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Instituto v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 9th Oct, 23:30 BST, Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba

the Estadio Juan Domingo Perón is the stage on Friday night, as Diego Flores's Instituto host Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena's Boca Juniors in the Primera División. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Instituto and Boca Juniors have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.14.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Instituto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Instituto 38%	7/4	-
Draw 28%	15/8	-
Boca Juniors 35%	17/10	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Instituto 1-0 11%	11/2	-
Boca Juniors 1-0 11%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 9%	5/1	-
Instituto 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Boca Juniors 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Instituto 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Boca Juniors 2-0 6%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	18/1	-
Instituto 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Instituto 3-0 3%	28/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-0 2%	28/1	-
Instituto 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Boca Juniors 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	17/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	4/9	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	21/20	-
No 1st Goal 6%	5/1	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 51%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	6/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1	-
Home/draw 65%	2/5	-
Away/draw 62%	2/5	-
Home/away 72%	2/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	8/15	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	11/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	9/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	28/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/8	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	5/1	-
Home DNB 57%	5/6	-
Away DNB 54%	5/6	-
Instituto win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 20%	3/1	-
Instituto / Instituto 17%	15/4	-
Instituto / Boca Juniors 2%	33/1	-
Instituto / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Instituto 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Boca Juniors 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Boca Juniors / Instituto 2%	33/1	-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 18%	7/2	-
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Instituto have won 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Instituto	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Instituto	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto	2 - 1	Platense
Instituto	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Instituto	2 - 0	Defensa
Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
Instituto	1 - 2	U Santa Fe
Instituto	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
Instituto	2 - 0	Central Cor
Instituto	2 - 2	Lanus
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Instituto	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Instituto	1 - 3	Rosario
Instituto	2 - 0	A. Tucuman
Instituto	0 - 0	Lanus
Instituto	2 - 0	Argentinos
Instituto	0 - 0	Independiente
Instituto	0 - 4	U Santa Fe

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Instituto	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	2 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Instituto	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Instituto	0 - 0	A. Tucuman
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Central Cor
H	Instituto	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Lanus
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Platense
A	Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
A	Instituto	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Instituto	1 - 1	Newells
H	Instituto	0 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Instituto	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Instituto	2 - 0	Defensa
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
H	Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Instituto	0 - 2	Tal Cordoba
H	Instituto	1 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Instituto	1 - 1	San Lorenzo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Mendoza	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Platense	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 2	Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra	3 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Defensa	0 - 4	Boca Juniors
River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Lanus	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 2	Boca Juniors
Barracas	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Lanus
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Platense
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Velez
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 3	Deportivo Riestra
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Huracan
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	4 - 0	Defensa
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	River Plate
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Independiente
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Instituto
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	Lanus

Goal Statistics

	Instituto 9th	Boca Juniors 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Instituto will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+6 Instituto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+44 Boca Juniors have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

BOJ

18%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		24
Failed to score	7		3
Scored first	16		15
Goals scored	30		37
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+18%

BOJ

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		15
Clean sheets	9		12
Conceded first	9		10
Goals conceded	24		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		10
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	0.7		0.8
KickOff rating		+10%

Instituto v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	4	9
G Cerato	G Cerato	D Sosa	F Alarcón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Cerato DEF	26	6	1	7 -
L Mosevich DEF	26	2		7 -
D Sosa DEF	26	1	4	3 -
A. Luna MID	24	6	4	7 -
G Abregú MID	24		3	2 -
F Alarcón DEF	23	2		9 -
J Galván DEF	23		1	6 -
J Mosquera FWD	22	1		3 -
J. Lázaro MID	21	1	4	2 -
J Méndez MID	20		1	3 -
N Guerra FWD	19	1		4 -
M. Gallardo MID	18	1	1	4 1
M Fonseca FWD	17	1		2 -
M Tissera FWD	16	2		1 -
J Acevedo FWD	12			-
M Ledesma GLK	10			-
A. Massaccesi DEF	10			1 -
L. Rafaelli FWD	9	1	1	2 -
F Suárez FWD	7	1		1 -
H Fuente DEF	3	1		-
F Moyano MID	3			1 -
A. Bravo DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	30	4	10
G Cerato	A. Luna	D Sosa	D Sosa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cerato DEF	6	13	1	6
A. Luna MID	6	30	4	1
L Mosevich DEF	2	6
F Alarcón DEF	2	6
M Tissera FWD	2	9		1
D Sosa DEF	1	7	4	10
J Mosquera FWD	1	10		4
J. Lázaro MID	1	3	4	7
N Guerra FWD	1	4
M. Gallardo MID	1	2	1
M Fonseca FWD	1	3
L. Rafaelli FWD	1	2	1	1
F Suárez FWD	1	3
H Fuente DEF	1	2
G Abregú MID		1	3	3
J Galván DEF		2	1	3
J Méndez MID			1
J Acevedo FWD		1		1
A. Massaccesi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
895	55	153
G Cerato	G Cerato	A. Luna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Cerato DEF	895	55	88
L Mosevich DEF	891	44	138
F Alarcón DEF	890	48	114
D Sosa DEF	843	40	78
J Galván DEF	737	28	101
G Abregú MID	728	25	79
A. Luna MID	557	30	153
M. Gallardo MID	512	46	84
J Méndez MID	390	16	36
J. Lázaro MID	260	22	61
J Mosquera FWD	228	34	74
M Ledesma GLK	215		3
M Fonseca FWD	147	5	26
M Tissera FWD	138	4	26
A. Massaccesi DEF	133	12	33
N Guerra FWD	125	8	32
J Acevedo FWD	104	6	14
F Moyano MID	74	1	2
L. Rafaelli FWD	64	5	20
F Suárez FWD	59		21
A. Bravo DEF	51	1	5
H Fuente DEF	25	2	4

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	8	3	8
L Blanco	M Merentiel	L Blanco	L Paredes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Blanco DEF	24	1	3	2 -
M. Delgado MID	23		1	5 -
S Ascacibar MID	22	5	2	4 -
M Merentiel FWD	22	8	2	1 -
L Lollo DEF	21	1		4 -
L Paredes MID	21	2	3	8 -
T. Aranda MID	20	1	3	2 -
A Costa DEF	17			5 -
T Belmonte MID	15	1	1	4 -
A Velasco FWD	15	4	1	1 -
A Marchesín GLK	12			-
Ángel Romero FWD	12	3		-
M Pellegrino DEF	11			1 -
A Bareiro FWD	10	3	1	3 -
Álvaro Montero GLK	9			-
L. Flores FWD	9		2	2 -
S Villa FWD	9		1	-
M Giménez FWD	9	4		1 -
W Cepeda MID	8		1	1 -
L Brey GLK	7			-
N Figal DEF	7			1 -
M Braida DEF	7			-
C. Rey Domenech MID	7			-
D. Gorosito DEF	6		2	1 -
L Lozano DEF	5	1		1 -
F. Herrera DEF	4			1 -
E Valencia FWD	4	1	1	-
C Palacios MID	3		1	1 -
M. Satas DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	3	9
M Merentiel	M Merentiel	L Blanco	L Blanco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Merentiel FWD	8	21	2	6
S Ascacibar MID	5	11	2	5
A Velasco FWD	4	7	1	4
M Giménez FWD	4	6
Ángel Romero FWD	3	6		1
A Bareiro FWD	3	10	1
L Paredes MID	2	9	3	6
L Blanco DEF	1	3	3	9
L Lollo DEF	1	6
T. Aranda MID	1	7	3	5
T Belmonte MID	1	2	1
L Lozano DEF	1	2		1
E Valencia FWD	1	3	1	1
M. Delgado MID		3	1	3
L. Flores FWD		7	2	3
S Villa FWD		2	1	2
W Cepeda MID		1	1	1
N Figal DEF		1
M Braida DEF				1
D. Gorosito DEF			2	3
C Palacios MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1505	59	145
L Paredes	L Blanco	L Lollo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Paredes MID	1505	37	90
L Lollo DEF	1421	49	145
M. Delgado MID	1101	49	102
L Blanco DEF	972	59	97
A Costa DEF	824	23	86
S Ascacibar MID	677	50	93
T. Aranda MID	665	21	94
M Pellegrino DEF	551	13	32
T Belmonte MID	440	15	51
N Figal DEF	388	9	27
M Merentiel FWD	377	5	28
W Cepeda MID	307	9	20
M Braida DEF	300	16	35
A Velasco FWD	297	19	47
A Marchesín GLK	276		4
L. Flores FWD	250	7	52
L Lozano DEF	225	6	20
C. Rey Domenech MID	195	7	14
Álvaro Montero GLK	194		10
L Brey GLK	189		3
D. Gorosito DEF	179	12	28
A Bareiro FWD	174	12	57
F. Herrera DEF	164	6	13
S Villa FWD	154	8	19
Ángel Romero FWD	146	5	33
C Palacios MID	86	2	8
M Giménez FWD	51	3	18
E Valencia FWD	38	2	13
M. Satas DEF	28	4	6