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Independiente v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 20:00 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Boca Juniors are on the road on Sunday night, as manager Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena takes his team to visit Independiente and Jádson Viera Castro at the Estadio Libertadores de América in the Primera División. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Independiente or Boca Juniors are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Independiente 27%	31/10	-
Draw 25%	21/10	-
Boca Juniors 49%	10/11	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	-
Boca Juniors 1-0 11%	11/2	-
Boca Juniors 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Boca Juniors 2-0 8%	15/2	-
Independiente 1-0 7%	9/1	-
Independiente 2-1 7%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	7/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Independiente 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Independiente 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Independiente 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	5/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	8/13	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	6/4	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/11	-
No 1st Goal 4%	7/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	19/20	-
BTTS - No 46%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	8/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	15/4	-
Home/draw 52%	4/5	-
Away/draw 73%	2/9	-
Home/away 75%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	7/1	-
Home DNB 44%	7/4	-
Away DNB 66%	2/5	-
Independiente win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 26%	9/4	-
Independiente / Independiente 13%	11/2	-
Independiente / Boca Juniors 3%	25/1	-
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Independiente 10%	7/1	-
Draw / Boca Juniors 17%	15/4	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	-
Boca Juniors / Independiente 2%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 26%	11/5	-
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente	1 - 4	Instituto
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	0 - 1	Platense
Independiente	1 - 0	Newells
Independiente	3 - 1	Defensa
Independiente	1 - 0	Racing Club
Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
Independiente	4 - 4	U Santa Fe
Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor
Independiente	2 - 0	Lanus
Independiente	1 - 1	Velez
Independiente	1 - 1	Estudiantes
Independiente	1 - 0	Rosario
Independiente	3 - 0	A. Tucuman
Independiente	3 - 0	Platense
Independiente	0 - 2	Lanus
Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
Independiente	0 - 1	Banfield

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Independiente	1 - 4	Instituto
A	Independiente	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Independiente	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Central Cor
H	Independiente	0 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Independiente	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Independiente	3 - 1	Lanus
H	Independiente	0 - 1	Platense
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Velez
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Newells
A	Independiente	2 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Independiente	1 - 3	Rosario
A	Independiente	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	0 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	3 - 1	Defensa
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	1 - 2	Instituto
H	Independiente	4 - 4	U Santa Fe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Mendoza	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Platense	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Defensa	0 - 4	Boca Juniors
River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Lanus	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Barracas	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Instituto
H	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	U Santa Fe
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Lanus
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Platense
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Velez
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 3	Deportivo Riestra
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Huracan
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	River Plate
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Instituto
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	U Santa Fe

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Independiente

Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

2 / 6

IND

BOJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Independiente	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
	0 - 1	Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

3 / 5

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Independiente
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Boca Juniors have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Primera División matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Independiente on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Independiente 8th	Boca Juniors 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Boca Juniors will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+39 Boca Juniors have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

IND

BOJ

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

IND

BOJ

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Independiente v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	5	5	8
R Rey	M Abaldo	S Montiel	I Marcone

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	28			2 -
M Abaldo FWD	27	5	3	3 1
I Marcone MID	26	1		8 -
F Zabala DEF	25		1	6 -
G. Millán MID	23	3	1	4 -
S Montiel FWD	23	4	5	4 1
S Arias DEF	20		2	3 -
J. Fedorco DEF	19	1		2 -
M. Curci MID	19		1	3 -
L Godoy DEF	18	1	1	5 -
S Valdéz DEF	16			3 1
L Cabral MID	12	1		1 1
M Meza FWD	11	2		1 1
F.Tempone FWD	9		1	-
J. Arrayago DEF	6	1		1 -
J. Palais MID	6			-
R Martínez MID	6			1 -
C Ávila FWD	4			-
I Bravo FWD	3			-
F Calderón DEF	2			-
N Banegas DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	5	5
M Abaldo	S Montiel	S Montiel	M Abaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Abaldo FWD	5	17	3	5
S Montiel FWD	4	19	5	5
G. Millán MID	3	9	1	1
M Meza FWD	2	4		1
I Marcone MID	1	3		2
J. Fedorco DEF	1	3		1
L Godoy DEF	1	2	1	2
L Cabral MID	1	3
J. Arrayago DEF	1	1
F Zabala DEF		5	1	3
S Arias DEF		1	2
M. Curci MID		1	1	2
S Valdéz DEF		3
F.Tempone FWD		6	1	2
J. Palais MID		2		1
C Ávila FWD				1
I Bravo FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1196	64	148
I Marcone	F Zabala	F Zabala

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Marcone MID	1196	60	133
F Zabala DEF	1031	64	148
R Rey GLK	738	2	15
S Valdéz DEF	625	27	83
S Arias DEF	577	39	74
M Abaldo FWD	571	17	63
J. Fedorco DEF	567	30	98
S Montiel FWD	436	23	107
L Godoy DEF	402	20	52
G. Millán MID	399	27	69
M. Curci MID	367	27	71
J. Arrayago DEF	268	9	24
M Meza FWD	199	10	36
L Cabral MID	118	5	12
J. Palais MID	57	4	14
R Martínez MID	51	6	14
F.Tempone FWD	48	2	9
F Calderón DEF	47	2	3
C Ávila FWD	36	1	8
I Bravo FWD	28		4
N Banegas DEF	14		2

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	9	4	9
L Blanco	M Merentiel	L Blanco	L Paredes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Blanco DEF	26	1	4	2 -
M. Delgado MID	25		1	5 -
S Ascacibar MID	24	5	2	5 -
M Merentiel FWD	24	9	2	1 -
L Lollo DEF	23	2		4 -
L Paredes MID	23	2	4	9 -
T. Aranda MID	20	1	3	2 -
A Costa DEF	17			5 -
A Velasco FWD	16	4	1	1 -
T Belmonte MID	15	1	1	4 -
Ángel Romero FWD	14	3		-
A Marchesín GLK	12			-
M Pellegrino DEF	12			1 -
L. Flores FWD	11	2	2	2 -
S Villa FWD	11		1	-
Álvaro Montero GLK	10			-
W Cepeda MID	10		1	2 -
A Bareiro FWD	10	3	1	3 -
M Giménez FWD	9	4		1 -
L Brey GLK	8			-
M Braida DEF	8			1 -
N Figal DEF	7			1 -
C. Rey Domenech MID	7			-
D. Gorosito DEF	6		2	1 -
L Lozano DEF	6	1	1	1 -
E Valencia FWD	6	2	2	-
F. Herrera DEF	5			2 -
C Palacios MID	5		1	1 -
M. Satas DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	4	9
M Merentiel	M Merentiel	L Blanco	L Blanco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Merentiel FWD	9	22	2	6
S Ascacibar MID	5	13	2	5
A Velasco FWD	4	7	1	4
M Giménez FWD	4	6
Ángel Romero FWD	3	6		2
A Bareiro FWD	3	10	1
L Lollo DEF	2	7
L Paredes MID	2	9	4	6
L. Flores FWD	2	9	2	3
E Valencia FWD	2	5	2	1
L Blanco DEF	1	3	4	9
T. Aranda MID	1	7	3	5
T Belmonte MID	1	2	1
L Lozano DEF	1	2	1	2
M. Delgado MID		3	1	3
S Villa FWD		3	1	4
W Cepeda MID		1	1	1
M Braida DEF				1
N Figal DEF		1
D. Gorosito DEF			2	3
C Palacios MID		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1637	62	155
L Paredes	L Blanco	L Lollo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Paredes MID	1637	39	93
L Lollo DEF	1634	51	155
M. Delgado MID	1242	51	110
L Blanco DEF	1046	62	100
A Costa DEF	824	23	86
S Ascacibar MID	722	51	98
T. Aranda MID	665	21	94
M Pellegrino DEF	622	13	37
T Belmonte MID	440	15	51
W Cepeda MID	401	11	23
M Merentiel FWD	397	5	31
N Figal DEF	388	9	27
M Braida DEF	347	18	44
A Velasco FWD	316	21	52
L Lozano DEF	292	10	28
L. Flores FWD	290	7	59
A Marchesín GLK	276		4
F. Herrera DEF	249	7	18
Álvaro Montero GLK	211		10
L Brey GLK	211		3
C. Rey Domenech MID	195	7	14
S Villa FWD	192	8	26
D. Gorosito DEF	179	12	28
A Bareiro FWD	174	12	57
Ángel Romero FWD	164	6	34
C Palacios MID	160	3	16
E Valencia FWD	55	2	20
M Giménez FWD	51	3	18
M. Satas DEF	28	4	6