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Aldosivi v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 9th Oct, 18:30 BST, Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata

The Primera División is the focus for both Aldosivi and Sarmiento on Friday evening, as managers Javier Sanguinetti and Facundo Sava battle it out at the Estadio José María Minella. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Primera División clash.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Aldosivi and Sarmiento have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aldosivi are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Aldosivi 44%	2.40 13%	-
Draw 27%	3.00	-
Sarmiento 29%	3.00 15%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	-
Aldosivi 1-0 12%	6.50 13%	-
Sarmiento 1-0 9%	7.50 7%	-
Draw 0-0 9%	6.50 7%	-
Aldosivi 2-1 9%	10.00 9%	-
Aldosivi 2-0 8%	11.00 15%	-
Sarmiento 2-1 7%	12.00 9%	-
Sarmiento 2-0 5%	13.00 8%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	-
Aldosivi 3-1 4%	23.00 12%	-
Aldosivi 3-0 4%	23.00 21%	-
Sarmiento 3-1 2%	29.00 26%	-
Aldosivi 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Sarmiento 3-0 2%	34.00 31%	-
Sarmiento 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.50 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.50 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	1.95 7%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.20 10%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	6.50 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	2.05 3%	-
BTTS - No 51%	1.70 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	6.00 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 6%	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7.50 25%	-
Home/draw 71%	1.36 6%	-
Away/draw 56%	1.53 9%	-
Home/away 73%	1.36	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.50 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2.50 5%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	5.00 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.17 1%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	26.00 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.11 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	6.50 7%	-
Home DNB 63%	1.73 9%	-
Away DNB 48%	2.00 11%	-
Aldosivi win to nil 26%	3.75 13%	-
Sarmiento win to nil 17%	4.50 13%	-
Aldosivi / Aldosivi 21%	4.00 16%	-
Aldosivi / Sarmiento 2%	34.00	-
Aldosivi / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Aldosivi 15%	5.50 8%	-
Draw / Sarmiento 13%	6.50 8%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33 4%	-
Sarmiento / Aldosivi 2%	34.00	-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento 17%	5.00 15%	-
Sarmiento / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aldosivi	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
Aldosivi	3 - 1	Banfield
Aldosivi	1 - 3	U Santa Fe
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Tig
Aldosivi	1 - 2	Gimnasia
Aldosivi	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Aldosivi	1 - 1	Racing Club
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Argentinos
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Huracan
Aldosivi	1 - 1	Rosario
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Barracas
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Defensa
Aldosivi	4 - 2	SM San Juan
Aldosivi	3 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Aldosivi	2 - 0	Huracan
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Argentinos
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Belgrano
Aldosivi	0 - 0	Newells

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Huracan
H	Aldosivi	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Aldosivi	3 - 4	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Aldosivi	3 - 1	Banfield
A	Aldosivi	1 - 2	Argentinos
H	Aldosivi	1 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Tig
A	Aldosivi	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Aldosivi	1 - 2	Gimnasia
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Barracas
A	Aldosivi	1 - 1	Defensa
H	Aldosivi	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Aldosivi	1 - 3	River Plate
H	Aldosivi	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Aldosivi	0 - 1	Belgrano
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
H	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Argentinos
A	Aldosivi	0 - 2	Sarmiento
H	Aldosivi	0 - 0	Huracan
A	Aldosivi	1 - 1	A. Tucuman

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Racing Club	3 - 1	Sarmiento
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0 - 2	Sarmiento
U Santa Fe	4 - 1	Sarmiento
A. Tucuman	1 - 2	Sarmiento
Banfield	3 - 2	Sarmiento
Belgrano	4 - 0	Sarmiento
Rosario	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Barracas	1 - 2	Sarmiento
River Plate	2 - 0	Sarmiento
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Huracan	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 1	Sarmiento
Argentinos	1 - 0	Sarmiento
San Lorenzo	1 - 1	Sarmiento
Platense	1 - 1	Sarmiento
River Plate	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Tal Cordoba	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Barracas	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Sarmiento
SM San Juan	0 - 1	Sarmiento

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sarmiento	1 - 3	Racing Club
H	Sarmiento	1 - 1	Belgrano
A	Sarmiento	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Sarmiento	1 - 4	U Santa Fe
H	Sarmiento	2 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Sarmiento	2 - 0	Huracan
A	Sarmiento	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Sarmiento	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Sarmiento	2 - 3	Banfield
H	Sarmiento	2 - 3	Argentinos
A	Sarmiento	0 - 4	Belgrano
H	Sarmiento	1 - 0	Tig
A	Sarmiento	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Sarmiento	1 - 2	Gimnasia
A	Sarmiento	2 - 1	Barracas
H	Sarmiento	2 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Sarmiento	0 - 2	River Plate
H	Sarmiento	0 - 0	Racing Club
H	Sarmiento	1 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
H	Sarmiento	1 - 3	U Santa Fe

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Aldosivi

Sarmiento

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

SAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aldosivi
Draw		2 - 2		Draw
		1 - 2		Sarmiento

Sarmiento

Aldosivi

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

0 / 3

Clean sheets

3 / 3

0 / 3

SAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sarmiento
Sarmiento		2 - 0
Sarmiento		2 - 0
Sarmiento		3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Aldosivi 14th	Sarmiento 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Aldosivi will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Sarmiento will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Aldosivi’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+17 Sarmiento have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ALD

SAR

34%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		20
Failed to score	13		6
Scored first	9		13
Goals scored	18		30
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	14		7
Conversion rate for	7		14
Avg. XG for	0.9		1
KickOff rating		+34%

ALD

SAR

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		18
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	13		12
Goals conceded	36		36
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	12%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

Aldosivi v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Aldosivi Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	4	3	7
N Zalazar	A Vombergar	T Fernández	Martín Adolfo García

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Cordero FWD	22	2	1	1 -
R González DEF	21		1	6 -
N Zalazar DEF	20		1	1 1
B Palavecino FWD	20			5 -
Martín Adolfo García MID	19		2	7 -
T Fernández FWD	16	3	3	4 -
A Sosa FWD	16	1	1	2 1
F Gino MID	13	2		6 -
N Guzmán FWD	13			-
S Moya DEF	11	1	1	2 -
L Rodríguez DEF	11		1	-
J Pombo DEF	11	1		3 1
L Castro MID	11	1		2 -
N Breitenbruch DEF	10			1 -
R Bochi MID	10			3 -
N Gaitán MID	9	1	1	-
L Acosta GLK	8			-
E López DEF	8			1 -
A Vombergar FWD	8	4		-
A Chávez FWD	8			1 -
M Godoy FWD	8			1 -
F Perruzzi MID	6			2 -
B. Dadín FWD	6			2 -
L Sigali DEF	5			2 -
I Chicco GLK	4			-
B Cufré DEF	4			-
F. Laurelli DEF	4			1 -
N Linares MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	4
A Vombergar	N Cordero	T Fernández	N Gaitán

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Vombergar FWD	4	8
T Fernández FWD	3	10	3	2
N Cordero FWD	2	11	1	2
F Gino MID	2	3
A Sosa FWD	1	6	1	1
S Moya DEF	1	2	1	1
J Pombo DEF	1	1
L Castro MID	1	5		1
N Gaitán MID	1	5	1	4
R González DEF		3	1	1
N Zalazar DEF		3	1
B Palavecino FWD		4		2
Martín Adolfo García MID		7	2	1
N Guzmán FWD		3
L Rodríguez DEF		1	1	1
E López DEF		1		1
A Chávez FWD		4
M Godoy FWD		1
B. Dadín FWD		3
L Sigali DEF		1		1
N Linares MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
706	40	143
N Zalazar	N Zalazar	N Cordero

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Zalazar DEF	706	40	122
A Sosa FWD	518	30	72
F Gino MID	404	23	46
L Castro MID	395	17	51
R González DEF	384	39	89
N Cordero FWD	328	24	143
N Breitenbruch DEF	302	30	55
J Pombo DEF	279	13	37
B Palavecino FWD	271	21	98
R Bochi MID	271	21	37
S Moya DEF	261	12	41
L Rodríguez DEF	238	17	35
Martín Adolfo García MID	229	36	85
N Gaitán MID	226	18	34
L Acosta GLK	222		3
E López DEF	193	14	24
T Fernández FWD	170	24	45
L Sigali DEF	139	9	23
A Vombergar FWD	133	13	56
B Cufré DEF	132	8	11
M Godoy FWD	111	12	33
N Linares MID	96	4	9
I Chicco GLK	83	1	2
N Guzmán FWD	72	7	22
F Perruzzi MID	63	1	6
B. Dadín FWD	56	8	10
F. Laurelli DEF	56	4	8
A Chávez FWD	36	3	12

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	13	4	11
J Marabel	J Marabel	J Marabel	J Insaurralde

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Marabel FWD	26	13	4	1 -
C Zabala MID	25	1	1	5 -
S Salle MID	25		2	9 -
J Insaurralde DEF	23			9 2
J Contrera FWD	22		3	8 -
D Churín FWD	22	2		2 1
M Martínez MID	21	2		5 -
L Suárez DEF	19	1		3 -
T Santamaría DEF	16		1	2 -
R Barcos DEF	16	1		2 -
M García MID	14			3 -
G. Arturia DEF	12			1 -
G Díaz DEF	11			1 1
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF	11			2 -
C Villalba MID	11	1		4 -
J Herrera FWD	10	1		-
G González FWD	10	1	1	-
Y Arismendi FWD	10			3 -
J. Rentería Arias FWD	10		1	2 -
J. Mavilla MID	9	3	1	1 -
P Magnin FWD	9	1	2	-
T. Ayala GLK	8			-
J Cabrera DEF	8			2 -
N Pasquini DEF	8	1		-
E. Giménez MID	7			1 -
U. Giménez DEF	6			-
B. Márquez FWD	4			1 -
I Arboleda GLK	2			-
A Nadruz MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	24	4	7
J Marabel	J Marabel	J Marabel	J Contrera

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Marabel FWD	13	24	4	3
J. Mavilla MID	3	7	1	2
D Churín FWD	2	7
M Martínez MID	2	7		1
C Zabala MID	1	3	1	3
L Suárez DEF	1	4		2
R Barcos DEF	1	4
C Villalba MID	1	7
J Herrera FWD	1	5		1
G González FWD	1	2	1
P Magnin FWD	1	2	2	1
N Pasquini DEF	1	1		2
S Salle MID		4	2	3
J Insaurralde DEF		2
J Contrera FWD		6	3	7
T Santamaría DEF		3	1	1
M García MID		1
G. Arturia DEF		1
G Díaz DEF		1
Y Arismendi FWD				1
J. Rentería Arias FWD		5	1	1
J Cabrera DEF				1
E. Giménez MID		1		1
U. Giménez DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1103	66	147
C Zabala	C Zabala	C Zabala

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Zabala MID	1103	66	147
J Insaurralde DEF	762	23	93
M Martínez MID	648	33	77
J Marabel FWD	431	10	118
R Barcos DEF	425	29	76
T Santamaría DEF	370	24	42
S Salle MID	354	29	115
L Suárez DEF	349	40	78
M García MID	292	28	41
J Contrera FWD	284	25	63
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF	270	12	32
D Churín FWD	253	18	97
T. Ayala GLK	228		2
N Pasquini DEF	162	11	17
J. Mavilla MID	158	12	41
G. Arturia DEF	153	10	27
Y Arismendi FWD	145	9	36
C Villalba MID	137	9	24
J Cabrera DEF	122	6	12
J. Rentería Arias FWD	116	7	50
G Díaz DEF	115	5	14
J Herrera FWD	89	7	22
P Magnin FWD	73	3	12
I Arboleda GLK	67		1
E. Giménez MID	66	6	9
G González FWD	61	2	9
U. Giménez DEF	48	7	15
B. Márquez FWD	10	1	3
A Nadruz MID	1