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Marseille v Ajax : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 30th Sep, 20:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille side enjoy home advantage in the Champions League on Tuesday night, as Johnny Heitinga's Ajax travel to the Stade Vélodrome. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
50%
--
Draw
23%
--
Ajax
27%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Marseille 2-1
9%
--
Marseille 1-0
8%
--
Marseille 2-0
7%
--
Ajax 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Marseille 3-1
6%
--
Ajax 1-0
5%
--
Marseille 3-0
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Marseille 3-2
4%
--
Ajax 2-0
4%
--
Ajax 3-1
3%
--
Ajax 3-2
3%
--
Marseille 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
43%
--
Marseille win to nil
23%
--
Ajax win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City000000 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid000000 
-
Sep 16
-
-
3
Bayern000000 
-
-
-
-
4
Liverpool000000 
Jan 21
-
-
-
5
PSG000000 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea000000 
-
-
-
Oct 22
7
Inter000000 
-
-
Sep 17
-
8
Dortmund000000 
-
-
-
-
9
Leverkusen000000 
-
-
-
-
10
Barcelona000000 
-
-
-
-
11
A.Madrid000000 
-
-
-
-
12
Benfica000000 
-
-
Nov 25
-
13
Villarreal000000 
-
-
-
Jan 20
14
Arsenal000000 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta000000 
Nov 5
-
-
-
16
Juventus000000 
-
-
-
-
17
Brugge000000 
-
Jan 28
-
-
18
PSV000000 
-
-
-
-
19
E.Frankfurt000000 
-
-
-
-
20
Ajax000000 
Sep 30
-
-
-
21
Napoli000000 
-
-
-
-
22
S. Lisbon000000 
-
Oct 22
-
-
23
Slavia000000 
-
-
-
-
24
Spurs000000 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille000000 
-
-
-
Sep 30
26
Olympiakos000000 
-
-
Jan 28
-
27
Kobenhavn000000 
-
-
-
-
28
Monaco000000 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø000000 
-
-
-
-
30
Galatasaray000000 
-
-
Nov 5
-
31
Union SG000000 
-
Dec 9
-
-
32
Qarabag000000 
-
-
-
Dec 10
33
Newcastle000000 
Nov 25
-
-
-
34
A.Bilbao000000 
-
-
-
-
35
Paphos000000 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty000000 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Marseille
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 1Atalanta
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
Marseille4 - 0Villarreal
Marseille3 - 1Shakhtar
Marseille4 - 3Ajax
Marseille3 - 1AEK
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
Marseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
Marseille1 - 2Spurs
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille0 - 1E.Frankfurt
Marseille0 - 0Feyenoord
Marseille2 - 1PAOK
Marseille2 - 1Basel
Marseille3 - 1Qarabag
Marseille1 - 0Lok. Moscow
Marseille2 - 2Lazio
Marseille0 - 0Galatasaray
Marseille2 - 1Olympiakos
Marseille0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 3Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 1Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 0Benfica
AMarseille1 - 2Benfica
AMarseille1 - 3Villarreal
HMarseille4 - 0Villarreal
HMarseille3 - 1Shakhtar
AMarseille2 - 2Shakhtar
AMarseille0 - 1Brighton
HMarseille4 - 3Ajax
AMarseille2 - 0AEK
HMarseille3 - 1AEK
HMarseille2 - 2Brighton
AMarseille3 - 3Ajax
HMarseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
AMarseille0 - 1Panathinaikos
HMarseille1 - 2Spurs
AMarseille1 - 2E.Frankfurt
AMarseille2 - 0S. Lisbon
HMarseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
Ajax
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
E.Frankfurt4 - 1Ajax
Union SG0 - 2Ajax
Rigas Futbola Skola1 - 0Ajax
R.Sociedad2 - 0Ajax
Qarabag0 - 3Ajax
Slavia1 - 1Ajax
Jagiellonia1 - 4Ajax
Panathinaikos0 - 1Ajax
Vojvodina1 - 3Ajax
A Villa4 - 0Ajax
Bodø1 - 1Ajax
Marseille4 - 3Ajax
Brighton2 - 0Ajax
AEK1 - 1Ajax
Ludogorets1 - 4Ajax
Union Berlin3 - 1Ajax
Rangers1 - 3Ajax
Napoli4 - 2Ajax
Liverpool2 - 1Ajax
Benfica2 - 2Ajax
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 4E.Frankfurt
HAjax1 - 2E.Frankfurt
HAjax0 - 2Union SG
AAjax2 - 0Union SG
HAjax2 - 1Galatasaray
AAjax0 - 1Rigas Futbola Skola
HAjax1 - 3Lazio
AAjax0 - 2R.Sociedad
HAjax5 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AAjax3 - 0Qarabag
AAjax1 - 1Slavia
HAjax4 - 0Besiktas
HAjax3 - 0Jagiellonia
AAjax4 - 1Jagiellonia
HAjax0 - 1Panathinaikos
AAjax1 - 0Panathinaikos
AAjax3 - 1Vojvodina
HAjax1 - 0Vojvodina
AAjax0 - 4A Villa
HAjax0 - 0A Villa
Goal Statistics
Marseille Ajax
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Ajax will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Ajax have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
MAR
AJA
2%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score5
3
Scored first9
11
Goals scored40
31
Avg. goals scored2
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
MAR
AJA
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
12
Clean sheets2
8
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded30
25
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against23%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Marseille v Ajax will show here when available.

Marseille Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Ajax Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE