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River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Aug, 23:15 BST, Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

Sunday night sees Eduardo Germán Coudet’s River Plate and Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s Vélez Sarsfield go head to head in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu. For every Primera División preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Eduardo Germán Coudet and Guillermo Barros Schelotto to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as River Plate and Velez go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.71.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
River Plate 39%	71/100	-
Draw 29%	9/4	-
Velez 32%	17/4	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
River Plate 1-0 13%	9/2	-
Velez 1-0 11%	10/1	-
Draw 0-0 11%	6/1	-
River Plate 2-1 8%	8/1	-
River Plate 2-0 8%	6/1	-
Velez 2-1 7%	18/1	-
Velez 2-0 6%	25/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	-
River Plate 3-1 3%	16/1	-
River Plate 3-0 3%	12/1	-
Velez 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Velez 3-0 2%	50/1	-
River Plate 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Velez 3-2 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	7/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	8/15	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	6/5	-
BTTS - No 55%	8/13	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	12/1	-
Home/draw 68%	1/6	-
Away/draw 61%	1/1	-
Home/away 71%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	4/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	2/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	6/1	-
Home DNB 60%	1/4	-
Away DNB 52%	11/4	-
River Plate win to nil 25%	6/4	-
Velez win to nil 20%	7/1	-
River Plate / River Plate 30%	7/4	-
River Plate / Velez 2%	40/1	-
River Plate / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / River Plate 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Velez 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	-
Velez / River Plate 3%	28/1	-
Velez / Velez 9%	8/1	-
Velez / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate	0 - 1	Rosario
River Plate	0 - 1	Barracas
River Plate	2 - 3	Belgrano
River Plate	1 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
River Plate	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
River Plate	3 - 1	Aldosivi
River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	3 - 0	Belgrano
River Plate	2 - 0	Sarmiento
River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield
River Plate	1 - 4	Tig
River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
River Plate	0 - 1	Sarmiento
River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz
River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Tig
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Barracas
H	River Plate	2 - 3	Belgrano
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Rosario
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	River Plate	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Aldosivi
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	2 - 0	Racing Club
H	River Plate	3 - 0	Belgrano
A	River Plate	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Sarmiento
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Huracan
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Velez
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Argentinos

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	1 - 3	Velez
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	Velez
Gimnasia Mendoza	3 - 2	Velez
Platense	0 - 2	Velez
Tig	1 - 1	Velez
Estudiantes	0 - 1	Velez
Defensa	1 - 1	Velez
Independiente	1 - 1	Velez
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Gimnasia	2 - 0	Velez
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 2	Velez
SM San Juan	1 - 2	Velez
Huracan	0 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 2	Velez
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Velez
Platense	0 - 0	Velez
River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Velez	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Velez	1 - 0	Independiente
A	Velez	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Velez	1 - 1	Newells
H	Velez	2 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	1 - 0	Central Cor
A	Velez	2 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Velez	0 - 1	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Platense
A	Velez	1 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Velez	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	1 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	1 - 1	Defensa
H	Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Velez	1 - 1	Independiente
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

River Plate

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
River Plate	5 - 0
River Plate	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Velez

Velez

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

1 / 6

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Velez	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	River Plate

Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield's defensive record is to be admired, G. Barros Schelotto's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Primera División matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for River Plate makes sense in this context.

	River Plate 15th	Velez 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that River Plate will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 River Plate have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	+26 Velez have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

RIV

VEL

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		17
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	12		13
Goals scored	28		24
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	11		9
Conversion rate for	9		12
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+13%

RIV

VEL

20%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		12
Clean sheets	9		9
Conceded first	11		6
Goals conceded	20		15
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		15
Conversion rate against	12%		7%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1
KickOff rating		+20%

River Plate v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	5	3	7
S. Beltrán	S Driussi	A Moreno	L. Rivero Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S. Beltrán GLK	24			-
T Galván MID	24	3	2	-
L Quarta DEF	23	2		6 -
A Moreno MID	22		3	4 -
G Montiel DEF	20	4	1	4 -
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	19	1		7 -
F Vera MID	19			4 1
J. Freitas FWD	18	1	2	2 -
M Acuña DEF	17	1	1	7 -
S Driussi FWD	15	5		-
M Viña DEF	10			5 1
G Galoppo MID	10	1		1 -
R Andrade MID	10	1		1 -
J. Meza MID	8		2	2 -
L. Pereyra MID	7			-
F Bustos DEF	6			1 -
K Castaño MID	5			-
N Otamendi DEF	4			1 -
G Pezzella DEF	4			-
L.Silva MID	4			1 -
R Borré FWD	4			-
L Beltrán FWD	4			-
A. Ruberto FWD	4			1 -
F. González DEF	3			-
Ángel Correa FWD	3			-
M Arambarri MID	2			1 -
F Ortega DEF	1			-
T. Palacio DEF	1			1 -
J Portillo DEF	1			-
T. Andrada MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	3	6
S Driussi	S Driussi	A Moreno	T Galván

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Driussi FWD	5	13		2
G Montiel DEF	4	7	1	2
T Galván MID	3	12	2	6
L Quarta DEF	2	9		1
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	1	5
J. Freitas FWD	1	5	2	6
M Acuña DEF	1	3	1	4
G Galoppo MID	1	5		2
R Andrade MID	1	6		3
A Moreno MID		3	3
F Vera MID		7		1
M Viña DEF		1		1
J. Meza MID		2	2	3
L. Pereyra MID				1
G Pezzella DEF		1
R Borré FWD		1		1
L Beltrán FWD		3
A. Ruberto FWD		2
Ángel Correa FWD		2
F Ortega DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1472	71	127
L Quarta	A Moreno	L Quarta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	1472	39	127
A Moreno MID	1315	71	110
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	1120	30	100
F Vera MID	1119	35	77
G Montiel DEF	1084	31	78
M Acuña DEF	890	27	72
T Galván MID	804	40	113
S. Beltrán GLK	450	2	8
S Driussi FWD	370	12	44
N Otamendi DEF	360	8	30
J. Freitas FWD	281	12	49
M Viña DEF	277	8	30
F Bustos DEF	226	9	14
L.Silva MID	178	2	6
G Galoppo MID	157	5	21
R Andrade MID	151	6	25
J. Meza MID	137	8	21
G Pezzella DEF	114	1	12
T. Andrada MID	85	4	6
L. Pereyra MID	80	3	13
F. González DEF	74	5	11
Ángel Correa FWD	68	2	11
K Castaño MID	64	3	7
L Beltrán FWD	57	2	12
F Ortega DEF	52		1
R Borré FWD	51	3	13
A. Ruberto FWD	41	1	5
M Arambarri MID	40	3	11
T. Palacio DEF	26	3	5
J Portillo DEF	4

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	4	5	6
M Lanzini	M Lanzini	D Valdés	E Gómez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Lanzini MID	21	4		2 -
R Aliendro MID	21	1		1 -
E Gómez DEF	20		2	6 -
E Mammana DEF	20			1 -
C Baeza MID	19			5 -
L Robertone MID	19	1	1	5 1
L Magallán DEF	18		1	3 -
D Valdés MID	18	2	5	-
J García DEF	17	2		2 -
D. Godoy FWD	16		3	2 -
M Pellegrini FWD	16	3	2	5 -
T. Silvero DEF	8	1		2 -
A. Zahir Verón FWD	8			-
L.Feler MID	6			-
M. Arias MID	5		1	1 -
T Marchiori GLK	4			-
Simón Escobar DEF	4			1 -
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-
T. Aguirre FWD	3	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	5	8
M Lanzini	M Lanzini	D Valdés	M Pellegrini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Lanzini MID	4	12		6
M Pellegrini FWD	3	10	2	8
D Valdés MID	2	6	5	7
J García DEF	2	4
R Aliendro MID	1	5
L Robertone MID	1	5	1	2
T. Silvero DEF	1	2		1
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
T. Aguirre FWD	1	1	1	1
E Gómez DEF			2	1
E Mammana DEF		3
L Magallán DEF		1	1	1
D. Godoy FWD		8	3	3
A. Zahir Verón FWD		2
L.Feler MID		1
M. Arias MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
813	56	108
E Gómez	R Aliendro	E Gómez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Gómez DEF	813	33	108
C Baeza MID	782	36	79
M Lanzini MID	778	22	93
E Mammana DEF	697	23	49
L Magallán DEF	692	22	53
J García DEF	655	33	64
R Aliendro MID	569	56	101
L Robertone MID	557	28	73
D Valdés MID	426	14	57
M Pellegrini FWD	390	28	93
T. Silvero DEF	272	11	38
D. Godoy FWD	188	11	51
T Marchiori GLK	117		4
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
Simón Escobar DEF	76	10	20
L.Feler MID	65	1	7
M. Arias MID	57	2	9
A. Zahir Verón FWD	40	3	10
T. Aguirre FWD	13	2	9