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Minnesota United v Houston Dynamo : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 01:30 BST, Allianz Field, Saint Paul

Sunday morning at the Allianz Field, and it’s a Major League Soccer showdown between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo. Cameron Knowles and Ben Olsen going all-out to claim the win. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Minnesota and Houston will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Cameron Knowles or Ben Olsen has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.20 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Houston coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Minnesota 35%	1/1 2%	-
Draw 26%	5/2 3%	-
Houston 38%	11/5 2%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
Houston 1-0 10%	12/1	-
Minnesota 1-0 9%	9/1 5%	-
Houston 2-1 8%	11/1	-
Minnesota 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	14/1	-
Houston 2-0 7%	18/1	-
Minnesota 2-0 6%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1	-
Houston 3-1 4%	22/1	-
Minnesota 3-1 3%	14/1	-
Houston 3-0 3%	33/1	-
Minnesota 3-0 3%	18/1	-
Houston 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	-
Minnesota 3-2 2%	20/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	13/20 1%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	6/5 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	11/10 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 46%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	11/4 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	9/2	-
Home/draw 62%	4/11 2%	-
Away/draw 65%	8/11 4%	-
Home/away 74%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	7/2 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	6/4 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/2 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	2/11 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	14/1	-
Home DNB 54%	8/15 2%	-
Away DNB 57%	11/8 5%	-
Minnesota win to nil 19%	3/1	-
Houston win to nil 21%	6/1 8%	-
Minnesota / Minnesota 25%	9/4	-
Minnesota / Houston 3%	25/1	-
Minnesota / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Minnesota 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Houston 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Houston / Minnesota 4%	20/1	-
Houston / Houston 16%	4/1 9%	-
Houston / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win form

Minnesota have lost 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Minnesota	2 - 3	LA Galaxy
Minnesota	1 - 2	Dallas
Minnesota	3 - 3	Orlando
Minnesota	1 - 2	Atlanta
Minnesota	1 - 1	San Diego
Minnesota	0 - 0	Vancouver
Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
Minnesota	0 - 1	Colorado
Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 0	Cincinnati
Minnesota	3 - 3	Seattle
Minnesota	0 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	3 - 0	Sporting KC
Minnesota	0 - 3	Chicago
Minnesota	1 - 1	Portland
Minnesota	1 - 0	Seattle
Minnesota	1 - 2	Colorado

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Minnesota	1 - 3	Seattle
H	Minnesota	2 - 3	LA Galaxy
A	Minnesota	2 - 4	Saint Louis City
H	Minnesota	1 - 2	Dallas
A	Minnesota	4 - 5	Portland
H	Minnesota	3 - 3	Orlando
A	Minnesota	5 - 1	San Jose
H	Minnesota	1 - 2	Atlanta
A	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	San Diego
H	Minnesota	0 - 0	Vancouver
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	Sporting KC
H	Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Minnesota	1 - 2	New England
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	Colorado
H	Minnesota	2 - 2	Austin
A	Minnesota	3 - 2	Columbus
H	Minnesota	0 - 1	LAFC
A	Minnesota	1 - 0	Dallas
H	Minnesota	2 - 0	Portland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Jose	1 - 0	Houston
Charlotte	0 - 0	Houston
Saint Louis City	2 - 1	Houston
Vancouver	0 - 1	Houston
New England	0 - 2	Houston
Sporting KC	0 - 2	Houston
LA Galaxy	1 - 1	Houston
Salt Lake	3 - 0	Houston
LAFC	1 - 4	Houston
Austin	2 - 0	Houston
Orlando	0 - 1	Houston
Colorado	6 - 2	Houston
Dallas	4 - 3	Houston
Sporting KC	0 - 0	Houston
Nashville	3 - 1	Houston
Colorado	2 - 1	Houston
Saint Louis City	2 - 3	Houston
Vancouver	1 - 1	Houston
Austin	2 - 2	Houston
Salt Lake	1 - 0	Houston

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Houston	0 - 2	Sporting KC
H	Houston	2 - 2	Cincinnati
A	Houston	0 - 1	San Jose
H	Houston	2 - 1	Salt Lake
A	Houston	0 - 0	Charlotte
H	Houston	0 - 0	San Jose
A	Houston	1 - 2	Saint Louis City
A	Houston	1 - 0	Vancouver
H	Houston	1 - 0	LA Galaxy
A	Houston	2 - 0	New England
A	Houston	2 - 0	Sporting KC
H	Houston	3 - 0	Austin
H	Houston	1 - 1	DC United
A	Houston	1 - 1	LA Galaxy
H	Houston	1 - 0	Vancouver
A	Houston	0 - 3	Salt Lake
A	Houston	4 - 1	LAFC
H	Houston	1 - 0	Colorado
A	Houston	0 - 2	Austin
H	Houston	1 - 0	San Diego

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Minnesota

Houston

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

0 / 9

MIN

HOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Minnesota
Minnesota	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Houston
Minnesota	1 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 1
Minnesota	2 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Minnesota	1 - 0
Minnesota	2 - 1

Houston

Minnesota

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

1 / 9

MIN

HOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Houston
Houston	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
	1 - 2	Minnesota
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Houston	3 - 0
Houston	2 - 0
Houston	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Minnesota 14th	Houston 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Minnesota will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Houston will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-33 Minnesota have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted	-11 Houston have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

MIN

HOU

view stats

Games scored	22		19
Failed to score	5		8
Scored first	6		13
Goals scored	40		34
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+6%

MIN

HOU

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		16
Clean sheets	5		11
Conceded first	19		12
Goals conceded	49		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	20%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+31%

Minnesota v Houston Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Minnesota Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	14	10	9
D Callender	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Díaz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Callender GLK	27			1 -
A Markanich DEF	27	8	3	3 -
T Chancalay FWD	27	4	4	4 -
M. Duggan DEF	26	1		5 -
W Trapp MID	26		2	2 -
J Pereyra MID	26	3	10	4 -
O Gene MID	26		1	4 -
K Yeboah FWD	26	14	2	2 -
J Díaz DEF	25		1	9 -
K Duncan DEF	23	1	3	4 1
N Triantis MID	21	1	1	3 -
M Boxall DEF	18			5 -
M. Dieng FWD	18			1 -
B Hlongwane FWD	16		1	1 -
M Gonzalez FWD	15	2		-
C Harvey MID	12		1	1 -
N Romero DEF	11			2 -
M. Caldeira FWD	9	5	1	-
M Malone FWD	5			-
D Taylor DEF	4			1 -
J Gressel MID	4			1 -
A Jackson MID	3			-
A. Smir GLK	1			-
K. Chandler DEF	1			-
P Stroud MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	28	10	24
K Yeboah	K Yeboah	J Pereyra	J Pereyra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Yeboah FWD	14	28	2	4
A Markanich DEF	8	18	3	8
M. Caldeira FWD	5	7	1	2
T Chancalay FWD	4	17	4	6
J Pereyra MID	3	12	10	24
M Gonzalez FWD	2	4		1
M. Duggan DEF	1	7		2
K Duncan DEF	1	4	3	4
N Triantis MID	1	6	1	1
W Trapp MID		1	2	1
O Gene MID			1	4
J Díaz DEF		9	1	4
M Boxall DEF				2
M. Dieng FWD		11
B Hlongwane FWD			1
C Harvey MID			1	1
N Romero DEF		1
M Malone FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1262	51	153
M. Duggan	A Markanich	A Markanich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M. Duggan DEF	1262	42	99
J Pereyra MID	1240	36	135
J Díaz DEF	1140	38	112
W Trapp MID	1007	37	68
O Gene MID	967	35	66
A Markanich DEF	844	51	153
T Chancalay FWD	753	26	79
D Callender GLK	660		5
N Triantis MID	656	30	64
K Duncan DEF	609	38	102
M Boxall DEF	542	13	45
K Yeboah FWD	408	14	111
N Romero DEF	357	11	31
B Hlongwane FWD	209	7	17
C Harvey MID	174	9	21
M. Dieng FWD	114	2	44
M. Caldeira FWD	101	5	22
M Gonzalez FWD	84	5	15
D Taylor DEF	54	4	6
J Gressel MID	30		1
A Jackson MID	27	1	7
M Malone FWD	19	2	4
A. Smir GLK	12
P Stroud MID	10	1	1
K. Chandler DEF	5

Houston Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	14	6	8
J Bond	G Augusto	G Augusto	F Vieira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Bond GLK	27			-
L Ennali FWD	27	3	3	4 -
M Bogusz MID	26	6	1	3 -
H Herrera MID	26	2		2 1
G Augusto FWD	26	14	6	3 -
A. Resch DEF	23	1		6 -
A Bouzat MID	23	1	1	3 1
D Samassékou MID	22			-
F Vieira DEF	21	1		8 -
Artur MID	20		1	3 -
I Aliyu FWD	20	2		1 1
A Carlos DEF	17			1 1
L Halter DEF	15			4 -
F Negri DEF	15	1		1 -
D Holmes MID	15			2 -
D McGuire FWD	13			-
N Markanich FWD	8			1
M. Arana Ibarra MID	6			-
M Saracchi DEF	3			-
J Maurer GLK	1			1 -
L Foster FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	32	6	10
G Augusto	G Augusto	G Augusto	G Augusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Augusto FWD	14	32	6	10
M Bogusz MID	6	31	1	5
L Ennali FWD	3	6	3	2
H Herrera MID	2	8		5
I Aliyu FWD	2	2		1
A. Resch DEF	1	3		2
A Bouzat MID	1	6	1	1
F Vieira DEF	1	3
F Negri DEF	1	2		1
D Samassékou MID		1		1
Artur MID		3	1	2
A Carlos DEF		2
L Halter DEF		1
D Holmes MID		1		1
D McGuire FWD		1
N Markanich FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1135	38	183
Artur	F Vieira	G Augusto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Artur MID	1135	24	50
H Herrera MID	1124	22	65
G Augusto FWD	1086	20	183
A. Resch DEF	989	36	89
L Halter DEF	804	20	55
J Bond GLK	790	1	14
A Carlos DEF	734	21	53
L Ennali FWD	709	21	82
F Vieira DEF	685	38	84
M Bogusz MID	677	23	98
A Bouzat MID	487	25	52
D Samassékou MID	370	19	44
F Negri DEF	355	17	30
D Holmes MID	191	24	45
I Aliyu FWD	160	17	29
D McGuire FWD	85	4	13
M. Arana Ibarra MID	48	1	2
M Saracchi DEF	38	1	5
N Markanich FWD	26		2
J Maurer GLK	11
L Foster FWD	7		1