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Partizan Belgrade v AEK Larnaca : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 20:00 BST, Stadion Partizana, Beograd

Partizan Belgrade and AEK Larnaca clash at the Stadion Partizana on Thursday night, with both Mirel Josa and Henning Berg hoping for success in the Europa League. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. P. Belgrade and AEK Larnaca have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of AEK Larnaca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
P. Belgrade
26%
3.503.50
Draw
26%
3.203.20
AEK Larnaca
47%
2.052.15
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
AEK Larnaca 1-0
12%
6.506.50
AEK Larnaca 2-1
9%
9.509.00
AEK Larnaca 2-0
9%
9.009.00
P. Belgrade 1-0
9%
9.008.50
Draw 0-0
8%
8.007.00
P. Belgrade 2-1
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.0015.00
AEK Larnaca 3-1
4%
19.0017.00
AEK Larnaca 3-0
4%
17.0017.00
P. Belgrade 2-0
4%
19.0015.00
AEK Larnaca 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
P. Belgrade 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
AEK Larnaca 4-1
2%
41.0034.00
AEK Larnaca 4-0
2%
41.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
2.252.25
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.621.60
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.632.40
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.671.80
No 1st Goal
5%
8.007.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.002.00
BTTS - No
51%
1.731.73
BTTS - Home Win
11%
8.007.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.50
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5.004.80
Home/draw
53%
1.731.67
Away/draw
74%
1.291.29
Home/away
74%
1.361.33
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.401.40
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2.752.70
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
4.004.00
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.221.20
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7.508.50
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.071.06
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
11.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.081.08
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7.007.00
Home DNB
45%
2.502.40
Away DNB
66%
1.501.50
P. Belgrade win to nil
15%
6.00-
AEK Larnaca win to nil
28%
3.25-
P. Belgrade / P. Belgrade
14%
6.005.50
P. Belgrade / AEK Larnaca
3%
29.0021.00
P. Belgrade / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Draw / P. Belgrade
11%
7.007.00
Draw / AEK Larnaca
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.20
AEK Larnaca / P. Belgrade
3%
34.0029.00
AEK Larnaca / AEK Larnaca
24%
3.203.40
AEK Larnaca / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
P. Belgrade
AEK Larnaca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AEK Larnaca 
Jul 17
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
P. Belgrade 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Jul 17
Win / draw / win form
4
P. Belgrade have lost 4 consecutive home european games
4
P. Belgrade have failed to score in 4 consecutive home european games
P. Belgrade
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
P. Belgrade0 - 1Gent
P. Belgrade0 - 1FC Lugano
P. Belgrade0 - 3Dynamo Kyiv
P. Belgrade0 - 1Nordsjaelland
P. Belgrade2 - 0Sabah
P. Belgrade1 - 3Sheriff
P. Belgrade1 - 1Slovacko
P. Belgrade2 - 0Köln
P. Belgrade1 - 1Nice
P. Belgrade4 - 1Hamrun Spartans
P. Belgrade2 - 2AEK Larnaca
P. Belgrade2 - 5Feyenoord
P. Belgrade2 - 1Sparta
P. Belgrade1 - 1Anor Fama
P. Belgrade0 - 1Gent
P. Belgrade2 - 0Flora Tallinn
P. Belgrade2 - 0Santa Clara
P. Belgrade2 - 2Sochi
P. Belgrade1 - 0DAC
P. Belgrade1 - 0Rigas Futbola Skola
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AP. Belgrade0 - 1AEK Larnaca
AP. Belgrade0 - 1Gent
HP. Belgrade0 - 1Gent
AP. Belgrade2 - 1FC Lugano
HP. Belgrade0 - 1FC Lugano
HP. Belgrade0 - 3Dynamo Kyiv
AP. Belgrade2 - 6Dynamo Kyiv
HP. Belgrade0 - 1Nordsjaelland
AP. Belgrade0 - 5Nordsjaelland
HP. Belgrade2 - 0Sabah
AP. Belgrade0 - 2Sabah
HP. Belgrade1 - 3Sheriff
AP. Belgrade1 - 0Sheriff
HP. Belgrade1 - 1Slovacko
AP. Belgrade1 - 2Nice
HP. Belgrade2 - 0Köln
AP. Belgrade1 - 0Köln
HP. Belgrade1 - 1Nice
AP. Belgrade3 - 3Slovacko
AP. Belgrade3 - 3Hamrun Spartans
AEK Larnaca
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paksi SE3 - 0AEK Larnaca
M. Tel-Aviv1 - 0AEK Larnaca
Torpedo BelAZ2 - 3AEK Larnaca
West Ham4 - 0AEK Larnaca
Dnipro-10 - 0AEK Larnaca
Rennes1 - 1AEK Larnaca
Fenerbahce2 - 0AEK Larnaca
Dynamo Kyiv0 - 1AEK Larnaca
Dnipro-11 - 2AEK Larnaca
P. Belgrade2 - 2AEK Larnaca
Midtjylland1 - 1AEK Larnaca
Gent3 - 0AEK Larnaca
Levski0 - 4AEK Larnaca
Petrocub0 - 1AEK Larnaca
Petrocub0 - 1AEK Larnaca
Zurich1 - 2AEK Larnaca
Ludogorets0 - 0AEK Larnaca
Leverkusen4 - 2AEK Larnaca
Trencin1 - 1AEK Larnaca
Sturm Graz0 - 2AEK Larnaca
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAEK Larnaca1 - 0P. Belgrade
HAEK Larnaca0 - 2Paksi SE
AAEK Larnaca0 - 3Paksi SE
AAEK Larnaca0 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
HAEK Larnaca1 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
HAEK Larnaca1 - 1Torpedo BelAZ
AAEK Larnaca3 - 2Torpedo BelAZ
AAEK Larnaca0 - 4West Ham
HAEK Larnaca0 - 2West Ham
AAEK Larnaca0 - 0Dnipro-1
HAEK Larnaca1 - 0Dnipro-1
AAEK Larnaca1 - 1Rennes
HAEK Larnaca3 - 3Dynamo Kyiv
HAEK Larnaca1 - 2Fenerbahce
AAEK Larnaca0 - 2Fenerbahce
AAEK Larnaca1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
HAEK Larnaca1 - 2Rennes
HAEK Larnaca3 - 0Dnipro-1
AAEK Larnaca2 - 1Dnipro-1
AAEK Larnaca2 - 2P. Belgrade
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for AEK Larnaca of late. It has been 6 Europa League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against Partizan Belgrade.

P. Belgrade AEK Larnaca
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that P. Belgrade will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that AEK Larnaca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
P. Belgrade’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
AEK Larnaca have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/310265/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
P. Belgrade
PG (predicted goals)
AEK Larnaca
1
1.5
Attack rating
BEL
LAR
4%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score8
7
Scored first8
7
Goals scored20
21
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.1
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
BEL
LAR
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first12
12
Goals conceded35
29
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
0
KickOff rating
+10%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between P. Belgrade v AEK Larnaca will show here when available.

P. Belgrade Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
M MilosevicN. Simić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Milosevic GLK1
-
M. Milovanovic DEF1
-
M Jurcevic DEF1
-
N. Simić DEF1
1
-
V. Đurđević DEF1
1
-
M. Roganović DEF1
-
B Natcho MID1
-
O. Ugresić MID1
-
M Vukotic MID1
-
V. Dragojević MID1
-
A. Kostić FWD1
-
N. Trifunović FWD1
-
A Kalulu FWD1
-
J Milosevic FWD1
-
AEK Larnaca Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
Z AlomerovicE CabreraG LedesP Pons
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Alomerovic GLK1
-
G Ekpolo DEF1
-
J Miramón DEF1
-
J. Gnali DEF1
-
V Roberge DEF1
-
Ángel García DEF1
-
H Milicevic DEF1
-
M Rohdén MID1
-
G Ledes MID11
-
P Pons MID1
1
-
J Suárez MID1
-
K Angielski FWD1
-
E Cabrera FWD11
-
Y Chacón FWD1
-