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Rosario Central v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 22:30 BST, Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña, Rosario

the Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña faithful welcome Independiente's travelling contingent on Saturday night, as Ariel Enrique Holan's Rosario Central go head to head with Julio César Vaccari's side in the Primera División. All of the important stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this match will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Rosario and Independiente have seldom treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Primera División individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rosario
53%
7/5-
Draw
26%
15/8-
Independiente
21%
5/2-
Rosario 1-0
14%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
9/2-
Rosario 2-0
11%
9/1-
Rosario 2-1
9%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
5/1-
Independiente 1-0
8%
13/2-
Rosario 3-0
5%
22/1-
Independiente 2-1
5%
12/1-
Rosario 3-1
5%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Independiente 2-0
3%
14/1-
Rosario 3-2
2%
40/1-
Rosario 4-0
2%
50/1-
Rosario 4-1
2%
50/1-
Independiente 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
17/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/9-
Home 1st Goal
54%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10-
BTTS - No
54%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
11/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
8/1-
Home/draw
79%
2/7-
Away/draw
47%
8/15-
Home/away
74%
2/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
8/15-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/8-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
5/1-
Home DNB
71%
4/7-
Away DNB
39%
5/4-
Rosario win to nil
33%
5/2-
Independiente win to nil
12%
4/1-
Rosario / Rosario
21%
3/1-
Rosario / Independiente
2%
40/1-
Rosario / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Rosario
15%
9/2-
Draw / Independiente
12%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
Independiente / Rosario
2%
33/1-
Independiente / Independiente
15%
9/2-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Rosario have won 7 consecutive home league games
7
Rosario have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Rosario 20TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rosario3 - 0Instituto
Rosario2 - 1Velez
Rosario2 - 1Gimnasia
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario3 - 1A. Tucuman
Rosario2 - 1Lanus
Rosario2 - 1Belgrano
Rosario0 - 2Racing Club
Rosario0 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 1Barracas
Rosario1 - 1Banfield
Rosario3 - 0Velez
Rosario2 - 2Tal Cordoba
Rosario1 - 0A. Tucuman
Rosario1 - 0Newells
Rosario0 - 1Huracan
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 1Lanus
Rosario1 - 1Tig
Rosario1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARosario1 - 0San Lorenzo
HRosario3 - 0Instituto
ARosario0 - 0Platense
HRosario2 - 1Velez
ARosario2 - 2River Plate
HRosario2 - 1Gimnasia
ARosario0 - 0Tal Cordoba
ARosario0 - 1Boca Juniors
HRosario1 - 0Sarmiento
ARosario2 - 1Newells
ARosario0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HRosario3 - 1A. Tucuman
ARosario0 - 0SM San Juan
HRosario2 - 1Lanus
ARosario3 - 0Godoy Cruz
HRosario2 - 1Belgrano
ARosario0 - 4River Plate
HRosario0 - 2Racing Club
ARosario1 - 0Central Cor
ARosario1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Platense0 - 0Independiente
Banfield0 - 1Independiente
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente2 - 0SM San Juan
AIndependiente1 - 1Lanus
HIndependiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
HIndependiente1 - 1Racing Club
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 0Banfield
HIndependiente2 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 1Platense
HIndependiente3 - 0Velez
AIndependiente0 - 2River Plate
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rosario since 2019
Rosario
Independiente
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
ROS
2
D
1
IND
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rosario1 - 0
Rosario3 - 0
1 - 2Independiente
1 - 2Independiente
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Rosario
Goals: Scored
7
0
Games: Scored
3 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
IND
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Independiente5 - 0
Goal Statistics
Rosario 20th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Rosario will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Rosario have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291556/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Rosario
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
ROS
IND
7%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score5
3
Scored first9
9
Goals scored21
23
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
18
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
15%
better
ROS
IND
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded8
9
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
11
Conversion rate against6%
9%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+15%

Rosario v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14446
A SándezJ CampazI MalcorraI Malcorra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Coronel DEF153
3
-
E Copetti FWD1532
2
-
A Sández DEF142
3
-
G. De Jesús Duarte MID142
1
-
J Broun GLK13
2
-
F Ibarra MID131
5
-
L Giaccone MID1312
-
C Quintana DEF122
3
-
F Navarro MID11
3
-
J Campaz MID1141
5
-
I Malcorra MID1144
6
-
J Komar DEF10
-
F Mallo DEF9
1
-
M Lovera FWD91
-
E Giménez MID81
1
-
S Ferreira FWD82
-
S Lopez FWD82
2
-
A Solari MID6
-
T O'Connor MID6
2
-
J. Elordi DEF5
-
J. Giménez DEF4
1
-
S. Segovia MID41
-
K Ortíz MID4
-
A. Bravo DEF3
1
-
J Gómez MID3
1
-
A Werner GLK2
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14838
R ReyG ÁvalosP GaldamesI Marcone
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK14
-
K Lomónaco DEF14
1
-
S Valdéz DEF14
1
-
L Cabral MID1421
3
1
F Loyola MID1432
1
-
D. Tarzia FWD141
4
-
G Ávalos FWD1481
2
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF133
3
-
F Vera DEF13
3
-
I Marcone MID13
8
-
G. Millán MID111
1
-
M Rojas FWD112
1
-
P Galdames MID1013
1
-
A Spörle DEF812
-
F Mancuello MID81
2
-
S Montiel FWD8
3
-
S Hidalgo FWD7
2
-
R Fernández MID5
2
-
I Puch FWD51
-
F Paredes DEF3
-
S Salle DEF2
-
L. Román FWD1
-