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Estudiantes v Barracas Central : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 14:00 BST, Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata

Estudiantes and Barracas Central take on one another at the Estadio Ciudad de La Plata on Sunday afternoon, with both Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez and Rubén Darío Insúa hoping for success in the Primera División. We have custom-designed stats for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a thriller here. The statistics suggest Estudiantes and Barracas both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estudiantes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estudiantes 48%	1.61	1.70
Draw 29%	3.60	3.40
Barracas 23%	6.00	5.75
Estudiantes 1-0 16%	4.75	4.40
Draw 1-1 13%	7.50	6.50
Draw 0-0 13%	6.50	6.00
Estudiantes 2-0 10%	6.00	6.00
Barracas 1-0 10%	10.00	9.00
Estudiantes 2-1 8%	9.50	9.00
Barracas 2-1 5%	21.00	17.00
Estudiantes 3-0 4%	12.00	11.00
Barracas 2-0 4%	29.00	21.00
Estudiantes 3-1 4%	17.00	15.00
Draw 2-2 3%	26.00	21.00
Estudiantes 4-0 1%	26.00	21.00
Estudiantes 3-2 1%	41.00	29.00
Barracas 3-1 1%	51.00	41.00
Estudiantes 4-1 1%	41.00	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	2.50	2.62
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	1.50	1.44
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.53	1.53
Away 1st Goal 39%	3.25	3.40
No 1st Goal 9%	6.50	6.00
BTTS - Yes 40%	2.50	2.60
BTTS - No 60%	1.50	1.44
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5.00	5.00
BTTS - Draw 16%	6.00	5.50
BTTS - Away Win 8%	15.00	13.00
Home/draw 77%	1.13	1.13
Away/draw 52%	2.20	2.15
Home/away 71%	1.29	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	1.50	1.55
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	2.50	2.30
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	5.00	5.00
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1.17	1.14
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	11.00	11.00
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1.05	1.03
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	26.00	23.00
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1.10	1.11
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	7.00	6.00
Home DNB 68%	1.22	1.20
Away DNB 43%	4.00	4.00
Estudiantes win to nil 33%	2.20	-
Barracas win to nil 15%	8.00	-
Estudiantes / Estudiantes 31%	2.60	2.60
Estudiantes / Barracas 2%	51.00	41.00
Estudiantes / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00
Draw / Estudiantes 20%	4.00	4.00
Draw / Barracas 8%	11.00	10.00
Draw / Draw 19%	4.50	4.20
Barracas / Estudiantes 3%	29.00	23.00
Barracas / Barracas 8%	11.00	9.00
Barracas / Draw 4%	19.00	17.00

Win / draw / win form

Barracas have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Aldosivi
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Huracan
Estudiantes	0 - 0	Tig
Estudiantes	0 - 1	Belgrano
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
Estudiantes	3 - 2	Central Cor
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Banfield
Estudiantes	2 - 0	Racing Club
Estudiantes	3 - 1	U Santa Fe
Estudiantes	2 - 2	Argentinos
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Rosario
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	3 - 2	Instituto
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Platense
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
H	Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Central Cor
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Estudiantes	2 - 3	Banfield
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Racing Club
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Huracan
A	Estudiantes	0 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Rosario
A	Estudiantes	0 - 4	Argentinos
H	Estudiantes	0 - 0	Tig
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Estudiantes	0 - 1	Belgrano
A	Estudiantes	1 - 2	Barracas
H	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
A	Estudiantes	0 - 1	Defensa
A	Estudiantes	2 - 0	River Plate

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Barracas
Newells	1 - 2	Barracas
Central Cor	1 - 1	Barracas
Banfield	1 - 3	Barracas
Racing Club	0 - 1	Barracas
River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
Huracan	0 - 1	Barracas
Argentinos	3 - 0	Barracas
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Barracas
Belgrano	1 - 1	Barracas
Sarmiento	1 - 1	Barracas
Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
Aldosivi	1 - 3	Barracas
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Barracas
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 0	Barracas
Argentinos	0 - 1	Barracas
River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
Rosario	0 - 1	Barracas
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Barracas
Central Cor	2 - 1	Barracas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Barracas	1 - 1	Belgrano
H	Barracas	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Barracas	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
A	Barracas	2 - 1	Newells
H	Barracas	1 - 1	Defensa
A	Barracas	1 - 1	Central Cor
H	Barracas	3 - 1	Aldosivi
A	Barracas	3 - 1	Banfield
H	Barracas	0 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Barracas	1 - 0	Racing Club
A	Barracas	0 - 3	River Plate
A	Barracas	1 - 0	Huracan
H	Barracas	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Barracas	0 - 3	Argentinos
H	Barracas	1 - 0	Tig
A	Barracas	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Barracas	2 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Barracas	1 - 1	Belgrano
A	Barracas	1 - 1	Sarmiento
H	Barracas	1 - 2	Godoy Cruz

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Estudiantes have beaten Barracas in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Estudiantes

Barracas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

EST

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes
Estudiantes		3 - 0
Estudiantes		5 - 2
Estudiantes		3 - 1

Barracas

Estudiantes

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

EST

BAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barracas
Barracas	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 6	Estudiantes

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Estudiantes of late. It has been 5 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Barracas Central.

	Estudiantes	Barracas
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Estudiantes will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Barracas scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Estudiantes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 Barracas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

EST

BAR

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		19
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	28		31
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		16
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+11%

better

EST

BAR

view stats

Games conceded	18		19
Clean sheets	8		7
Conceded first	12		12
Goals conceded	31		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	1		1
KickOff rating		+1%

Estudiantes v Barracas Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	4	3	12
T Palacios	S Ascacibar	E Cetré	S Nuñez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Palacios FWD	25	3	2	4 -
S Ascacibar MID	24	4	2	9 -
E Cetré FWD	22	2	3	3 -
G Carrillo FWD	22	1	2	2 1
S Arzamendia DEF	21	2		10 1
C Medina MID	21		1	5 -
S Nuñez DEF	20	1		11 1
J Sosa MID	20	1		1 -
E Meza DEF	19	1	1	5 -
F Rodríguez DEF	18	1	1	4 -
G Neves MID	17	2	1	2 -
L Alario FWD	17	1		2 -
F Farías MID	16		2	5 -
G Taffarel DEF	15		3	7 2
A Castro MID	15	2		2 1
E Piovi MID	12			2 -
R. Gómez DEF	11	1		2 -
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	11	2	1	2 -
F Muslera GLK	9			1 -
R Mori DEF	8			3 -
L Pírez DEF	7	2		1 -
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	7	1	1	1 -
M. Amondarain MID	6			-
L Suárez FWD	2			-
F Iacovich GLK	1			-
L. Cornejo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	18	3	12
S Ascacibar	G Carrillo	E Cetré	T Palacios

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Ascacibar MID	4	13	2	5
T Palacios FWD	3	12	2	12
E Cetré FWD	2	8	3	7
S Arzamendia DEF	2	9		3
G Neves MID	2	2	1	2
A Castro MID	2	3
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	2	4	1	4
L Pírez DEF	2	2
G Carrillo FWD	1	18	2	3
S Nuñez DEF	1	1
J Sosa MID	1	2		2
E Meza DEF	1	4	1	5
F Rodríguez DEF	1	2	1
L Alario FWD	1	5		4
R. Gómez DEF	1	1		1
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	1	2	1	1
C Medina MID		6	1	2
F Farías MID			2	2
G Taffarel DEF		2	3	2
E Piovi MID		4
R Mori DEF		1
M. Amondarain MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1177	58	141
S Ascacibar	S Ascacibar	S Ascacibar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ascacibar MID	1177	58	141
G Neves MID	982	40	68
S Nuñez DEF	791	37	110
S Arzamendia DEF	728	43	89
T Palacios FWD	697	31	109
F Rodríguez DEF	661	15	43
E Meza DEF	574	33	72
J Sosa MID	527	15	48
C Medina MID	507	30	81
E Piovi MID	499	18	35
G Taffarel DEF	446	22	33
L Pírez DEF	384	14	33
R Mori DEF	362	8	29
G Carrillo FWD	360	8	115
R. Gómez DEF	303	28	60
A Castro MID	293	16	38
E Cetré FWD	261	9	56
F Muslera GLK	246	1	7
M. Amondarain MID	237	11	24
F Farías MID	215	5	36
L Alario FWD	196	9	54
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	174	10	30
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	84	7	18
L Suárez FWD	42	1	2
F Iacovich GLK	12		1
L. Cornejo MID	10	2	4

Barracas Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	6	8
M Ledesma	F Bruera	J. Ruiz	R Insúa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Ledesma GLK	27			2 -
D Miloc MID	26			4 -
F Bruera FWD	26	8	5	6 -
K. Jappert DEF	25	3	1	2 -
R Insúa DEF	25	3	3	7 1
I Tapia MID	25	2	1	3 -
S Rosané MID	24		1	4 -
G Morales FWD	23	2	1	1 -
J. Ruiz MID	22	3	6	1 -
N Demartini DEF	21			8 -
R Barrios DEF	21			5 -
T. Porra MID	21		1	-
J Candia FWD	21	7	1	5 -
F Tobio DEF	19	1		6 -
N Barrios MID	18			1 -
Y Rak DEF	17		2	2 -
F Mater MID	17		1	6 -
M Duarte MID	15	1		1 -
N Capraro DEF	4			-
I Tapia MID	4	1		-
M Puig MID	2			-
D Glaby MID	1			-
N Blandi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	6	8
F Bruera	F Bruera	J. Ruiz	J. Ruiz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Bruera FWD	8	21	5	5
J Candia FWD	7	14	1	4
K. Jappert DEF	3	4	1	1
R Insúa DEF	3	8	3	3
J. Ruiz MID	3	10	6	8
I Tapia MID	2	12	1	7
G Morales FWD	2	7	1	2
F Tobio DEF	1	3
M Duarte MID	1	3
I Tapia MID	1	2
D Miloc MID		1
S Rosané MID		2	1	2
N Demartini DEF		1
R Barrios DEF				1
T. Porra MID		1	1	4
N Barrios MID		4		3
Y Rak DEF		2	2	2
F Mater MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
670	58	168
R Insúa	D Miloc	J. Ruiz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Insúa DEF	670	39	102
D Miloc MID	663	58	106
K. Jappert DEF	613	30	88
N Demartini DEF	589	43	77
M Ledesma GLK	585	3	12
I Tapia MID	562	12	45
F Tobio DEF	506	14	45
Y Rak DEF	505	27	70
S Rosané MID	473	24	66
J. Ruiz MID	419	27	168
J Candia FWD	338	14	122
F Mater MID	318	32	73
F Bruera FWD	311	18	150
N Barrios MID	291	8	53
R Barrios DEF	276	24	69
T. Porra MID	219	16	48
M Duarte MID	207	8	31
G Morales FWD	180	6	34
D Glaby MID	25	2	1
I Tapia MID	24	5	10
N Capraro DEF	17	2	2
M Puig MID	9	1	2
N Blandi FWD	1