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River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 5th May, 00:30 BST, Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

River Plate are in Primera División action on Monday morning, as Marcelo Daniel Gallardo looks to get one over on Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez and his Vélez Sarsfield side at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we're not predicting a goal-fest here. The stats suggest River Plate and Velez both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
River Plate 58%	4/9 13%	-
Draw 26%	31/10 14%	-
Velez 16%	21/4 38%	-
River Plate 1-0 17%	9/2 22%	-
River Plate 2-0 13%	5/1 26%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2 23%	-
Draw 0-0 11%	15/2 6%	-
River Plate 2-1 9%	8/1 18%	-
Velez 1-0 7%	12/1 24%	-
River Plate 3-0 7%	17/2 36%	-
River Plate 3-1 4%	14/1	-
Velez 2-1 4%	20/1 38%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	25/1 37%	-
River Plate 4-0 3%	18/1 46%	-
Velez 2-0 2%	33/1 33%	-
River Plate 4-1 2%	28/1	-
River Plate 3-2 2%	40/1 20%	-
Velez 3-1 1%	50/1 60%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	23/20 2%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	4/6 1%	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	1/3 11%	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	10/3 33%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	15/2 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 38%	11/8 27%	-
BTTS - No 62%	8/15 15%	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	10/3 9%	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	11/2 28%	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	14/1 48%	-
Home/draw 84%	1/9 6%	-
Away/draw 42%	6/4 29%	-
Home/away 74%	1/5 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	4/11 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	2/1 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	8/1 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/14 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/16 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	9/1 25%	-
Home DNB 76%	1/7 7%	-
Away DNB 34%	9/2 39%	-
River Plate win to nil 40%	1/1 20%	-
Velez win to nil 10%	9/1 33%	-
River Plate / River Plate 38%	6/5 15%	-
River Plate / Velez 2%	50/1 24%	-
River Plate / Draw 5%	16/1 19%	-
Draw / River Plate 21%	3/1 14%	-
Draw / Velez 6%	12/1 38%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	-
Velez / River Plate 3%	25/1 10%	-
Velez / Velez 6%	12/1 43%	-
Velez / Draw 4%	20/1 19%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
River Plate	0 - 2	Estudiantes
River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
River Plate	2 - 0	Independiente
River Plate	1 - 0	Instituto
River Plate	4 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
River Plate	3 - 0	Barracas
River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield
River Plate	1 - 1	Velez
River Plate	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
River Plate	4 - 1	A. Tucuman
River Plate	0 - 0	Newells
River Plate	1 - 1	Huracan
River Plate	1 - 0	Sarmiento
River Plate	2 - 2	Lanus
River Plate	3 - 1	Tig

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Sarmiento
H	River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	River Plate	1 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	River Plate	0 - 2	Estudiantes
A	River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Lanus
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Independiente
A	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Instituto
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Platense
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	River Plate	4 - 0	Rosario
H	River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Estudiantes
A	River Plate	1 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Velez
Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
A. Tucuman	1 - 2	Velez
Lanus	0 - 0	Velez
Independiente	3 - 0	Velez
Instituto	2 - 0	Velez
Tig	3 - 0	Velez
U Santa Fe	1 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 1	Velez
Argentinos	1 - 1	Velez
River Plate	1 - 1	Velez
Rosario	3 - 0	Velez
San Lorenzo	0 - 1	Velez
Barracas	0 - 5	Velez
Banfield	2 - 2	Velez
Central Cor	0 - 2	Velez
Platense	0 - 2	Velez
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Velez
Independiente	1 - 1	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

13 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Velez	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Velez	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
H	Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
A	Velez	0 - 3	Independiente
H	Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Velez	0 - 2	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 1	Platense
A	Velez	0 - 3	Tig
H	Velez	2 - 0	Huracan
A	Velez	0 - 1	U Santa Fe
H	Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento
A	Velez	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	0 - 0	Lanus

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

River Plate

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
River Plate	5 - 0
River Plate	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Velez

Velez

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

0 / 4

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	River Plate

Goal Statistics

	River Plate 5th	Velez 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that River Plate will score 1 or more goals	0 51% 1 34% 2 11% 3 4+ There is a 51% probability that Velez will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-49 Velez have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

47%

better

RIV

VEL

view stats

Games scored	11		5
Failed to score	4		10
Scored first	8		4
Goals scored	17		6
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.4
Avg. shots per game	12		6
Avg. shots per goal	11		15
Conversion rate for	9		7
Avg. XG for	1.5		0.7
KickOff rating		+47%

44%

better

RIV

VEL

view stats

Games conceded	6		10
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	4		9
Goals conceded	8		18
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	15		7
Conversion rate against	7%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1
KickOff rating		+44%

River Plate v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	3	6
F Armani	M Borja	G Montiel	L Quarta

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Armani GLK	15			-
M Borja FWD	15	4	1	3 -
E Pérez MID	14			3 1
M Acuña DEF	13		1	3 -
F Colidio FWD	13	3		2 -
G Montiel DEF	12	1	3	2 -
G Pezzella DEF	12			3 -
S Driussi MID	12	2	1	2 -
L Quarta DEF	11	1		6 -
S Simón MID	11			1
R Aliendro MID	11	1		2 -
M Meza FWD	10		1	4 -
P Díaz DEF	9			1 -
F. Mastantuono MID	9	3	2	3 -
G Galoppo MID	8			1 -
M Lanzini MID	8			-
I. Subiabre FWD	7	1		1 -
M Casco DEF	6		1	-
F Bustos DEF	6			1 -
G Tapia FWD	6			1 -
N Fernández MID	5			1 -
P Martínez MID	5		1	-
M Rojas MID	5	1		-
M Kranevitter MID	4			1 -
L Pírez DEF	1			1 -
S. Lencinas MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	15	3	7
M Borja	M Borja	G Montiel	M Borja

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Borja FWD	4	15	1	7
F. Mastantuono MID	3	13	2	3
F Colidio FWD	3	9		7
S Driussi MID	2	5	1	3
I. Subiabre FWD	1	3		1
G Montiel DEF	1	2	3	5
M Rojas MID	1	3
L Quarta DEF	1	7		2
R Aliendro MID	1	3		2
L Pírez DEF		1
P Martínez MID		2	1	1
N Fernández MID		1		1
G Tapia FWD		2
F Bustos DEF				1
M Casco DEF		1	1	1
M Lanzini MID		2		3
G Galoppo MID		3		2
P Díaz DEF		2
M Meza FWD		4	1	2
S Simón MID				2
G Pezzella DEF		4		1
M Acuña DEF		1	1	7
E Pérez MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
633	29	76
L Quarta	E Pérez	M Meza

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	633	22	73
E Pérez MID	624	29	73
G Pezzella DEF	602	7	46
M Acuña DEF	566	17	56
G Montiel DEF	521	21	48
P Díaz DEF	519	11	67
M Meza FWD	419	24	76
F. Mastantuono MID	327	7	54
S Simón MID	304	20	37
F Armani GLK	273		5
R Aliendro MID	272	17	30
F Colidio FWD	254	14	64
G Galoppo MID	236	15	37
F Bustos DEF	224	10	16
M Borja FWD	196	7	43
S Driussi MID	192	9	34
M Lanzini MID	187	4	16
M Casco DEF	162	7	15
P Martínez MID	118	1	21
M Kranevitter MID	104	7	20
N Fernández MID	80	7	12
M Rojas MID	70	2	5
L Pírez DEF	67	1	3
I. Subiabre FWD	61	2	12
S. Lencinas MID	28	2	2
G Tapia FWD	27		14

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	4	1	6
T Marchiori	B Romero	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Marchiori GLK	15			-
E Gómez DEF	14			2 -
A Bouzat MID	14		1	6 -
B Romero FWD	14	4		5 -
C Ordoñez MID	13			3 -
F Pizzini FWD	13			-
D Fernández DEF	12			1 -
?. Montoro MID	12			2 -
M Santos FWD	11			-
J. Gordon DEF	10			2 1
A Quirós DEF	9			3 2
M Pellegrini FWD	9			-
M. Carrizo FWD	9	2		2 -
M. Porcel MID	8			-
V Gómez DEF	7			1 -
E Mammana DEF	7			2 -
I Machuca FWD	7			1 -
A Lagos DEF	6			1 -
T Galván MID	6			-
K. Vázquez MID	6			2 -
C Baeza MID	5			2 -
I. Andrada DEF	4		1	-
P Pernicone DEF	3			1
T Cavanagh DEF	3			1 -
J García DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	1	3
B Romero	B Romero	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Romero FWD	4	7		1
M. Carrizo FWD	2	5
T Cavanagh DEF				1
P Pernicone DEF		1
I. Andrada DEF			1	1
T Galván MID		1
A Lagos DEF		2		3
I Machuca FWD				2
E Mammana DEF				1
M. Porcel MID		1		2
E Gómez DEF		1		1
M Pellegrini FWD		1		1
J. Gordon DEF				2
M Santos FWD		4
?. Montoro MID				2
D Fernández DEF		1
F Pizzini FWD		3		2
C Ordoñez MID		3		1
A Bouzat MID		2	1	3
J García DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
602	41	89
A Bouzat	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bouzat MID	602	41	89
E Gómez DEF	510	24	77
D Fernández DEF	450	16	58
C Ordoñez MID	415	34	79
J. Gordon DEF	371	21	52
E Mammana DEF	361	8	25
T Marchiori GLK	348	1	8
A Quirós DEF	345	13	46
V Gómez DEF	306	9	30
?. Montoro MID	282	10	67
F Pizzini FWD	237	12	37
T Galván MID	188	7	29
B Romero FWD	183	20	74
A Lagos DEF	183	18	37
C Baeza MID	160	14	21
K. Vázquez MID	152	10	15
P Pernicone DEF	145	3	11
M. Carrizo FWD	131	11	36
M Pellegrini FWD	121	6	32
M. Porcel MID	105	6	21
I Machuca FWD	87	2	20
M Santos FWD	87	3	26
I. Andrada DEF	83	6	10
T Cavanagh DEF	74	5	7
J García DEF	12		1

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River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

River Plate v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

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