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Real Madrid v Benfica : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 25th Feb, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Álvaro Arbeloa Coca’s Real Madrid will have the joy of it on Wednesday night. José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho’s Benfica are their visitors to the Santiago Bernabéu. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) records, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We are predicting Real Madrid will claim victory after 90 mins on Wednesday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Santiago Bernabéu.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
64%
12/2510/21
Draw
19%
4/119/5
Benfica
17%
17/419/4
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8/115/2
Draw 1-1
8%
9/18/1
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/19/1
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
9/18/1
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
11/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Benfica 2-1
5%
14/114/1
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
18/114/1
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/116/1
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
18/114/1
Benfica 1-0
4%
18/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/116/1
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
28/122/1
Benfica 3-2
2%
33/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/210/21
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/88/5
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/92/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/82/1
No 1st Goal
2%
20/114/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
39%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
35%
7/417/10
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/17/1
Home/draw
83%
1/62/15
Away/draw
36%
13/88/5
Home/away
81%
1/62/11
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/71/7
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/217/4
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/523/20
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/613/20
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
11/413/5
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/71/4
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
11/211/2
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/91/10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/80
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Home DNB
77%
1/52/11
Away DNB
30%
10/310/3
Real Madrid win to nil
29%
2/1-
Benfica win to nil
7%
10/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
38%
11/1011/10
Real Madrid / Benfica
3%
33/128/1
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
7/27/2
Draw / Benfica
7%
11/111/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/113/2
Benfica / Real Madrid
5%
18/114/1
Benfica / Benfica
9%
17/27/1
Benfica / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Champions League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 4 goals at home.

Benfica are in 24th position in the Champions League on 9 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Benfica have conceded 13 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 25
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
Feb 25
w
 
0-1F
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
Benfica 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 8 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Real Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Á. Arbeloa Coca's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Champions League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid 9th Benfica 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Benfica have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
13%
better
RMD
BEF
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first14
13
Goals scored46
41
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for2.1
2.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
RMD
BEF
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded24
15
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.7
KickOff rating
+13%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Benfica will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
91344
A TchouameniK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Güler MID94
1
-
A Tchouameni MID9
2
-
V Junior FWD924
2
-
T Courtois GLK81
-
F Valverde MID82
-
K Mbappé FWD8131
1
-
B Díaz FWD81
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF71
1
1
Álvaro Fernandez DEF7
4
-
J Bellingham MID721
2
-
E Camavinga MID711
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF6
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD51
-
Rodrygo FWD511
2
1
T Alexander-Arnold DEF4
-
F García DEF4
-
D Ceballos MID4
-
G. García Torres FWD41
-
Éder Militão DEF3
1
-
D Carvajal DEF3
1
D Alaba DEF2
-
A Rüdiger DEF2
1
-
A Lunin GLK1
-
F Mendy DEF1
-
Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13343
A TrubinA SchjelderupF AursnesR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK131
-
A Dedic DEF13
1
-
N Otamendi DEF13
2
-
F Aursnes MID1314
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD1322
-
S Dahl DEF1211
2
-
E Barrenechea MID121
2
-
L Barreiro MID1221
2
-
R Ríos MID1111
3
-
A Silva DEF10
2
-
F Ivanovic FWD1011
-
H Sudakov MID92
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD931
1
-
T Araújo DEF8
1
-
G Prestianni FWD71
2
-
H Araújo FWD4
-
D Lukébakio FWD4
2
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID2
-
S Cabral DEF1
-
J. Formoso Neto DEF1
-
Manu MID1
-
R Silva FWD1
-