-
H Ekitiké FWD
-
R. Ngumoha FWD
-
A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Musso GLK
-
J Oblak GLK
-
R Normand DEF
-
J Galán DEF
-
N Molina DEF
-
J Giménez DEF
-
M Pubill DEF
-
D Hancko DEF
-
C Lenglet DEF
-
M Ruggeri DEF
-
M Llorente DEF
-
C Gallagher MID
-
T Almada MID
-
Johnny MID
-
Koke MID
-
P Barrios MID
-
Álex Baena MID
-
N González FWD
-
J Álvarez FWD
-
A Griezmann FWD
-
G Simeone FWD
-
C Martín FWD
-
G Raspadori FWD
-
A Sörloth FWD
-