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Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 00:30 BST, Subaru Park, Chester

Bradley Carnell welcomes Pablo Andrés Mastroeni to the Subaru Park on Sunday morning, as their Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake charges meet in the Major League Soccer. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

Best Tip: Philadelphia to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Major League Soccer fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Philadelphia to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Salt Lake, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It may not all be plain sailing, but Philadelphia to win is the bet come Sunday morning.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Philadelphia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Philadelphia 68%	3/10	-
Draw 19%	17/4	-
Salt Lake 13%	13/2	-
Philadelphia 2-0 11%	8/1	-
Philadelphia 1-0 10%	11/1	-
Philadelphia 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 1-1 9%	10/1	-
Philadelphia 3-0 8%	9/1	-
Philadelphia 3-1 7%	9/1	-
Philadelphia 4-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	25/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Philadelphia 4-1 4%	14/1	-
Salt Lake 1-0 4%	28/1	-
Salt Lake 2-1 4%	22/1	-
Philadelphia 3-2 3%	18/1	-
Philadelphia 5-0 2%	25/1	-
Philadelphia 5-1 2%	25/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	21/10	-
Home 1st Goal 59%	4/11	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 3%	25/1	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 48%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 31%	11/8	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	5/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	10/1	-
Home/draw 87%	1/10	-
Away/draw 32%	9/4	-
Home/away 81%	1/6	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/10	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	6/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	5/6	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	5/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	2/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	4/11	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9/2	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/7	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/100	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	25/1	-
Home DNB 81%	1/9	-
Away DNB 26%	11/2	-
Philadelphia win to nil 37%	13/8	-
Salt Lake win to nil 6%	16/1	-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 44%	10/11	-
Philadelphia / Salt Lake 2%	40/1	-
Philadelphia / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Philadelphia 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Salt Lake 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Draw 9%	17/2	-
Salt Lake / Philadelphia 6%	14/1	-
Salt Lake / Salt Lake 6%	12/1	-
Salt Lake / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Philadelphia have won 6 consecutive league games

Salt Lake have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia	4 - 2	Orlando
Philadelphia	5 - 0	Cincinnati
Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose
Philadelphia	1 - 2	NY City
Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY City
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 0	NY City
Philadelphia	1 - 0	New England
Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Toronto
Philadelphia	3 - 1	Colorado

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Philadelphia	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	4 - 3	Sporting KC
A	Philadelphia	5 - 0	San Diego
H	Philadelphia	5 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Austin
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
A	Philadelphia	3 - 2	NY City
H	Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
H	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	4 - 6	Miami
H	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 4	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	New England
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Seattle	2 - 0	Salt Lake
Houston	2 - 1	Salt Lake
Colorado	1 - 0	Salt Lake
Orlando	2 - 1	Salt Lake
Saint Louis City	1 - 1	Salt Lake
Portland	2 - 1	Salt Lake
LAFC	3 - 1	Salt Lake
Minnesota	1 - 1	Salt Lake
Dallas	3 - 1	Salt Lake
LA Galaxy	2 - 1	Salt Lake
San Diego	2 - 2	Salt Lake
Atlanta	2 - 3	Salt Lake
Vancouver	1 - 0	Salt Lake
Portland	3 - 1	Salt Lake
Saint Louis City	2 - 2	Salt Lake
Seattle	1 - 0	Salt Lake
LAFC	4 - 1	Salt Lake
Charlotte	1 - 0	Salt Lake
NY Red Bulls	2 - 1	Salt Lake
Portland	0 - 1	Salt Lake

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Salt Lake	3 - 0	New England
A	Salt Lake	0 - 2	Seattle
H	Salt Lake	0 - 3	Vancouver
H	Salt Lake	0 - 2	NY City
A	Salt Lake	1 - 2	Houston
H	Salt Lake	2 - 2	LAFC
A	Salt Lake	0 - 1	Colorado
A	Salt Lake	1 - 2	Orlando
H	Salt Lake	3 - 4	Dallas
H	Salt Lake	1 - 1	Minnesota
A	Salt Lake	1 - 1	Saint Louis City
A	Salt Lake	1 - 2	Portland
A	Salt Lake	1 - 3	LAFC
A	Salt Lake	1 - 1	Minnesota
H	Salt Lake	2 - 1	Colorado
H	Salt Lake	3 - 0	Houston
A	Salt Lake	1 - 3	Dallas
H	Salt Lake	2 - 0	Portland
A	Salt Lake	1 - 2	LA Galaxy
H	Salt Lake	0 - 2	Miami

Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday morning.

	Philadelphia 6th	Salt Lake 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 19% There is a 65% probability that Philadelphia will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Salt Lake scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Philadelphia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 Salt Lake have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

14%

better

PHI

RSL

view stats

Games scored	22		21
Failed to score	5		6
Scored first	13		13
Goals scored	54		40
Avg. goals scored	2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	13		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		14
Avg. XG for	2		1.4
KickOff rating		+14%

better

PHI

RSL

view stats

Games conceded	21		24
Clean sheets	6		3
Conceded first	12		14
Goals conceded	44		44
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		6
Conversion rate against	23%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+7%

Philadelphia v Salt Lake Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	16	7	6
N Harriel	M Iloski	F. Westfield	D Jacques

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Harriel DEF	27	1	2	4 -
B Damiani FWD	27	8	2	5 -
M Iloski FWD	27	16	2	4 -
I Vassilev FWD	26	4	5	1 -
A Blake GLK	25			-
D Jacques MID	25	4	2	6 -
J Lukic MID	25		1	6 -
C. Sullivan MID	24	7	5	2 1
E. Alladoh FWD	24	1	1	2 1
F. Westfield DEF	22		7	1 -
J Bueno MID	21	1	1	5 -
A Bedoya MID	17		2	1 -
A Anello FWD	15	1	1	2 -
J Larsen DEF	13	1		5 1
K Wagner DEF	12		3	4 -
Q Sullivan MID	12	1	3	3 -
N. Pierre DEF	11	4		2 -
B Bender MID	9	1	1	1 -
G. Martínez Turner DEF	7			2 -
M. Jakupovic FWD	7	1		-
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	6			1 -
J Rafanello MID	5			1 -
A. Rick GLK	2			1 -
F. Sundstrom DEF	2			-
S. Olivas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	39	7	12
M Iloski	M Iloski	F. Westfield	C. Sullivan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Iloski FWD	16	39	2	7
B Damiani FWD	8	15	2	6
C. Sullivan MID	7	22	5	12
I Vassilev FWD	4	10	5	8
D Jacques MID	4	5	2	3
N. Pierre DEF	4	5
N Harriel DEF	1	5	2	3
E. Alladoh FWD	1	5	1	1
J Bueno MID	1	5	1	1
A Anello FWD	1	6	1	2
J Larsen DEF	1	2
Q Sullivan MID	1	10	3	2
B Bender MID	1	2	1
M. Jakupovic FWD	1	1
J Lukic MID			1	2
F. Westfield DEF		2	7	11
A Bedoya MID		2	2	2
K Wagner DEF		2	3	3
P. Ossibadjouo DEF		1		1
J Rafanello MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1009	53	179
N Harriel	J Lukic	N Harriel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Harriel DEF	1009	46	179
D Jacques MID	943	44	93
J Lukic MID	921	53	87
F. Westfield DEF	779	43	140
A Blake GLK	632	2	11
I Vassilev FWD	551	22	68
B Damiani FWD	546	36	170
M Iloski FWD	537	10	61
K Wagner DEF	529	14	39
C. Sullivan MID	524	27	97
J Bueno MID	446	24	57
N. Pierre DEF	400	24	64
J Larsen DEF	353	18	42
E. Alladoh FWD	223	5	61
B Bender MID	209	14	29
Q Sullivan MID	180	10	23
G. Martínez Turner DEF	165	13	21
A Anello FWD	157	2	20
A Bedoya MID	116	7	26
J Rafanello MID	114	2	8
P. Ossibadjouo DEF	84	6	15
A. Rick GLK	51
M. Jakupovic FWD	15	2	9
F. Sundstrom DEF	13	5	7
S. Olivas FWD	4		1

Salt Lake Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	11	5	8
R Cabral	S. Solans Ormo	N Caliskan	M Guilavogui

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Caliskan MID	27	1	5	5 -
R Cabral GLK	26			1 -
S. Solans Ormo FWD	25	11	3	1 -
J Sanabria DEF	22	1	4	2 -
P Quinton DEF	22		1	3 -
A. Hezarkhani FWD	22	3		2 -
M Guilavogui FWD	21	2	5	7 1
D Yedlin DEF	20		1	7 -
S Junqua DEF	19		1	2 -
D Luna MID	18	5	3	5 -
S Spierings MID	18	1	1	2 -
L Engel DEF	14	1		-
D Marczuk FWD	14	1		1 -
A Katranis DEF	12			3 -
J Glad DEF	12		1	-
S Lobzhanidze FWD	12	2	3	-
C. Booth FWD	11	1		2 -
G. Dillon MID	10			1 -
L. Rodrigues dos Santos FWD	9		1	3 -
J Arias DEF	8			3 -
K Henry DEF	7			2 -
C. Guske MID	7			3 -
L. Moisa MID	7			2 -
J. Shokalook FWD	4			-
T Booth FWD	3			-
A. Piol FWD	2	1		-
M Stajduhar GLK	1			-
O. Anderson MID	1			-
E Eneli MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	25	5	10
S. Solans Ormo	S. Solans Ormo	N Caliskan	M Guilavogui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. Solans Ormo FWD	11	25	3	6
D Luna MID	5	11	3	8
A. Hezarkhani FWD	3	9		1
M Guilavogui FWD	2	19	5	10
S Lobzhanidze FWD	2	7	3	2
N Caliskan MID	1	6	5	2
J Sanabria DEF	1	7	4	8
S Spierings MID	1	5	1	3
L Engel DEF	1	2		1
D Marczuk FWD	1	7
C. Booth FWD	1	1		1
A. Piol FWD	1	2
P Quinton DEF			1
D Yedlin DEF			1	3
S Junqua DEF		2	1	2
A Katranis DEF		2		1
J Glad DEF		1	1
G. Dillon MID		2		1
L. Rodrigues dos Santos FWD		2	1	1
L. Moisa MID		2		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1470	38	115
N Caliskan	N Caliskan	M Guilavogui

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Caliskan MID	1470	38	99
P Quinton DEF	1058	27	64
R Cabral GLK	964	3	4
L Engel DEF	850	9	30
S Spierings MID	813	31	65
J Sanabria DEF	803	38	74
D Luna MID	732	9	39
D Yedlin DEF	726	35	54
M Guilavogui FWD	703	28	115
J Glad DEF	677	13	34
S Junqua DEF	672	18	48
J Arias DEF	353	6	15
S. Solans Ormo FWD	314	18	80
K Henry DEF	288	16	22
A. Hezarkhani FWD	255	14	60
A Katranis DEF	247	10	21
D Marczuk FWD	180	13	34
L. Moisa MID	174	15	19
G. Dillon MID	161	5	16
C. Guske MID	144	7	17
S Lobzhanidze FWD	116		5
C. Booth FWD	100	13	28
L. Rodrigues dos Santos FWD	72	3	13
A. Piol FWD	28	1	8
M Stajduhar GLK	27		1
T Booth FWD	21	2	5
J. Shokalook FWD	12
E Eneli MID	12		1
O. Anderson MID	1	1	1