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Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd Oct, 18:45 BST, Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata

the Estadio José María Minella crowd welcome San Lorenzo's supporters on Saturday evening, as Julio César Vaccari's Defensa y Justicia take on Rubén Darío Insúa's side in the Primera División. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Defensa and San Lorenzo go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The stats don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.44 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Defensa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Defensa
42%
23/20-
Draw
31%
2/1-
San Lorenzo
28%
5/2-
Defensa 1-0
16%
9/2-
Draw 0-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
San Lorenzo 1-0
12%
13/2-
Defensa 2-0
9%
8/1-
Defensa 2-1
7%
9/1-
San Lorenzo 2-1
6%
12/1-
San Lorenzo 2-0
5%
14/1-
Defensa 3-0
3%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Defensa 3-1
3%
22/1-
San Lorenzo 3-1
2%
33/1-
San Lorenzo 3-0
1%
40/1-
Defensa 3-2
1%
40/1-
Defensa 4-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
17/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
10%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
38%
6/5-
BTTS - No
62%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/1-
Home/draw
72%
2/7-
Away/draw
58%
4/6-
Home/away
69%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
8/15-
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
11/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Home DNB
63%
8/15-
Away DNB
49%
11/8-
Defensa win to nil
29%
9/4-
San Lorenzo win to nil
19%
4/1-
Defensa / Defensa
22%
11/4-
Defensa / San Lorenzo
2%
40/1-
Defensa / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Defensa
16%
4/1-
Draw / San Lorenzo
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
San Lorenzo / Defensa
2%
33/1-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
14%
5/1-
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Defensa have won 4 consecutive home league games
Defensa 11TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Defensa2 - 0Gimnasia Mendoza
Defensa1 - 0Platense
Defensa2 - 1Newells
Defensa2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Defensa1 - 1Aldosivi
Defensa0 - 4Boca Juniors
Defensa1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Defensa2 - 0U Santa Fe
Defensa1 - 1Central Cor
Defensa1 - 1Lanus
Defensa1 - 1Belgrano
Defensa1 - 1Velez
Defensa0 - 0Estudiantes
Defensa0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
Defensa1 - 3Huracan
Defensa1 - 0Argentinos
Defensa2 - 1Boca Juniors
Defensa1 - 2Platense
Defensa2 - 1Belgrano
Defensa1 - 1Newells
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADefensa2 - 2Central Cor
HDefensa2 - 0Gimnasia Mendoza
ADefensa0 - 1Lanus
HDefensa1 - 0Platense
ADefensa2 - 1Belgrano
ADefensa1 - 1Velez
HDefensa2 - 1Newells
ADefensa0 - 3Estudiantes
HDefensa2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HDefensa1 - 1Aldosivi
ADefensa1 - 2Gimnasia Mendoza
HDefensa0 - 4Boca Juniors
ADefensa1 - 3Independiente
HDefensa1 - 2Tal Cordoba
ADefensa0 - 2Instituto
HDefensa2 - 0U Santa Fe
ADefensa5 - 2San Lorenzo
HDefensa1 - 1Central Cor
HDefensa1 - 1Lanus
ADefensa0 - 0Platense
San Lorenzo 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto1 - 0San Lorenzo
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0 - 0San Lorenzo
Central Cor1 - 0San Lorenzo
Lanus1 - 0San Lorenzo
River Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
Platense0 - 1San Lorenzo
Newells0 - 0San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
Tal Cordoba0 - 0San Lorenzo
U Santa Fe0 - 0San Lorenzo
Huracan1 - 0San Lorenzo
Gimnasia Mendoza0 - 1San Lorenzo
Central Cor2 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 0San Lorenzo
A. Tucuman1 - 2San Lorenzo
Lanus2 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Racing Club2 - 0San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Independiente
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Tal Cordoba
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Instituto
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0U Santa Fe
HSan Lorenzo0 - 2Huracan
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Central Cor
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Gimnasia Mendoza
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Lanus
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1River Plate
HSan Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0Platense
HSan Lorenzo0 - 0Velez
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Newells
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Estudiantes
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HSan Lorenzo2 - 5Defensa
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Boca Juniors
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Instituto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Defensa
League games at Defensa since 2019
Defensa
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
3 / 4
DEF
1
D
2
SLO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1San Lorenzo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Defensa1 - 0
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Defensa
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
DEF
4
D
1
SLO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT San Lorenzo
2 - 5Defensa
0 - 2Defensa
Draw0 - 0Draw
3 - 4Defensa
San Lorenzo2 - 1
1 - 3Defensa
Goal Statistics

San Lorenzo's defensive record is very strong, R. Insúa's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Primera División matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Defensa y Justicia makes sense in this context.

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for San Lorenzo fans, as should a 16 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Defensa 11th San Lorenzo 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Defensa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
San Lorenzo have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Defensa
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
28%
better
DEF
SLO
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score7
10
Scored first15
9
Goals scored31
19
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
DEF
SLO
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
13
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded32
21
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate against12%
7%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%

Defensa v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25467
J GutiérrezJ GutiérrezJ GutiérrezD Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gutiérrez FWD2646
3
-
S. Sosa Yung MID25
4
1
D Fernández DEF221
5
-
A Hausch FWD221
1
-
D Martínez  DEF2011
7
-
D Barbona MID1942
1
-
L Souto DEF181
1
A. Portillo DEF1631
5
-
A Molinas MID1534
3
-
C Pérez MID1313
4
-
E Lucero DEF11
1
-
M Borgogno GLK10
-
F Román DEF101
3
-
Éver Banega MID101
2
-
L Fernández  FWD1031
2
-
M. Aguiar MID9
1
1
V. Pucheta Loza DEF81
-
J López MID8
-
D Blanco FWD7
-
F Altamira FWD7
1
-
J. Lucco MID61
1
-
M. Porcel MID6
-
T. Perrotta FWD5
-
T Pérez FWD51
-
N. Roselli DEF4
1
-
E. Burdin Márquez DEF3
-
M. Rodríguez DEF3
-
D. Domínguez DEF1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25639
N TripichioR. AuzmendiA CuelloA Cuello
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Tripichio MID25
6
-
A Cuello FWD2553
8
1
E Herrera DEF221
6
-
F. Gulli MID223
3
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID19
5
-
M Ritis DEF182
6
-
R. Auzmendi FWD176
4
-
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF15
1
-
A. Ladstatter FWD15
1
M. Reali FWD141
1
1
M Insaurralde MID121
1
-
G Abrego MID12
1
-
J. Rattalino MID10
-
N Barrios FWD102
1
-
G Hernández DEF9
2
-
M Cardillo MID9
-
D Herazo FWD911
-
J Devecchi GLK8
2
-
E Amor DEF7
-
E Cerutti FWD7
1
-
D Arboleda DEF61
-
G Corujo  DEF6
1
-
A. Cordoba DEF4
-
J Álvarez FWD4
-
F. Lorenzón DEF3
1
-
G Prete FWD3
-
G. Alassia MID2
-
F Farías  MID21
-
M. Río MID2
-
O. Arias DEF1
-