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Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th May, 01:30 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

the Estadio José Amalfitani is the stage on Monday morning, as Guillermo Barros Schelotto's Vélez Sarsfield welcome Alejandro Orfila's Gimnasia La Plata in the Primera División. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Velez and Gimnasia during the traditional 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 45%	71/100	5/6
Draw 29%	23/10	12/5
Gimnasia 26%	4/1	18/5
Velez 1-0 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw 0-0 12%	13/2	6/1
Gimnasia 1-0 10%	17/2	8/1
Velez 2-0 9%	13/2	6/1
Velez 2-1 8%	8/1	7/1
Gimnasia 2-1 6%	14/1	12/1
Gimnasia 2-0 5%	20/1	16/1
Velez 3-0 4%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Velez 3-1 3%	16/1	14/1
Gimnasia 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Velez 3-2 1%	33/1	25/1
Gimnasia 3-0 1%	50/1	33/1
Velez 4-0 1%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	27/20	13/10
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	4/7	4/7
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/13	8/13
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/4	15/8
No 1st Goal 8%	13/2	6/1
BTTS - Yes 41%	11/10	23/20
BTTS - No 59%	4/6	13/20
BTTS - Home Win 15%	15/4	7/2
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9/1	8/1
Home/draw 74%	1/6	1/5
Away/draw 55%	1/1	19/20
Home/away 71%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	4/9	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	13/8	13/8
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	10/3	10/3
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1/5	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	9/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/18
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	20/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/66	1/300
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/12	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	13/2	6/1
Home DNB 66%	1/3	3/10
Away DNB 46%	9/4	11/5
Velez win to nil 30%	13/8	-
Gimnasia win to nil 17%	11/2	-
Velez / Velez 28%	15/8	9/5
Velez / Gimnasia 2%	40/1	33/1
Velez / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Velez 18%	7/2	7/2
Draw / Gimnasia 9%	8/1	8/1
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	7/2
Gimnasia / Velez 3%	25/1	20/1
Gimnasia / Gimnasia 11%	7/1	6/1
Gimnasia / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Velez have drawn 3 consecutive league games

Gimnasia have won 4 consecutive league games

Gimnasia have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	1 - 1	Newells
Velez	2 - 2	U Santa Fe
Velez	1 - 0	Central Cor
Velez	0 - 1	Lanus
Velez	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Velez	1 - 0	River Plate
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
Velez	2 - 1	Tig
Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	1 - 1	Newells
H	Velez	2 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	1 - 0	Central Cor
A	Velez	2 - 3	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Velez	0 - 1	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Platense
A	Velez	1 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Velez	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	1 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	1 - 1	Defensa
H	Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Velez	1 - 1	Independiente
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
H	Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	0 - 2	Gimnasia
H	Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgrano	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Sarmiento	1 - 2	Gimnasia
A. Tucuman	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Banfield	1 - 2	Gimnasia
Tig	2 - 2	Gimnasia
Gimnasia Mendoza	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Barracas	2 - 0	Gimnasia
River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Barracas	0 - 2	Gimnasia
U Santa Fe	1 - 2	Gimnasia
Platense	0 - 3	Gimnasia
River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Estudiantes	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Sarmiento	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Deportivo Riestra	1 - 0	Gimnasia
SM San Juan	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Godoy Cruz	1 - 2	Gimnasia
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	Gimnasia
Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Tal Cordoba	2 - 0	Gimnasia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gimnasia	2 - 0	Argentinos
A	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Belgrano
H	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
A	Gimnasia	2 - 1	Sarmiento
H	Gimnasia	0 - 3	Huracan
A	Gimnasia	0 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Gimnasia	2 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Gimnasia	2 - 1	Banfield
A	Gimnasia	2 - 2	Tig
H	Gimnasia	1 - 2	Rosario
A	Gimnasia	1 - 0	Gimnasia Mendoza
H	Gimnasia	0 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	Barracas
H	Gimnasia	3 - 1	Aldosivi
A	Gimnasia	0 - 2	River Plate
H	Gimnasia	2 - 1	Racing Club
H	Gimnasia	0 - 1	Estudiantes
A	Gimnasia	2 - 0	Barracas
A	Gimnasia	2 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Gimnasia	3 - 0	Platense

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Velez

Gimnasia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

VEL

GIM

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	1 - 0
Velez	3 - 1
Velez	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Gimnasia
Velez	1 - 0

Gimnasia

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

VEL

GIM

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
Gimnasia	2 - 0
Gimnasia	3 - 1
Gimnasia	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 5	Velez
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Velez 15th	Gimnasia 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Velez’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+22 Gimnasia have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

better

VEL

GIM

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

VEL

GIM

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Velez v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	6	5	4
Álvaro Montero	F Monzón	D Valdés	E Gómez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Álvaro Montero GLK	16			-
E Mammana DEF	16			1 -
M Lanzini MID	16	3		1 -
R Aliendro MID	16			1 -
E Gómez DEF	14		1	4 -
L Magallán DEF	14		1	3 -
C Baeza MID	14			4 -
T. Andrada MID	14	1		4 -
F Monzón FWD	14	6		2 -
L Robertone MID	13	1		3 -
D Valdés MID	13		5	-
J García DEF	12	2		-
M Pellegrini FWD	11	3	2	2 -
D. Godoy FWD	11		3	1 -
B Romero FWD	9	1		3 -
A Quirós DEF	7			1 -
M. Arias MID	5		1	1 -
T. Silvero DEF	4			1 -
I Machuca FWD	4			1 -
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-
M. Carrizo FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	5	7
F Monzón	F Monzón	D Valdés	D Valdés

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Monzón FWD	6	16		1
M Lanzini MID	3	8		4
M Pellegrini FWD	3	8	2	6
J García DEF	2	4
T. Andrada MID	1	6		2
L Robertone MID	1	4
B Romero FWD	1	4
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
E Mammana DEF		2
R Aliendro MID		2
E Gómez DEF			1	1
L Magallán DEF			1	1
D Valdés MID		2	5	7
D. Godoy FWD		7	3	2
A Quirós DEF		1
M. Arias MID		1	1	1
T. Silvero DEF				1
I Machuca FWD				1
M. Carrizo FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
610	43	86
T. Andrada	R Aliendro	T. Andrada

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Andrada MID	610	37	86
E Mammana DEF	595	16	40
C Baeza MID	583	30	63
E Gómez DEF	576	27	84
M Lanzini MID	573	14	63
L Magallán DEF	551	18	44
J García DEF	449	21	45
R Aliendro MID	388	43	75
Álvaro Montero GLK	360		8
L Robertone MID	355	20	51
D Valdés MID	327	14	51
M Pellegrini FWD	250	20	70
F Monzón FWD	241	11	63
A Quirós DEF	194	2	11
D. Godoy FWD	140	10	37
T. Silvero DEF	98	4	13
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
I Machuca FWD	59	1	7
M. Arias MID	58	2	9
B Romero FWD	39	1	12
M. Carrizo FWD	11		4

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	7	4	7
P Silva	M Torres	A Steimbach	N Fernández

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Silva DEF	16		1	-
N. Barros Schelotto MID	16	3	3	5 1
F Torres FWD	16	2		4 -
M Torres FWD	16	7	1	-
A Auzmendi FWD	16	2	2	-
E Martínez DEF	15	2		4 -
A Steimbach MID	15		4	6 -
N Insfrán GLK	14			-
R Giampaoli DEF	14			4 -
N Fernández MID	14	2	2	7 -
M Panaro FWD	14	1	1	2 1
A Max MID	13		1	4 -
L Castro MID	11			-
I Miramón MID	11			4 -
J. Cortazzo DEF	6			1 -
M Zalazar FWD	6			2 -
D Mastrángelo DEF	5			1 -
M Seoane MID	4			-
J. Merlo FWD	4			-
G Conti DEF	3			-
J Perez MID	3			-
J. Kadijevic GLK	2			-
B Schelotto DEF	2			3 -
G Errecalde DEF	2			1 -
G González DEF	1			-
M Melluso DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	13	4	4
M Torres	M Torres	A Steimbach	N. Barros Schelotto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Torres FWD	7	13	1	1
N. Barros Schelotto MID	3	9	3	4
F Torres FWD	2	7		3
A Auzmendi FWD	2	6	2	3
E Martínez DEF	2	3		1
N Fernández MID	2	8	2	3
M Panaro FWD	1	4	1	1
P Silva DEF		2	1	2
A Steimbach MID			4	3
R Giampaoli DEF		1
A Max MID		1	1	1
L Castro MID				1
I Miramón MID		2		2
M Zalazar FWD		2
D Mastrángelo DEF		1
J Perez MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
626	45	103
E Martínez	A Steimbach	A Steimbach

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Martínez DEF	626	24	75
N. Barros Schelotto MID	591	24	64
N Fernández MID	523	22	78
P Silva DEF	487	31	74
A Steimbach MID	484	45	103
A Max MID	460	43	69
I Miramón MID	436	26	61
R Giampaoli DEF	409	25	73
N Insfrán GLK	267		2
M Torres FWD	247	6	25
M Panaro FWD	162	11	49
L Castro MID	151	14	34
A Auzmendi FWD	146	5	52
F Torres FWD	142	10	31
G Errecalde DEF	112	1	5
G Conti DEF	73	2	5
D Mastrángelo DEF	66	5	8
M Seoane MID	63	2	4
M Zalazar FWD	49	3	14
B Schelotto DEF	41	2	4
J. Merlo FWD	34	2	8
J. Kadijevic GLK	34
J. Cortazzo DEF	30	1	6
J Perez MID	19	1	5
G González DEF	11
M Melluso DEF	5

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Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia La Plata : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Velez v Gimnasia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

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