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FC Porto v Nice : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 27th Nov, 17:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto are in Europa League action on Thursday evening, as Francesco Farioli attempts to outsmart Franck Haise and his Nice side at the Estádio do Dragão. You'll see stats supporting our top of Porto to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Europa League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Porto. Their recent form stats show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Nice too. The odds point towards Francesco Farioli's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Thursday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
68%
19/50
1%
2/5
Draw
19%
4/119/5
Nice
13%
6/17/1
Porto 2-0
12%
11/211/2
Porto 1-0
11%
11/211/2
Porto 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Porto 3-0
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
Porto 3-1
7%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
Porto 4-0
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
Nice 1-0
4%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Porto 4-1
4%
20/116/1
Nice 2-1
4%
20/118/1
Porto 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Porto 5-0
2%
33/122/1
Nice 2-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/11/1
Home 1st Goal
60%
4/117/20
Away 1st Goal
37%
9/427/10
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
21/2021/20
BTTS - No
52%
7/107/10
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/49/4
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/2
7%
5/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/111/1
Home/draw
87%
1/101/12
Away/draw
32%
2/119/10
Home/away
81%
1/62/11
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/127/10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
Home DNB
82%
1/81/9
Away DNB
26%
5/119/4
Porto win to nil
40%
6/5
5%
-
Nice win to nil
6%
12/1-
Porto / Porto
40%
1/121/20
Porto / Nice
2%
50/140/1
Porto / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Porto
21%
3/129/10
Draw / Nice
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
Nice / Porto
4%
20/118/1
Nice / Nice
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
Nice / Draw
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Midtjylland4400812 
-
-
-
-
2
Freiburg4310510 
-
-
l
 
1-3F
-
3
Ferencvaros4310410 
-
-
-
-
4
Celta430159 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
5
Braga430149 
-
-
Dec 11
-
6
A Villa430149 
-
-
-
-
7
Lyon430139 
-
-
-
-
8
Plzen422048 
-
Jan 22
-
-
9
Real Betis422048 
-
-
-
-
10
PAOK421137 
-
-
-
-
11
Brann421137 
-
-
-
-
12
D. Zagreb421117 
-
-
-
-
13
Genk421117 
-
-
-
-
14
Porto421107 
-
-
-
Nov 27
15
Fenerbahce421107 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
16
Panathinaikos420216 
-
-
-
-
17
Basel420216 
-
-
-
-
18
Roma420216 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
19
Lille420206 
-
-
-
-
20
Stuttgart420206 
-
-
-
-
21
GA Eagles4202-16 
-
-
Jan 22
-
22
Young Boys4202-46 
-
-
-
-
23
Nottm Forest412115 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
24
Bologna412105 
-
-
-
-
25
Red Star Bel.4112-24 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
26
Sturm Graz4112-24 
-
-
-
-
27
Celtic4112-34 
-
-
-
-
28
Salzburg4103-23 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
29
Feyenoord4103-33 
-
-
-
-
30
Ludogorets4103-43 
-
-
-
Jan 29
31
FCSB4103-43 
-
-
-
-
32
Utrecht4013-41 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
-
33
Malmö4013-51 
Dec 11
-
-
-
34
M. Tel-Aviv4013-71 
-
-
-
-
35
Nice4004-50 
Nov 27
-
-
-
36
Rangers4004-70 
Jan 29
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
7
Nice have lost 7 consecutive away european games
16
Nice have not won in 16 consecutive european games
Porto 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
Porto1 - 1Roma
Porto0 - 1Olympiakos
Porto2 - 0Midtjylland
Porto2 - 0Hoffenheim
Porto3 - 3Man Utd
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
Porto5 - 3Shakhtar
Porto2 - 0Antwerp
Porto0 - 1Barcelona
Porto0 - 0Inter
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 0Leverkusen
Porto0 - 4Brugge
Porto0 - 1Lyon
Porto2 - 1Lazio
Porto1 - 3A.Madrid
Porto1 - 0Milan
Porto1 - 5Liverpool
Porto0 - 2Chelsea
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 1Utrecht
APorto0 - 2Nottm Forest
HPorto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
APorto1 - 0Salzburg
APorto2 - 3Roma
HPorto1 - 1Roma
APorto1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPorto0 - 1Olympiakos
HPorto2 - 0Midtjylland
APorto2 - 2Anderlecht
APorto1 - 2Lazio
HPorto2 - 0Hoffenheim
HPorto3 - 3Man Utd
APorto2 - 3Bodø
APorto0 - 1Arsenal
HPorto1 - 0Arsenal
HPorto5 - 3Shakhtar
APorto1 - 2Barcelona
HPorto2 - 0Antwerp
APorto4 - 1Antwerp
Nice 35TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
16
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta2 - 1Nice
Fenerbahce2 - 1Nice
Benfica2 - 0Nice
Elfsborg1 - 0Nice
Union SG2 - 1Nice
Ferencvaros1 - 0Nice
Lazio4 - 1Nice
Basel2 - 2Nice
Sheriff0 - 1Nice
Köln2 - 2Nice
Slovacko0 - 1Nice
P. Belgrade1 - 1Nice
M. Tel-Aviv1 - 0Nice
Beer Sheva1 - 0Nice
Slavia3 - 2Nice
Leverkusen6 - 2Nice
Lok. Moscow1 - 0Nice
Vitesse1 - 0Nice
Lazio1 - 0Nice
Z.Waregem1 - 5Nice
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNice1 - 3Freiburg
ANice1 - 2Celta
ANice1 - 2Fenerbahce
HNice1 - 2Roma
ANice0 - 2Benfica
HNice0 - 2Benfica
HNice1 - 1Bodø
ANice0 - 1Elfsborg
ANice1 - 2Union SG
HNice1 - 4Rangers
HNice2 - 2Twente
ANice0 - 1Ferencvaros
ANice1 - 4Lazio
HNice1 - 1R.Sociedad
HNice1 - 1Basel
ANice2 - 2Basel
HNice3 - 1Sheriff
ANice1 - 0Sheriff
ANice2 - 2Köln
HNice2 - 1P. Belgrade
Goal Statistics

Nice have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive Europa League games. This run could continue, with FC Porto's PG an impressive 2.1.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Nice fans, as should a 10 Europa League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Porto 14th Nice 35th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Nice scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Porto have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-26
Nice have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
PTO
NIC
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first14
10
Goals scored38
27
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
50%
better
PTO
NIC
view stats
Games conceded9
17
Clean sheets11
3
Conceded first4
10
Goals conceded14
33
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.8
KickOff rating
+50%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Porto v Nice will show here when available.

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
D CostaW. Gomes Carvalho SantosM. Moreira Moutinho FernandesA Baio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK4
-
Zaidu  DEF4
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF41
1
-
J Bednarek DEF4
-
G Veiga MID4
1
-
V. Froholdt MID4
1
-
P Rosario MID4
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD42
1
-
Pepê FWD41
1
-
B Sainz FWD41
-
A Baio DEF3
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID31
1
-
D Gül FWD31
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD3
-
F Moura DEF2
1
-
J Kiwior DEF2
-
D. Prpić DEF2
1
-
S Eustaquio MID2
-
A Varela MID2
-
Nice Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
Y DioufK CarlosC VanhoutteT Louchet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK4
-
A. Juma Bah DEF4
-
A Mendy DEF4
1
-
M Bard DEF4
1
-
A Abdi DEF4
-
M Sanson MID4
-
T Louchet MID4
2
-
C Vanhoutte MID41
1
-
J Boga FWD4
-
M Cho FWD41
-
K Carlos FWD42
-
J Clauss  DEF3
1
1
S Diop FWD3
-
T Gouveia FWD3
-
K Oppong DEF2
-
H Boudaoui MID2
-
S Samed MID21
-
T Moffi FWD21
-
Dante DEF1
-
B. Nguene FWD1
-
I Jansson FWD1
-