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Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Apr, 01:45 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Gimnasia La Plata are on the road on Tuesday morning, as manager Diego Simeone takes his men to visit Vélez Sarsfield and Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez at the Estadio José Amalfitani in the Primera División. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Primera División match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Velez and Gimnasia go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
41%
1.91
15%
-
Draw
34%
3.10-
Gimnasia
25%
4.33
27%
-
Draw 0-0
19%
6.00
8%
-
Velez 1-0
18%
5.00
9%
-
Gimnasia 1-0
13%
8.50
13%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50
8%
-
Velez 2-0
9%
7.50
17%
-
Velez 2-1
6%
9.50
5%
-
Gimnasia 2-0
5%
21.00
40%
-
Gimnasia 2-1
4%
17.00
31%
-
Velez 3-0
3%
17.00
19%
-
Draw 2-2
2%
21.00-
Velez 3-1
2%
21.00
9%
-
Gimnasia 3-0
1%
51.00
24%
-
Gimnasia 3-1
1%
41.00
21%
-
Velez 4-0
1%
41.00
20%
-
Velez 3-2
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
2.70-
Under 2.5 Goals
76%
1.44-
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.62
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.00
15%
-
No 1st Goal
14%
6.00
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
31%
2.25
2%
-
BTTS - No
69%
1.57
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
5.50
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
11.00
22%
-
Home/draw
75%
1.20
8%
-
Away/draw
59%
1.83
13%
-
Home/away
66%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1.53-
Under 1.5 Goals
50%
2.38-
Over 3.5 Goals
9%
5.50-
Under 3.5 Goals
91%
1.14-
Over 4.5 Goals
3%
13.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
97%
1.04-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
29.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1.01-
Over 0.5 Goals
81%
1.12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
19%
6.00
8%
-
Home DNB
65%
1.36
13%
-
Away DNB
49%
3.00
33%
-
Velez win to nil
31%
2.62
19%
-
Gimnasia win to nil
19%
6.00
20%
-
Velez / Velez
27%
3.10
17%
-
Velez / Gimnasia
2%
41.00-
Velez / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Velez
18%
4.50
10%
-
Draw / Gimnasia
10%
8.50
21%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
8%
-
Gimnasia / Velez
3%
29.00
15%
-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia
11%
7.50
25%
-
Gimnasia / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
3
Gimnasia have lost 3 consecutive away league games
7
Gimnasia have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Velez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez1 - 0SM San Juan
Velez0 - 2Huracan
Velez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Velez1 - 0Newells
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HVelez0 - 1Sarmiento
AVelez1 - 2Rosario
HVelez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AVelez2 - 1A. Tucuman
HVelez1 - 0SM San Juan
HVelez0 - 2Huracan
AVelez0 - 0Lanus
HVelez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
AVelez0 - 3Independiente
HVelez0 - 0San Lorenzo
AVelez0 - 2Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Platense
AVelez0 - 3Tig
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
HVelez0 - 0Lanus
AVelez1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia 19TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba2 - 0Gimnasia
Rosario2 - 1Gimnasia
U Santa Fe1 - 0Gimnasia
A. Tucuman0 - 1Gimnasia
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente2 - 0Gimnasia
Instituto3 - 0Gimnasia
Platense1 - 0Gimnasia
Boca Juniors1 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Huracan0 - 0Gimnasia
Sarmiento1 - 1Gimnasia
Lanus0 - 0Gimnasia
Tig1 - 1Gimnasia
Belgrano0 - 1Gimnasia
Racing Club0 - 1Gimnasia
Estudiantes4 - 1Gimnasia
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Gimnasia
Instituto2 - 1Gimnasia
Defensa1 - 1Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGimnasia0 - 3River Plate
HGimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
AGimnasia0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HGimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
AGimnasia1 - 2Rosario
HGimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AGimnasia0 - 1U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
HGimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
AGimnasia0 - 0Lanus
HGimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
AGimnasia0 - 2Independiente
HGimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
AGimnasia0 - 3Instituto
AGimnasia0 - 1Platense
HGimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AGimnasia0 - 1Boca Juniors
HGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
AGimnasia0 - 1Independiente
HGimnasia1 - 0Newells
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2018
Velez
Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
VEL
3
D
1
GIM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez3 - 1
Velez3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Gimnasia
Velez1 - 0
League games at Gimnasia since 2020
Gimnasia
Velez
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
VEL
1
D
3
GIM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
Gimnasia3 - 1
Gimnasia2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 5Velez
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Gimnasia La Plata fans, as should a 10 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Velez 1st Gimnasia 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-54
Velez have scored 54% fewer goals at home than predicted
-71
Gimnasia have scored 71% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291547/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Gimnasia
1
0.7
Attack rating
VEL
GIM
24%
better
view stats
Games scored4
6
Failed to score10
8
Scored first3
4
Goals scored5
8
Avg. goals scored0.4
0.6
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal16
14
Conversion rate for6
7
Avg. XG for0.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
VEL
GIM
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
9
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded18
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

Velez v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13316
T MarchioriB RomeroI. AndradaA Bouzat
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK13
-
E Gómez DEF12
2
-
A Bouzat MID12
6
-
B Romero FWD123
5
-
F Pizzini FWD12
-
C Ordoñez MID11
2
-
M Santos FWD11
-
D Fernández DEF10
1
-
?. Montoro MID10
2
-
J. Gordon DEF9
1
-
A Quirós DEF8
3
2
M. Porcel MID8
-
E Mammana DEF7
2
-
M Pellegrini FWD7
-
M. Carrizo FWD71
2
-
T Galván MID6
-
I Machuca FWD6
1
-
V Gómez DEF5
1
-
I. Andrada DEF41
-
A Lagos DEF4
-
K. Vázquez MID4
2
-
P Pernicone DEF3
1
T Cavanagh DEF3
1
-
C Baeza MID3
2
-
J García DEF1
-
Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12425
L MoralesR CastilloB MerliniG Suso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Morales DEF121
1
-
R Castillo FWD124
1
-
P Silva DEF11
-
J Pintado DEF11
2
-
G Suso DEF11
4
1
L Castro MID111
4
-
M Panaro FWD10
2
1
A Sosa FWD10
-
N Insfrán GLK9
2
-
M Figueira MID9
1
-
P Blasis MID81
1
-
A Piedrahita FWD7
1
-
B Merlini FWD72
2
-
R Giampaoli DEF6
1
-
N Garayalde  MID6
3
-
F. Corbalán5
1
-
N Briasco FWD5
-
I Mammini FWD5
-
L Mamut MID4
-
L Ingolotti GLK3
-
M Melluso DEF3
2
-
J Moreno MID3
1
-
A Max MID3
2
-
D Mastrángelo DEF1
1
-