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New York City v Philadelphia Union : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Aug, 23:00 BST, Yankee Stadium, New York City

Bradley Carnell will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Major League Soccer on Sunday night, as he takes his Philadelphia Union side to the Yankee Stadium to visit New York City and Pascal Jansen. For each and every Major League Soccer fixture, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Major League Soccer tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NY City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
54%
11/10
30%
-
Draw
20%
5/2
10%
-
Philadelphia
26%
11/5
29%
-
NY City 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
8%
-
NY City 3-1
7%
14/1
15%
-
Philadelphia 2-1
6%
11/1
20%
-
NY City 2-0
6%
11/1
33%
-
NY City 1-0
5%
9/1
11%
-
NY City 3-2
5%
20/1-
NY City 3-0
4%
20/1
62%
-
NY City 4-1
4%
33/1
48%
-
Philadelphia 1-0
4%
12/1
13%
-
Philadelphia 3-2
3%
25/1
24%
-
Philadelphia 3-1
3%
22/1
32%
-
NY City 4-2
3%
40/1-
Philadelphia 2-0
3%
18/1
27%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
13/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/10
16%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
70%
8/15
8%
-
BTTS - No
30%
11/8
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
34%
11/4
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
27%
-
Home/draw
74%
4/11
15%
-
Away/draw
46%
4/6
22%
-
Home/away
80%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
2/11
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
14/1-
Home DNB
68%
4/7
22%
-
Away DNB
40%
5/4
36%
-
NY City win to nil
20%
10/3
33%
-
Philadelphia win to nil
8%
11/2
28%
-
NY City / NY City
24%
12/5
31%
-
NY City / Philadelphia
3%
25/1
24%
-
NY City / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / NY City
15%
9/2
16%
-
Draw / Philadelphia
11%
13/2
25%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Philadelphia / NY City
4%
20/1-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia
16%
4/1
33%
-
Philadelphia / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Philadelphia have lost 4 consecutive away league games
5
Philadelphia have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
NY City 5TH
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Philadelphia 13TH
league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
14
16
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
NYC
4
D
1
PHI
4
League games at Philadelphia since 2018
Philadelphia
NY City
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
NYC
6
PHI
6
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for New York City in their clash with Philadelphia Union, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 21 consecutive Major League Soccer games.

Philadelphia Union have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. Their PG of 1.5 against New York City on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

NY City 5th Philadelphia 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that NY City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Philadelphia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Philadelphia
2.2
1.5
Attack rating
24%
better
NYC
PHI
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score3
5
Scored first10
6
Goals scored31
25
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
15%
better
NYC
PHI
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded24
33
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
4
Conversion rate against15%
25%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

NY City v Philadelphia Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181366
M FreeseN MercauM MoralezN Mercau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK18
-
A Ojeda FWD1854
1
-
N Mercau FWD18133
6
-
T Martins DEF17
-
T Gray DEF1711
4
1
H Wolf FWD1752
2
-
K Trewin MID15
3
-
R Gustavo DEF14
3
-
K Parks MID142
3
-
M Moralez MID1416
1
-
J. Shore MID13
-
T Magno FWD1321
1
-
A O'Neill MID111
2
-
S. Garfield-Reid FWD11
-
K O'Toole DEF10
-
N. Cavallo DEF9
1
-
M. Jones FWD91
1
-
A Perea MID811
-
A. Farnós Olive FWD8
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID5
-
A. Baiera DEF3
-
J Sands MID3
1
-
B Traoré FWD3
-
K. Pierre Jr. MID2
-
Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181046
N HarrielM IloskiF. WestfieldO. Makhanya
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Harriel DEF1811
3
-
B Damiani FWD1811
3
-
M Iloski FWD18101
2
-
A Blake GLK17
-
D Jacques MID172
5
-
J Lukic MID171
4
-
I Vassilev FWD172
1
-
C. Sullivan MID1611
1
-
E. Alladoh FWD1611
1
1
F. Westfield DEF144
1
-
O. Makhanya DEF13
5
1
J Bueno MID121
2
-
J Larsen DEF111
4
1
A Anello FWD1111
1
-
A Bedoya MID102
1
-
B Bender MID811
1
-
G. Martínez Turner DEF7
2
-
P. Ossibadjouo DEF6
1
-
J Rafanello MID4
1
-
M. Jakupovic FWD4
-
K Wagner DEF33
-
N. Pierre DEF32
-
Q Sullivan MID3
-
F. Sundstrom DEF2
-
A. Rick GLK1
1
-
S. Olivas FWD1
-