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Belgrano v Rosario Central : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jul, 23:30 BST, Estadio Julio César Villagra, Ciudad de Córdoba

Belgrano are in Primera División action on Thursday night, as Ricardo Alberto Zielinski aims to beat Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana and his Rosario Central side at the Estadio Julio César Villagra. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Ricardo Alberto Zielinski and Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana to park the bus here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Belgrano and Rosario go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.36 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Belgrano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Belgrano 43%	17/10	6/4 9%
Draw 30%	17/10	2/1 3%
Rosario 27%	9/5	11/5 14%
Belgrano 1-0 15%	5/1	17/4 5%
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2	9/2 5%
Draw 0-0 12%	4/1	19/4
Rosario 1-0 11%	5/1	5/1 4%
Belgrano 2-0 9%	11/1	8/1 10%
Belgrano 2-1 8%	11/1	17/2 5%
Rosario 2-1 6%	11/1	10/1 10%
Rosario 2-0 5%	11/1	11/1 20%
Belgrano 3-0 4%	28/1	20/1 9%
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Belgrano 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1 9%
Rosario 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1 13%
Rosario 3-0 1%	33/1	25/1 13%
Belgrano 3-2 1%	50/1	33/1
Belgrano 4-0 1%	66/1	40/1 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%	21/10	19/10
Under 2.5 Goals 65%	4/11	4/11
Home 1st Goal 50%	11/10	19/20 7%
Away 1st Goal 42%	6/5	13/10 7%
No 1st Goal 9%	4/1	19/4
BTTS - Yes 41%	11/8	13/10
BTTS - No 59%	8/15	4/7
BTTS - Home Win 14%	7/1	11/2 7%
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 10%	15/2	7/1 14%
Home/draw 73%	2/5	7/20 4%
Away/draw 57%	2/5	8/15 6%
Home/away 70%	2/5	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 62%	8/13	3/5
Under 1.5 Goals 38%	6/5	6/5
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	11/2	5/1
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1/9	1/9
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	16/1	12/1
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/40	1/50
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	33/1	28/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/200	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/6	1/9
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	4/1	5/1
Home DNB 64%	5/6	13/20 10%
Away DNB 48%	5/6	11/10 10%
Belgrano win to nil 29%	11/4	-
Rosario win to nil 18%	3/1	-
Belgrano / Belgrano 19%	15/4	29/10 11%
Belgrano / Rosario 2%	40/1	28/1 12%
Belgrano / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Belgrano 14%	5/1	17/4 9%
Draw / Rosario 13%	5/1	11/2 8%
Draw / Draw 21%	11/4	14/5
Rosario / Belgrano 2%	40/1	25/1
Rosario / Rosario 17%	15/4	4/1 14%
Rosario / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Belgrano have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgrano	2 - 0	U Santa Fe
Belgrano	4 - 0	Sarmiento
Belgrano	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Belgrano	1 - 0	Aldosivi
Belgrano	1 - 2	Racing Club
Belgrano	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Belgrano	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Belgrano	1 - 0	Banfield
Belgrano	1 - 1	Tig
Belgrano	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
Belgrano	0 - 0	Tig
Belgrano	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Belgrano	3 - 0	Newells
Belgrano	0 - 0	SM San Juan
Belgrano	0 - 3	Central Cor
Belgrano	2 - 1	Banfield
Belgrano	0 - 1	Racing Club
Belgrano	1 - 1	Argentinos
Belgrano	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Belgrano	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Belgrano	3 - 2	River Plate
A	Belgrano	1 - 1	Argentinos
H	Belgrano	2 - 0	U Santa Fe
A	Belgrano	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Belgrano	4 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Belgrano	0 - 1	Gimnasia
A	Belgrano	0 - 0	Barracas
H	Belgrano	1 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Belgrano	0 - 3	River Plate
H	Belgrano	1 - 2	Racing Club
H	Belgrano	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Belgrano	1 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Belgrano	1 - 3	Huracan
H	Belgrano	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Belgrano	1 - 1	Defensa
A	Belgrano	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Belgrano	1 - 0	Banfield
A	Belgrano	0 - 0	Argentinos
H	Belgrano	1 - 1	Tig
A	Belgrano	2 - 1	Rosario

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate	1 - 0	Rosario
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	1 - 2	Rosario
Huracan	3 - 1	Rosario
Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 0	Rosario
Argentinos	0 - 0	Rosario
Newells	0 - 2	Rosario
Gimnasia	1 - 2	Rosario
Aldosivi	1 - 1	Rosario
Racing Club	1 - 2	Rosario
Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario
Instituto	1 - 3	Rosario
Sarmiento	0 - 1	Rosario
Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
Gimnasia	0 - 3	Rosario
A. Tucuman	0 - 0	Rosario
Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
San Lorenzo	0 - 1	Rosario
Platense	0 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
Tal Cordoba	0 - 0	Rosario

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Rosario	0 - 1	River Plate
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Racing Club
H	Rosario	3 - 1	Independiente
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Tig
A	Rosario	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Rosario	1 - 3	Huracan
H	Rosario	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Rosario	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Banfield
A	Rosario	0 - 0	Argentinos
A	Rosario	2 - 0	Newells
A	Rosario	2 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Rosario	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Rosario	2 - 0	Barracas
A	Rosario	1 - 1	Aldosivi
H	Rosario	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Rosario	2 - 1	Racing Club
H	Rosario	1 - 2	Belgrano
H	Rosario	0 - 1	Estudiantes

Goal Statistics

Rosario Central's defensive record is very strong, J. Almirón Quintana's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Belgrano makes sense in this context.

	Belgrano 6th	Rosario 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 4+ There is a 66% probability that Belgrano will score no more than 1 goal	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Rosario scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Belgrano have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Rosario have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	0.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

better

BEL

ROS

view stats

Games scored	15		14
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	24		24
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+1%

21%

better

BEL

ROS

view stats

Games conceded	10		15
Clean sheets	10		4
Conceded first	8		7
Goals conceded	16		19
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		9
Conversion rate against	8%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+21%

Belgrano v Rosario Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Belgrano Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	6	5
T Cardozo	N Fernández	L Passerini	L Morales

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Cardozo GLK	20			-
A Sánchez MID	19	1	1	4 -
F Vázquez MID	19	2	3	4 -
N Fernández FWD	19	4	4	1 -
L Morales DEF	18	1		4 1
L Zelarayán MID	18	4	2	3 -
R. Hernandes MID	18	2		3 -
A Maldonado DEF	17			3 -
E Rigoni FWD	17	1	3	1 1
A Cabrera DEF	16			5 -
A Spörle DEF	16			3 -
L López DEF	15		1	3 -
L Passerini FWD	14		6	4 1
L. Gutierrez FWD	14	2		-
F Metilli MID	13	3		-
S Longo MID	13			2 -
F Ricca DEF	11			1 1
J. Velazquez DEF	9			1 -
?. Ocampo DEF	9			-
A. Falcón DEF	6			3 -
J. Mavilla MID	6	1		-
R. Tulián MID	3	1		-
J. Lucco MID	3			-
G. Zelarayán MID	2			-
M Vicentini GLK				-
M. Daniele GLK				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	15	6	8
N Fernández	N Fernández	L Passerini	L Zelarayán

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Fernández FWD	4	15	4	1
L Zelarayán MID	4	11	2	8
F Metilli MID	3	7		1
F Vázquez MID	2	4	3	2
R. Hernandes MID	2	4
L. Gutierrez FWD	2	4		1
A Sánchez MID	1	1	1	4
L Morales DEF	1	1
E Rigoni FWD	1	6	3	2
J. Mavilla MID	1	1
R. Tulián MID	1	2
A Maldonado DEF		1
A Cabrera DEF		2		1
A Spörle DEF		1		1
L López DEF		3	1
L Passerini FWD		5	6	4
S Longo MID		2
F Ricca DEF				1
J. Velazquez DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
948	56	106
A Sánchez	A Sánchez	A Sánchez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Sánchez MID	948	56	106
L López DEF	678	24	69
L Zelarayán MID	634	19	91
F Vázquez MID	595	32	88
T Cardozo GLK	549	3	15
L Morales DEF	512	22	51
A Maldonado DEF	429	25	49
A Spörle DEF	358	31	53
E Rigoni FWD	321	15	65
R. Hernandes MID	319	17	51
S Longo MID	299	25	34
A Cabrera DEF	296	44	79
F Ricca DEF	267	11	33
N Fernández FWD	242	12	34
F Metilli MID	216	19	34
J. Velazquez DEF	173	11	23
L Passerini FWD	136	8	51
?. Ocampo DEF	127	5	10
A. Falcón DEF	118	9	16
L. Gutierrez FWD	100	3	23
J. Mavilla MID	82	6	21
J. Lucco MID	16	5	8
R. Tulián MID	11	3	3
G. Zelarayán MID	6		1

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	5	4	7
V Pizarro	E Copetti	Ángel Di María	F Ibarra

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Pizarro MID	18	1	1	4 -
E Giménez MID	17	1	1	5 -
F Ibarra MID	17		1	7 -
E Copetti FWD	17	5		3 -
I. Ovando DEF	16	1		2 -
A Soto DEF	16	1		2 -
J Ledesma GLK	15			1 -
A Sández DEF	15		1	5 -
E Coronel DEF	14		1	4 -
Ángel Di María FWD	14	5	4	2 -
G Ávila DEF	13	2	1	2 -
F Navarro MID	12			2 -
J Campaz FWD	12	1	4	-
P Fernández MID	11		1	2 -
G. De Jesús Duarte FWD	11			1 -
J Fernández FWD	11	1	3	2 -
F Mallo DEF	8			1 -
L. Raffin DEF	7			-
J Broun GLK	4			-
F Oviedo FWD	3			-
G. Cantizano FWD	3	1	1	-
S. Segovia MID	2			-
M Ruben FWD	1			-
D. Fernandez GLK				-
J Komar DEF				-
J. Giménez DEF				-
U Ciccioli DEF				-
S Zaracho DEF				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	16	4	10
E Copetti	Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María	Ángel Di María

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Copetti FWD	5	12
Ángel Di María FWD	5	16	4	10
G Ávila DEF	2	3	1	2
V Pizarro MID	1	4	1	3
E Giménez MID	1	6	1	5
I. Ovando DEF	1	3
A Soto DEF	1	1		2
J Campaz FWD	1	15	4	7
J Fernández FWD	1	3	3	3
G. Cantizano FWD	1	5	1	1
F Ibarra MID		1	1	1
A Sández DEF		3	1	1
E Coronel DEF		2	1	5
P Fernández MID		2	1	3
G. De Jesús Duarte FWD		2
J Broun GLK				1
F Oviedo FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
890	76	162
F Ibarra	F Ibarra	F Ibarra

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Ibarra MID	890	76	162
V Pizarro MID	863	25	70
I. Ovando DEF	731	13	69
E Giménez MID	622	34	99
G Ávila DEF	602	22	61
Ángel Di María FWD	571	8	52
E Coronel DEF	486	22	65
A Soto DEF	443	21	37
A Sández DEF	404	21	51
P Fernández MID	350	6	21
J Ledesma GLK	347		5
J Fernández FWD	292	13	50
J Campaz FWD	247	13	58
F Mallo DEF	218	9	25
E Copetti FWD	207	11	44
F Navarro MID	192	14	20
J Broun GLK	124		2
G. De Jesús Duarte FWD	95	5	25
L. Raffin DEF	83	4	13
G. Cantizano FWD	35	2	7
S. Segovia MID	23		4
F Oviedo FWD	12	1	5
M Ruben FWD	5		1