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Toronto FC v Montreal Impact : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 18:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Robin Fraser and Marco Donadel pit their wits in the Major League Soccer on Saturday evening, as Toronto FC face Montreal Impact at the BMO Field. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer clash, with Toronto and Montreal going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the highly popular under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Attackers on both sides will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.71.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toronto 53%	43/50 9%	-
Draw 20%	14/5 3%	-
Montreal 27%	5/2 8%	-
Toronto 2-1 8%	8/1 6%	-
Draw 1-1 7%	7/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	-
Toronto 3-1 7%	12/1	-
Montreal 2-1 6%	12/1	-
Toronto 3-2 5%	18/1	-
Toronto 2-0 5%	11/1 9%	-
Toronto 1-0 5%	10/1	-
Toronto 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Toronto 4-1 4%	25/1 13%	-
Montreal 3-2 4%	25/1	-
Montreal 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Montreal 1-0 3%	16/1	-
Toronto 4-2 3%	33/1	-
Draw 3-3 3%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 75%	8/15 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 25%	7/5 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	6/5 4%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	18/1	-
BTTS - Yes 72%	1/2	-
BTTS - No 28%	6/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 35%	11/5 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	9/2 8%	-
Home/draw 73%	2/7 3%	-
Away/draw 47%	10/11 5%	-
Home/away 80%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 90%	1/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 10%	9/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 55%	5/4 2%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 45%	4/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 36%	3/1 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 64%	2/9 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 20%	7/1 14%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 80%	1/12 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	16/1 11%	-
Home DNB 67%	4/9 6%	-
Away DNB 41%	13/8 12%	-
Toronto win to nil 18%	3/1 7%	-
Montreal win to nil 8%	7/1 11%	-
Toronto / Toronto 28%	2/1 9%	-
Toronto / Montreal 3%	25/1 10%	-
Toronto / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Toronto 15%	9/2 10%	-
Draw / Montreal 10%	15/2 6%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2 7%	-
Montreal / Toronto 4%	18/1	-
Montreal / Montreal 15%	9/2 15%	-
Montreal / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Toronto have lost 3 consecutive league games

Montreal have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto	2 - 1	Nashville
Toronto	4 - 4	Chicago
Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
Toronto	2 - 1	New England
Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
Toronto	1 - 1	Atlanta
Toronto	3 - 0	Portland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toronto	0 - 2	Nashville
A	Toronto	1 - 3	Saint Louis City
A	Toronto	0 - 3	Orlando
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Nashville
H	Toronto	4 - 4	Chicago
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	2 - 1	Miami
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 1	New England
A	Toronto	1 - 1	NY City
A	Toronto	1 - 2	DC United
A	Toronto	0 - 0	New England
A	Toronto	0 - 0	Montreal
A	Toronto	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Toronto	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
H	Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colorado	1 - 0	Montreal
Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
Miami	7 - 1	Montreal
Columbus	1 - 2	Montreal
Nashville	1 - 0	Montreal
DC United	4 - 4	Montreal
Atlanta	3 - 1	Montreal
New England	3 - 0	Montreal
Cincinnati	4 - 3	Montreal
Orlando	2 - 1	Montreal
NY Red Bulls	0 - 3	Montreal
Chicago	3 - 0	Montreal
San Diego	5 - 0	Montreal
Cincinnati	3 - 0	Montreal
Charlotte	1 - 4	Montreal
Toronto	1 - 1	Montreal
New England	1 - 3	Montreal
Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal
Orlando	1 - 1	Montreal
Houston	1 - 3	Montreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Montreal	3 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Montreal	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Montreal	0 - 1	Colorado
H	Montreal	1 - 2	Charlotte
A	Montreal	0 - 2	Philadelphia
A	Montreal	1 - 7	Miami
H	Montreal	2 - 2	LA Galaxy
A	Montreal	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Montreal	1 - 1	DC United
H	Montreal	2 - 2	New England
H	Montreal	0 - 1	Miami
A	Montreal	0 - 1	Nashville
H	Montreal	0 - 0	Toronto
A	Montreal	4 - 4	DC United
H	Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
H	Montreal	2 - 2	Portland
H	Montreal	2 - 0	Orlando
A	Montreal	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
H	Montreal	4 - 1	NY Red Bulls

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toronto

Montreal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

1 / 8

TOR

MTL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toronto	5 - 1
	2 - 3	Montreal
	3 - 4	Montreal
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	2 - 1
Toronto	3 - 1

Montreal

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 13

8 / 13

Clean sheets

5 / 13

4 / 13

TOR

MTL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montreal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 6	Toronto
	0 - 1	Toronto
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	1 - 0
Montreal	3 - 1
Montreal	4 - 2
	1 - 2	Toronto
	0 - 1	Toronto
	3 - 4	Toronto
	0 - 2	Toronto
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Montreal Impact's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Toronto FC have conceded in each of their last 11 Major League Soccer matches. A PG of 1.6 for M. Donadel's side suggests that run should continue.

	Toronto 13th	Montreal 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.3 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 10% 1 23% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 20% There is a 67% probability that Toronto will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Montreal will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+30 Toronto have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted	+13 Montreal have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

TOR

MTL

view stats

Games scored	22		17
Failed to score	5		10
Scored first	6		13
Goals scored	39		34
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		13
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+9%

TOR

MTL

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		23
Clean sheets	3		4
Conceded first	19		13
Goals conceded	51		54
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	19%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.7
KickOff rating		+8%

Toronto v Montreal Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	7	6	7
L Gavran	D Sallói	D Sallói	J Osorio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	27	1		1 -
Alonso MID	27		4	5 -
D Sallói FWD	27	7	6	2 -
W Zimmerman DEF	22	1		5 1
D Junior FWD	22	4	1	1 -
R Laryea DEF	21	2	1	4 -
Z. Monlouis DEF	20			1 -
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	20	4		1 -
J Sargent FWD	20	7	2	-
K Franklin DEF	19	2	2	-
J Osorio MID	19		3	7 -
M. Henry MID	16			3 -
B Kuscevic DEF	14			4 -
T Corbeanu FWD	14	2	3	1 -
R Edwards DEF	13			3 1
J. Gilman DEF	12			1 -
Đorđe Mihailović MID	12	2	5	1 1
M Pereira DEF	10			2 -
M Cimermancic MID	10	1		1 -
N Gomis DEF	7			-
N Dorsch MID	7	2		1 -
L Stefanovic DEF	6			1 -
L Morgan FWD	4			-
J Vilsaint FWD	4			-
H Wingo DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	22	6	5
D Sallói	D Sallói	D Sallói	Alonso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sallói FWD	7	22	6	5
J Sargent FWD	7	19	2	3
D Junior FWD	4	12	1	2
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	4	9		2
R Laryea DEF	2	3	1	4
K Franklin DEF	2	4	2	1
T Corbeanu FWD	2	4	3	5
Đorđe Mihailović MID	2	10	5	3
N Dorsch MID	2	3
L Gavran GLK	1	1
W Zimmerman DEF	1	4
M Cimermancic MID	1	3
Alonso MID		5	4	5
Z. Monlouis DEF		3
J Osorio MID		3	3	2
M. Henry MID		1		1
B Kuscevic DEF		2
R Edwards DEF		2		1
J. Gilman DEF		3
M Pereira DEF				3
L Morgan FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1182	45	127
Alonso	Alonso	R Laryea

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Alonso MID	1182	45	103
J Osorio MID	912	25	63
W Zimmerman DEF	911	32	103
L Gavran GLK	793	2	18
R Laryea DEF	706	35	127
Z. Monlouis DEF	632	18	36
D Sallói FWD	587	5	56
B Kuscevic DEF	495	16	46
K Franklin DEF	488	27	55
J. Gilman DEF	417	16	35
R Edwards DEF	338	41	72
J Sargent FWD	304	10	101
M Cimermancic MID	273	10	25
Đorđe Mihailović MID	266	9	28
D Junior FWD	263	11	40
N Dorsch MID	254	11	24
T Corbeanu FWD	211	7	38
M Pereira DEF	208	13	32
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	151	5	34
M. Henry MID	141	9	30
L Stefanovic DEF	135	6	13
N Gomis DEF	131	8	12
L Morgan FWD	34		4
J Vilsaint FWD	19	2	9
H Wingo DEF	15	1	1

Montreal Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	15	6	7
L Petrasso	P Owusu	P Owusu	M Longstaff

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Longstaff MID	26	2	3	7 -
V Loturi MID	26	1	1	5 -
L Petrasso DEF	25		3	1 -
P Owusu FWD	25	15	6	6 -
D Ríos FWD	23	5	1	3 -
B Vera DEF	22	1	1	5 1
N. Streit MID	22	1	1	1 -
D. Bugaj DEF	21		1	2 -
O. Escobar MID	19			2 -
H. Synchuk FWD	18	1	1	3 -
E. Morales DEF	17		2	-
W Carmona MID	17	4	2	1 -
S Piette MID	17			5 -
J Neal DEF	16			2 -
F Herbers MID	16	1		2 -
B Craig DEF	13			3 -
S Breza GLK	8			1 -
A Sánchez FWD	8			-
B Ceballos DEF	7			3 -
D Pereira MID	7			1 -
B Hidalgo DEF	4			-
D Sealy FWD	4			1 -
F Amaya MID	2			-
V. Radojević DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	33	6	15
P Owusu	P Owusu	P Owusu	P Owusu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Owusu FWD	15	33	6	15
D Ríos FWD	5	13	1	2
W Carmona MID	4	9	2	4
M Longstaff MID	2	10	3	3
V Loturi MID	1	2	1
B Vera DEF	1	8	1
N. Streit MID	1	5	1	1
H. Synchuk FWD	1	17	1	4
F Herbers MID	1	1		3
L Petrasso DEF		4	3	8
D. Bugaj DEF		2	1
O. Escobar MID		2
E. Morales DEF		3	2	1
S Piette MID		1
J Neal DEF				1
B Craig DEF		1
A Sánchez FWD				1
D Pereira MID		2
D Sealy FWD		5		1
V. Radojević DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1257	38	99
M Longstaff	D. Bugaj	P Owusu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Longstaff MID	1257	23	67
B Vera DEF	1039	30	65
L Petrasso DEF	1033	30	65
V Loturi MID	913	34	89
J Neal DEF	759	25	54
E. Morales DEF	757	27	71
D. Bugaj DEF	561	38	79
S Piette MID	522	31	50
P Owusu FWD	418	20	99
B Craig DEF	389	7	20
H. Synchuk FWD	341	17	63
F Herbers MID	338	15	34
W Carmona MID	328	21	53
N. Streit MID	319	13	58
A Sánchez FWD	282	6	26
D Ríos FWD	247	5	39
D Pereira MID	245	5	18
S Breza GLK	229	3	8
B Ceballos DEF	193	6	15
B Hidalgo DEF	140	1	7
O. Escobar MID	115	5	15
D Sealy FWD	73	3	6
V. Radojević DEF	13	3	4
F Amaya MID	8