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Lanús v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

Mauricio Pellegrino's Lanús side enjoy home advantage in the Primera División on Monday night, as Guillermo Barros Schelotto's Vélez Sarsfield visit the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.

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Lanús's next match is v Platense at 21:30 on Saturday 17th October
Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Gimnasia Mendoza at 00:00 on Sunday 18th October
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Lanus and Velez was on Monday 12th October 2026
Argentinian Primera División
October 12th 2026
Lanus 2
0 Velez
 
S. Marcich 59'
T. Marchiori Carreño (OG) 90'
 
LAN
VEL
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
5
6
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LanusVelez
 
S. Marcichfootball icon
J. Canale Domínguez
D. Moreno (R. Carrera 81')
E. Salvio (G. Lobos 81')
D. Medina (Gonzalo Pérez 90')
N. Losada
C. Izquierdoz
T. Guidara
A. Cardozo
A. Wlk Dure (Y. Valois Murillo 67')
L. Besozzi (M. Sepúlveda Méndez 67')
football iconT. Marchiori Carreño
(L. Piola 90') E. Gómez
J. García
L. Magallán
(L.Feler 90') L. Robertone
T. Silvero
R. Aliendro
(D. Godoy 74') M. Arias
(Simón Escobar 74') J. Policella
(D. Valdés Contreras 57') T. Aguirre
R. Martínez Rolón

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Lanus and Velez during the traditional 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lanus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lanus
37%
20/23
13%
-
Draw
31%
21/10
11%
-
Velez
32%
15/4
32%
-
Lanus 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw 1-1
14%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
13%
6/1
17%
-
Velez 1-0
13%
10/1
47%
-
Lanus 2-0
7%
7/1
11%
-
Lanus 2-1
7%
8/1
10%
-
Velez 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
-
Velez 2-0
6%
22/1
35%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
11%
-
Lanus 3-0
3%
14/1
29%
-
Lanus 3-1
2%
16/1
26%
-
Velez 3-1
2%
40/1-
Velez 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Lanus 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
-
Velez 3-2
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
13/10
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
3/5
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
4/6
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
13/2
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - No
60%
7/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
15/4
21%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/1
16%
-
Home/draw
68%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
63%
5/6
10%
-
Home/away
69%
4/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
2/5
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
7/4
16%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
10/3
21%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/5
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
9/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/16
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
28%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
7/1
33%
-
Home DNB
58%
3/10
15%
-
Away DNB
54%
12/5
43%
-
Lanus win to nil
25%
7/4
15%
-
Velez win to nil
22%
6/1
40%
-
Lanus / Lanus
25%
2/1
20%
-
Lanus / Velez
2%
40/1-
Lanus / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Lanus
17%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Velez
10%
8/1
29%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
19%
-
Velez / Lanus
3%
25/1
24%
-
Velez / Velez
13%
13/2
25%
-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Lanus 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Velez 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
10
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lanus since 2019
Lanus
Velez
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
LAN
1
D
2
VEL
2
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
Lanus
Goals: Scored
15
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
LAN
1
D
1
VEL
4
Goal Statistics

Lanús's defensive record is to be admired, M. Pellegrino's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Vélez Sarsfield makes sense in this context.

Lanus 5th Velez 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Lanus’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+32
Velez have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Lanus
PG (predicted goals)
Velez
1
1
Attack rating
LAN
VEL
22%
better
view stats
Games scored18
24
Failed to score10
4
Scored first12
18
Goals scored31
35
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
LAN
VEL
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
18
Clean sheets12
10
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded26
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
12
Conversion rate against9%
8%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%

Lanus v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
274611
N LosadaY. Valois MurilloE SalvioR Carrera
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Losada GLK27
4
-
T Guidara DEF241
5
-
C Izquierdoz DEF2531
9
-
J Canale DEF191
2
-
S Marcich DEF2822
6
-
D. Medina MID23
6
-
A Cardozo MID251
-
E Salvio MID2826
1
-
M Moreno MID1231
1
-
L Besozzi MID253
2
-
A Dure FWD123
-
Subs
F Petroli GLK2
-
R López DEF18
4
-
N Morgantini DEF4
-
G Pérez DEF151
2
-
F Watson MID18
1
-
F Biafore MID263
2
-
R Loaiza MID
-
M Sepúlveda MID232
3
-
R Carrera MID2324
10
1
Y. Valois Murillo FWD2141
2
-
B. Acosta FWD3
1
-
G. Lobos FWD51
-
Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28669
E GómezR MartínezD ValdésL Robertone
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK12
-
J García DEF2521
3
-
T. Silvero DEF1611
4
-
L Magallán DEF241
3
-
E Gómez DEF284
7
-
R Aliendro MID291
2
-
L Robertone MID2711
8
1
T. Aguirre MID911
1
-
M. Arias MID71
1
-
J. Policella MID611
-
R Martínez FWD56
-
Subs
F Sanguinetti GLK
-
U. Piedrabuena DEF
-
A. Pereyra DEF
-
Simón Escobar DEF101
2
-
L. Cristaldo Florentín DEF
-
J. Gordon DEF31
-
D Valdés MID2236
-
C Baeza MID21
5
-
L.Feler MID14
-
D. Godoy FWD223
2
-
A. Zahir Verón FWD12
-
L. Piola FWD2
-