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Athletic Bilbao v Manchester United : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st May, 20:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United go head to head at the San Mamés on Thursday night, with both Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and Ruben Amorim seeking a win in the Europa League. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. A.Bilbao and Man Utd have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the Europa League individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
47%
11/10
10%
-
Draw
26%
23/10
8%
-
Man Utd
27%
13/5
4%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
-
A.Bilbao 1-0
12%
11/2-
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
8/1-
A.Bilbao 2-0
9%
17/2
12%
-
Man Utd 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
16%
-
Man Utd 2-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Man Utd 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
A.Bilbao 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
A.Bilbao 3-0
4%
18/1
27%
-
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Man Utd 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Man Utd 3-2
2%
40/1-
A.Bilbao 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
53%
7/10
7%
-
Home/away
74%
1/3
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2/1
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
16%
-
Home DNB
65%
1/2
7%
-
Away DNB
45%
6/4
9%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
27%
12/5
13%
-
Man Utd win to nil
15%
9/2
8%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
24%
12/5
10%
-
A.Bilbao / Man Utd
2%
33/1-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A.Bilbao
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Man Utd
11%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
Man Utd / A.Bilbao
3%
25/1
13%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
14%
5/1
14%
-
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Europa League table

A.Bilbao have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Europa League league table. A.Bilbao have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 16 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio86111219 
-
-
-
-
2
A.Bilbao Home8611819 
-
-
May 8
May 1
3
Man Utd Away8530718 
May 1
May 8
-
-
4
Spurs8521817 
-
-
-
-
5
E.Frankfurt8512416 
-
-
-
-
6
Lyon8431815 
-
-
w
 
5-4F
d
 
2-2A
7
Olympiakos8431615 
-
-
-
-
8
Rangers8422614 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
-
9
Bodø8422314 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
-
10
Anderlecht8422214 
-
-
-
-
11
FCSB8422114 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
12
Ajax8413813 
-
-
-
-
13
R.Sociedad8413413 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
14
Galatasaray8341313 
-
-
-
-
15
Roma8332412 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
16
Plzen8332112 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
w
 
1-2A
17
Ferencvaros8404012 
-
-
-
-
18
Porto8323211 
-
-
-
d
 
3-3F
19
AZ Alkmaar8323011 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
20
Midtjylland8323011 
-
-
-
-
21
Union SG8323011 
-
-
-
-
22
PAOK8314210 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
23
Twente8242-110 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
-
24
Fenerbahce8242-210 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
d
 
1-1F
25
Braga8314-310 
-
-
-
-
26
Elfsborg8314-510 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
27
Hoffenheim8233-39 
-
-
-
-
28
Besiktas8305-59 
-
l
 
4-1A
-
-
29
M. Tel-Aviv8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia8125-45 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
31
Malmö8125-75 
-
-
-
-
32
Rigas Futbola Skola8125-75 
-
-
-
-
33
Ludogorets8044-74 
-
w
 
1-2A
-
-
34
Dynamo Kyiv8116-134 
-
-
-
-
35
Nice8035-93 
-
-
-
-
36
Qarabag8107-143 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
A.Bilbao have won 6 consecutive home european games
6
A.Bilbao have not lost in 6 consecutive home european games
12
Man Utd have not lost in 12 consecutive european games
A.Bilbao 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Man Utd 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Manchester United of late. It has been 5 Europa League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Athletic Bilbao.

A.Bilbao 2nd Man Utd 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302649/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.4
1
Attack rating
4%
better
ATH
MNU
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first9
7
Goals scored31
28
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
28%
better
ATH
MNU
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first7
12
Goals conceded17
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between A.Bilbao v Man Utd will show here when available.

A.Bilbao Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11533
N WilliamsN WilliamsÁlex BerenguerY Álvarez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Berenguer FWD123
1
-
N Williams FWD1253
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK11
-
I Galarreta MID11
2
-
B Prados MID1111
1
-
U Gómez MID1111
1
-
G Guruzeta FWD1112
-
I Williams FWD1151
2
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF102
1
-
D Vivian DEF10
2
-
Y Berchiche DEF911
2
-
A Paredes DEF911
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID9
1
-
A Gorosabel DEF7
2
-
O Sancet MID722
2
-
M Vesga MID6
1
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD6
1
-
Y Álvarez DEF51
2
1
I Lekue DEF4
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD41
2
-
U Núñez DEF32
-
U Simón GLK1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF111
-
Man Utd Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11543
D DalotR HöjlundA GarnachoB Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Dalot DEF123
1
-
A Garnacho FWD1214
1
-
R Höjlund FWD1252
-
N Mazraoui  DEF111
1
-
B Fernandes MID1153
2
1
A Onana GLK10
1
-
Casemiro MID102
2
-
J Zirkzee FWD1021
-
C Eriksen MID922
-
M Ligt DEF8
2
-
L Martínez  DEF81
1
-
M Ugarte MID812
2
-
A Diallo FWD82
-
M Mount  MID6
1
-
L Yoro DEF51
1
-
H Maguire DEF521
1
-
K Mainoo MID521
1
-
V Lindelöf DEF4
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF4
-
T. Collyer MID4
1
-
A Bayındır GLK2
-
L Shaw DEF2
-
J Evans  DEF2
-
A. Heaven DEF1
-