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Instituto v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 9th Oct, 23:30 BST, Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo , Avellaneda

Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena leads his Boca Juniors side to the Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo in the Primera División on Friday night, with Diego Flores's Instituto the opponent. Primera División statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Instituto and Boca Juniors have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.14.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Instituto 37%	21/10 13%	-
Draw 28%	15/8	-
Boca Juniors 36%	29/20 9%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Instituto 1-0 11%	13/2 15%	-
Boca Juniors 1-0 11%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 9%	11/2 8%	-
Instituto 2-1 8%	11/1 9%	-
Boca Juniors 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Instituto 2-0 7%	12/1 8%	-
Boca Juniors 2-0 6%	10/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1	-
Instituto 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-1 3%	22/1 21%	-
Instituto 3-0 3%	33/1 17%	-
Boca Juniors 3-0 3%	22/1 21%	-
Instituto 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	17/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	4/9	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	5/4 7%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	20/21 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/2 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 51%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	7/1 14%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2 7%	-
Home/draw 64%	1/2 7%	-
Away/draw 63%	4/11 3%	-
Home/away 72%	2/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	8/15	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	11/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	9/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	28/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/9 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	11/2 8%	-
Home DNB 56%	11/10 15%	-
Away DNB 55%	4/6 9%	-
Instituto win to nil 21%	7/2 13%	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 21%	11/4 6%	-
Instituto / Instituto 17%	4/1 5%	-
Instituto / Boca Juniors 2%	33/1	-
Instituto / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Instituto 13%	11/2 8%	-
Draw / Boca Juniors 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Boca Juniors / Instituto 2%	33/1	-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 19%	10/3 4%	-
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Instituto have won 5 consecutive home league games

Boca Juniors have won 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Instituto	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Instituto	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto	2 - 1	Platense
Instituto	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Instituto	2 - 0	Defensa
Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
Instituto	1 - 2	U Santa Fe
Instituto	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
Instituto	2 - 0	Central Cor
Instituto	2 - 2	Lanus
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Instituto	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Instituto	1 - 3	Rosario
Instituto	2 - 0	A. Tucuman
Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
Instituto	2 - 0	Argentinos
Instituto	0 - 0	Independiente
Instituto	0 - 4	U Santa Fe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Instituto	4 - 1	Independiente
H	Instituto	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	2 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Instituto	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Instituto	0 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Central Cor
H	Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Lanus
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Platense
A	Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
A	Instituto	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	1 - 1	Newells
H	Instituto	0 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Instituto	2 - 0	Defensa
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Tal Cordoba
H	Instituto	1 - 2	U Santa Fe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Mendoza	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Platense	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Defensa	0 - 4	Boca Juniors
River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Lanus	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Barracas	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	U Santa Fe
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Lanus
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Platense
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Velez
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 3	Deportivo Riestra
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Huracan
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	River Plate
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Instituto
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	San Lorenzo

Goal Statistics

	Instituto 1st	Boca Juniors 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+44 Boca Juniors have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

BOJ

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		25
Failed to score	7		3
Scored first	17		16
Goals scored	34		40
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+15%

BOJ

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		15
Clean sheets	9		13
Conceded first	9		10
Goals conceded	25		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		10
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	0.7		0.8
KickOff rating		+12%

Instituto v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	7	5	9
G Cerato	A. Luna	J. Lázaro	F Alarcón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Cerato DEF	27	6	1	7 -
L Mosevich DEF	27	2		8 -
D Sosa DEF	27	1	4	3 -
A. Luna MID	25	7	4	7 -
G Abregú MID	25		3	2 -
J Galván DEF	24		1	6 -
F Alarcón DEF	23	2		9 -
J. Lázaro MID	22	2	5	2 -
J Mosquera FWD	22	1		3 -
J Méndez MID	21		1	3 -
M. Gallardo MID	19	2	1	4 1
N Guerra FWD	19	1		4 -
M Tissera FWD	17	2	1	2 -
M Fonseca FWD	17	1		2 -
J Acevedo FWD	13			-
M Ledesma GLK	11			1 -
A. Massaccesi DEF	11			1 -
L. Rafaelli FWD	9	1	1	2 -
F Suárez FWD	8	1		1 -
H Fuente DEF	4	2		-
F Moyano MID	3			1 -
A. Bravo DEF	2			-
L. Sanseviero FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	31	5	11
A. Luna	A. Luna	J. Lázaro	D Sosa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Luna MID	7	31	4	1
G Cerato DEF	6	14	1	6
L Mosevich DEF	2	6
F Alarcón DEF	2	6
J. Lázaro MID	2	4	5	8
M. Gallardo MID	2	3	1
M Tissera FWD	2	10	1	1
H Fuente DEF	2	3
D Sosa DEF	1	8	4	11
J Mosquera FWD	1	10		4
N Guerra FWD	1	4
M Fonseca FWD	1	3
L. Rafaelli FWD	1	2	1	1
F Suárez FWD	1	3
G Abregú MID		1	3	3
J Galván DEF		2	1	3
J Méndez MID			1
J Acevedo FWD		1		1
A. Massaccesi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
932	55	167
L Mosevich	G Cerato	A. Luna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Mosevich DEF	932	44	141
G Cerato DEF	913	55	88
F Alarcón DEF	890	48	114
D Sosa DEF	868	42	81
J Galván DEF	792	29	108
G Abregú MID	752	26	84
A. Luna MID	582	32	167
M. Gallardo MID	556	51	90
J Méndez MID	400	17	37
J. Lázaro MID	276	23	64
M Ledesma GLK	229		3
J Mosquera FWD	228	34	74
A. Massaccesi DEF	175	12	38
M Tissera FWD	157	4	28
M Fonseca FWD	147	5	26
N Guerra FWD	125	8	32
J Acevedo FWD	106	6	14
F Moyano MID	74	1	2
F Suárez FWD	69		23
L. Rafaelli FWD	64	5	20
A. Bravo DEF	51	1	5
H Fuente DEF	44	2	5
L. Sanseviero FWD	5	1	1

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	8	4	9
L Blanco	M Merentiel	L Paredes	L Paredes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Blanco DEF	25	1	3	2 -
M. Delgado MID	24		1	5 -
S Ascacibar MID	23	5	2	4 -
M Merentiel FWD	23	8	2	1 -
L Lollo DEF	22	2		4 -
L Paredes MID	22	2	4	9 -
T. Aranda MID	20	1	3	2 -
A Costa DEF	17			5 -
A Velasco FWD	16	4	1	1 -
T Belmonte MID	15	1	1	4 -
Ángel Romero FWD	13	3		-
A Marchesín GLK	12			-
M Pellegrino DEF	11			1 -
L. Flores FWD	10	2	2	2 -
S Villa FWD	10		1	-
A Bareiro FWD	10	3	1	3 -
Álvaro Montero GLK	9			-
W Cepeda MID	9		1	1 -
M Giménez FWD	9	4		1 -
L Brey GLK	8			-
N Figal DEF	7			1 -
M Braida DEF	7			-
C. Rey Domenech MID	7			-
D. Gorosito DEF	6		2	1 -
L Lozano DEF	6	1	1	1 -
F. Herrera DEF	5			2 -
E Valencia FWD	5	1	2	-
C Palacios MID	4		1	1 -
M. Satas DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	4	9
M Merentiel	M Merentiel	L Paredes	L Blanco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Merentiel FWD	8	21	2	6
S Ascacibar MID	5	13	2	5
A Velasco FWD	4	7	1	4
M Giménez FWD	4	6
Ángel Romero FWD	3	6		2
A Bareiro FWD	3	10	1
L Lollo DEF	2	7
L Paredes MID	2	9	4	6
L. Flores FWD	2	9	2	3
L Blanco DEF	1	3	3	9
T. Aranda MID	1	7	3	5
T Belmonte MID	1	2	1
L Lozano DEF	1	2	1	2
E Valencia FWD	1	4	2	1
M. Delgado MID		3	1	3
S Villa FWD		3	1	4
W Cepeda MID		1	1	1
N Figal DEF		1
M Braida DEF				1
D. Gorosito DEF			2	3
C Palacios MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1619	61	152
L Paredes	L Blanco	L Lollo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Paredes MID	1619	39	93
L Lollo DEF	1536	49	152
M. Delgado MID	1198	49	105
L Blanco DEF	1007	61	99
A Costa DEF	824	23	86
S Ascacibar MID	715	50	96
T. Aranda MID	665	21	94
M Pellegrino DEF	551	13	32
T Belmonte MID	440	15	51
M Merentiel FWD	394	5	30
N Figal DEF	388	9	27
A Velasco FWD	316	21	52
W Cepeda MID	310	9	20
M Braida DEF	300	16	35
L Lozano DEF	292	10	28
A Marchesín GLK	276		4
L. Flores FWD	264	7	52
F. Herrera DEF	249	7	18
L Brey GLK	210		3
C. Rey Domenech MID	195	7	14
Álvaro Montero GLK	194		10
S Villa FWD	180	8	24
D. Gorosito DEF	179	12	28
A Bareiro FWD	174	12	57
Ángel Romero FWD	149	5	33
C Palacios MID	107	3	11
M Giménez FWD	51	3	18
E Valencia FWD	47	2	17
M. Satas DEF	28	4	6