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Vélez Sarsfield v Defensa y Justicia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 17th Aug, 23:15 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Defensa y Justicia pay Primera División competitors Vélez Sarsfield a visit on Monday night, as Julio César Vaccari leads his men into an away clash with Guillermo Barros Schelotto & co. at the Estadio José Amalfitani. For each and every Primera División match preview, KickOff explores the statistics for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Velez and Defensa go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the sides in terms of who might win. The stats don't supply any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.48 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.69.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 47%	69/100	-
Draw 28%	9/4	-
Defensa 24%	17/4	-
Velez 1-0 15%	4/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 11%	11/2	-
Velez 2-0 10%	6/1	-
Defensa 1-0 10%	9/1	-
Velez 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Defensa 2-1 6%	18/1	-
Velez 3-0 4%	12/1	-
Defensa 2-0 4%	22/1	-
Velez 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	22/1	-
Defensa 3-1 2%	50/1	-
Velez 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Velez 4-0 1%	28/1	-
Velez 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	8/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	19/40	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 8%	11/2	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	11/8	-
BTTS - No 58%	8/15	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	12/1	-
Home/draw 76%	1/6	-
Away/draw 53%	21/20	-
Home/away 72%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	6/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	9/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	25/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/100	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/9	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11/2	-
Home DNB 67%	1/4	-
Away DNB 44%	11/4	-
Velez win to nil 31%	6/4	-
Defensa win to nil 15%	6/1	-
Velez / Velez 30%	7/4	-
Velez / Defensa 2%	40/1	-
Velez / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Velez 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Defensa 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Defensa / Velez 3%	28/1	-
Defensa / Defensa 9%	8/1	-
Defensa / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Defensa have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Velez have not lost to Defensa in 6 consecutive league meetings

Velez

Defensa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

VEL

DEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Defensa

Defensa

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

DEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Defensa
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Defensa	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

	Velez 3rd	Defensa 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Defensa scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

13%

better

VEL

DEF

view stats

Games scored	17		13
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	13		10
Goals scored	24		21
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+13%

28%

better

VEL

DEF

view stats

Games conceded	12		14
Clean sheets	9		5
Conceded first	6		6
Goals conceded	15		26
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	15		7
Conversion rate against	7%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+28%

Velez v Defensa Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	5	6
M Lanzini	F Monzón	D Valdés	E Gómez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Lanzini MID	21	4		2 -
R Aliendro MID	21	1		1 -
E Gómez DEF	20		2	6 -
E Mammana DEF	20			1 -
L Robertone MID	19	1	1	5 1
C Baeza MID	19			5 -
L Magallán DEF	18		1	3 -
D Valdés MID	18	2	5	-
J García DEF	17	2		2 -
F Monzón FWD	16	6		2 -
M Pellegrini FWD	16	3	2	5 -
D. Godoy FWD	16		3	2 -
T. Silvero DEF	8	1		2 -
A. Zahir Verón FWD	8			-
L.Feler MID	6			-
M. Arias MID	5		1	1 -
T Marchiori GLK	4			-
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	5	8
F Monzón	F Monzón	D Valdés	M Pellegrini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Monzón FWD	6	17		1
M Lanzini MID	4	12		6
M Pellegrini FWD	3	10	2	8
D Valdés MID	2	6	5	7
J García DEF	2	4
R Aliendro MID	1	5
L Robertone MID	1	5	1	2
T. Silvero DEF	1	2		1
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
E Gómez DEF			2	1
E Mammana DEF		3
L Magallán DEF		1	1	1
D. Godoy FWD		8	3	3
A. Zahir Verón FWD		2
L.Feler MID		1
M. Arias MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
813	56	108
E Gómez	R Aliendro	E Gómez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Gómez DEF	813	33	108
C Baeza MID	782	36	79
M Lanzini MID	778	22	93
E Mammana DEF	697	23	49
L Magallán DEF	692	22	53
J García DEF	655	33	64
R Aliendro MID	569	56	101
L Robertone MID	557	28	74
D Valdés MID	426	14	57
M Pellegrini FWD	390	28	93
F Monzón FWD	291	11	73
T. Silvero DEF	272	11	37
D. Godoy FWD	188	11	51
T Marchiori GLK	117		4
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
L.Feler MID	65	1	7
M. Arias MID	57	2	9
A. Zahir Verón FWD	40	3	10

Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	4	4	5
S. Sosa Yung	J Gutiérrez	A Molinas	D Fernández

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S. Sosa Yung MID	19			2 1
J Gutiérrez FWD	19	4	3	1 -
L Souto DEF	18	1		1
A Hausch MID	18	1		1 -
D Fernández DEF	16			5 -
A Molinas MID	15	3	4	3 -
D Martínez DEF	14		1	5 -
A. Portillo DEF	14	3	1	4 -
Ángel Maldonado MID	13	1	1	3 1
D Barbona FWD	13	3		1 -
E Lucero DEF	11			1 -
Éver Banega MID	10		1	2 -
M. Aguiar MID	9			1 1
J López MID	7			-
C Pérez MID	7		1	2 -
F Altamira FWD	7			1 -
M Borgogno GLK	4			-
F Román DEF	4	1		2 -
D Blanco FWD	4			-
L Fernández FWD	4			-
E. González Ribeiro FWD	4			-
N. Roselli DEF	3			-
D. Fernandez FWD	3			-
T Pérez FWD	2	1		-
M. Rodríguez DEF	1			-
J. Lucco MID	1			-
M. Porcel MID	1			-
S Toloza MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	15	4	5
J Gutiérrez	J Gutiérrez	A Molinas	A Hausch

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Gutiérrez FWD	4	15	3	3
A Molinas MID	3	8	4	4
A. Portillo DEF	3	4	1	1
D Barbona FWD	3	9		2
L Souto DEF	1	2		1
A Hausch MID	1	11		5
Ángel Maldonado MID	1	6	1	2
F Román DEF	1	1
T Pérez FWD	1	1
S. Sosa Yung MID		1
D Fernández DEF		1		1
D Martínez DEF		1	1	1
Éver Banega MID			1
M. Aguiar MID		1
J López MID				1
C Pérez MID		2	1
F Altamira FWD		1
D Blanco FWD				1
L Fernández FWD		3
E. González Ribeiro FWD		1		1
D. Fernandez FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
891	45	91
A Molinas	D Fernández	S. Sosa Yung

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Molinas MID	891	20	49
S. Sosa Yung MID	711	36	91
D Fernández DEF	702	45	81
D Martínez DEF	673	28	49
L Souto DEF	639	21	73
D Barbona FWD	329	5	17
C Pérez MID	316	18	37
Ángel Maldonado MID	302	19	50
Éver Banega MID	295	13	19
A. Portillo DEF	283	17	37
J Gutiérrez FWD	269	20	84
A Hausch MID	234	10	37
E Lucero DEF	223	15	43
M Borgogno GLK	118	1	3
L Fernández FWD	89	5	21
J López MID	77	9	14
M. Aguiar MID	59	4	15
F Román DEF	51	5	10
D Blanco FWD	48	5	13
F Altamira FWD	34	2	17
E. González Ribeiro FWD	33	2	12
M. Rodríguez DEF	33	2	2
S Toloza MID	19	3	4
J. Lucco MID	14	1	3
T Pérez FWD	13	2	4
D. Fernandez FWD	9		1
M. Porcel MID	9
N. Roselli DEF	5