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Lanús v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 17th Aug, 21:00 BST, Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor, Lanús

Monday night sees Mauricio Pellegrino’s Lanús and Jádson Viera Castro’s Independiente go up against one another in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor. Primera División stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The statistics suggest Lanus and Independiente both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lanus are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lanus 44%	6/5	-
Draw 30%	7/4	-
Independiente 27%	13/5	-
Lanus 1-0 15%	9/2	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Draw 0-0 13%	9/2	-
Independiente 1-0 11%	13/2	-
Lanus 2-0 9%	17/2	-
Lanus 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Independiente 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Independiente 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Lanus 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	-
Lanus 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Independiente 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Independiente 3-0 1%	40/1	-
Lanus 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Lanus 4-0 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	15/8	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	2/5	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 9%	9/2	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	5/4	-
BTTS - No 59%	4/7	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	17/2	-
Home/draw 73%	2/7	-
Away/draw 56%	8/13	-
Home/away 70%	2/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	4/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	5/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	5/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1/8	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	14/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/33	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	28/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/7	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	9/2	-
Home DNB 65%	8/15	-
Away DNB 47%	11/8	-
Lanus win to nil 29%	12/5	-
Independiente win to nil 17%	4/1	-
Lanus / Lanus 21%	3/1	-
Lanus / Independiente 2%	40/1	-
Lanus / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Lanus 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Independiente 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Independiente / Lanus 2%	33/1	-
Independiente / Independiente 14%	5/1	-
Independiente / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus	0 - 1	Instituto
Lanus	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
Lanus	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Lanus	0 - 0	Central Cor
Lanus	1 - 0	Banfield
Lanus	0 - 0	Platense
Lanus	5 - 0	Newells
Lanus	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Lanus	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Lanus	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
Lanus	0 - 1	Tig
Lanus	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Lanus	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
Lanus	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
Lanus	2 - 1	Platense
Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
Lanus	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
Lanus	1 - 0	SM San Juan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lanus	3 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	1 - 2	U Santa Fe
H	Lanus	0 - 1	Instituto
H	Lanus	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
A	Lanus	0 - 2	Argentinos
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Central Cor
A	Lanus	0 - 1	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Lanus	1 - 0	Banfield
H	Lanus	0 - 0	Platense
A	Lanus	1 - 2	Argentinos
A	Lanus	1 - 0	Velez
H	Lanus	5 - 0	Newells
A	Lanus	1 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Lanus	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
A	Lanus	1 - 1	Defensa
A	Lanus	0 - 2	Independiente
H	Lanus	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Lanus	2 - 2	Instituto
H	Lanus	2 - 1	U Santa Fe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	1 - 0	Independiente
Estudiantes	0 - 2	Independiente
Rosario	3 - 1	Independiente
San Lorenzo	1 - 2	Independiente
Deportivo Riestra	2 - 0	Independiente
Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Independiente
Instituto	2 - 1	Independiente
Gimnasia Mendoza	1 - 1	Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia	3 - 2	Independiente
Platense	0 - 1	Independiente
Newells	1 - 1	Independiente
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 1	Independiente
SM San Juan	1 - 0	Independiente
Godoy Cruz	1 - 1	Independiente
Racing Club	0 - 0	Independiente
Instituto	0 - 0	Independiente
Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
Gimnasia	1 - 0	Independiente
Sarmiento	2 - 2	Independiente
Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Independiente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Independiente	0 - 1	Platense
A	Independiente	0 - 1	Velez
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Newells
A	Independiente	2 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Independiente	1 - 3	Rosario
A	Independiente	2 - 1	San Lorenzo
A	Independiente	0 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Independiente	3 - 1	Defensa
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Independiente	1 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente	1 - 2	Tal Cordoba
A	Independiente	1 - 2	Instituto
H	Independiente	4 - 4	U Santa Fe
H	Independiente	2 - 0	Central Cor
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Gimnasia Mendoza
A	Independiente	2 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Independiente	2 - 0	Lanus
A	Independiente	1 - 0	Platense
H	Independiente	1 - 1	Velez
A	Independiente	1 - 1	Newells

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lanus

Independiente

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

LAN

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lanus
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Independiente
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lanus	1 - 0
Lanus	1 - 0

Independiente

Lanus

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

3 / 6

LAN

IND

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Lanus
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Lanus
	0 - 1	Lanus
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Lanus 6th	Independiente 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 4+ There is a 66% probability that Lanus will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-5 Lanus’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-6 Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

LAN

IND

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		18
Failed to score	8		3
Scored first	8		13
Goals scored	23		28
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+26%

13%

better

LAN

IND

view stats

Games conceded	12		15
Clean sheets	9		6
Conceded first	10		8
Goals conceded	20		25
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+13%

Lanus v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	6	3	7
S Marcich	D Aquino	R Carrera	R Carrera

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Marcich DEF	20	1	2	5 -
F Biafore MID	20	1		1 -
R Carrera MID	20	2	3	7 -
E Salvio FWD	20	1	3	1 -
N Losada GLK	19			4 -
A Cardozo MID	18		1	-
C Izquierdoz DEF	17	2		6 -
T Guidara DEF	17		1	5 -
M Sepúlveda MID	17		1	3 -
D Aquino FWD	17	6	2	5 -
L Besozzi FWD	17		2	-
D. Medina MID	16			5 -
J Canale DEF	15			1 -
R López DEF	13			3 -
F Watson MID	13			1 -
Y. Valois Murillo FWD	13	4	1	-
G Pérez DEF	10		1	1 -
M Moreno MID	9	3	1	1 -
F. Sánchez MID	4			-
A Dure FWD	4			-
N Morgantini DEF	3			-
F Petroli GLK	2			-
L. Romero DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	3	4
D Aquino	M Moreno	R Carrera	R Carrera

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Aquino FWD	6	11	2	2
Y. Valois Murillo FWD	4	5	1	1
M Moreno MID	3	14	1	4
R Carrera MID	2	10	3	4
C Izquierdoz DEF	2	4
S Marcich DEF	1	2	2	3
F Biafore MID	1	5		1
E Salvio FWD	1	11	3	4
A Cardozo MID		2	1	2
T Guidara DEF			1	1
M Sepúlveda MID		2	1	3
L Besozzi FWD		3	2	2
D. Medina MID		1
J Canale DEF		1		1
R López DEF		1		2
F Watson MID		4
G Pérez DEF		1	1	2
F. Sánchez MID		1
A Dure FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1036	36	91
A Cardozo	S Marcich	C Izquierdoz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Cardozo MID	1036	23	77
C Izquierdoz DEF	952	24	91
S Marcich DEF	704	36	87
J Canale DEF	678	20	66
T Guidara DEF	628	31	72
D. Medina MID	608	32	54
F Biafore MID	601	27	57
R López DEF	542	13	62
E Salvio FWD	502	16	59
N Losada GLK	474		11
R Carrera MID	427	22	89
G Pérez DEF	342	16	27
M Sepúlveda MID	310	8	42
D Aquino FWD	246	16	46
F Watson MID	240	10	32
M Moreno MID	231	6	29
L Besozzi FWD	221	12	40
N Morgantini DEF	130	3	8
Y. Valois Murillo FWD	128	1	41
F. Sánchez MID	101	1	2
F Petroli GLK	68
L. Romero DEF	45	2	4
A Dure FWD	36	2	8

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	11	5	5
R Rey	G Ávalos	G Ávalos	K Lomónaco

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Rey GLK	21			1 -
K Lomónaco DEF	21		1	5 -
G Ávalos FWD	21	11	5	2 -
M Abaldo FWD	20	5	1	1 1
F Zabala DEF	19		1	5 -
I Marcone MID	19	1		4 -
S Arias DEF	17		2	1 -
G. Millán MID	17	1	1	4 -
S Valdéz DEF	16			3 1
S Montiel FWD	16	3	2	3 1
J. Fedorco DEF	14	1		2 -
M. Curci MID	13			3 -
L Godoy DEF	12			3 -
M Gutiérrez FWD	12	2	2	1 -
L Cabral MID	10	1		1 1
F. Valdez FWD	7			-
F.Tempone FWD	5		1	-
M Meza FWD	4			-
R Martínez MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	17	5	8
G Ávalos	M Abaldo	G Ávalos	G Ávalos

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Ávalos FWD	11	14	5	8
M Abaldo FWD	5	17	1	4
S Montiel FWD	3	14	2	3
M Gutiérrez FWD	2	5	2	3
I Marcone MID	1	3		2
G. Millán MID	1	4	1	1
J. Fedorco DEF	1	3		1
L Cabral MID	1	3
K Lomónaco DEF			1
F Zabala DEF		4	1	3
S Arias DEF		1	2
S Valdéz DEF		3
M. Curci MID		1
L Godoy DEF		1
F.Tempone FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
857	44	150
K Lomónaco	F Zabala	G Ávalos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Lomónaco DEF	857	24	88
I Marcone MID	800	42	91
F Zabala DEF	755	44	106
S Valdéz DEF	625	27	83
R Rey GLK	533	2	13
S Arias DEF	498	35	67
M Abaldo FWD	462	12	53
G Ávalos FWD	427	9	150
J. Fedorco DEF	381	27	79
G. Millán MID	262	17	52
S Montiel FWD	258	17	63
L Godoy DEF	257	12	34
M. Curci MID	215	21	49
M Gutiérrez FWD	172	10	41
L Cabral MID	110	5	12
M Meza FWD	52	4	12
F. Valdez FWD	45	3	13
R Martínez MID	20	4	6
F.Tempone FWD	17	1	3