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Vélez Sarsfield v Rosario Central : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Oct, 14:00 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Vélez Sarsfield are in Primera División action on Sunday afternoon, as Guillermo Abascal Perez looks to get one over on Ariel Enrique Holan and his Rosario Central side at the Estadio José Amalfitani. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Velez and Rosario during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 34% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 33%	15/8	15/8
Draw 34%	2/1	15/8
Rosario 34%	8/5	9/5
Draw 0-0 18%	9/2	17/4
Rosario 1-0 15%	5/1	5/1
Velez 1-0 15%	5/1	5/1
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Rosario 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Velez 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Rosario 2-1 6%	10/1	9/1
Velez 2-1 6%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	16/1
Rosario 3-0 2%	28/1	22/1
Velez 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Rosario 3-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Velez 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Rosario 3-2 1%	40/1	33/1
Velez 3-2 1%	50/1	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 25%	21/10	15/8
Under 2.5 Goals 75%	4/11	2/5
Home 1st Goal 43%	6/5	23/20
Away 1st Goal 44%	21/20	23/20
No 1st Goal 13%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Yes 34%	11/8	13/10
BTTS - No 66%	8/15	11/20
BTTS - Home Win 9%	15/2	6/1
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 9%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 66%	4/9	4/9
Away/draw 67%	2/5	2/5
Home/away 66%	4/11	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 52%	8/13	8/13
Under 1.5 Goals 48%	6/5	6/5
Over 3.5 Goals 10%	11/2	19/4
Under 3.5 Goals 90%	1/9	1/9
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	14/1	11/1
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1/33	1/40
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	33/1	25/1
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/200	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 82%	1/7	2/15
Under 0.5 Goals 18%	9/2	17/4
Home DNB 56%	10/11	17/20
Away DNB 57%	4/5	5/6
Velez win to nil 24%	3/1	-
Rosario win to nil 25%	5/2	-
Velez / Velez 17%	4/1	18/5
Velez / Rosario 3%	33/1	28/1
Velez / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Velez 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Rosario 14%	9/2	19/4
Draw / Draw 22%	11/4	13/5
Rosario / Velez 2%	40/1	25/1
Rosario / Rosario 18%	7/2	17/5
Rosario / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Velez have won 3 consecutive home league games

Velez have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Rosario have not lost in 7 consecutive away league games

Rosario have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
Velez	2 - 1	Tig
Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
Velez	0 - 1	Platense
Velez	2 - 0	Huracan
Velez	1 - 0	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 0	Lanus
Velez	1 - 0	Tig
Velez	1 - 1	Belgrano
Velez	1 - 0	Racing Club
Velez	2 - 0	Estudiantes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Velez	2 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Huracan
H	Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Velez	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
A	Velez	0 - 0	Platense
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tig
A	Velez	1 - 4	River Plate
H	Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Velez	1 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
H	Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Velez	2 - 1	A. Tucuman
H	Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
H	Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Lanus

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia	0 - 3	Rosario
A. Tucuman	0 - 0	Rosario
Lanus	0 - 1	Rosario
San Lorenzo	0 - 1	Rosario
Platense	0 - 0	Rosario
River Plate	2 - 2	Rosario
Tal Cordoba	0 - 0	Rosario
Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Rosario
Newells	1 - 2	Rosario
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 0	Rosario
SM San Juan	0 - 0	Rosario
Godoy Cruz	0 - 3	Rosario
River Plate	4 - 0	Rosario
Central Cor	0 - 1	Rosario
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Rosario
Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Rosario
Instituto	0 - 0	Rosario
Defensa	2 - 1	Rosario
Platense	1 - 0	Rosario
Boca Juniors	2 - 1	Rosario

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Rosario	3 - 0	Gimnasia
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Tal Cordoba
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
H	Rosario	1 - 0	Newells
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
A	Rosario	0 - 0	A. Tucuman
H	Rosario	0 - 0	SM San Juan
A	Rosario	1 - 0	Lanus
H	Rosario	1 - 1	Godoy Cruz
H	Rosario	0 - 1	Huracan
H	Rosario	2 - 0	Estudiantes
H	Rosario	1 - 0	Independiente
A	Rosario	1 - 0	San Lorenzo
H	Rosario	3 - 0	Instituto
A	Rosario	0 - 0	Platense
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Velez
A	Rosario	2 - 2	River Plate
H	Rosario	2 - 1	Gimnasia
A	Rosario	0 - 0	Tal Cordoba
A	Rosario	0 - 1	Boca Juniors

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Velez have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Rosario

Velez

Rosario

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

0 / 4

Clean sheets

4 / 4

1 / 4

VEL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Velez	2 - 0
Velez	2 - 0

Rosario

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

VEL

ROS

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Rosario	2 - 1
Rosario	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Rosario	1 - 0
Rosario	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Velez
	0 - 1	Velez

Goal Statistics

	Velez 1st	Rosario 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Rosario scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Velez have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Rosario’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	0.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

VEL

ROS

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		18
Failed to score	14		8
Scored first	9		16
Goals scored	18		30
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1.1
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+32%

VEL

ROS

38%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		12
Clean sheets	10		14
Conceded first	11		4
Goals conceded	26		13
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		16
Conversion rate against	11%		6%
Avg. XG against	1		0.9
KickOff rating		+38%

Velez v Rosario Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	8	2	11
T Marchiori	B Romero	B Romero	A Bouzat

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Marchiori GLK	24			1 -
E Gómez DEF	24			4 -
B Romero FWD	23	8	2	8 -
A Bouzat MID	22		2	11 -
F Pizzini FWD	21			1 -
M Pellegrini FWD	19		1	1 -
M. Carrizo FWD	18	5		3 -
J. Gordon DEF	17			4 1
C Baeza MID	15		1	7 -
I Machuca FWD	15	1	1	3 -
M Santos FWD	15			-
E Mammana DEF	14			2 -
A Quirós DEF	13			5 3
T Galván MID	13	2	1	1 -
A Lagos DEF	11			4 1
L Magallán DEF	9			1 -
T. Andrada MID	9			1 -
L Roldán MID	8			3 -
R Aliendro MID	7		1	-
K. Vázquez MID	7			3 -
T. Silvero DEF	6			1 -
I. Andrada DEF	5		2	-
T Cavanagh DEF	4			2 -
M Lanzini MID	4	1	1	-
F Monzón FWD	3			-
Álvaro Montero GLK	2			-
D Valdés MID	2	1		-
J García DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	2	4
B Romero	B Romero	B Romero	B Romero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Romero FWD	8	21	2	4
M. Carrizo FWD	5	12
T Galván MID	2	4	1	3
I Machuca FWD	1	2	1	4
M Lanzini MID	1	3	1
D Valdés MID	1	2
E Gómez DEF		1		2
A Bouzat MID		4	2	4
F Pizzini FWD		3		4
M Pellegrini FWD		2	1	2
J. Gordon DEF		1		3
C Baeza MID			1	1
M Santos FWD		4
E Mammana DEF		1		1
A Lagos DEF		2		3
L Magallán DEF		2		1
T. Andrada MID		1
R Aliendro MID		1	1
T. Silvero DEF		1
I. Andrada DEF			2	1
T Cavanagh DEF				1
J García DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
926	71	148
A Bouzat	A Bouzat	A Bouzat

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bouzat MID	926	71	148
E Gómez DEF	914	48	136
E Mammana DEF	661	18	50
J. Gordon DEF	601	41	85
C Baeza MID	554	39	78
T Marchiori GLK	507	1	14
A Quirós DEF	463	17	68
T Galván MID	374	18	63
L Magallán DEF	367	9	31
F Pizzini FWD	357	18	59
B Romero FWD	336	26	115
I Machuca FWD	281	11	49
A Lagos DEF	279	27	53
M. Carrizo FWD	272	14	75
M Pellegrini FWD	264	15	63
R Aliendro MID	211	22	45
K. Vázquez MID	169	12	17
T. Andrada MID	158	10	20
L Roldán MID	124	7	18
M Santos FWD	105	3	36
I. Andrada DEF	100	10	15
T Cavanagh DEF	84	7	10
M Lanzini MID	71	2	11
T. Silvero DEF	56	5	16
Álvaro Montero GLK	39		1
F Monzón FWD	32	2	7
D Valdés MID	14	1	4
J García DEF	12		1

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	5	6	9
A Sández	J Campaz	I Malcorra	F Ibarra

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Copetti FWD	27	3	3	4 -
A Sández DEF	26	2		6 -
J Broun GLK	25			2 -
E Coronel DEF	25		3	6 -
F Ibarra MID	25		1	9 -
C Quintana DEF	24	1	2	6 -
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	23	2		1 -
I Malcorra MID	22	4	6	8 -
J Komar DEF	21			1 -
J Campaz MID	21	5	1	6 -
F Navarro MID	19			3 -
E Giménez MID	16	2		2 -
L Giaccone MID	15	1	2	-
S Lopez FWD	15	2		2 -
F Mallo DEF	14			3 -
T O'Connor MID	13			2 -
M Lovera FWD	11		1	-
Ángel Di María FWD	9	5	2	4 -
S Ferreira FWD	9	2		-
A Véliz FWD	9	3		3 -
J. Elordi DEF	8		1	1 -
J. Giménez DEF	7			1 -
G. Cantizano MID	7			1 -
K Ortíz MID	6			-
A Solari MID	6			-
S. Segovia MID	5		1	-
A. Bravo DEF	3			1 -
J Gómez MID	3			1 -
A Werner GLK	2			-
F Celso MID	1			-
K. Gutiérrez MID	1			-
L Dupuy FWD	1			-
A. Módica FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	6	9
J Campaz	J Campaz	I Malcorra	I Malcorra

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Campaz MID	5	17	1	7
Ángel Di María FWD	5	9	2	4
I Malcorra MID	4	11	6	9
E Copetti FWD	3	11	3	5
A Véliz FWD	3	11
A Sández DEF	2	6		5
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	2	11		1
E Giménez MID	2	4		1
S Lopez FWD	2	6		3
S Ferreira FWD	2	5
C Quintana DEF	1	4	2	4
L Giaccone MID	1	3	2	3
E Coronel DEF		2	3	3
F Ibarra MID		4	1	1
J Komar DEF		4
F Navarro MID				2
T O'Connor MID		2		2
M Lovera FWD		4	1	3
J. Elordi DEF		1	1	1
G. Cantizano MID		3
K Ortíz MID				1
S. Segovia MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
982	107	190
F Ibarra	F Ibarra	F Ibarra

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Ibarra MID	982	107	190
A Sández DEF	925	49	109
I Malcorra MID	809	17	45
C Quintana DEF	787	30	111
E Coronel DEF	734	59	131
F Navarro MID	671	46	59
J Komar DEF	654	21	105
J Broun GLK	565		2
J Campaz MID	553	44	130
F Mallo DEF	481	14	46
E Copetti FWD	374	23	125
E Giménez MID	306	31	61
Ángel Di María FWD	304	5	52
S Lopez FWD	224	20	60
L Giaccone MID	196	5	30
G. De Jesús Duarte MID	188	20	56
J. Giménez DEF	170	3	14
T O'Connor MID	157	13	20
M Lovera FWD	150	9	32
J. Elordi DEF	140	4	12
A Véliz FWD	103	4	56
S. Segovia MID	81	7	15
A Solari MID	75	12	18
A. Bravo DEF	67	1	15
S Ferreira FWD	59	2	17
G. Cantizano MID	48	6	17
J Gómez MID	42		4
K Ortíz MID	38	5	7
A Werner GLK	36		1
K. Gutiérrez MID	12		1
F Celso MID	2
A. Módica FWD	2		1
L Dupuy FWD	1		1