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Minnesota United v Atlanta United : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Aug, 01:30 BST, Allianz Field, Saint Paul

Minnesota United and Atlanta United take on one another at the Allianz Field on Thursday morning, with both Cameron Knowles and Gerardo Daniel Martino aiming for victory in the Major League Soccer. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Minnesota and Atlanta have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Major League Soccer individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.44.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Minnesota are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.66.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Minnesota 53%	4/6	-
Draw 26%	14/5	-
Atlanta 21%	7/2	-
Minnesota 1-0 14%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	-
Minnesota 2-0 11%	8/1	-
Minnesota 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 9%	14/1	-
Atlanta 1-0 8%	14/1	-
Minnesota 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Atlanta 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Minnesota 3-1 5%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	12/1	-
Atlanta 2-0 3%	25/1	-
Minnesota 4-0 2%	25/1	-
Minnesota 3-2 2%	20/1	-
Minnesota 4-1 2%	22/1	-
Atlanta 3-1 1%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	4/6	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	23/20	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	6/4	-
No 1st Goal 6%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 55%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	9/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	7/1	-
Home/draw 79%	2/11	-
Away/draw 47%	11/10	-
Home/away 74%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	13/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	14/1	-
Home DNB 71%	2/7	-
Away DNB 39%	5/2	-
Minnesota win to nil 33%	9/4	-
Atlanta win to nil 12%	8/1	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 32%	8/5	-
Minnesota / Atlanta 2%	33/1	-
Minnesota / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Minnesota 18%	15/4	-
Draw / Atlanta 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Atlanta / Minnesota 4%	20/1	-
Atlanta / Atlanta 11%	13/2	-
Atlanta / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Minnesota have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Minnesota have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

Atlanta have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goal Statistics

Minnesota United's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Atlanta United have conceded in each of their last 13 Major League Soccer games. A PG of 1.5 for C. Knowles's side suggests that run should continue.

	Minnesota 10th	Atlanta 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Minnesota will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Atlanta scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

better

MIN

ATL

view stats

Games scored	13		11
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	20		19
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+6%

22%

better

MIN

ATL

view stats

Games conceded	13		17
Clean sheets	5		1
Conceded first	11		12
Goals conceded	25		33
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+22%

Minnesota v Atlanta Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	8	6	6
D Callender	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Callender GLK	18			1 -
A Markanich DEF	18	4	2	2 -
M. Duggan DEF	18	1		4 -
J Pereyra MID	18	1	6	3 -
T Chancalay FWD	18	2	4	3 -
W Trapp MID	17		1	2 -
O Gene MID	17			1 -
K Yeboah FWD	17	8		2 -
J Díaz DEF	16		1	6 -
M. Dieng FWD	16			1 -
D Padelford DEF	15	1	1	-
K Duncan DEF	15	1		3 -
N Triantis MID	15	1	1	2 -
B Hlongwane FWD	13			1 -
M Boxall DEF	10			1 -
N Romero DEF	9			2 -
C Harvey MID	5			1 -
D Taylor DEF	4			1 -
J Gressel MID	4			1 -
K. Chandler DEF	1			-
D Fitz MID	1			-
P Stroud MID	1			-
M. Caldeira FWD	1			-
M. González Villa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	15	6	17
K Yeboah	T Chancalay	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Yeboah FWD	8	15		1
A Markanich DEF	4	8	2	3
T Chancalay FWD	2	15	4	6
M. Duggan DEF	1	7
J Pereyra MID	1	7	6	17
D Padelford DEF	1	3	1	1
K Duncan DEF	1	3		1
N Triantis MID	1	6	1	1
W Trapp MID		1	1	1
O Gene MID				1
J Díaz DEF		6	1	2
M. Dieng FWD		10
N Romero DEF		1
M. González Villa FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
875	36	100
J Pereyra	A Markanich	A Markanich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pereyra MID	875	23	95
M. Duggan DEF	837	18	59
J Díaz DEF	760	28	76
W Trapp MID	604	27	43
T Chancalay FWD	567	22	64
O Gene MID	565	25	42
N Triantis MID	560	27	55
A Markanich DEF	536	36	100
D Callender GLK	419		4
K Duncan DEF	377	22	62
N Romero DEF	304	8	26
K Yeboah FWD	271	8	76
M Boxall DEF	261	5	18
D Padelford DEF	243	14	46
B Hlongwane FWD	149	6	14
M. Dieng FWD	96	2	36
C Harvey MID	71	2	3
D Taylor DEF	54	4	6
J Gressel MID	30		1
P Stroud MID	12	1	1
M. González Villa FWD	9		2
D Fitz MID	6
K. Chandler DEF	5
M. Caldeira FWD	1	1	1

Atlanta Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	5	5	5
L Hoyos	A Miranchuk	A Miranchuk	T Jacob

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hoyos GLK	18			3 -
T Muyumba MID	18	2		3 -
E Mihaj DEF	17			3 1
A Miranchuk MID	17	5	5	1 -
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	16	1	2	4 -
C. Sanchez MID	16		1	4 -
T Jacob DEF	15	1	1	5 -
E Lath FWD	14	2	2	2 -
S Gregersen DEF	12			3 -
M Almirón FWD	12	3	2	-
L Brennan MID	11			-
F Picault FWD	11	1	2	-
M Edwards DEF	10		1	2 -
A Fortune MID	10	2		-
W Reilly MID	8			3 -
P Amador DEF	7			-
S Alzate MID	7			1 -
C Togashi FWD	7			-
R Pimentel DEF	5			1 -
J Alonso DEF	3			-
S Santos FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	5	6
A Miranchuk	M Almirón	A Miranchuk	M Almirón

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Miranchuk MID	5	13	5	4
M Almirón FWD	3	14	2	6
T Muyumba MID	2	3		1
E Lath FWD	2	5	2	2
A Fortune MID	2	5		1
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	1	6	2	1
T Jacob DEF	1	1	1	2
F Picault FWD	1	2	2
L Hoyos GLK		1		1
E Mihaj DEF		4
C. Sanchez MID		2	1	1
S Gregersen DEF		1
L Brennan MID		2
M Edwards DEF			1	1
W Reilly MID				1
P Amador DEF				3
S Alzate MID		1		1
C Togashi FWD		1
S Santos FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
969	44	78
E Mihaj	T Muyumba	T Jacob

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Mihaj DEF	969	22	51
T Muyumba MID	952	44	66
E. Báez Sotelo DEF	714	34	75
L Hoyos GLK	659	3	10
A Miranchuk MID	611	6	36
S Gregersen DEF	601	14	38
C. Sanchez MID	549	20	36
T Jacob DEF	537	37	78
M Almirón FWD	453	14	56
W Reilly MID	287	8	14
S Alzate MID	223	11	23
A Fortune MID	221	7	19
J Alonso DEF	214	2	7
M Edwards DEF	199	10	17
E Lath FWD	159	9	35
F Picault FWD	139	4	28
P Amador DEF	128	7	15
L Brennan MID	93	6	10
R Pimentel DEF	86	4	11
C Togashi FWD	34	1	2
S Santos FWD	8	1	7