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KRC Genk v Malmo FF : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 29th Jan, 20:00 BST, Cristal Arena, Genk

KRC Genk and Malmo FF clash at the Cristal Arena on Thursday night, with both Thorsten Fink and Miguel Ángel Ramírez seeking a win in the Europa League. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Thursday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Genk and Malmö to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Genk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Genk
52%
-17/20
1%
Draw
21%
-27/10
9%
Malmö
27%
-3/1
11%
Genk 2-1
9%
-7/1
Draw 1-1
9%
-6/1
8%
Draw 2-2
7%
-10/1
Malmö 2-1
6%
-11/1
8%
Genk 2-0
6%
-17/2
5%
Genk 3-1
6%
-11/1
Genk 1-0
6%
-15/2
6%
Genk 3-2
5%
-16/1
Genk 3-0
4%
-12/1
Malmö 1-0
4%
-12/1
13%
Genk 4-1
3%
-20/1
Malmö 3-2
3%
-22/1
12%
Malmö 2-0
3%
-18/1
10%
Malmö 3-1
3%
-22/1
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
-11/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
-8/13
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
-6/5
Home 1st Goal
52%
-3/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
46%
-6/4
5%
No 1st Goal
2%
-10/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
66%
-3/5
2%
BTTS - No
34%
-5/4
BTTS - Home Win
31%
-9/4
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
-10/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-5/1
8%
Home/draw
73%
-2/9
2%
Away/draw
48%
-19/20
Home/away
79%
-1/4
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
-1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
-16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
-6/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
-10/21
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
-10/3
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
-2/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
-7/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
-1/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-10/1
10%
Home DNB
67%
-4/11
5%
Away DNB
42%
-19/10
9%
Genk win to nil
21%
--
Malmö win to nil
10%
--
Genk / Genk
28%
-17/10
4%
Genk / Malmö
3%
-25/1
Genk / Draw
6%
-11/1
9%
Draw / Genk
15%
-4/1
9%
Draw / Malmö
9%
-15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
10%
Malmö / Genk
5%
-16/1
Malmö / Malmö
13%
-5/1
14%
Malmö / Draw
6%
-11/1
Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Genk
Malmö
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon65011015 
-
-
-
-
2
Midtjylland6501815 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
A Villa6501615 
-
-
-
-
4
Real Betis6420714 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
5
Freiburg6420614 
-
-
-
-
6
Ferencvaros6420514 
l
 
0-1A
-
-
-
7
Braga6411513 
-
w
 
3-4A
-
-
8
Porto6411413 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
9
Stuttgart6402712 
-
-
-
-
10
Roma6402512 
-
-
-
-
11
Nottm Forest6321511 
-
-
-
l
 
3-0A
12
Fenerbahce6321411 
-
-
-
-
13
Bologna6321411 
-
-
-
-
14
Plzen6240410 
-
-
-
l
 
3-0A
15
Panathinaikos6312210 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
-
16
Genk6312110 
-
-
-
Jan 29
17
Red Star Bel.6312010 
-
-
Jan 22
-
18
PAOK623139 
-
-
-
-
19
Celta630339 
-
-
-
-
20
Lille630339 
-
-
-
-
21
Young Boys6303-49 
-
-
-
-
22
Brann6222-18 
-
-
-
-
23
Ludogorets6213-37 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
24
Celtic6213-47 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb6213-57 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
-
26
Basel6204-16 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
27
FCSB6204-46 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles6204-66 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz6114-44 
-
-
-
-
30
Feyenoord6105-63 
-
-
-
-
31
Salzburg6105-63 
-
-
-
-
32
Utrecht6015-61 
-
Jan 22
-
-
33
Rangers6015-81 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
34
Malmö6015-91 
Jan 29
-
-
-
35
M. Tel-Aviv6015-161 
-
-
-
-
36
Nice6006-90 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Malmö have lost 3 consecutive away european games
Genk 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Malmö 34TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for KRC Genk in their meeting with Malmo FF, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 34 consecutive Europa League outings.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Malmo FF of late. It has been 6 Europa League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against KRC Genk.

Genk 16th Malmö 34th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Genk will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Malmö will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
Genk have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Malmö have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Genk
PG (predicted goals)
Malmö
2.1
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
GNK
MMO
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score5
6
Scored first8
7
Goals scored25
25
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
GNK
MMO
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded29
33
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+1%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Genk v Malmö will show here when available.

Genk Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8432
M SmetsH OhJ SteuckersM Smets
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Smets DEF81
2
-
B Heynen MID81
1
-
K. Karetsas MID812
1
-
P Hrosovsky MID82
-
H Oh FWD84
1
-
Y Medina DEF71
1
-
M Sadick DEF7
1
-
Y Sor FWD711
-
H Crombrugge GLK6
-
J Kayembe DEF6
-
N Sattlberger MID61
-
J Steuckers FWD63
1
-
Z Ouahdi DEF51
1
-
K Nkuba DEF5
-
I. Bangoura MID5
1
-
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD5
1
-
J Erabi FWD5
-
D Heymans MID412
1
-
J Ito FWD31
1
-
R. Mirisola FWD3
-
T Lawal GLK2
-
A. Palacios Hernández DEF2
-
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF2
1
-
Malmö Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
J LarsenS HaksabanovicT AliBusanello
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Larsen DEF8
1
-
Busanello DEF8
2
-
P Jansson DEF8
2
-
A Skogmar MID8
1
-
C Rösler DEF7
1
-
S Haksabanovic FWD72
-
E Ekong FWD71
1
-
L Johnsen MID621
1
1
O Rosengren MID61
1
-
H Bolin MID6
-
D Gudjohnsen FWD61
1
1
R Olsen GLK5
1
-
A. Đurić DEF5
1
-
K. Busuladzic MID5
1
-
A Christiansen MID5
2
-
O Berg MID4
-
O Lewicki MID41
-
T Ali FWD42
1
-
M Ellborg GLK3
-
S Vecchia FWD3
1
-
S Soumah FWD3
-
J Karlsson DEF1
-
E Botheim FWD1
-
A Sigurdsson FWD1
-