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Real Madrid v Marseille : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 16th Sep, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Tuesday night sees Xabi Alonso’s Real Madrid and Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille go up against one another in a Champions League clash at the Santiago Bernabéu. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Champions League clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We're predicting Real Madrid will claim victory after 90 minutes on Tuesday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Santiago Bernabéu.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
70%
4/11
1%
2/5
Draw
16%
4/1
5%
17/4
Marseille
13%
13/26/1
8%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/117/2
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
10/19/1
Draw 1-1
7%
9/19/1
5%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
10/117/2
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/114/1
15%
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
16/114/1
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Marseille 2-1
4%
20/116/1
Marseille 1-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Real Madrid 5-1
3%
28/120/1
9%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
2/5
2%
2/5
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
2/19/5
Home 1st Goal
58%
4/11
3%
4/11
Away 1st Goal
41%
2/1
4%
11/5
3%
No 1st Goal
1%
22/116/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
3%
8/13
1%
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
38%
6/4
4%
29/20
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/219/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/18/1
6%
Home/draw
87%
1/101/10
1%
Away/draw
30%
2/119/10
1%
Home/away
84%
1/6
1%
2/13
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/91/8
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
11/219/4
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
1/11/1
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
11/521/10
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
4/111/3
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
9/29/2
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/72/15
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
1/150
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Home DNB
82%
1/82/15
1%
Away DNB
25%
5/117/4
5%
Real Madrid win to nil
32%
7/4-
Marseille win to nil
5%
16/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
41%
20/211/1
Real Madrid / Marseille
2%
40/133/1
17%
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/316/5
3%
Draw / Marseille
5%
16/112/1
8%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/213/2
Marseille / Real Madrid
5%
16/114/1
Marseille / Marseille
8%
11/117/2
Marseille / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City000000 
Dec 10
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid000000 
-
-
-
Sep 16
3
Bayern000000 
-
-
-
-
4
Liverpool000000 
-
Nov 4
Jan 21
-
5
PSG000000 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea000000 
-
-
-
-
7
Inter000000 
-
-
-
-
8
Dortmund000000 
-
-
-
-
9
Leverkusen000000 
-
-
-
-
10
Barcelona000000 
-
-
-
-
11
A.Madrid000000 
-
-
-
-
12
Benfica000000 
-
Jan 28
-
-
13
Villarreal000000 
-
-
-
-
14
Arsenal000000 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta000000 
-
-
Nov 5
-
16
Juventus000000 
Oct 22
-
-
-
17
Brugge000000 
-
-
-
Jan 28
18
PSV000000 
-
-
-
-
19
E.Frankfurt000000 
-
-
-
-
20
Ajax000000 
-
-
Sep 30
-
21
Napoli000000 
-
-
-
-
22
S. Lisbon000000 
-
-
-
Oct 22
23
Slavia000000 
-
-
-
-
24
Spurs000000 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille000000 
Sep 16
-
-
-
26
Olympiakos000000 
-
Nov 26
-
-
27
Kobenhavn000000 
-
-
-
-
28
Monaco000000 
Jan 20
-
-
-
29
Bodø000000 
-
-
-
-
30
Galatasaray000000 
-
-
-
-
31
Union SG000000 
-
-
-
Dec 9
32
Qarabag000000 
-
-
-
-
33
Newcastle000000 
-
-
Nov 25
-
34
A.Bilbao000000 
-
-
-
-
35
Paphos000000 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty000000 
-
Sep 30
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Marseille
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.6 is decent for Real Madrid in their clash with Marseille, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 54 consecutive Champions League outings.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Marseille of late. It has been 5 Champions League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday night against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid Marseille
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 25% probability that Real Madrid will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Real Madrid have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-18
Marseille have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
2.6
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
MAR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
MAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Marseille will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK
-
T Courtois GLK
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF
-
D. Huijsen DEF
-
D Alaba DEF
-
A Rüdiger DEF
-
Éder Militão DEF
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF
-
F Mendy DEF
-
D Carvajal DEF
-
F García DEF
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF
-
F Valverde MID
-
A Güler MID
-
A Tchouameni MID
-
E Camavinga MID
-
D Ceballos MID
-
J Bellingham MID
-
F. Mastantuono FWD
-
Endrick FWD
-
Rodrygo FWD
-
K Mbappé FWD
-
B Díaz FWD
-
V Junior FWD
-
G. García Torres FWD
-
Marseille Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK
-
T Vermot GLK
-
R Blanco GLK
-
J Neck GLK
-
J Lange GLK
-
B Pavard DEF
-
Emerson DEF
-
M Murillo DEF
-
P Lirola DEF
-
L Balerdi DEF
-
C Egan-Riley DEF
-
F Medina DEF
-
U Garcia DEF
-
A Vermeeren MID
-
P Höjbjerg MID
-
G Kondogbia MID
-
A Harit  MID
-
B Nadir MID
-
D. Bakola MID
-
A Gomes MID
-
H Traorè FWD
-
P Aubameyang FWD
-
N Maupay FWD
-
A Gouiri FWD
-
F Mughe FWD
-
M Greenwood  FWD
-
R. Vaz FWD
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD
-
I Paixão FWD
-
T Weah FWD
-