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Sarmiento v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 20:00 BST, Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín

Saturday night sees Javier Sanguinetti’s Sarmiento and Miguel Ángel Russo’s San Lorenzo go head to head in a Primera División clash at the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Primera División performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Sarmiento and San Lorenzo go head-to-head, with little to choose between the players in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics do not supply any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.36 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Our predictive algorithm calculates that a draw is actually the most likely outcome in this fixture. There’s a 38% chance of Sarmiento and San Lorenzo ending level, and the bookies have it priced at 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sarmiento
27%
12/5
10%
-
Draw
38%
13/8-
San Lorenzo
36%
31/20
6%
-
Draw 0-0
24%
4/1-
San Lorenzo 1-0
19%
9/2
8%
-
Sarmiento 1-0
15%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
9/2-
San Lorenzo 2-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Sarmiento 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
San Lorenzo 2-1
5%
10/1
8%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
4%
14/1
15%
-
San Lorenzo 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
2%
20/1-
San Lorenzo 3-1
1%
28/1-
Sarmiento 3-0
1%
40/1
21%
-
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
-
San Lorenzo 4-0
0%
50/1
24%
-
San Lorenzo 3-2
0%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
12/5
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
83%
1/3
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
37%
8/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
10/11
5%
-
No 1st Goal
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Yes
26%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - No
74%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
5%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
64%
1/2
4%
-
Away/draw
73%
3/10
4%
-
Home/away
62%
4/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
42%
4/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
58%
11/10
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
6%
6/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
94%
1/10
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
2%
16/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
98%
1/40-
Over 5.5 Goals
0%
40/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
100%
1/250-
Over 0.5 Goals
76%
1/7
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
24%
9/2
10%
-
Home DNB
53%
6/5
10%
-
Away DNB
62%
8/13
6%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
21%
7/2
4%
-
San Lorenzo win to nil
29%
5/2
7%
-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
15%
9/2
10%
-
Sarmiento / San Lorenzo
2%
33/1
17%
-
Sarmiento / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sarmiento
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / San Lorenzo
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4-
San Lorenzo / Sarmiento
2%
40/1-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
19%
10/3
4%
-
San Lorenzo / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
3
San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sarmiento0 - 1Platense
Sarmiento1 - 1River Plate
Sarmiento0 - 0Tal Cordoba
Sarmiento1 - 1Barracas
Sarmiento2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Sarmiento1 - 1SM San Juan
Sarmiento0 - 0Godoy Cruz
Sarmiento1 - 1Defensa
Sarmiento1 - 0Platense
Sarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
Sarmiento1 - 0U Santa Fe
Sarmiento1 - 3Central Cor
Sarmiento0 - 0Lanus
Sarmiento0 - 0Tig
Sarmiento0 - 0Belgrano
Sarmiento1 - 0Racing Club
Sarmiento2 - 0Estudiantes
Sarmiento0 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASarmiento1 - 1Instituto
HSarmiento0 - 1Platense
ASarmiento1 - 0Velez
HSarmiento1 - 1River Plate
ASarmiento0 - 0Gimnasia
HSarmiento0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSarmiento1 - 1Barracas
ASarmiento2 - 2Aldosivi
ASarmiento0 - 1Rosario
HSarmiento2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ASarmiento0 - 5A. Tucuman
HSarmiento1 - 1SM San Juan
ASarmiento0 - 2Lanus
HSarmiento0 - 0Godoy Cruz
ASarmiento1 - 2Independiente
ASarmiento1 - 1Banfield
HSarmiento1 - 1Defensa
ASarmiento0 - 1Velez
HSarmiento1 - 0Platense
ASarmiento0 - 2Tal Cordoba
San Lorenzo 24TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Deportivo Riestra0 - 0San Lorenzo
SM San Juan0 - 1San Lorenzo
Godoy Cruz0 - 0San Lorenzo
Huracan2 - 0San Lorenzo
Instituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
Argentinos1 - 0San Lorenzo
River Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 1San Lorenzo
Central Cor0 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0San Lorenzo
Godoy Cruz1 - 1San Lorenzo
Instituto2 - 0San Lorenzo
Defensa0 - 0San Lorenzo
Platense1 - 2San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors3 - 2San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 0San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 1San Lorenzo
U Santa Fe2 - 1San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSan Lorenzo0 - 1Rosario
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0A. Tucuman
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0SM San Juan
HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Lanus
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HSan Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
HSan Lorenzo3 - 2Racing Club
ASan Lorenzo0 - 2Huracan
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0Instituto
HSan Lorenzo2 - 1Platense
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Velez
HSan Lorenzo0 - 0River Plate
ASan Lorenzo2 - 0Gimnasia
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSan Lorenzo0 - 1Tig
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Argentinos
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1River Plate
HSan Lorenzo0 - 2Belgrano
HSan Lorenzo1 - 2Racing Club
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sarmiento since 2022
Sarmiento
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
SAR
1
D
1
SLO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sarmiento
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1San Lorenzo
2 - 4San Lorenzo
Sarmiento2 - 1
League games at San Lorenzo since 2021
San Lorenzo
Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
SAR
1
SLO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT San Lorenzo
0 - 1Sarmiento
San Lorenzo1 - 0
San Lorenzo1 - 0
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.6, Sarmiento look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that San Lorenzo haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Primera División matches, and it could be a long night for Javier Sanguinetti's men.

Sarmiento 26th San Lorenzo 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Sarmiento will fail to score
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Sarmiento have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-36
San Lorenzo have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291565/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sarmiento
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
0.6
0.8
Attack rating
SAR
SLO
22%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score7
6
Scored first3
7
Goals scored10
13
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal12
9
Conversion rate for8
11
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
SAR
SLO
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
6
Clean sheets4
9
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded18
9
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
15
Conversion rate against11%
7%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+43%

Sarmiento v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15217
L AcostaG CarabajalJ GhoJ Insaurralde
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK15
1
-
J Gho MID151
3
-
I Bravo FWD151
1
-
V Burgoa MID141
-
G Carabajal MID132
1
-
R Barcos DEF12
5
-
G Díaz DEF121
3
-
J Insaurralde DEF121
6
1
M García MID12
5
-
P Magnin FWD122
1
-
F Frías FWD121
1
-
A Vigo DEF111
2
-
L Suhr FWD111
1
1
F Roncaglia DEF10
1
-
C Villalba MID10
5
-
E. Giménez MID91
2
-
S Morales DEF7
1
-
F Paradela  MID7
2
-
Y Arismendi  FWD5
-
J. Vallejos DEF4
2
-
T. Guiacobini MID4
2
-
J Andrada MID2
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF1
-
M Mónaco MID1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15717
O GillA VombergarE. Báez SoteloJ Romaña
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gill GLK15
-
E. Báez Sotelo DEF151
3
-
M Braida MID1521
2
-
A Vombergar FWD1571
3
-
E Herrera DEF14
5
-
J Romaña DEF14
7
-
E Irala MID14
5
-
M. Reali FWD141
2
-
A Cuello FWD14
2
-
N Tripichio DEF12
3
-
E Cecchini MID121
2
-
E Cerutti FWD1211
5
-
D. Herrera DEF11
1
-
N Domínguez DEF10
1
-
G Hernández DEF7
2
1
I Muniain FWD71
-
J. Peralta González FWD51
4
-
M Insaurralde MID4
1
-
A. Ladstatter DEF3
-
F. López DEF1
-
V. Escalante FWD1
-