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Lille v PAOK Salonika : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Oct, 20:00 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Bruno Genesio's Lille side enjoy home advantage in the Europa League on Thursday night, as Razvan Lucescu's PAOK Salonika travel to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Europa League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Lille and PAOK will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Bruno Genesio or Razvan Lucescu has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 77% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lille 60%	3/5 2%	13/20 5%
Draw 22%	3/1 5%	14/5 12%
PAOK 18%	17/4	9/2 5%
Lille 1-0 11%	6/1 13%	6/1 7%
Lille 2-0 11%	13/2 6%	13/2
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 6%	13/2 6%
Lille 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1 7%
Lille 3-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Lille 3-1 6%	12/1 8%	11/1 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1 8%	9/1 17%
PAOK 1-0 6%	14/1	12/1
PAOK 2-1 5%	16/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1 13%
Lille 4-0 3%	22/1 10%	18/1 12%
Lille 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Lille 3-2 3%	25/1 13%	20/1 11%
PAOK 2-0 3%	28/1	22/1
PAOK 3-1 2%	40/1	33/1 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	4/5 4%	4/5 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	1/1 5%	19/20 7%
Home 1st Goal 57%	1/2	1/2 1%
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4	2/1 3%
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 8%	8/1 18%
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/5	5/6 2%
BTTS - No 48%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 27%	5/2 8%	23/10 6%
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1 9%	19/5 9%
BTTS - Away Win 9%	17/2	15/2
Home/draw 82%	1/6	1/7 1%
Away/draw 40%	13/10	5/4 5%
Home/away 78%	2/9	1/4 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4 2%	1/4 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	3/1 8%	13/5 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	2/1 9%	19/10 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	2/5 3%	4/11 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	9/2 10%	17/4 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/7 3%	2/15 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1 10%	9/1 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	1/25 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25	1/20 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11/1 8%	17/2 14%
Home DNB 75%	2/9	2/9
Away DNB 34%	3/1	29/10
Lille win to nil 33%	13/8	-
PAOK win to nil 9%	9/1	-
Lille / Lille 33%	6/4 5%	29/20 7%
Lille / PAOK 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 15%
Lille / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Lille 19%	7/2	16/5 3%
Draw / PAOK 8%	10/1	9/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 8%	17/4 13%
PAOK / Lille 4%	20/1	18/1 12%
PAOK / PAOK 9%	8/1 5%	7/1 7%
PAOK / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1 13%

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lille PAOK
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	4	6	Nov 27	-	-	-
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	-	-	-
3	A Villa	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	-	-	-
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	-	-	-
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3	6	-	-	-	Jan 29
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	2	6	-	-	-	Oct 23
7	Porto	2	2	0	0	2	6	-	-	-	-
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	3	4	-	-	-	-
9	Real Betis	2	1	1	0	2	4	-	-	Jan 22	-
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	1	4	Jan 29	-	-	-
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	1	4	-	-	-	-
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	2	3	-	-	-	-
13	Celta	2	1	0	1	1	3	-	Jan 22	-	l 3-1F
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	1	3	-	-	-	-
15	GA Eagles	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	-	-	-
16	Roma	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	w 0-1F	-	-
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	0	3	w 2-1F	-	Nov 27	-
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	0	3	-	-	-	-
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	Dec 11	Nov 6	-
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	-
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	Dec 11
22	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	-
23	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	-
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	-1	3	-	-	-	-
25	Nottm Forest	2	0	1	1	-1	1	-	-	-	-
26	Red Star Bel.	2	0	1	1	-1	1	-	Nov 6	-	-
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1	-	-	-	-
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	-2	1	Oct 23	-	-	-
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	-	-
30	M. Tel-Aviv	2	0	1	1	-2	1	-	-	d 0-00-0	-
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	-2	0	-	-	-	-
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	-2	0	-	-	-	-
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0	-	-	-	-
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	-3	0	-	-	-	-
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	-3	0	-	-	-	-
36	Malmö	2	0	0	2	-4	0	-	-	-	-
37	RZ Pellets							-	-	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
38	Rijeka							-	-	w 5-0F	l 1-0A

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	2 - 1	Brann
Lille	1 - 2	Dortmund
Lille	6 - 1	Feyenoord
Lille	3 - 2	Sturm Graz
Lille	1 - 1	Juventus
Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Lille	2 - 0	Slavia
Lille	2 - 1	Fenerbahce
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Lille	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
Lille	3 - 0	KI Klaksvik
Lille	2 - 1	S. Bratislava
Lille	2 - 0	Olimpija
Lille	2 - 1	Rijeka
Lille	1 - 2	Chelsea
Lille	1 - 0	Salzburg
Lille	0 - 0	Sevilla
Lille	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
Lille	1 - 2	Ajax
Lille	2 - 1	Sparta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lille	1 - 0	Roma
H	Lille	2 - 1	Brann
H	Lille	1 - 2	Dortmund
A	Lille	1 - 1	Dortmund
H	Lille	6 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Lille	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Lille	3 - 2	Sturm Graz
A	Lille	2 - 1	Bologna
H	Lille	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Lille	3 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
A	Lille	0 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	Lille	1 - 2	Slavia
H	Lille	2 - 0	Slavia
A	Lille	0 - 1	Fenerbahce
H	Lille	2 - 1	Fenerbahce
H	Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
A	Lille	1 - 2	A Villa
H	Lille	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
A	Lille	3 - 0	Sturm Graz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
Rijeka	1 - 0	PAOK
RZ Pellets	0 - 0	PAOK
FCSB	2 - 0	PAOK
R.Sociedad	2 - 0	PAOK
Rigas Futbola Skola	0 - 2	PAOK
Man Utd	2 - 0	PAOK
Galatasaray	3 - 1	PAOK
Shamrock	0 - 2	PAOK
Malmö	2 - 2	PAOK
Borac Banja Luka	0 - 1	PAOK
Brugge	1 - 0	PAOK
D. Zagreb	2 - 0	PAOK
E.Frankfurt	1 - 2	PAOK
Aberdeen	2 - 3	PAOK
HJK Helsinki	2 - 3	PAOK
Hearts	1 - 2	PAOK
Hajduk Split	0 - 0	PAOK
Jerusalem	1 - 4	PAOK
Levski	2 - 0	PAOK

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	PAOK	1 - 3	Celta
H	PAOK	0 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	PAOK	5 - 0	Rijeka
A	PAOK	0 - 1	Rijeka
A	PAOK	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
H	PAOK	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
A	PAOK	0 - 2	FCSB
H	PAOK	1 - 2	FCSB
A	PAOK	0 - 2	R.Sociedad
H	PAOK	2 - 0	Slavia
H	PAOK	5 - 0	Ferencvaros
A	PAOK	2 - 0	Rigas Futbola Skola
A	PAOK	0 - 2	Man Utd
H	PAOK	2 - 2	Plzen
H	PAOK	0 - 1	FCSB
A	PAOK	1 - 3	Galatasaray
A	PAOK	2 - 0	Shamrock
H	PAOK	4 - 0	Shamrock
H	PAOK	3 - 3	Malmö
A	PAOK	2 - 2	Malmö

Goal Statistics

Lille have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against PAOK Salonika on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Lille 6th	PAOK 28th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of PAOK scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Lille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-40 PAOK have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

20%

better

LIL

PAO

view stats

Games scored	15		13
Failed to score	3		5
Scored first	13		11
Goals scored	30		24
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		13
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+20%

LIL

PAO

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		9
Clean sheets	5		9
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	20		18
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1
KickOff rating		+12%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lille v PAOK will show here when available.

Lille Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
B Özer	H Haraldsson	M Fernandez	B Özer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Özer GLK	2			1 -
A Mandi DEF	2			1 -
C Mbemba DEF	2			-
C Verdonk DEF	2			1 -
N Bentaleb MID	2			-
H Haraldsson MID	2	1		-
N Mukau MID	2			1 -
O Sahraoui FWD	2			-
M Fernandez FWD	2		1	-
F Correia FWD	2		1	-
I. Hamza FWD	2	1		-
O Giroud FWD	2	1		-
R Perraud DEF	1			-
T Santos DEF	1		1	-
T Meunier DEF	1			-
B André MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
H Haraldsson	O Sahraoui	M Fernandez	M Fernandez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Haraldsson MID	1	1
I. Hamza FWD	1	1
O Giroud FWD	1	2
C Mbemba DEF		1
N Bentaleb MID				1
O Sahraoui FWD		2
M Fernandez FWD		2	1	2
F Correia FWD			1
T Santos DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
105	8	17
C Verdonk	C Verdonk	C Mbemba

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Verdonk DEF	105	8	12
C Mbemba DEF	102	5	17
N Bentaleb MID	102	3	7
H Haraldsson MID	91	3	6
B Özer GLK	85
O Sahraoui FWD	63	3	7
A Mandi DEF	52	2	3
F Correia FWD	49	1	5
T Meunier DEF	48	2	6
N Mukau MID	44	2	6
T Santos DEF	42		5
M Fernandez FWD	33	1	6
O Giroud FWD	27		9
I. Hamza FWD	24	5	8
B André MID	21
R Perraud DEF	10	3	1

PAOK Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	3	3
J Pavlenka	G Giakoumakis	G Konstantelias	M Ozdoev

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Pavlenka GLK	6			-
I Michailidis DEF	6			1 -
T Kedziora DEF	6			1 -
A Baba DEF	6			-
S Meïté MID	6	1	1	1 -
M Camara MID	6	1		-
G Konstantelias MID	6	1	3	2 -
M Ozdoev MID	6			3 -
A Zivkovic FWD	6		1	1 -
F Chalov FWD	6	1		-
J Kenny DEF	5			2 -
L Ivanusec MID	5			2 -
Taison FWD	4		1	-
G Giakoumakis FWD	3	2		1 -
A. Mythou FWD	3			-
K Despodov FWD	3			-
J Sastre DEF	2			-
D Pelkas MID	2	1		-
D. Chatsidis FWD	2		1	-
G Taylor DEF	1			-
A Vogliacco DEF	1			-
A Bianco MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	3	2
G Giakoumakis	G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Giakoumakis FWD	2	2
S Meïté MID	1	2	1
M Camara MID	1	2
G Konstantelias MID	1	4	3	2
F Chalov FWD	1	2
D Pelkas MID	1	1
I Michailidis DEF		1
A Baba DEF		1
M Ozdoev MID		3
A Zivkovic FWD		1	1	1
L Ivanusec MID				2
Taison FWD		1	1	1
D. Chatsidis FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
419	11	33
I Michailidis	J Kenny	G Konstantelias

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Michailidis DEF	419	10	21
T Kedziora DEF	334	4	12
A Baba DEF	260	8	26
S Meïté MID	248	9	22
J Kenny DEF	193	11	18
A Zivkovic FWD	180	5	15
G Konstantelias MID	174	5	33
M Ozdoev MID	145	2	8
J Pavlenka GLK	141		4
Taison FWD	95	2	10
M Camara MID	89	2	5
F Chalov FWD	71	2	15
L Ivanusec MID	47	2	5
J Sastre DEF	40	1	2
K Despodov FWD	34	1	8
D Pelkas MID	23	1	2
G Giakoumakis FWD	22	2	10
A Vogliacco DEF	21		1
A Bianco MID	18	1	2
A. Mythou FWD	12		6
G Taylor DEF	1