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Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 31st Aug, 00:30 BST, TQL Stadium, Ohio

Cincinnati are in Major League Soccer action on Sunday morning, as Pat Noonan aims to beat Bradley Wellmen and his Philadelphia Union side at the TQL Stadium. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Cincinnati and Philadelphia will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookies have it available at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cincinnati
44%
5/6-
Draw
26%
3/1-
Philadelphia
30%
13/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1-
Cincinnati 1-0
10%
10/1-
Cincinnati 2-1
9%
15/2-
Philadelphia 1-0
8%
14/1-
Cincinnati 2-0
8%
10/1-
Philadelphia 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
Philadelphia 2-0
5%
22/1-
Cincinnati 3-1
4%
12/1-
Cincinnati 3-0
4%
16/1-
Philadelphia 3-1
3%
25/1-
Cincinnati 3-2
3%
18/1-
Philadelphia 3-2
2%
25/1-
Philadelphia 3-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
8/15-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
7/5-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
8/15-
BTTS - No
46%
11/8-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/1-
Home/draw
70%
2/7-
Away/draw
56%
10/11-
Home/away
74%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
18/1-
Home DNB
62%
2/5-
Away DNB
48%
7/4-
Cincinnati win to nil
24%
11/4-
Philadelphia win to nil
16%
7/1-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
29%
15/8-
Cincinnati / Philadelphia
3%
25/1-
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Cincinnati
15%
9/2-
Draw / Philadelphia
9%
8/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Philadelphia / Cincinnati
4%
18/1-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
14%
5/1-
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Cincinnati 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
Cincinnati3 - 0Miami
Cincinnati2 - 4Columbus
Cincinnati2 - 1Chicago
Cincinnati1 - 2DC United
Cincinnati3 - 3Dallas
Cincinnati2 - 1Austin
Cincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
Cincinnati1 - 0New England
Cincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
Cincinnati2 - 0Toronto
Cincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati0 - 0NY City
Cincinnati1 - 0NY City
Cincinnati1 - 3Orlando
Cincinnati1 - 2LAFC
Cincinnati0 - 0Columbus
Cincinnati4 - 1Montreal
Cincinnati0 - 1Chicago
Cincinnati1 - 3Charlotte
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati3 - 2Portland
HCincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
ACincinnati0 - 0Miami
ACincinnati1 - 0Salt Lake
HCincinnati3 - 0Miami
HCincinnati2 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati2 - 1Chicago
ACincinnati2 - 1Orlando
ACincinnati3 - 1Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 0New England
HCincinnati1 - 2DC United
HCincinnati3 - 3Dallas
ACincinnati2 - 4Atlanta
ACincinnati1 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati1 - 0Toronto
HCincinnati2 - 1Austin
ACincinnati0 - 1NY City
HCincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
ACincinnati3 - 2Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 0DC United
Philadelphia 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY Red Bulls1 - 0Philadelphia
Houston1 - 1Philadelphia
Nashville1 - 0Philadelphia
Columbus1 - 0Philadelphia
Chicago0 - 1Philadelphia
Dallas0 - 0Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Atlanta0 - 1Philadelphia
Montreal1 - 2Philadelphia
NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
Miami2 - 1Philadelphia
New England0 - 2Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 4Philadelphia
Columbus3 - 2Philadelphia
Orlando2 - 1Philadelphia
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
Miami3 - 1Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls0 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Chicago4 - 3Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APhiladelphia0 - 1NY Red Bulls
HPhiladelphia1 - 1Toronto
HPhiladelphia3 - 1Colorado
APhiladelphia1 - 1Houston
HPhiladelphia2 - 1Montreal
HPhiladelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
APhiladelphia0 - 1Nashville
APhiladelphia0 - 1Columbus
APhiladelphia1 - 0Chicago
HPhiladelphia2 - 1Charlotte
APhiladelphia0 - 0Dallas
APhiladelphia2 - 1Toronto
HPhiladelphia3 - 3Miami
APhiladelphia1 - 0Atlanta
HPhiladelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
HPhiladelphia2 - 2Columbus
APhiladelphia2 - 1Montreal
HPhiladelphia3 - 0DC United
HPhiladelphia3 - 0Atlanta
APhiladelphia0 - 1NY City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Cincinnati have beaten Philadelphia in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
CIN
4
D
1
PHI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Cincinnati4 - 3
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati3 - 1
1 - 2Philadelphia
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Philadelphia
League games at Philadelphia since 2019
Philadelphia
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
16
6
Games: Scored
8 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
0 / 8
CIN
1
D
2
PHI
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Philadelphia4 - 1
1 - 2Cincinnati
Draw2 - 2Draw
Philadelphia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Philadelphia2 - 0
Philadelphia3 - 0
Philadelphia2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's defensive record is to be admired, Bradley Wellmen's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Cincinnati makes sense in this context.

Cincinnati 1st Philadelphia 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Cincinnati will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Philadelphia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Cincinnati have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Philadelphia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
Cincinnati
PG (predicted goals)
Philadelphia
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
7%
better
CIN
PHI
view stats
Games scored22
20
Failed to score3
5
Scored first17
14
Goals scored39
43
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.3
2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
CIN
PHI
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded31
24
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

Cincinnati v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271685
R CelentanoEvanderEvanderD Yedlin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK27
2
-
L Engel DEF274
4
-
D Yedlin DEF274
5
-
P Bucha MID2633
2
-
Evander MID25168
4
-
T Anunga MID231
2
1
K Denkey FWD23131
4
-
L Orellano FWD2225
3
-
M Robinson  DEF211
3
-
G Valenzuela MID205
1
-
A Powell DEF19
2
-
M Miazga DEF181
3
-
S Santos FWD1812
-
T Hadebe DEF17
3
-
B Smith  DEF16
-
G Melgarejo DEF15
4
1
K Kamara FWD15
2
-
O Nwobodo MID13
4
-
N Hagglund DEF11
-
Y Kubo MID101
1
-
K. Mboma Dem FWD3
-
S Jimenez MID2
-
E Peña FWD2
-
S. Chirila FWD2
-
Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241598
J LukicT BariboK WagnerJ Glesnes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lukic MID2621
6
1
B Damiani FWD264
4
-
K Wagner DEF2519
5
-
I Vassilev FWD2532
2
-
O. Makhanya DEF241
5
1
J Glesnes DEF2411
8
-
D Jacques MID2423
4
-
Q Sullivan MID2327
3
-
T Baribo FWD23152
4
-
M Uhre FWD2244
2
-
F. Westfield DEF2013
4
1
A Bedoya MID2011
4
-
N Harriel DEF192
5
-
C Donovan FWD18
-
A Blake GLK17
-
J Bueno MID151
3
-
A. Rick GLK11
1
-
J Rafanello MID11
-
C. Sullivan MID9
1
-
O Mbaizo DEF7
2
-
I Glavinovich DEF41
1
-
M. Anderson Adedeji FWD31
-
S. Olivas FWD3
1
-
M Iloski FWD2
-
E Davis FWD1
-