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Lyon v PAOK Salonika : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 29th Jan, 20:00 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Răzvan Lucescu will be hoping for a precious away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, as he takes his PAOK Salonika side to the Groupama Stadium to visit Lyon and Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Lyon to win

We're predicting Lyon will come out on top after 90 minutes on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when that final whistle blows at Groupama Stadium.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lyon 62%	-	8/13 1%
Draw 20%	-	29/10 3%
PAOK 18%	-	9/2 4%
Lyon 2-1 10%	-	7/1
Draw 1-1 9%	-	6/1 7%
Lyon 2-0 9%	-	13/2
Lyon 1-0 8%	-	6/1
Lyon 3-1 7%	-	11/1
Lyon 3-0 6%	-	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	14/1
PAOK 2-1 5%	-	14/1
PAOK 1-0 4%	-	12/1
Draw 0-0 4%	-	9/1
Lyon 3-2 4%	-	20/1
Lyon 4-1 4%	-	18/1
Lyon 4-0 4%	-	18/1
PAOK 2-0 2%	-	22/1
Lyon 4-2 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	3/4 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	19/20
Home 1st Goal 56%	-	10/21
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	2/1 3%
No 1st Goal 2%	-	17/2
BTTS - Yes 59%	-	5/6 1%
BTTS - No 41%	-	10/11 3%
BTTS - Home Win 32%	-	23/10
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	15/2 6%
Home/draw 82%	-	1/7 1%
Away/draw 38%	-	5/4 2%
Home/away 80%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	-	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	-	27/10 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	-	15/8 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	-	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	-	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	-	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	17/2
Home DNB 76%	-	2/9 2%
Away DNB 32%	-	29/10 3%
Lyon win to nil 30%	-	-
PAOK win to nil 8%	-	-
Lyon / Lyon 33%	-	11/8 3%
Lyon / PAOK 3%	-	28/1 15%
Lyon / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Lyon 17%	-	7/2 2%
Draw / PAOK 8%	-	9/1 9%
Draw / Draw 14%	-	9/2
PAOK / Lyon 4%	-	18/1
PAOK / PAOK 10%	-	7/1 6%
PAOK / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lyon PAOK
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	6	5	0	1	10	15	-	-	-	Jan 29
2	Midtjylland	6	5	0	1	8	15	-	-	-	-
3	A Villa	6	5	0	1	6	15	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	6	4	2	0	7	14	-	l 2-0A	Jan 22	-
5	Freiburg	6	4	2	0	6	14	-	-	-	-
6	Ferencvaros	6	4	2	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
7	Braga	6	4	1	1	5	13	-	-	-	-
8	Porto	6	4	1	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
9	Stuttgart	6	4	0	2	7	12	-	-	-	-
10	Roma	6	4	0	2	5	12	-	-	-	-
11	Nottm Forest	6	3	2	1	5	11	-	-	-	-
12	Fenerbahce	6	3	2	1	4	11	-	-	-	-
13	Bologna	6	3	2	1	4	11	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	6	2	4	0	4	10	-	-	-	-
15	Panathinaikos	6	3	1	2	2	10	-	-	-	-
16	Genk	6	3	1	2	1	10	-	-	-	-
17	Red Star Bel.	6	3	1	2	0	10	-	-	-	-
18	PAOK	6	2	3	1	3	9	Jan 29	-	-	-
19	Celta	6	3	0	3	3	9	-	-	-	l 3-1F
20	Lille	6	3	0	3	3	9	-	-	-	w 3-4F
21	Young Boys	6	3	0	3	-4	9	-	Jan 22	w 4-0F	-
22	Brann	6	2	2	2	-1	8	-	-	d 1-1F	-
23	Ludogorets	6	2	1	3	-3	7	-	-	-	d 3-3A
24	Celtic	6	2	1	3	-4	7	-	-	-	-
25	D. Zagreb	6	2	1	3	-5	7	-	-	-	-
26	Basel	6	2	0	4	-1	6	w 2-0F	-	-	-
27	FCSB	6	2	0	4	-4	6	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	6	2	0	4	-6	6	w 2-1F	-	-	-
29	Sturm Graz	6	1	1	4	-4	4	-	-	-	-
30	Feyenoord	6	1	0	5	-6	3	-	-	-	-
31	Salzburg	6	1	0	5	-6	3	w 2-0F	-	-	-
32	Utrecht	6	0	1	5	-6	1	-	w 0-1F	-	-
33	Rangers	6	0	1	5	-8	1	-	-	-	-
34	Malmö	6	0	1	5	-9	1	-	-	-	-
35	M. Tel-Aviv	6	0	1	5	-16	1	-	w 0-6F	d 0-00-0	-
36	Nice	6	0	0	6	-9	0	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Lyon have won 3 consecutive home european games

Lyon have not lost in 7 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lyon	2 - 1	GA Eagles
Lyon	2 - 0	Basel
Lyon	2 - 0	Salzburg
Lyon	2 - 2	Man Utd
Lyon	4 - 0	FCSB
Lyon	1 - 1	Ludogorets
Lyon	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
Lyon	0 - 1	Besiktas
Lyon	2 - 0	Olympiakos
Lyon	0 - 3	West Ham
Lyon	1 - 1	Porto
Lyon	1 - 1	Rangers
Lyon	3 - 0	Sparta
Lyon	3 - 0	Brondby
Lyon	0 - 3	Bayern
Lyon	1 - 0	Juventus
Lyon	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
Lyon	3 - 1	Benfica
Lyon	1 - 1	Zenit
Lyon	0 - 0	Barcelona

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lyon	2 - 1	GA Eagles
A	Lyon	6 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Lyon	0 - 2	Real Betis
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Basel
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Salzburg
A	Lyon	1 - 0	Utrecht
A	Lyon	2 - 2	Man Utd
H	Lyon	2 - 2	Man Utd
H	Lyon	4 - 0	FCSB
A	Lyon	3 - 1	FCSB
H	Lyon	1 - 1	Ludogorets
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Lyon	3 - 2	E.Frankfurt
A	Lyon	4 - 1	Qarabag
A	Lyon	2 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Lyon	0 - 1	Besiktas
A	Lyon	4 - 1	Rangers
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Lyon	0 - 3	West Ham
A	Lyon	1 - 1	West Ham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ludogorets	3 - 3	PAOK
Lille	3 - 4	PAOK
Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
Rijeka	1 - 0	PAOK
RZ Pellets	0 - 0	PAOK
FCSB	2 - 0	PAOK
R.Sociedad	2 - 0	PAOK
Rigas Futbola Skola	0 - 2	PAOK
Man Utd	2 - 0	PAOK
Galatasaray	3 - 1	PAOK
Shamrock	0 - 2	PAOK
Malmö	2 - 2	PAOK
Borac Banja Luka	0 - 1	PAOK
Brugge	1 - 0	PAOK
D. Zagreb	2 - 0	PAOK
E.Frankfurt	1 - 2	PAOK
Aberdeen	2 - 3	PAOK
HJK Helsinki	2 - 3	PAOK
Hearts	1 - 2	PAOK
Hajduk Split	0 - 0	PAOK

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	PAOK	3 - 3	Ludogorets
H	PAOK	1 - 1	Brann
H	PAOK	4 - 0	Young Boys
A	PAOK	4 - 3	Lille
A	PAOK	1 - 3	Celta
H	PAOK	0 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	PAOK	5 - 0	Rijeka
A	PAOK	0 - 1	Rijeka
A	PAOK	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
H	PAOK	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
A	PAOK	0 - 2	FCSB
H	PAOK	1 - 2	FCSB
A	PAOK	0 - 2	R.Sociedad
H	PAOK	2 - 0	Slavia
H	PAOK	5 - 0	Ferencvaros
A	PAOK	2 - 0	Rigas Futbola Skola
A	PAOK	0 - 2	Man Utd
H	PAOK	2 - 2	Plzen
H	PAOK	0 - 1	FCSB
A	PAOK	1 - 3	Galatasaray

Goal Statistics

Lyon's defensive record is very strong, P. Rodrigues Fonseca's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for PAOK Salonika makes sense in this context.

	Lyon 1st	PAOK 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 63% probability that Lyon will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that PAOK will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Lyon have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-9 PAOK’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

LYN

PAO

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		17
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	13		12
Goals scored	37		46
Avg. goals scored	1.9		2.3
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		21
Avg. XG for	2		1.9
KickOff rating		+11%

better

LYN

PAO

view stats

Games conceded	11		10
Clean sheets	9		10
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	19		21
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+3%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lyon v PAOK will show here when available.

Lyon Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	4	3	2
M Niakhaté	C Tolisso	A Karabec	C Mata

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Niakhaté DEF	6	1		1 -
A Maitland-Niles DEF	6		1	1 -
A Karabec MID	6	1	3	-
P Sulc MID	6	1	3	1 -
K. Merah MID	6		1	-
T Morton MID	6		1	-
M. de Carvalho MID	6		1	-
M Satriano FWD	6	1		-
N Tagliafico DEF	5			1 -
C Mata DEF	5			2 -
T Tessmann MID	5	1		1 -
D Greif GLK	4			-
Abner DEF	4	1	1	1 -
R Kluivert DEF	4	1		1 -
C Tolisso MID	4	4	1	-
A Moreira FWD	4	2		1 -
M Fofana FWD	3			-
R Descamps GLK	2			-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	2			-
A. Gomes Rodriguez FWD	2			1 -
T. Barišić DEF	1			1 -
R Ghezzal FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	3	4
C Tolisso	C Tolisso	A Karabec	P Sulc

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Tolisso MID	4	8	1
A Moreira FWD	2	5
M Niakhaté DEF	1	2		1
A Karabec MID	1	1	3	2
P Sulc MID	1	3	3	4
M Satriano FWD	1	2		1
T Tessmann MID	1	4
Abner DEF	1	1	1	1
R Kluivert DEF	1	2
A Maitland-Niles DEF		1	1	1
K. Merah MID			1
T Morton MID		1	1	1
M. de Carvalho MID		1	1	2
N Tagliafico DEF		1
M Fofana FWD		2		2
E. Honoré Molébé FWD		1
R Ghezzal FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
552	12	33
M Niakhaté	N Tagliafico	M. de Carvalho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Niakhaté DEF	552	4	20
C Mata DEF	354	2	11
M. de Carvalho MID	350	11	33
N Tagliafico DEF	267	12	31
T Morton MID	263	6	12
T Tessmann MID	245	2	15
R Kluivert DEF	240	6	17
C Tolisso MID	227	5	20
A Maitland-Niles DEF	225	10	17
K. Merah MID	162	3	8
D Greif GLK	146
M Satriano FWD	131	4	24
Abner DEF	118	3	7
P Sulc MID	116	4	18
A Karabec MID	112	2	11
A Moreira FWD	76	3	6
R Descamps GLK	71
M Fofana FWD	50	4	9
T. Barišić DEF	22		2
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	16		3
R Ghezzal FWD	7
A. Gomes Rodriguez FWD	3	1	2

PAOK Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	3	4	3
A Baba	G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias	T Kedziora

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Baba DEF	10	1	1	-
S Meïté MID	10	2	1	1 -
A Zivkovic FWD	10	2	3	2 -
F Chalov FWD	10	1	1	-
I Michailidis DEF	9		1	1 -
T Kedziora DEF	9			2 1
J Kenny DEF	9		1	2 -
G Konstantelias MID	9	3	4	2 -
M Ozdoev MID	9		1	3 -
J Pavlenka GLK	8			-
L Ivanusec MID	8	1	1	3 -
M Camara MID	8	1		1 -
K Despodov FWD	7	1	2	1 -
Taison FWD	7		2	-
G Giakoumakis FWD	6	3		2 -
A Bianco MID	5	1		-
D Pelkas MID	4	1		-
A. Mythou FWD	4	1		-
A Vogliacco DEF	3	1		1 -
A Tsiftsis GLK	2			1 -
J Sastre DEF	2			-
D. Chatsidis FWD	2		1	-
G Taylor DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	10	4	4
G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias	G Konstantelias

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Konstantelias MID	3	10	4	4
G Giakoumakis FWD	3	6
S Meïté MID	2	3	1
A Zivkovic FWD	2	6	3	1
A Baba DEF	1	2	1	2
F Chalov FWD	1	3	1
L Ivanusec MID	1	3	1	3
M Camara MID	1	2
K Despodov FWD	1	3	2	3
A Bianco MID	1	2
D Pelkas MID	1	1
A. Mythou FWD	1	2
A Vogliacco DEF	1	1
I Michailidis DEF		2	1	1
J Kenny DEF		1	1	3
M Ozdoev MID		3	1	1
Taison FWD		2	2	2
D. Chatsidis FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
592	18	53
I Michailidis	S Meïté	G Konstantelias

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Michailidis DEF	592	17	37
T Kedziora DEF	495	15	33
A Baba DEF	441	17	43
S Meïté MID	396	18	47
J Kenny DEF	361	17	33
A Zivkovic FWD	270	12	29
G Konstantelias MID	259	9	53
A Vogliacco DEF	207	1	7
M Ozdoev MID	203	5	12
Taison FWD	201	7	21
J Pavlenka GLK	184		5
F Chalov FWD	129	2	21
K Despodov FWD	103	3	15
L Ivanusec MID	102	4	10
A Bianco MID	102	10	16
M Camara MID	100	3	8
G Giakoumakis FWD	48	3	18
A Tsiftsis GLK	43
J Sastre DEF	39	1	2
D Pelkas MID	36	1	2
A. Mythou FWD	18		7
G Taylor DEF	1