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River Plate v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

Home advantage can be vital in the Primera División, and Eduardo Germán Coudet’s River Plate will have the joy of it on Sunday night. Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s Vélez Sarsfield are their opponents at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu. Analysing both sides' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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River Plate's next match is v Independiente Rivadavia at 23:15 on Sunday 6th September
Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Estudiantes at 01:15 on Sunday 6th September

The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between River Plate and Velez was on Sunday 23rd August 2026

Argentinian Primera División

August 23rd 2026

River Plate 2	2 Velez

Á. Correa Martínez 11'	61' D. Valdés Contreras
T. Silvero (OG) 43'	79' M. Lanzini

	RIV VEL
Shots On	3 4
Shots Off	7 3
Corners	3 4
Possession	57% 43%
Fouls	13 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 1/0

River Plate	Velez

F. Ortega G. González Apud A. Moreno Á. Correa Martínez (R. Borré Maury 70') L. Beltrán (S. Driussi 84') T. Almada L. Martínez Quarta S. Beltrán N. Otamendi T. Andrada J. Freitas (L. Pereyra 84')	T. Marchiori Carreño E. Gómez J. García L. Magallán L. Robertone M. Pellegrini (D. Valdés Contreras 58') Simón Escobar T. Silvero (A. Zahir Verón 87') M. Lanzini (L.Feler 90') R. Aliendro (D. Godoy 58') T. Aguirre

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Eduardo Germán Coudet and Guillermo Barros Schelotto to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as River Plate and Velez go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.71.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
River Plate 39%	8/13 6%	-
Draw 29%	9/4 5%	-
Velez 31%	11/2 24%	-
River Plate 1-0 13%	15/4 9%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 12%	5/1	-
Velez 1-0 12%	11/1 9%	-
River Plate 2-0 8%	11/2 7%	-
River Plate 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Velez 2-1 7%	20/1 11%	-
Velez 2-0 6%	28/1 12%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	22/1	-
River Plate 3-0 3%	11/1 8%	-
River Plate 3-1 3%	16/1	-
Velez 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Velez 3-0 2%	80/1 31%	-
River Plate 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Velez 3-2 1%	66/1 31%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	8/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	19/40	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	8/15 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	9/4 7%	-
No 1st Goal 8%	5/1	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	6/4 2%	-
BTTS - No 57%	1/2 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	16/1 15%	-
Home/draw 69%	1/9 5%	-
Away/draw 61%	6/5 10%	-
Home/away 71%	1/3 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	6/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	4/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	25/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/8	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	5/1	-
Home DNB 60%	2/11 4%	-
Away DNB 52%	7/2 15%	-
River Plate win to nil 25%	5/4 10%	-
Velez win to nil 20%	8/1 13%	-
River Plate / River Plate 32%	13/8 5%	-
River Plate / Velez 2%	50/1	-
River Plate / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / River Plate 21%	3/1 8%	-
Draw / Velez 7%	10/1 10%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	7/2 6%	-
Velez / River Plate 3%	28/1 10%	-
Velez / Velez 8%	10/1 11%	-
Velez / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
River Plate	2 - 0	Argentinos
River Plate	0 - 1	Rosario
River Plate	0 - 1	Barracas
River Plate	2 - 3	Belgrano
River Plate	1 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
River Plate	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
River Plate	3 - 1	Aldosivi
River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	3 - 0	Belgrano
River Plate	2 - 0	Sarmiento
River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield
River Plate	1 - 4	Tig
River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
River Plate	0 - 1	Sarmiento
River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Argentinos
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Tig
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Rosario
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Barracas
H	River Plate	2 - 3	Belgrano
H	River Plate	1 - 0	Rosario
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
H	River Plate	1 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	River Plate	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Aldosivi
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	River Plate	2 - 0	Racing Club
H	River Plate	3 - 0	Belgrano
A	River Plate	2 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Sarmiento
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Huracan
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
H	River Plate	3 - 1	Banfield
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Velez

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	1 - 3	Velez
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	Velez
Gimnasia Mendoza	3 - 2	Velez
Platense	0 - 2	Velez
Tig	1 - 1	Velez
Estudiantes	0 - 1	Velez
Defensa	1 - 1	Velez
Independiente	1 - 1	Velez
Instituto	0 - 1	Velez
Gimnasia	2 - 0	Velez
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Velez
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 2	Velez
SM San Juan	1 - 2	Velez
Huracan	0 - 0	Velez
Godoy Cruz	0 - 2	Velez
San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Velez
Platense	0 - 0	Velez
River Plate	4 - 1	Velez
Tal Cordoba	0 - 1	Velez

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	1 - 1	Defensa
A	Velez	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Velez	1 - 0	Independiente
A	Velez	3 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Velez	1 - 1	Newells
H	Velez	2 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	1 - 0	Central Cor
A	Velez	2 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Velez	0 - 1	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Platense
A	Velez	1 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Velez	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	1 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	1 - 1	Defensa
H	Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Velez	1 - 1	Independiente

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

River Plate

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
River Plate	5 - 0
River Plate	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Velez

Velez

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

1 / 6

RIV

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Velez	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	River Plate

Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield's defensive record is to be admired, G. Barros Schelotto's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for River Plate makes sense in this context.

	River Plate 1st	Velez 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that River Plate will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+26 Velez have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

RIV

VEL

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		18
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	13		14
Goals scored	30		25
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	10		9
Conversion rate for	10		12
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+10%

RIV

VEL

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		13
Clean sheets	10		9
Conceded first	11		6
Goals conceded	20		16
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		15
Conversion rate against	12%		7%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1.1
KickOff rating		+16%

River Plate v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	6	3	7
S. Beltrán	S Driussi	A Moreno	L Quarta

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S. Beltrán GLK	27			-
G González DEF	3			-
L Quarta DEF	26	2	1	7 -
N Otamendi DEF	7			1 -
F Ortega DEF	4			-
A Moreno MID	24		3	5 -
T. Andrada MID	4			1 -
J. Freitas MID	20	1	2	2 -
Ángel Correa MID	6	3	1	-
T Almada MID	3	1		1 -
L Beltrán FWD	7			-
Subs
E Centurión GLK				1 -
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	21	1		7 -
M Acuña DEF	18	1	1	7 -
G Montiel DEF	22	5	1	4 -
M Arambarri MID	3			1 -
F Vera MID	21			4 1
J. Meza MID	8		2	2 -
T Galván MID	26	3	3	-
L.Silva MID	4			1 -
S Driussi FWD	17	6		-
R Borré FWD	6			-
L. Pereyra FWD	8			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	3	6
S Driussi	S Driussi	A Moreno	J. Freitas

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Driussi FWD	6	15		2
G Montiel DEF	5	8	1	2
Ángel Correa MID	3	7	1	2
Subs
T Galván MID	3	12	3	6
L Quarta DEF	2	9	1	1
J. Freitas MID	1	5	2	6
T Almada MID	1	3		1
Subs
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	1	5
M Acuña DEF	1	3	1	5
N Otamendi DEF		1
F Ortega DEF		1
A Moreno MID		3	3
L Beltrán FWD		4		2
Subs
F Vera MID		8		1
J. Meza MID		2	2	3
R Borré FWD		1		1
L. Pereyra FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1629	81	142
L Quarta	A Moreno	L Quarta

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	1629	45	142
A Moreno MID	1391	81	123
Subs
F Vera MID	1186	37	85
G Montiel DEF	1150	34	85
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	1123	30	100
M Acuña DEF	927	30	77
T Galván MID	846	41	119
S. Beltrán GLK	535	2	8
N Otamendi DEF	498	14	54
Subs
S Driussi FWD	393	12	46
J. Freitas MID	335	14	56
T. Andrada MID	241	9	15
T Almada MID	192	3	11
Ángel Correa MID	183	5	27
Subs
L.Silva MID	178	2	6
J. Meza MID	137	8	21
F Ortega DEF	136	5	9
L Beltrán FWD	93	5	22
G González DEF	87	5	14
Subs
L. Pereyra FWD	83	3	13
R Borré FWD	64	5	17
M Arambarri MID	46	3	11

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	6	5	7
E Gómez	M Lanzini	D Valdés	E Gómez

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Marchiori GLK	7			-
J García DEF	20	2		3 -
T. Silvero DEF	11	1		3 -
L Magallán DEF	20		1	3 -
E Gómez DEF	23		3	7 -
L Robertone MID	22	1	1	6 1
R Aliendro MID	24	1		1 -
M Pellegrini MID	19	3	4	6 -
M Lanzini MID	24	6		3 -
Simón Escobar MID	5			1 -
T. Aguirre FWD	6	1	1	-
Subs
F Sanguinetti GLK				-
E Mammana DEF	21			1 -
L. Cristaldo Florentín DEF				-
A. Pereyra DEF				-
C Baeza MID	20			5 -
D Valdés MID	19	3	5	-
L.Feler MID	9			-
J. Policella FWD	1			-
D. Godoy FWD	19		3	2 -
A. Zahir Verón FWD	11			-
L. Piola FWD	1			-
M. Arias FWD	5		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	9
M Lanzini	M Lanzini	D Valdés	M Pellegrini

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Lanzini MID	6	16		8
M Pellegrini MID	3	11	4	9
Subs
D Valdés MID	3	7	5	7
J García DEF	2	5
T. Silvero DEF	1	4		1
L Robertone MID	1	5	1	2
R Aliendro MID	1	5
T. Aguirre FWD	1	1	1	1
L Magallán DEF		1	1	1
E Gómez DEF			3	1
Subs
E Mammana DEF		3
L.Feler MID		1		1
D. Godoy FWD		9	3	3
A. Zahir Verón FWD		4
M. Arias FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
952	64	126
E Gómez	R Aliendro	R Aliendro

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
E Gómez DEF	952	39	124
M Lanzini MID	929	25	111
Subs
C Baeza MID	802	36	79
J García DEF	799	39	76
Subs
E Mammana DEF	788	25	55
L Magallán DEF	783	29	68
R Aliendro MID	723	64	126
L Robertone MID	707	31	86
M Pellegrini MID	502	34	109
T. Silvero DEF	457	18	55
Subs
D Valdés MID	452	15	60
D. Godoy FWD	238	14	60
T Marchiori GLK	192		7
Subs
L.Feler MID	99	2	8
Simón Escobar MID	94	12	23
Subs
A. Zahir Verón FWD	68	3	14
M. Arias FWD	57	2	9
T. Aguirre FWD	33	2	13