Celje's team badge AEK Larnaca's team badge

Celje v AEK Larnaca : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 24th Jul, 19:00 BST, Stadion Z'dežele, Celje

the Stadion Z'dežele is the setting on Thursday evening, as Albert Riera Ortega's Celje welcome Henning Berg's AEK Larnaca in the Europa League. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Europa League clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Celje and AEK Larnaca combined during 90 minutes. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 77% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Celje are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Celje
46%
21/2011/10
Draw
26%
11/523/10
AEK Larnaca
28%
5/213/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Celje 1-0
12%
11/211/2
Celje 2-1
9%
17/215/2
AEK Larnaca 1-0
9%
17/215/2
Celje 2-0
8%
17/28/1
Draw 0-0
8%
7/113/2
AEK Larnaca 2-1
7%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
AEK Larnaca 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Celje 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Celje 3-0
4%
18/114/1
AEK Larnaca 3-1
2%
28/125/1
Celje 3-2
2%
33/125/1
AEK Larnaca 3-2
2%
40/128/1
AEK Larnaca 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/523/20
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
13/208/13
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/63/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/429/20
No 1st Goal
5%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/1119/20
BTTS - No
50%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4/118/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/26/1
Home/draw
72%
2/72/7
Away/draw
54%
8/117/10
Home/away
74%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/112/5
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
2/19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/129/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
13/27/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/661/100
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/161/14
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/113/2
Home DNB
64%
1/210/21
Away DNB
46%
6/429/20
Celje win to nil
26%
12/5-
AEK Larnaca win to nil
15%
9/2-
Celje / Celje
24%
9/423/10
Celje / AEK Larnaca
2%
40/125/1
Celje / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Celje
16%
4/119/5
Draw / AEK Larnaca
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
17%
15/417/5
AEK Larnaca / Celje
3%
28/120/1
AEK Larnaca / AEK Larnaca
14%
9/29/2
AEK Larnaca / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Celje
AEK Larnaca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sabah 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-3A
-
-
2
AEK Larnaca 
Jul 24
Jul 31
-
-
3
P. Belgrade 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
4
Celje 
-
-
Jul 31
Jul 24
Win / draw / win form
3
AEK Larnaca have lost 3 consecutive away european games
3
AEK Larnaca have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games
Celje
16 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 16
Conceded
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
Failed to score
0 / 16
Won
8
Draw
4
Lost
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AEK Larnaca
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Celje have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against AEK Larnaca on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for AEK Larnaca of late. It has been 7 Europa League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday evening against Celje.

Celje AEK Larnaca
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Celje will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that AEK Larnaca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
16 home / away league games
+25
Celje have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+7
AEK Larnaca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/310460/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Celje
PG (predicted goals)
AEK Larnaca
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
33%
better
LAR
view stats
Games scored17
12
Failed to score3
8
Scored first8
7
Goals scored36
19
Avg. goals scored1.8
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.8
0
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
LAR
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first12
12
Goals conceded38
28
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
0
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celje v AEK Larnaca will show here when available.

Celje Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
Žan KarničnikD VuklisevicA KotnikJ Nieto
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Žan Karničnik DEF2
-
D Vuklisevic DEF21
-
J Nieto DEF2
2
-
A Tutyškinas DEF2
1
-
A Kotnik MID21
-
M. Zabukovnik MID2
-
M Kvesic MID21
-
N Iosifov FWD211
-
L Bejger DEF1
-
A Chidi FWD1
-
AEK Larnaca Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
Z AlomerovicP PonsJ. GnaliV Roberge
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Alomerovic GLK2
-
H Milicevic DEF2
-
G Ekpolo DEF2
-
J. Gnali DEF21
-
V Roberge DEF2
1
-
Ángel García DEF2
-
M Rohdén MID2
-
G Ledes MID21
-
P Pons MID21
1
-
J Suárez MID2
-
K Angielski FWD2
-
Y Chacón FWD2
1
-
J Miramón DEF1
-
E Cabrera FWD11
-