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Cincinnati v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Aug, 00:30 BST, TQL Stadium, Ohio

Home advantage makes a difference in the Major League Soccer, and Pat Noonan’s Cincinnati will have the blessing of it on Thursday morning. Pascal Jansen’s New York City are their visitors to the TQL Stadium. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer clash, with Cincinnati and NY City going head-to-head, offers great potential in the highly popular under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cincinnati are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cincinnati
49%
1/1-
Draw
21%
14/5-
NY City
30%
2/1-
Cincinnati 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1-
NY City 2-1
7%
11/1-
Cincinnati 3-1
6%
14/1-
Cincinnati 2-0
6%
12/1-
Cincinnati 1-0
5%
12/1-
Cincinnati 3-2
5%
18/1-
NY City 1-0
4%
16/1-
Cincinnati 3-0
4%
20/1-
NY City 3-2
4%
20/1-
NY City 3-1
4%
20/1-
NY City 2-0
3%
20/1-
Cincinnati 4-1
3%
25/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
4/9-
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
17/10-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
69%
2/5-
BTTS - No
31%
7/4-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
9/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
7/2-
Home/draw
70%
4/11-
Away/draw
51%
8/11-
Home/away
79%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/8-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
5/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
11/10-
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
4/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
5/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
2/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
11/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/9-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1-
Home DNB
64%
4/7-
Away DNB
45%
5/4-
Cincinnati win to nil
18%
4/1-
NY City win to nil
10%
6/1-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
25%
9/4-
Cincinnati / NY City
4%
22/1-
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Cincinnati
14%
5/1-
Draw / NY City
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
NY City / Cincinnati
4%
18/1-
NY City / NY City
17%
15/4-
NY City / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
3
Cincinnati have won 3 consecutive home league games
Cincinnati 6TH
league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City 5TH
league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
NY City have not lost to Cincinnati in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
NY City
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
CIN
3
D
2
NYC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
0 - 1NY City
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati3 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
1 - 2NY City
1 - 4NY City
League games at NY City since 2019
NY City
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
29
14
Games: Scored
10 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
0 / 10
CIN
1
D
2
NYC
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
Draw4 - 4Draw
NY City1 - 0
NY City3 - 1
NY City3 - 2
1 - 3Cincinnati
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City5 - 0
NY City4 - 0
NY City2 - 1
NY City5 - 2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Cincinnati in their meeting with New York City, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Major League Soccer outings.

New York City have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Cincinnati on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Cincinnati 6th NY City 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Cincinnati will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Cincinnati
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
2.1
1.6
Attack rating
12%
better
CIN
NYC
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score2
3
Scored first7
10
Goals scored45
31
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for24
20
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
CIN
NYC
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded44
24
Avg. goals conceded2.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against20%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%

Cincinnati v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1711106
P BuchaEvanderEvanderB Ramírez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Barlow FWD1861
2
-
S. Gidi MID171
2
-
Evander MID171110
2
-
P Bucha MID1744
3
-
K Denkey FWD17112
3
1
B Ramírez FWD1712
6
-
R Celentano GLK16
-
E Peña FWD1615
1
-
A Jabbari FWD1622
1
-
G Valenzuela MID1512
2
2
K. Mboma Dem FWD1541
-
K Smith DEF141
2
1
N Hagglund DEF131
1
-
O Nwobodo MID131
4
-
M Robinson  DEF12
2
1
M Miazga DEF111
4
-
T Anunga MID10
1
-
T Hadebe DEF9
1
-
A Powell DEF81
1
A. Chirila DEF61
1
-
A. Lajhar DEF3
1
-
E Louro GLK2
-
S Jimenez MID1
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181366
M FreeseN MercauM MoralezN Mercau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK18
-
A Ojeda FWD1854
1
-
N Mercau FWD18133
6
-
T Martins DEF17
-
T Gray DEF1711
4
1
H Wolf FWD1752
2
-
K Trewin MID15
3
-
R Gustavo DEF14
3
-
K Parks MID142
3
-
M Moralez MID1416
1
-
J. Shore MID13
-
T Magno FWD1321
1
-
A O'Neill MID111
2
-
S. Garfield-Reid FWD11
-
K O'Toole DEF10
-
N. Cavallo DEF9
1
-
M. Jones FWD91
1
-
A Perea MID811
-
A. Farnós Olive FWD8
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID5
-
A. Baiera DEF3
-
J Sands MID3
1
-
B Traoré FWD3
-
K. Pierre Jr. MID2
-