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Independiente v Instituto : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd Oct, 23:15 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

It's a long trek for Diego Flores's Instituto side on Friday night, as they visit the Estadio Libertadores de América for a Primera División tie with Jádson Viera Castro's Independiente. Stats for our tip of under 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Independiente and Instituto during the standard 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Independiente 39%	13/10	-
Draw 29%	15/8	-
Instituto 32%	9/4	-
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2	-
Independiente 1-0 13%	11/2	-
Instituto 1-0 12%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 11%	6/1	-
Independiente 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Independiente 2-0 8%	9/1	-
Instituto 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Instituto 2-0 6%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Independiente 3-1 3%	20/1	-
Independiente 3-0 3%	22/1	-
Instituto 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Instituto 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Independiente 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Instituto 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	7/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	8/15	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 8%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 56%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	13/2	-
Home/draw 68%	1/3	-
Away/draw 61%	4/7	-
Home/away 71%	2/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	4/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	6/1	-
Home DNB 59%	8/13	-
Away DNB 52%	6/5	-
Independiente win to nil 25%	11/4	-
Instituto win to nil 20%	4/1	-
Independiente / Independiente 21%	3/1	-
Independiente / Instituto 2%	33/1	-
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Independiente 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Instituto 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	-
Instituto / Independiente 3%	28/1	-
Instituto / Instituto 17%	4/1	-
Instituto / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	0 - 1	Platense
Independiente	1 - 0	Newells
Independiente	3 - 1	Defensa
Independiente	1 - 0	Racing Club
Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Independiente	4 - 4	U Santa Fe
Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor
Independiente	2 - 0	Lanus
Independiente	1 - 1	Velez
Independiente	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario
Independiente	3 - 0	A. Tucuman
Independiente	3 - 0	Platense
Independiente	0 - 2	Lanus
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Independiente	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Central Cor
H	Independiente	0 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Independiente	3 - 1	Lanus
H	Independiente	0 - 1	Platense
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Velez
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Newells
A	Independiente	2 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Independiente	1 - 3	Rosario
A	Independiente	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	0 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	3 - 1	Defensa
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	1 - 2	Instituto
H	Independiente	4 - 4	U Santa Fe
H	Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
U Santa Fe	3 - 2	Instituto
A. Tucuman	0 - 0	Instituto
Central Cor	0 - 1	Instituto
Lanus	0 - 1	Instituto
Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0 - 2	Instituto
Newells	1 - 1	Instituto
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 1	Instituto
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Instituto
Tal Cordoba	2 - 0	Instituto
San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Instituto
Gimnasia Mendoza	1 - 0	Instituto
Platense	2 - 1	Instituto
Sarmiento	2 - 1	Instituto
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 0	Instituto
SM San Juan	0 - 0	Instituto
Godoy Cruz	1 - 1	Instituto
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Instituto
Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
Gimnasia	0 - 1	Instituto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	2 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Instituto	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Instituto	0 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Central Cor
H	Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Lanus
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Platense
A	Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
A	Instituto	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	1 - 1	Newells
H	Instituto	0 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Instituto	2 - 0	Defensa
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Tal Cordoba
H	Instituto	1 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Instituto	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Instituto	2 - 1	A. Tucuman

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Independiente

Instituto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

1 / 3

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Instituto

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Instituto
Instituto	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Instituto	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Independiente

Goal Statistics

	Independiente 5th	Instituto 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-23 Instituto have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

15%

better

IND

view stats

Games scored	21		18
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	16		15
Goals scored	33		27
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		10
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+15%

IND

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	8		9
Conceded first	9		9
Goals conceded	30		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.7
KickOff rating		+11%

Independiente v Instituto Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	4	7
R Rey	M Abaldo	S Montiel	I Marcone

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	27			2 -
M Abaldo FWD	26	5	3	3 1
F Zabala DEF	25		1	6 -
I Marcone MID	25	1		7 -
G. Millán MID	22	3	1	4 -
S Montiel FWD	22	4	4	4 1
S Arias DEF	19		2	2 -
J. Fedorco DEF	18	1		2 -
M. Curci MID	18		1	3 -
L Godoy DEF	17	1	1	5 -
S Valdéz DEF	16			3 1
L Cabral MID	12	1		1 1
M Meza FWD	10	1		-
F.Tempone FWD	8		1	-
J. Arrayago DEF	6	1		1 -
J. Palais MID	6			-
R Martínez MID	6			1 -
C Ávila FWD	3			-
I Bravo FWD	2			-
F Calderón DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	4	5
M Abaldo	S Montiel	S Montiel	M Abaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Abaldo FWD	5	17	3	5
S Montiel FWD	4	19	4	5
G. Millán MID	3	8	1	1
I Marcone MID	1	3		2
J. Fedorco DEF	1	3		1
L Godoy DEF	1	2	1	1
L Cabral MID	1	3
M Meza FWD	1	3		1
J. Arrayago DEF	1	1
F Zabala DEF		5	1	3
S Arias DEF		1	2
M. Curci MID		1	1	2
S Valdéz DEF		3
F.Tempone FWD		6	1	2
J. Palais MID		2		1
C Ávila FWD				1
I Bravo FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1144	64	148
I Marcone	F Zabala	F Zabala

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Marcone MID	1144	59	129
F Zabala DEF	1031	64	148
R Rey GLK	709	2	15
S Valdéz DEF	625	27	83
S Arias DEF	574	39	74
M Abaldo FWD	561	16	62
J. Fedorco DEF	522	28	93
S Montiel FWD	417	22	102
G. Millán MID	387	26	68
L Godoy DEF	378	18	48
M. Curci MID	355	25	67
J. Arrayago DEF	268	9	24
M Meza FWD	191	10	34
L Cabral MID	118	5	12
J. Palais MID	57	4	14
R Martínez MID	51	6	14
F.Tempone FWD	46	2	8
C Ávila FWD	36	1	8
I Bravo FWD	13		1
F Calderón DEF	1		1

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	4	8
G Cerato	A. Luna	D Sosa	F Alarcón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Cerato DEF	25	5	1	7 -
L Mosevich DEF	25	2		6 -
D Sosa DEF	25	1	4	3 -
G Abregú MID	23		2	2 -
A. Luna MID	23	6	3	6 -
F Alarcón DEF	22	1		8 -
J Galván DEF	22		1	6 -
J Mosquera FWD	21	1		3 -
J. Lázaro MID	20	1	4	1 -
J Méndez MID	19		1	3 -
N Guerra FWD	19	1		4 -
M. Gallardo MID	17	1	1	4 1
M Fonseca FWD	17	1		2 -
M Tissera FWD	15	2		1 -
J Acevedo FWD	11			-
M Ledesma GLK	9			-
A. Massaccesi DEF	9			1 -
L. Rafaelli FWD	9	1	1	2 -
F Suárez FWD	6	1		1 -
H Fuente DEF	3	1		-
F Moyano MID	3			1 -
A. Bravo DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	30	4	9
A. Luna	A. Luna	D Sosa	D Sosa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Luna MID	6	30	3	1
G Cerato DEF	5	11	1	6
L Mosevich DEF	2	6
M Tissera FWD	2	8		1
D Sosa DEF	1	7	4	9
F Alarcón DEF	1	5
J Mosquera FWD	1	9		4
J. Lázaro MID	1	2	4	6
N Guerra FWD	1	4
M. Gallardo MID	1	2	1
M Fonseca FWD	1	3
L. Rafaelli FWD	1	2	1	1
F Suárez FWD	1	3
H Fuente DEF	1	2
G Abregú MID		1	2	3
J Galván DEF		2	1	3
J Méndez MID			1
J Acevedo FWD		1		1
A. Massaccesi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
863	55	145
G Cerato	G Cerato	A. Luna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Cerato DEF	863	55	88
L Mosevich DEF	862	45	140
F Alarcón DEF	862	46	112
D Sosa DEF	813	37	74
G Abregú MID	704	25	78
J Galván DEF	693	28	96
A. Luna MID	533	29	145
M. Gallardo MID	477	39	74
J Méndez MID	388	16	36
J. Lázaro MID	237	20	55
J Mosquera FWD	226	34	73
M Ledesma GLK	193		3
M Fonseca FWD	147	5	26
A. Massaccesi DEF	133	12	33
M Tissera FWD	131	4	24
N Guerra FWD	125	8	32
J Acevedo FWD	102	6	14
F Moyano MID	74	1	2
L. Rafaelli FWD	64	5	20
A. Bravo DEF	51	1	5
F Suárez FWD	46		17
H Fuente DEF	25	2	4